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Tag Archives: oil production
The Afghanistan Fiasco (and Today’s High Level of Conflict) Reflect an Energy Problem
The way energy limits play out is not at all intuitive. Most people assume that we will run out of oil, leading to a spike in oil prices. We will then transition to renewables. As I see it, this understanding is completely wrong. Limited energy supply first leads to a need for simplification: Stepping back from Afghanistan would be one such type of simplification. It would save energy supplies and reduce the need for greater tax revenue or added debt. Continue reading
Expect low oil prices in 2020; tendency toward recession
Energy Forecast for 2020 Overall, I expect that oil and other commodity prices will remain low in 2020. These low oil prices will adversely affect oil production and several other parts of the economy. As a result, a strong tendency … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged electric transmission, electric vehicles, oil production, peak oil, recycling
1,162 Comments
US 2015 Oil Production and Future Oil Prices
Oil production can be confusing because there are various “pieces” that may or may not be included. In this analysis, I look at oil production of the United States broadly (including crude oil, natural gas plant liquids, and biofuels), because this … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged low wages, oil price, oil production, tight oil, wage inequality, world debt
1,015 Comments
Why oil under $30 per barrel is a major problem
A person often reads that low oil prices–for example, $30 per barrel oil prices–will stimulate the economy, and the economy will soon bounce back. What is wrong with this story? A lot of things, as I see it: 1. Oil … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged low oil prices, oil demand, oil production, oil supply, recession
2,298 Comments
Why “supply and demand” doesn’t work for oil
The traditional understanding of supply and demand works in some limited cases–will a manufacturer make red dresses or blue dresses? The manufacturer’s choice doesn’t make much difference to the economic system as a whole, except perhaps in the amount of … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged debt defaults, low oil prices, oil demand, oil production, peak oil, supply and demand
1,389 Comments
