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Recent Posts
- Today’s Energy Crisis Is Very Different from the Energy Crisis of 2005
- Why financial approaches won’t fix the world’s economic problems this time
- Ramping Up Renewables Can’t Provide Enough Heat Energy in Winter
- Why No Politician Is Willing to Tell Us the Real Energy Story
- The world’s self-organizing economy can be expected to act strangely, as energy supplies deplete
- Why raising interest rates to reduce inflation may work out very badly
- A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: Debt
Why Energy-Economy Models Produce Overly Optimistic Indications
I was asked to give a talk to a committee of actuaries who are concerned about modeling the financial future of programs, such as pension plans, given the energy problems that are often discussed. They (and the consultants that they … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Debt, dissipative structure, energy-economy modeling, pensions
2,065 Comments
What has gone wrong with oil prices, debt, and GDP growth?
Our economy is a mystery to almost everyone, including economists. Let me explain the way I see the situation: (1) The big thing that pulls the economy forward is the time-shifting nature of debt and debt-like instruments. If we want … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Debt, economic growth, GDP growth, low oil prices, oil prices
1,637 Comments
Debt: The Key Factor Connecting Energy and the Economy
There are many who believe that the use of energy is critical to the growth of the economy. In fact, I am among these people. The thing that is not as apparent is that growth in energy consumption is dependent … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Debt, economic growth, EROEI, interest rates, negative interest rates, oil price
695 Comments
How our energy problem leads to a debt collapse problem
Usually, we don’t stop to think about how the whole economy works together. A major reason is that we have been lacking data to see long-term relationships. In this post, I show some longer-term time series relating to energy growth, … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged commodity prices, Debt, debt bubble, demand growth, economic growth, GDP growth, oil prices
1,447 Comments
What Greece, Cyprus, and Puerto Rico Have in Common
We all know one thing that Greece, Cyprus, and Puerto Rico have in common–severe financial problems. There is something else that they have in common–a high proportion of their energy use is from oil. Figure 1 shows the ratio of … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Cyprus, Debt, energy supply, Greece, Greek debt, oil price, Puerto Rico
1,257 Comments
