Tag Archives: debt defaults

Why EIA, IEA, and BP Oil Forecasts are Too High

When forecasting how much oil will be available in future years, a standard approach seems to be the following: Figure out how much GDP growth the researcher hopes to have in the future. “Work backward” to see how much oil … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications, Oil and Its Future | Tagged , , , , , | 904 Comments

The Problem of Debt as We Reach Oil Limits

(This is Part 3 of my series – A New Theory of Energy and the Economy. These are links to Part 1 and Part 2.) Many readers have asked me to explain debt. They also wonder, “Why can’t we just … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , , | 506 Comments

Reaching Debt Limits: With or without China’s problems, we have a problem

Credit Problems are a Very Current Issue In the past several years, the engine of world’s growth has been China. China’s growth has been fueled by debt. China now seems to be running into difficulties with its industrial growth, and … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , , , | 621 Comments

Low Oil Prices Lead to Economic Peak Oil

We have all heard the story about oil supply supposedly rising and falling for geological reasons. But what if the story is a little different from this–oil production rises and falls for economic reasons? If this is the issue, it doesn’t … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , | 225 Comments

Our Investment Sinkhole Problem

We are used to expecting that more investment will yield more output, but in the real world, things don’t always work out that way. In Figure 1, we see that for several groupings, the increase (or decrease) in oil consumption … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , , , , | 67 Comments