|
Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...
|
Russia’s attack on Ukraine represents a demand for a new world order that, over the long term, will support higher prices for fossil fuels, especially oil. Such an economy would probably be centered on Russia and China. The rest of the world economy, to the extent that it continues to exist, will largely have to get along without fossil fuels, other than the fossil fuels that countries continue to produce for themselves. Population and living standards will fall in most of the world.
If a Russia-and-China-centric economy can be developed, the US dollar will no longer be the world’s reserve currency. Trade will be in the currency of the new Russia-China block. Outside of this block, local currencies will play a dominant role. Most of today’s debt will ultimately be defaulted upon; to the extent that this debt is replaced, it will be replaced with debt in local currencies.
As I see the situation, the underlying problem is the fact that, on a world basis, energy consumption per capita is shrinking. Energy consumption is essential for creating goods and services.
The shrinking amount of energy per person means that, on average, fewer and fewer finished goods and services can be produced for each person. Some countries do better than average; others do worse. With low fossil fuel prices, Russia has been faring worse than average; it wants to remedy the situation with long-term higher energy prices. If Russia can start transferring its energy exports to China, perhaps the new Russia-China economy, with limited support from the rest of the world, can afford to pay Russia the high prices for fossil fuels that Russia requires to maintain its economy.
In this post, I will try to explain what I see is happening.
[1] It appears that Russia now fears that it is near collapse, not too different from the collapse of the central government of the Soviet Union in 1991. Such a collapse would lead to a huge drop in Russia’s living standards, even from today’s relatively low level.
If we look back at the Soviet Union’s energy consumption, we see a strange pattern. The Soviet Union’s energy consumption rose rapidly in the period after World War II. It became a military rival of the US, as its energy consumption grew in the 1965 to 1985 period. Its energy consumption leveled off before the central government collapsed in 1991. In fact, energy consumption has never gotten back to its level in the late 1980s.
[2] The thing that seems to have been behind the 1991 collapse is the same thing that seems to be behind Russia’s current fear of collapse: continued low oil prices.
When we look back at inflation-adjusted oil prices, we see that a long period of low prices preceded this collapse. These low prices were harmful in many ways. They reduced funds for reinvestment, which led to the collapse in oil supply. They reduced the funds available to pay wages. They also reduced the tax revenue that the Soviet Union could collect.
I believe that these chronically low oil prices ultimately brought down the top layer of the government of the Soviet Union. This is because of the physics of the situation. It takes energy to provide the services of the top level of the government. As the total energy that could be purchased by the system fell because of low prices received for exports, it became impossible to support this top level of governmental services. This top layer was less essential than the lower levels of government, so it fell away.
In recent times, there has also been a long period of low prices, since about 2013:
Unless this pattern of low prices can be reversed quickly, Russia as a political entity could collapse. Exports of all of the goods it now produces would likely fall.
[3] While oil prices depend on “supply and demand,” as a practical matter, demand is very dependent on interest rates and debt levels. The higher the debt level and the lower the interest rate, the higher the price of oil can rise.
If we look back at Figure 4, we can see that before the US subprime housing bubble popped in 2008, inflation-adjusted oil prices were able to rise to $157 per barrel, adjusted to the 2020 price level. Once the debt bubble popped, inflation-adjusted oil prices fell to $49 per barrel. It was at this low point (and correspondingly low prices for many other commodities) that the US started its program of Quantitative Easing (QE) to lower interest rates.
After two years of QE, oil prices were back above $140 per barrel, in inflation-adjusted prices, but these soon started sliding down. By the time oil prices dropped to $120 per barrel, oil companies started to complain that prices were falling too low to meet all of their needs, including the need to drill in ever less productive areas. Now we are at a point where interest rates are about as low as they can go. Short-term interest rates are near zero, which is where they were in the late 1930s.
The quantity of funds in people’s checking and savings accounts is at an extraordinarily high level, as well. This is partly because of the availability of debt at these low interest rates.
Thus, even before the Ukrainian invasion, oil prices were raised about as high as they could go, through low interest rates and generous debt availability. With all this stimulus, Brent Spot Oil prices averaged $86.51 in January 2022. Even now, with all the disruption of the attack by Russia against Ukraine, oil prices are below the $120 threshold that producers seem to need. This price issue, plus the corresponding low-price issues for natural gas and coal, is the problem that Russia is concerned about.
Prices for imported coal and natural gas have bounced very high in the last few months, but no one expects these high prices to last. For one thing, they are too high for the European manufacturers that use imported coal or natural gas to stay in business. For example, producers that create urea fertilizer using natural gas find that the price of fertilizer produced in this way is way too high for farmers to afford. For another, the electricity produced by burning the high-priced natural gas or coal tends to be too expensive for European households to afford.
[4] The fundamental problem behind recent low oil prices is the fact that the current mix of consumers cannot afford goods and services produced using the high oil prices that producers, such as Russia, need to operate, pay high enough wages, and do adequate reinvestment.
When the price of oil was very low, back before 1970 (see Figure 3), it was relatively easy for consumers to afford goods and services made with oil. This was the period when the world economy was growing rapidly, and many people could afford to purchase automobiles and buy the oil products needed to operate them.
Once the cost of oil extraction started rising because of depletion, it became more and more difficult to keep prices both:
- High enough for oil producers, such as Russia, and
- Low enough to make affordable goods for consumers, as was possible prior to 1970
To try to hide the increasingly difficult problem of keeping prices both high enough for producers and low enough for consumers, central banks have lowered interest rates and encouraged the use of more debt. The idea is that if a person can buy a fuel-efficient car at a low enough interest rate and over a long enough term, perhaps this will make the vehicle more affordable. Similarly, interest rates on home mortgages have fallen to very low levels. All of this, plus the fact that debt is used to finance new factories and mines, leads to the relationship we saw in Figure 4 between oil prices and debt availability, related to interest rates.
[5] No one knows precisely how much oil, coal and natural gas can be extracted because the quantity that can be extracted depends on the extent of the price rise that can be tolerated without plunging the economy into recession.
If prices of these fossil fuels can rise very high (say, $300 per barrel for oil, and correspondingly high prices for other fossil fuels), a huge amount of fossil fuel can be extracted. Conversely, if energy prices cannot stay above the equivalent of $80 per barrel oil for very long without a serious recession, then we may already be very close to the end of available fossil fuel extraction. Both oil and gas producers and coal producers can be expected to go out of business because prices do not leave a sufficient margin for the required investment in new fields to offset the depletion of existing fields. Renewables will falter, as well, because both building and maintaining renewables requires fossil fuels.
The amount of resources of any kind (fossil fuels and minerals such as lithium, uranium, copper and zinc) that can be extracted depends upon the extent of depletion that the economy can tolerate. Depletion of any kind of resource means that a bigger effort (more workers, more machinery, more energy products) is required to extract a given quantity of each resource. It is clear that the entire economy cannot be transferred to the extraction of fossil fuels and mineral resources. For example, some workers and resources are needed for growing and transporting food. This puts a limit on how much depletion can be tolerated.
What Russia (as well as every other oil producer) would like is a way to get the tolerable oil price up significantly higher, for example, to $150 per barrel, so that more oil can be extracted. The hope is that a Russia-and-China-centric economy might be able to do this. Ideally, the tolerable maximum price for coal and natural gas would rise, as well.
[6] Europe, in particular, cannot afford high oil prices. If interest rates are increased soon, this will make the problem even worse. China seems to have definite advantages as an economic partner.
Europe is already having difficulty tolerating very high prices of imported natural gas and coal. Rising oil prices will add even more stress. Central banks are planning to raise interest rates. These higher interest rates will make loan payments more expensive. These higher interest rates will tend to push Europe’s economy further toward recession.
Given the problems with Europe as an energy importer, China would seem to have the possibility of being a better customer that can perhaps tolerate higher prices. For one thing, China is more efficient in its use of energy products than Europe. For example, many homes in the southern half of China are not heated in winter. People instead dress warmly inside their homes in winter. Also, homes and businesses in northern China are sometimes heated with waste heat from nearby coal-fired electricity plants. This is a very efficient approach to heating.
China also uses more coal in its energy mix than Europe. Historically, coal has been much less expensive than oil. What is needed is a low average price of energy. A small amount of high-priced oil can be tolerated in an economy that uses mostly coal in its energy mix. When all costs are counted, wind and solar are very high-priced energy sources, which contributes to Europe’s problems.
In recent years, China’s consumption of energy products has been growing very rapidly. Perhaps, in the view of Russia, China can use high-priced fossil fuel better than other parts of the world.
[7] Russia realized that the rest of the world is utterly dependent upon its fossil fuel exports. Because of this dependency, as well as the physics-based connection between the burning of fossil fuels and the making of finished goods and services, Russia holds huge power over the world economy.
The world economy should have known about the importance of fossil fuels and the likelihood that the world economy would face depletion issues in the first half of the 21st century, ever since a speech by Rear Admiral Hyman Rickover in 1957. In this speech, Rickover said,
We live in what historians may someday call the Fossil Fuel Age. . .With high energy consumption goes a high standard of living. . . A reduction of per capita energy consumption has always in the past led to a decline in civilization and a reversion to a more primitive way of life.
Current estimates of fossil fuel reserves vary to an astonishing degree. In part this is because the results differ greatly if cost of extraction is disregarded or if in calculating how long reserves will last, population growth is not taken into consideration; or, equally important, not enough weight is given to increased fuel consumption required to process inferior or substitute metals. We are rapidly approaching the time when exhaustion of better grade metals will force us to turn to poorer grades requiring in most cases greater expenditure of energy per unit of metal.
. . . it is an unpleasant fact that according to our best estimates, total fossil fuel reserves recoverable at not over twice today’s unit cost are likely to run out at sometime between the years 2000 and 2050, if present standards of living and population growth rates are taken into account.
I suggest that this is a good time to think soberly about our responsibilities to our descendants – those who will ring out the Fossil Fuel Age. Our greatest responsibility, as parents and as citizens, is to give America’s youngsters the best possible education [including the energy problem of a world with finite resources].
Many people today would conclude that world leaders have done their best to ignore this advice. The likely problem with fossil fuels has been hidden behind an imaginative, but false, narrative that our biggest problem is climate change caused primarily by fossil fuel extraction that can be expected to extend until at least 2100, unless positive steps are made to hold back this extraction.
In this false narrative, all the world needs to do is to move to wind and solar for its energy needs. As I discussed in my most recent post, titled Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer, this narrative of success is completely false. Instead, we seem to be hitting energy limits in the near term because of chronically low prices. Wind and solar are doing very little to help because they cannot be depended upon when needed. Furthermore, the quantity of wind and solar available is far too low to replace fossil fuels.
Few people in America and Europe realize that the world economy is entirely dependent upon Russia’s exports of oil, coal and natural gas. This dependency can be seen in many ways. For example, in 2020, 41% of world natural gas exports came from Russia. Natural gas is especially important for balancing electricity from wind and solar.
North America has historically played only a very small role in natural gas exports; it is questionable whether North America can ramp up its total natural gas production in the future, given the depletion problems being experienced with respect to the extraction of oil and the associated natural gas from shale formations. Continuously high oil prices are necessary to justify ramping up production outside of sweet spots. If drillers consider long-term prospects for oil prices to be too low, the associated natural gas will not be collected.
Europe is especially dependent upon natural gas imports (Figure 9). Its imports of natural gas exceed the exports of Russia and its affiliated countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States, referred to as Russia+ in Figures 8 and 9.
Without the natural gas exports of Russia and its close affiliates, there is no possibility of supplying adequate natural gas exports to the rest of the world.
Diesel fuel, created by refining oil, is another energy product that is in critically short supply, especially in Europe. Diesel fuel is used to power trucks and farm tractors, as well as many European automobiles. An Argus Media report indicates that Russian supplies account for 50% to 60% of Europe’s seaborne imports of diesel and other gasoil, amounting to 4 to 6 million tons of fuel per month. It likely would be impossible to replace these imports, using supplies from elsewhere, without bidding the price of these imported fuels up to a much higher price level than today. Even then, countries outside Europe would be left with inadequate diesel supplies.
[8] Russia’s attack on Ukraine seems to have been made for many reasons.
Russia was clearly frustrated with the current situation, with NATO becoming increasingly assertive within Ukraine itself, even though Ukraine is not itself a NATO member. Russia is also aware that in some sense, it has far more power over the world economy than most people realize because the world economy is utterly dependent on Russia’s fossil fuel exports (Section 7). Sanctions against Russia will likely hurt the countries making the sanctions as much or more than they hurt Russia.
There were also several concerns that were specifically Ukrainian giving rise to the attack on Ukraine. There had been long standing conflicts about natural gas pipelines. Was Ukraine taking too much natural gas out as a transit fee? Was it paying the correct fee for the natural gas it used? Ukraine also seems to have mistreated quite a few Russian-speaking Ukrainians over the years.
Russia has become increasingly frustrated with the small share of the world’s output of goods and services that it receives. The way the economic system works today, those who provide “services” seem to receive a disproportionate share of the world’s output of goods and services. Russia, with its extraction of minerals of many kinds, including fossil fuels, has not been well compensated for the great wealth that it brings to the world as a whole.
Over the years, Russia’s great strength has been its military. Perhaps Ukraine would not be too large a country to do battle over. Russia might be able to eliminate some of its irritations with Ukraine. At the same time, it might be able to make changes that would help to raise what have become chronically low fossil fuel prices. The sanctions that other countries would make would tend to push the required changes along more quickly.
If the sanctions really did push Russia down, the result would tend to push the whole world economy toward collapse, because the rest of the world is extremely dependent upon Russia’s fossil fuel exports. In Figure 1, the laws of physics say that there is a proportional response to the quantity of energy “dissipated”; if a greater output of goods and services is desired, more energy input is required. Efficiency changes can somewhat help, but efficiency savings tend to be offset by the higher energetic needs of the more complex system required to achieve these savings.
If energy prices do not rise high enough, we will somehow need to get along with very little or no fossil fuels. It is doubtful that renewables will last very long either because they depend upon fossil fuels for their maintenance and repair.
[9] If higher energy prices cannot be achieved, there is a significant chance that the change in the world order will be in the direction of pushing the world economy toward collapse.
We are living in a world today with shrinking energy resources per capita. We should be aware that we are reaching the limits of fossil fuels and other minerals that we can extract, unless we can somehow figure out a way to get the economy to tolerate higher prices.
The danger that we are approaching is that the top levels of governments, everywhere in the world, will either collapse or be overthrown by their unhappy citizens. The reduced amounts of energy available will push governments in this way. At the same time, programs such as government-funded pension plans and unemployment plans will disappear. Electricity is likely to become intermittent and then fail completely. International trade will shrink back; economies will become much more local.
We were warned that we would be reaching a time period with serious energy problems about now. The first time came in the 1957 Rickover speech discussed in Section 7. The second warning came from the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows and others, which documented a computer modeling approach to the problem of limits of a finite world. The Ukraine invasion may be a push in the direction of more serious energy problems, emerging primarily from the fact that other countries will want to punish Russia. Few people will realize that punishing Russia is a dangerous path; a serious concern is that today’s economy cannot continue in its current form without Russia’s fossil fuel exports.
too funny https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/33820
It’s ok to be fooled… the PR Teams are very clever and very experienced…
But when someone demonstrates to you that you have been fooled –and rather than changing your mind and having a laugh (how could I have been fooled – again hahaha!!!) you get angry and triple down…
Well … that’s the main symptom of MOREONISM.
And here we have a photo of firefighters from Tasmania … portrayed as fighting fires in Ukraine…
Yes I know it’s a real war… and no matter what anyone shows you — it’s a real war… there there now… take another booster to calm you down…
https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/33809
https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/33810
hahaha fauci https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/33785
New big data study of 145 countries show COVID vaccines makes things worse (cases and deaths)
I missed this study. So did the mainstream media for some reason. But this study is yet another independent analysis that is difficult to refute: we have been misled by the CDC, FDA, and NIH.
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/new-big-data-study-of-145-countries?s=r
solid science about the negative efficacy of the toxic vaccines.
it seems that the Jabbed prefer strawmen over science, so the usual silence should follow in the lack of comments below this one.
No one is really interested in telling the truth about the vaccines, it seems.
Ed Dowd is catching on…. yes Ed — I’d pass along the CEP but you have not enabled comments:
https://t.me/DowdEdward/153
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/these-charts-show-russias-invasion-choking-world-natural-resources
great details in the article, though the headline is puutrid.
Western Assssinine Idddiotic Sanctions Choking World Natural Resources
thus inducing the epic Great Russian Reset.
without the sanctions, we wouldn’t get to watch the unfolding of the petrodollar and the enhanced decline of Europe in this amazing astounding awesome colossal fantastic remarkable stupendous year 2022.
it’s all good.
These are good — but Fast Eddy and the CEP are the Elephant in the Room… making what they discuss for the most part irrelevant
https://rumble.com/c/covexit
The Telegraph
Man whose wife died of blood clot after she had AstraZeneca jab demands government compensation
Lizzie Roberts
Fri, March 18, 2022, 2:43 PM
Nicola Weideling with her husband Kurt. Mrs Weideling died of a stroke caused by the AstraZeneca coronavirus vaccine –
The husband of an Oxford University Press executive who died of a blood clot after she received the AstraZeneca vaccine has demanded that the Government compensate families who lost loved ones.
Nicola Weideling suffered catastrophic bleeds on her brain after being hospitalised with blood clots caused by the vaccination, which she received 24 days before she died.
The 45-year-old had complained to her GP about neck pain but was not diagnosed with vaccine side effects until she was taken to hospital with several other symptoms of blood clots.
Speaking after his wife’s inquest at Hampshire Coroners Court in Winchester, Kurt Weideling said the Government now needed to follow through on its promise to pay affected families £120,000 under the Vaccine Damage Payment programme.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/widower-whose-wife-died-blood-184336709.html
post-mortem showed Mrs Weideling died on May 15, 2021, after suffering a stroke caused by Vaccine-Induced Immune Thrombotic Thrombocytopenia, otherwise known as blood clots caused by a vaccine.
Jason Pegg, the area coroner for Hampshire, said: “With the benefit of hindsight, it seems to me that the symptoms of pain in Nicola’s neck were more likely than not to be associated with [blood clots].
“Nicola was somebody who did succumb to blood clots. Nicola developed cerebral blood clots in consequence to her Covid-19 vaccination. A rare but recognised complication of the vaccination which led to a cerebral infarction [stroke].”
A government spokesman said: “Every death is a tragedy, and our sympathies go out to Nicola’s family.
See Fast Eddie…VERY RARE…what is YOUR PROBLEM, BRO?
I have been seeing this report hailed as “great news for consumers”.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/19/most-medical-debt-will-be-wiped-from-consumer-credit-reports.html
To be clear they are not wiping out debt, they are just clearing that debt from credit reports so people will be able to borrow more. Twisted $#IT!
In some cases, auto insurance and homeowners insurance rates take into account credit ratings. The general idea is that if a person doesn’t pay his bills on a timely basis, he may be inclined to report questionable claims to insurance companies as well. (File for damages on to a car that was already damaged, before the car was insured, for example.)
Getting rid of the medical debt in the credit reports would seem to help keep the rates down for these people, when it comes to purchasing auto and homeowners insurance.
Nature makes predators to prevent overshoot. This the story of evolution. But America hates — hates — evolution. Nature infuses male animals from crabs to humans with more testosterone than the females in order to make them fight for access to females. It causes different species and subspecies to compete for access to resources, and rewards the losers with death and extinction. In addition to this, there are natural calamities such as comets striking the earth and extinguishing vast percentages of life on our planet, catastrophes which take millions of years to recover from.
Life is tough. And it is even tougher if you’re stupid. In particular, if you’re more stupid than your competitor. That is the rule Nature follows to increase intelligence and/or ecological adaptability in various species. It is what led to the rise of homo sapiens. And ignoring it may shortly lead to its extinction.
These rigid laws are not “accidental.” They are the expression of a divine —yes, divine — Intelligence behind the creation and evolution of the cosmos. Snippets and tiny glimpses of this Intelligence are seen in what in common discourse is mistakenly called the “paranormal”. In fact, the Intelligence is not “para” (Greek παρά “from the side of, from; by the side of, at the house of”), but fully “normal,” even though we homines sapientes can perceive only the tiniest part of its effects and manifestations. The absurd claims of the official organized religions, with their anthropomorphic portrayals and political accommodations, to know the nature of this Intelligence are the ultimate in fake news, no matter how much those organizations have contributed to the rise of civilization. Understanding reality is verboten to most people, whether religionists or scientists. The latter are socially and economically constrained by their various niches from admitting what even they themselves sometimes witness in person. The religionists feel compelled to interpret everything they do not understand as the work of some monstrous dark force or, in the case of a beneficial “miracle,” as proof of their preconceptions.
In the last century or so, we have had two major World Wars and other warnings from Nature. They amounted to an attempt by her to re-impose her ecological-evolutionary plan on the planet, but were frustrated by the Anglosphere and its self-delusory megalomania. In consequence, the Third World has exploded in size and voracity; and stupidity is on the march in the West in the name of transcendent virtue. The Occident has ignored the warnings of its own true prophets, presented in publications such as The Limits to Growth and The Collapse of Complex Societies, among many other means. Mother does not admonish by way of official texts written in American English for barely literate TV-hypnotizees, but through deeds and facts of insuperable power.
She is now presenting us with what may be her final warning: the American proxy war against Russia in Ukraine. The Dr. Strangeloves in the U.S. DeepState meanwhile convince themselves that they are “on the right side of history,” “saving civilization,” “spreading democracy,” “protecting the world,” blah, blah, blah. Meanwhile about a third of the American populace has now told Pew Research that it is willing to risk a third World War (the first two were not enough) to “save” Ukraine. The lemmings were urged to adopt that attitude by the America Ministry of Propaganda which runs the nightly hypnosis programs. Moreover, various and sundry Congresspeople are now joining in the suicidal feeding frenzy. The subconscious fantasy is, “We defeated Mother in the last two big wars, so we can do it again.”
But they do not have the faintest idea of whom they are dealing with.
It always amazes me to see the canine detectives at work at various customs’ mail centres/borders/airports. What they can detect with their trained nose should be instructive to all of us.
Just as there are animals able to perceive a bewildering array of indications that we have no way of comprehending, there are countless other ‘forces/waves/noises/vibrations that we are completely ignorant of.
We should be far more humble; science is merely the newest half-informed craze. It too will pass.
If you allow me, personalizing an abstraction can only lead to misunderstandings.
Nature is a blind and impersonal force, devoid of will or intentions, and occupied solely with the capture and dissipation of energy. It has no plans for any species, least of all the human one, as you seem to suggest by saying that it has been giving us “warnings”.
But this of course is just the opinion of a convinced atheist.
“Life is tough. And it is even tougher if you’re stupid. In particular, if you’re more stupid than your competitor. That is the rule Nature follows to increase intelligence and/or ecological adaptability in various species. ”
I disagree. All nature cares about is passing down genes to the next generation. Seems like there is a sweet spot..intelligent but not too intelligent..
Take belief in fictions..all humans have naturally evolved to believe in fairy tales (religions). This is not very intelligent, but it allows more than 500 humans to cooperate to the increased survival of the group. Thus more of the group passes along their genes to the next generation. Nature has selected for less intelligent behavior to accomplish the goal of reproduction.
Intelligence is of no use if there isn’t an associated increase in survival instinct.
However; “smart” primates gonna primate and rather focus on their perceived prestige and status within the herd. I.e. parroting the narrative.
Deep down … most people want this to end.
Recall Colonel Kurtz had no moral compass either — he’d immersed himself in The Horror — trying to outdo the enemy with increasingly more vile acts — he hung bodies from trees as a warning to the VC that there were no limits to the atrocities he was willing to commit (he favoured nuking Vietnam)…. and the VC were afraid of him….
He too was diseased of mind having contracting malaria… and he accepted that it was best for all if he were to be … exterminated…
Kurtz welcomed his assassin … the errand boy … all he asked was to be put down like a soldier… like a warrior…
Here we differ… we have 8B MOREONS… who have no understanding of any sort of code of honour… they have Facebook – and twerking…
They will not go down with honour — rather they will be exterminated pig by pig… having injected the experiment into their bodies… and fostering the creation of a monstrous illness… which will leave them gasping for air and burning with fever… and they will go out … with barely a whimper.
If you were able to force a CovIDIOT to watch this — it would lose it’s mind:
https://pathologie-konferenz.de/en/
Is this possible. The universe may have galactic, stellar and planetary cycles that keep audacity monkeys in check.
Don’t look up!
https://www.bitchute.com/video/4BBxBEBT8ceV/
the Earth seems to have a 27 million year extinction cycle.
no big deal.
I’m not extinct tonight, baby.
2022 is getting crazier.
wooooooo!!!!!!!
Fake War
Real War https://heavy.com/news/2013/05/syria-war-photos-pictures-graphic/
https://heavy.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/1635160331.jpg
https://heavy.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/1492595571.jpg
Where’s war, there’s blood. No blood, no killing. That simple.
Maybe The Universe has a ‘U’CEP built in, at the stellar level.
It explains how all those fossil fuel reserves renew within a longer term cyclical system.
It explores regular extinction level events and continental geophysical tectonics and why there is glass on the moon.
For those who Love ‘irrevocable chaos’ or embrace the extrinsic possibilities of inevitable change this makes sense.
Highly entertaining and thought provoking. Decouple from the usual doom and gloom quaint and average conspiracy theory and be consumed by some truly mind altering heavy logic and reality breaking over stimulus.
Nuclear option irrelevant.
Omicrons irrelevant
War irrelevant
Energy crisis irrelevant
Moon conspiracies irrelevant
Politics irrelevant.
Totalitarianism irrelevant.
Your opinion irrelevant
Stellar and Planetary dynamic science and physics relevant.
Often I dream of this happening.
Ahhhh So refreshing!
EnjoyoroyojnE
https://www.bitchute.com/video/4BBxBEBT8ceV/
10:15 — strange deposits in the brain – never seen anything like this before (this explains why norm cannot answer the various questions … )
https://pathologie-konferenz.de/en/
Answering the obvious questions seems difficult for most of us.
Just Stop Oil
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FOFJbVoXoAIItub?format=jpg&name=large
hahahahaha… And there are those who asks why Fast Eddy is thrilled about extinction.
Maybe it is because you are a total failure as a person, and the only way that you can make yourself feel better about yourself is by casting others as total failures?
Do you think that there might be some truth in that?
‘Growl’.
Hahahahaha…
Seriously though … do you not see Fast Eddy as some sort of Übermensch/John Galt? (your probably do hence your attack on him….)
Consider a world where everyone aspired to be Fast Eddy …
Recall the morbidly obese slob begging to be allowed to remain in NZ — to run up obese medical bills … because she is unwilling to pursue excellence… she prefers to make excuses and dump her failure on everyone else and have them subsidize her sloth…
Rather than have respect for herself and consider not shoving half a tonne of garbage in her cart at the super market — maybe a bit of … control… but nope — don’t tell me what to do — if I want to have KFC for dinner (when I could steam some veg)… followed by a large sack of crisps — then f789 you – I will do it. And I will absolutely not accept the blame when I am hospitalized with diabetes and high BP — I demand the best treatment – for free. Yes I do. Now f789 off Mr Galt.
Shifting over to a just society — everyone moans and complains about politicians — yet they feed themselves a steady diet of MSM garbage. They question nothing. All they care about is how many Likes they have .. and watching influencers… their brains have turned to mush .. they are Hyper Moreons…
Now imagine if they followed in the shoes of the Great Fast Eddy and said – f789 this BS – and smashed the Tv…. and instead picked up books (and I don’t mean Danielle Steele)… oh no — too hard – too boring … prefer to practice me twerkin….
I could go on … but why bother… Fast Eddy is a failure…. and you are correct about that.
HE is a complete failure … civilization is diametrically opposed to what Fast Eddy represents.
Civilization is a diseased obese self-obsessed heap of losers… unable to think .. unable to reason .. yet bleating on about how f789ing brilliant they are….
Fast Eddy is not disgusted by Fast Eddy – HE is disgusted by this ocean of sewage… by the MOREONS who bob around on the surface…
Come a little closer .. a little closer… I have something to say … what’s your name? Mirror… ah.. that’s a nice name .. Mirror … stop struggling or I’ll have to knock you out … that’s better:
https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-miY1IUAAk3g/UfIezC5m5JI/AAAAAAAAAys/G1dKXool9jk/s1600/funny-man-head-in-toilet-planking.jpg
Incinerate the MOREONS. Poison them. Infect them. Nuke them.
All of the above.
For they are vile and dangerous – they are more destructive than cancer. And they need to be exterminated.
It is your life that is a fakery in virtual, not the special operation in Ukraine. By the sound of it, you consider yourself to be unworthy of life. You are projecting your damaged sense of self onto the world. I am not sure that anything can do done about that.
why bother making a value judgement about this person who is only one miniscule part of the temporary universe?
I gave him the opportunity to keep his distance.
Apart from that, that is what value judgements are for – telling people to their face. LOL
I didn’t expect you to understand that. hahahahahahaha
See the MOREONS lash out … exactly why Fast Eddy is so pleased with the state of things…
The MOREONS will soon be dead… keep on squealing you stooopid MOREONS hahahahaha…
Your mothers should have drown you at birth
Alas – it won’t be too much longer….
“By the sound of it, you consider yourself to be unworthy of life. You are projecting your damaged sense of self onto the world.”
Horse before the cart. Non Causa Pro Causa. Retroductive “reasoning”.
What is FE if not the “product” of this world?
Wanting its destruction is exactly what the world is busy with, by the mechanism of egotistical fantasy and projections of the rapacious primate Will to Power for preserving the “fantasy” – mainly by unfair advantage and exploitation of their brethren.
The very kind of Nietzsche übermensch tropes, hopes and copes you’re perpetuating.
But don’t worry. The show will go on. It’s just that nature won’t care much about imaginary conjecture, psychological drama and rationalizations.
On the contrary it is absolutely concerned with the measurable output of embodiments of the evolutionary process as fitness to the environment.
If the environment is collapsing, it of course entirely rational to wish the destruction of those embodiments that is the cause of the destruction including oneself.
Failure as a species.
And what is the cause of destruction if not the very rapacious primate psychological machinations giving expression to egotistical fantasy. I.e. precious snowflake syndrome (PSS), narcissism, elitism and lame “eugenics” programs seeking “diversity” as the only metric of the fitness of a civilization, etc.
I find it strange that there is anyone alive who does not hold the position that humans need to be exterminated…
That does not necessarily imply that one desires death … but on a philosophical level surely the only valid position is … Death to All Humans.
The sums things up perfectly – the woman has no response….
https://youtu.be/rcx-nf3kH_M
There is a lot of reality here, how much of it can you take? That’s the question really.
We all have a shadow side. Many temporary ways to cope with the pain of conscious awareness of suffering.
When the world is in upheaval.. and that indeed is what is our reality at every level now is. That upheaval is on every level, physical ( health), social, economic, psychological, spiritual.
In this environment of continuous challenge and stress even meditation is a coping mechanism in many ways.
However meditation as a spiritual practice leads to the possibility of ending that suffering, but only for the one practicing and like a bubble, only when practicing, if you break a hedge a serpent bites.
Dealing with others suffering, particularly those we love or are responsible for can become unbearable, that’s where I take a hit anyway.
I don’t believe expressing ill will helps, but I would be lying if I denied I too feel it intensely to wards others at times particularly when it appears totally justified.
Yes when the mind jumps to conclusions we jump with that impulse and get swept away. Wisdom doesn’t jump! It has suffusive steady qualities. Mindfulness starts with the body, being in the body, like an anchor. Then this insight is something to work on, and practice with not indulge the opposites, hate greed delusion. Rampant thought can be a near enemy Meditative investigative thought liberating. In many ways we create the world and at every level, but particularly with our mind. we must take responsibility for our part in it., after all we are the part of the universe that thinks and feels whatever our experience of this reality is, it is impossible not to and important therefore to learn to deal with pain, not just physical pain.
Bobby i appreciate your comments very much.
“important therefore to learn to deal with pain, not just physical pain.”
Its been my experience there comes a time when the pain wins. Given enough pain you become something other than what you are now. Your action become blind only seeking the end of the pain. This is perhaps a misperception on my part. I would like to believe that we are always responsible for our actions what we create and what we become but i have doubts. Perhaps I am weak?
I was in a third world country once a a grown man started beating a child in front of me. He was hitting and kicking him as hard as he could. I could hear the thud of the blows. I did not think. Tactics were not in my mind. All i knew is it had to stop. I smashed into the man with my shoulder creating distance between him and the child. Then there was a awkward moment as al of a sudden we, two humans, strangers regarded each other.. I hadnt planned this as one of my days events. I could of had a knife slipped in y ribs in a heartbeat. Nor had the man planned a interaction with a foreigner. It ended there with just a little more drama. If you experience suffering you will act in my experience. One would hope that there is skill and grace but that is not always the case. We somtimes return to our essence. We might like it to be this or that but to some extent it is what it is. I might want myself to be sophisticated and tactical but even as a old man i am quite childlike. I think preparing for pain is good. In me the example of one i dont know how much skill can be cultivated that will temper essence and reactivity.
Pathology of vaccine deaths and vaccine injuries
After the evidence now first proof
Prof. Dr. Arne Burkhardt, March 11, 2022
https://pathologie-konferenz.de/en/
Anniversary Interview with Drs. Geert Vanden Bossche & Peter McCullough
https://covexit.com/anniversary-interview/
Excellent – that’s up after I pile some wood then finish this https://pathologie-konferenz.de/en/
hahahhaa
British cyclist John Paul – known as JP – has died suddenly at the age of 28. He was world junior sprint champion in 2011 and represented Scotland at the Commonwealth Games in 2014. His club – Glasgow Track Racing Club – called him “a truly remarkable man, with a love and passion for the sport that he used to help those around him.”
https://www.eurosport.com/cycling-track/scottish-cyclist-john-paul-dies-aged-28_sto8836137/story.shtml
Looks as if our furry friends will have BAU ending the first….
Government data shows more than 100,000 people have left Hong Kong already this year
in part because residents have become increasingly frustrated with the city’s zero-covid policy.
[Eva Sit, Hong Kong Dog Rescue]
“Whether they are local people who are going to start their new life in somewhere else, or they are expats who have to go back to their hometown, or be relocated to somewhere else.”
Because of Hong Kong’s tough quarantine requirements, airlines have cut the number of flights to and from the city,
leaving people hoping to fly with their pets with fewer options, longer waiting lists and costs of up to tens of thousands of dollars.
Many have either chosen to or been forced to abandon their pets.
Shelters are overwhelmed.
This dog shelter alone is taking in double the amount of dogs a month and is running out of space.
Pet Export Vet – a pet travel agency – said it received three to four times more inquiries in the past two to three months
and has temporarily stopped accepting bookings.
Hong Kong had a net outflow of more than 71,000 people in February and 40,000 people so far in March.
What’s not known, is how many intend to return.
….https://news.yahoo.com/pets-left-behind-owners-flee-140649126.html
Many will end up on the barbiecue
Horror graph shows ‘Omicron2’ ripping through Europe – calls for new restrictions
EXPERTS have warned that another wave of Omicron, which has been dubbed “Omicron2” as it is associated with a new lineage of the virus called BA2, is ripping through Europe just as restrictions have eased.
BA2 has been described as a “stealth” variant as it has genetic mutations that might make it harder to differentiate it from the delta variant using PCR tests, compared to BA.1, the original sublineage.
Ms Gasperowicz, who is from Canada, warned her country is poised to follow the trend emerging in Europe.
She wrote: “Since two years Europe is Canada’s crystal ball.
“Removing protections now will cause deaths, sickness and disabilities of many more Canadians.
” And no, not only ‘vulnerable’ are at risk.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/science/1582952/covid-restrictions-horror-graph-omicron2-europe-ba2-variant
hahahaha…
I thought Israel was the crystal ball — they keep breaking covid records despite leading the world in boosters hahaha… time for #5!!!
University = training ground for Hyper MOREONS https://t.me/VigilantFox/3450
Nuke everything….
Geert Vanden Bossche is the look out on the Titanic… he raises his binoculars and he sees a towering berg in the distance…
He calls the bridge and informs them that the ship needs to change course….
The bridge acknowledges him … and the captain continues dead ahead… and calls the engine room and asks for more coal to be tossed into the boiler..
Bossche continues his watch … the berg is now a couple of km ahead – pings the bridge again… change course
Captain steers directly for the berg — and orders full speed ahead…
Bossche screams into the intercom – urgent change course — reduce speed — we are going to crash into the berg!!!
Captain calmly holds the wheel dead ahead — calls for additional coal and keeps the throttle wide open.
This is good watching http://www.moreonsunhinge.com
https://t.me/VigilantFox/3442
In case people did not connect the dots …
The Ukraine ‘war’ is cover for…
THE OIL LOCKDOWNS ARE COMING!
“The IEA’s plan to curtail oil demand includes lower speed limits for cars, urging people to work from home, placing occasional limits on car access to city centers, making public transport cheaper, encouraging carpooling, and greater use of high-speed rail and virtual meetings instead of air travel.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-18/iea-says-world-could-ease-russia-oil-crisis-by-restricting-cars
We saw gas prices rip higher pre Ukraine … we know that OPEC cannot pump more – nor can the shale people…. the Elders cannot tell the truth — we are running out of energy — we need you to stop all but essential burns… and turn down the heat and take cold showers.
That damned Putin exclaim the MOREONS – it’s all his fault — but we will do it without complaining cuz we are good MOREONS and we do this in support of those poor Nazi’s in Ukraine.
This is really an excellent article by Tom Luongo as he ask the question is: “Putin: Destined to Hang or Drown?” It explores the idea that those pulling the strings know full well a total systematic collapse is inevitable and that TPTB are using WWIII as an excuse, which they hope involves Nukes to shield them from the damage they have done to the system over the decades.
https://tomluongo.me/2022/03/18/putin-destined-to-hang-or-drown/
Putin is on board with the Injections … therefore he is in on the CEP.
He’s willing to play the role of villain — he’s willing to make War Lite with Ukraine (all for show)…
As we wait on devil covid — and the Final Solution.
I do hope the nukes are included in the CEP… that would be the 5th horseman of the Apocalypse hahahaha Spent fuel ponds will be the 6th…
This should be the take of every OFW-er too. Those been around here for a while know that depletion has consequences, we’re seeing them now.
Hahaha… WTF? Does she not know about the Big Hog Plough Team — if she joins she gets immediate PP
A dying South African man is on ‘borrowed time’ as his family hopes to secure New Zealand residency before his death – but Immigration NZ says his wife is morbidly obese, and the family cannot stay.
In addition to their jobs, Immigration also took issue with Petro’s “severe morbid obesity” and “poorly controlled diabetes and hypertension”. According to Immigration she would likely become a burden on the New Zealand healthcare system, costing more than the threshold of $41,000.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300522803/family-with-dying-dad-has-residency-rejected-because-mum-is-too-overweight-for-nz
WTF is WRONG with these people – look at them — a family of hogs – who will breed more and more and more hogs… we already have enough hogs without importing more hogs…
Where is the self control? Instead of moaning about being tossed out why didnt the big beasts instead recognize that they are disgusting slobs — and DO something about it?
Because they are MOREONS they will claim – but we barely eat anything – it runs in the family – nothing we can do – we’re not really that fat — as they stuff a leg of KFC into the maw.
Maybe… just maybe…. when you are about to get deported cuz you are so disgustingly f789ing fat… you might …. ya know like you might…make an appointment with a dietician and fix your shit.
Instead of giving me this sickening moan… and asking me to pay of the mega f789ing medical bills that I am gonna be paying for with my tax dollars … so we can keep your beached whale arse … in Nz
You watch – next week we’ll see a follow up on this — compassionate donkey face has allowed these hogs to stay in the country.
This is a symptom of how thoroughly f789ed NZ is…. and how thoroughly f789ed most people here are. Where is John Galt when you need him. We have Fast Eddy – but HE doesn’t get involved in this trivial BS – HE is more a Big Picture Messiah
Gail, what do you think of this analysis, in particular the breakeven price chart? https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/canadian-oil-sands-buried-treasures-11647601381
For those of us without a subscription can you tell us the breakeven numbers?
It seems very low and optimistic. The chart is hard to read with great accuracy because it jumps in magnitudes of 15 or so but it looks like:
Russia $43
Canada $37
Brazil $27
USA $27
UAE, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and Kuwait all under 30
The article is very strange, claiming that now is the time for oil sands to shine and save the day
Breakeven prices don’t really tell a person what you want to know.
The WSJ article starts by talking about the big part of the expenses being upfront. The breakeven expenses are just the expenses needed to keep the system going, after the big upfront expenses have been already been paid.
If a company is going to continue to extract oil, a company needs to keep preparing new fields addition to keeping the existing ones operating. Breakeven won’t include anything for new fields.
To the extent that a company has debt, the company needs to repay the debt with interest. Presumably the debt payments and the interest on the debt is considered, but we don’t know for certain. If the debt is “general debt,” not associated with this particular field, it may very well be ignored.
An oil company needs to pay dividends to shareholders. It is highly unlikely that these would be considered in the breakeven.
Governments need a very generous part of the total revenue from oil field as taxes. Partly this tax revenue is needed for the for the infrastructure needed to support the system (refineries, oil pipelines, roads, advanced education to support oil extraction). Often, especially for oil exporters, tax revenue is used for more general purposes, such as food subsidies and jobs programs. Payments to governments most likely would not be considered in the breakeven, especially if they depend on the amount of total revenue.
Companies like to say that they only need a price of $xx to keep operating, but this is to keep operating on a declining basis, for a fairly short period. Company overhead would likely overwhelm the system fairly quickly, if it were to try to manage on this low revenue, for more than a short time.
What we really want to know is how high the oil price needs to be, so that oil extraction can continue to rise. This would be a much higher number.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1504259371059978243.html
There is all this clamouring of the US dollar not being the reserve currency but I’m afraid to say it still is and will get even even stronger in the near future. 0FW people start screaming the end is near way way way too early go back and look at past comments three years ago people were saying six months that’s all we have left . The theories on OFW correct but they may be farther off then you can imagine.
Sam, we are w here to discuss. We are harping on certain things you know very well we are harping it here. Why do you keep on harping on what we are harping?
CTG do you read what you type? What you wrote makes no sense…..Dude!
My point is that certain prognostications of chicken littles that omg we have 3 months to live! We are all going to die….! Is like the bit$h in airplane screaming that the plane is going to crash…..and everyone is in line to slap her. Yes we know where we are heading but it’s not going to happen immediately.
🥱
Sam… you’ve seen what happened to dunc… you’ve seen how norm and mike invited endless abuse and mockery upon themselves ….
Is this the sort of life you want for yourself on OFW? norm — perhaps you can have a word with Sam in private….
Look fat eddy I am not afraid of you…..why don’t you go play with your trust fund and do something different for a change. Anyone that would willing move to New Zealand is an moron. How are those lock downs treating you Fat boy……..
Should I start trolling you fat eddy?
Where is my trust fund? My mommy and daddy didn’t give me one…… I know all bout you boy….Haaaaaaaaaaaaaa
Haaaaaaaa!
Made perfect sense to me. He gave you a honest reply.
Sam you are like the little engine that couldnt. You chants reflect your uncertainty.
Hey man i dont like it eithor. not one bit.
Its occuring. I see it real world real time.
Buyer seller A: Hey I need $10 for that now.
Buyer seller B: That means I have to sell at $13 and they wont
pay that I asked
Buyer seller A; Sorry man
Buyer seller B; Sorry man
No one wants to get left with the bag of a unsalable for profit item.
The other thing is that dollar now gets to become like any other currency- no longer universal.
Buyer ; Ok ill take it but I can only paY in nubian rupees I got in a deal.
Seller : and WTF am i supposed to do with those?
buyer; sorry man
seller; sorry man
Doubt. Doubt in a currency. Hold it to flip. The faster it depreciates the less time you can hold. The more doubt the less value. The less you can hold it the more the doubt. feedback loop.
The dollar doesnt become worthless. It just has much less value. trades dont happen as the free market efficiency is hindered.
In some ways the Euro might do better. It is accepted across a wider swath of trading partners. Producing countries might do a little better
Theres no going back. The world has changed. They killed the dollar with the sanctions. Putins plan? On purpouse? who knows.
True love!
No argument, but the purchasing power is going to hell, Intel processor up 50%, Asus bord up 33%, 2x4x8 now $9, used semi tractors up 36%. Did someone say there is a driver shortage?
I’d say it is correction to price tech accordingly and shovel profits their way.
The world’s biggest commodities markets are starting to seize up
It’s getting harder to deal in some of the world’s most important commodities as everything from geopolitical turmoil to exchange snafus prompt traders to rush for the exits, rapidly draining liquidity.
Prices of materials like crude, gas, wheat and metals have become alarmingly erratic as a gulf emerges between buyers and sellers who are facing big financing strains. Markets have been roiled on fears about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine constraining commodities flows, though in many cases rallies were quickly followed by a drop in prices.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/the-world-s-biggest-commodities-markets-are-starting-to-seize-up-1.1739683
Blame everything on Putin – and his fake invasion of Ukraine…
What’s the point of fighting a real war when there is no point in doing so? BAU is failing … it is no longer viable…. the only war you fight now is one that covers up the fact that BAU is failing … and you are in the critical stage of trying to keep it alive long enough to exterminate the humans.
I can see that many will reject this hypothesis — nobody wants to acknowledge that extinction is imminent. People are biased towards survival.
A few weeks ago, I had planned to buy some door hardware which had been priced at $114. Went back to the site last week and it was $150. Couldn’t believe my eyes.
Wow – that is insane
Dowd is correct – controlled demolition https://t.me/DowdEdward/153
The situation is increasingly — unfeasible. The Centre cannot hold much longer
Meanwhile we are fighting a ‘war’ for what exactly?
And why does Putin continue to supply energy to the Nazi’s in Ukraine? Enquiring Minds wanna know…. it would be so to just — turn the wheel…
Let’s visualize this because the MOREONS seem to not grasp how easy it would be to shut off the gas supply to Europe and western Ukeles where the Nazis live…
https://thumbs.dreamstime.com/z/shut-off-valve-opening-closing-large-metal-tube-safety-valve-shut-off-valve-opening-closing-big-metal-107568125.jpg
Some prices here haven’t moved literally in years, though: butane gas cannisters, paraffin, candles.
They will no doubt go up dramatically when existing imported stocks run out – that’s if retailers can re-stock at all.
And I’m getting 25% off top-quality painting materials, delivered free – so I suppose I can go into that Dark Night quietly painting away happily, like a monastery scribe just before the terminal Viking raid….
Tanks in the age of drones. Classy, let it get off the road and ‘hide’ in the trees first, so as not to make a mess of the road.
So much for underground weapons depots. Of course, in the age of satellite, Russia can sit back, let the Ukrainians gather together NATO arms into a depot, and then blast it from 1000 K away.
watch 30 seconds of this
https://youtu.be/Cin_yjpP4L0?t=22
‘The Russian special operation in Ukraine (not war or invasion) is entirely pretended!’
Are you even sane? Or perhaps it is some party banter?
It is best not to be too insistent or the ‘joke’ becomes annoying – unless you are too drunk to realise that.
In which case your invitation is liable to be revoked.
And not before time!
Not entirely – there are a few real explosions and stuff for the photo shoots…
Did you watch the first 30 seconds of that clip? Looks real to me.
You do know that Ukraine has declared the pilot featured in Ghosts of Kiev a national hero? Yep he shot down 10 Russian fighters. Only he does not exist. And the video used to depict his heroic acts… came from a video game… Nobody initially questioned this – because it looks perfectly real – but I guess a video game fanatic realized it came from a video game…
Check it out https://youtu.be/oPnpfOKfEUU
Now who is insane?
You are Gail’s responsibility, not mine. Just keep away from me, and I will keep away from you.
Chechen President Ramzan Kadyrov publishes a video of violent clashes in Mariupol
https://twitter.com/maytham956/status/1505306503879798787
“Age-restricted adult content. This content might not be appropriate for people under 18 years old. To view this media, you’ll need to log in to Twitter. Learn more”
I keep getting that message with your posts.
YT seems to be less problematic.
Some soldiers firing weapons at ???? Nobody shooting back…
hahahahahaha
https://im.indiatimes.in/content/2020/Jan/China-Man-m1_5e33be41845fe.jpg
Can anyone explain why Putin – who insists he will unleash the nukes if provoked…
Doesn’t take the less nuclear option — and throttle back on the gas to Europe?
Sitting ducks. That artillery battery got battered!
This looks like fun. ‘Peekaboo, I see you!’
Who is dumb enough to stick out their rear ends when the russkies own the air?
No one owns the air anymore. MANPADS. Russia is launching cruise missles from standoff. THe days where you walk in like Iraq and Libya take the air and ground forces point a laser designator and somthing and it goes bye via JDAM are over. Its a new world. It means war comes back to the lowest commen denominator. Lives. More is better. Quanity not quality. If a $10,000 mass produced weapon can take out a 10 million dollar tank or a 100 million dollar aircraft your better off with more 1 million dollar tanks and 10 million dollar planes.
On the face of it drones would seem to make the rifle squad obsolete. In a real war there wont be remote operated weapons electronic warfare will neutralize them. Its not happening now because no one wants to show their capabilities. When the drones stop working a strategic nuclear exchange ie exterminating the human species will be along shortly. EMPs are a game changer. MANPADS are not remote and they are a game changer. Russia is no doubt deploying MANPAD teams now for when the coin flips and NATO comes in. No one owns the air anymore. It goes back to the ground mano au mano. More humans more tanks more disposable tank weapons wins.
Electronic warfare will be revealed early if drones are widely deployed.
The age of the “no fly zone” is gone.
NATO goes in soon after the meeting on the 24th. There will be a tactical nuclear exchange soon after. It stops at one or two or becomes a full scale “strategic nuclear exchange”. How far whats in the closet gets revealed is a function of how close we are to armegedon. Stupid to reveal capabilities if its not the end.
Both parties are armed A-Z. I dont think we will get past D. Its on. Sooner or later someone decides to get the first punch in. Two parties meet for mutual combat. They are both armed. The second one party starts to lose they pull the equalizer. Two bodies for the morgue. 9 billion bodies in this instance.
I’m thinking gps/glosnass guided artillery shells and tanks flying arrows at schmucks with portable gear slung on their shoulders.
It’s the sensor suites that matters. You can’t carry bulky hires imagers/optics, thermal gear and targeting computers on your shoulder.
Sticking your warmongering rear end out of Kiev is basically “instagib”.
I suppose properly camouflaged tanks doesn’t give off an IR signature when on standby power by a portable power plant placed somewhere in the brush. The crew can probably put the tank in auto-mode, chill out, play some cards and meditate upon to tank or not to tank.
I’m sure the russkies understand not to get within practical range of the portable gear and rather let starvation do it’s “job”.
I won’t speculate upon WW3, tactical nukes and the rest of MIC technowizardry.
Mirror what is your point?! To express what “team” you are pulling for? And if that is the case are you saying one team is right and one team is wrong? Ukraine is posting these same videos of them taking out Russian equipment with the use of American drones and backpack weapons. This war is going to make the u.s rich as it is a big exporter of weapons….the PTB love this and want to drag it on….
I still don’t know if Putin is a puppet or a pawn….he really believes the cov1d lie…..
“And if that is the case are you saying one team is right and one team is wrong?”
What do you mean by ‘right and wrong’?
Does anyone still take that stuff seriously?
‘All life is will to power’, and the rest is window dressing (which is also will to power).
What could ‘right and wrong’ possibly mean in that context, but ‘strong or weak’?
Should we then support the stronger, just because?
Why not?
Or should we support whichever ‘side’ we find ourselves on?
Why bother?
So many questions, and so much liberty with which to answer them.
Or one could just enjoy the spectacle, as one who enjoys the ‘sport’?
Need one take sides to fully enjoy the spectacle?
Must one stick with that side, if it begins to lose?
How best to enjoy the spectacle?
Or should the spectacle be suffered?
What would be the point in that?
Surely it is better to enjoy than to suffer.
So many questions, and so much liberty with which to answer them.
What does it all ‘mean’ (if anything)?
Need it ‘mean’ anything?
Who needs ‘meaning’ these days?
Who would accept any ‘meaning’, were it proposed?
Are we not beyond ‘meaning’?
Meaning is not going to the bottom believing we’ve walked on the moon … seeking truth is the only meaning…
And VIP rooms with the Best Bolivian Blow
I thought U.S. drones were going to finish off Russian’s punched out military as a result of Ukraine’s
brilliant rope-a-dope strategy. Guess not.
I guess nobody shoots back…
Did you see how the Ukeys claimed one of their guys shot down 10 Russian jets — they even had video of one of the air battles… (from a video game)
https://kotaku.com/ghost-kyiv-russia-ukraine-invasion-viral-video-fake-pc-1848598266
Yep – it’s a real war — just like norm’s blow up doll … is a real woman…
The high priced ones are pretty close. Or so I’ve heard.
Do they nag you afterwards about leaving the toilet seat up?
that’s what the mute button on their remote control is for. Or so I’ve heard.
A ‘COVID Army’ will go door-to-door in Perth this weekend, conducting random testing, with fears Omicron is lurking undetected in the community.
https://twitter.com/9NewsPerth/status/1504542340056236032
I think I have mentioned previously what happened with the little old guy and his flunky female partner somehow got past the front gate at the FE Lair in Hong Kong …. then buzzed and buzzed and buzzed the door bell ….
Fast Eddy was in a coma on the sofa following a Big Night at the Clubs… and was rudely awoken by this … opened the door and it’s The Jehovah’s F789 Faces….
Fast Eddy unhinged and threatened to have them arrested for trespassing .. then howled abuse and profanity at them as they meekly inherited the stairwell out the back way…
And they were intent on saving FE’s soul…
Just imagine if NZ were to send Mengele out to test and push the death jab on Fast Eddy…
Just … imagine. (remember that fat f789 in Wellington… ya Fast Eddy remembers him)
Here is the ‘dark forest’ article that I was referring to.
https://medium.com/my-unpopular-opinion/welcome-to-the-dark-forest-era-4fb672a98765
I stopped here:
It doesn’t have to be this way
I’d prefer to pull my front teeth out with plyers rather than read on…
thanks
this article had link to a pie in the sky best case estimate of energy/capita required for “decent living standards” for all in an ideal relatively egalitarian world
Providing decent living with minimum energy: A global scenario
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378020307512
beyond vthe excursion into fantasy this there was a reference to what looks to be an interesting book with a wealth of info:
Energy and Civilization: A History (The MIT Press) 2018 by Vaclav Smil
https://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0262536161/ref=nosim/librarythin06-20
A comprehensive account of how energy has shaped society throughout history, from pre-agricultural foraging societies through today’s fossil fuel–driven civilization.
I think people here are already beyond where Smil is at. None of us need to “grow” the landfill by 664pp.
From the citations I’ve seen of that book, he uses the word “preferred” a lot, as though we were all somehow free to choose more wisely (like halving our life-span.. even Norm isn’t signing up for that).
I am a big fan of the 3 Body Problem book series and the ‘dark forest’ hypothesis. This guy/article is saying we either have a ‘cooperation equilibrium’ or a ‘dark forest’ era. His ‘cooperation equilibrium’ is predicated upon people voluntarily reducing consumption – which we know is not going to happen.
Tragedy of the Commons and Prisoner Dilemma ideas as well as humans’ addictions to fictions/narratives/fairy tales pretty much rule out any ‘cooperation equilibrium’ – so ‘dark forest’ it is..time to sharpen your ax..
deimetri, we could go to a life boat model. Where nations close their borders to conserve what they have. We see this a little bit in Japan and Mexico. It does not need to be a killing of the other simply a shunning, leave them outside our civilization to make their way in their civilization. If their civilization is unlimited breeding and consumption well they get what they deserve.
Sadly nations like NZ and Australia do not take advantage of their ocean position to save themselves.
I guess the question would be how you would protect your life boat? I would envision larger countries that need resources would just take them from those that do..What could Mexico or Canada do if the US decided to take their resources by force? Or Australia/Japan if China so decided? Etc..
The Athenian line: ‘The strong do what they will, and the weak suffer what they must.’
Yes, ones lifeboat should have many nuclear weapons for defense.
Our economy is predicated on “grow or die”. We cannot change overnight.
Koombaya me lord… kooooombaya……
Very interesting interview between Gerald Celente and Colonel Macgregor (USA) re Ukraine. Colonel Macgregor is another retired senior military man full of common sense. If you watch, I would suggest bypassing Gerald talking and just focus on Macgregor.
Interview with General Macgregor: What’s Next In the Ukraine War?
https://youtu.be/NnwRBH5jGvY
Interesting video and *on the topic at hand*, better than Fast Eddy’s never-ending off-topic drumbeat.
A war without war photographers. A war with footage reused from other wars and gas explosions. A war with almost no damage. A war with next to 0 video or photos taken by the millions of cell phone cameras…
A war that could be won in 5 minutes by turning the gas spigot down by 20%.
How easily humans are fooled. Surely this situation should at least make the humans suspicious – given that they are lied to on a daily basis by the MSM.
But nope — the news says — therefore it is.
A new video from Scott Ritter.
Colonel Macgregor and Scott Ritter are singing from the same hymn sheet – common sense.
Scott Ritter joins the conversation just after 58 min
Rick Ackerman – March 13
Considering the size of the crude-oil market and its geopolitical importance, the rally begun two years from $6.50/bbl amidst fears of a Covid-caused Depression ranks as one of the most spectacular and consequential in history. Consumers are coping at the moment with speculative excesses brought on by the curtailment of Russian petrofuels, and by disruptions, real or feared, in the global distribution network for energy. Pump prices have doubled since the pandemic began, piling crushing weight on a U.S. economy that was already close to buckling from steep increases in the cost of nearly everything. How much higher can prices go? The headlines suggest there is no relief in sight. But an end to the cost spiral is surely coming, since the parabolic rallies in many commodities, particularly oil, grains and metals, are too steep to sustain.
When the wilding spree ends and prices fall as precipitously as they have risen, the result will be a deflationary bust that will send the global economy into deepest recession or even Depression. Oil cannot but lead the way down, since its collapse will be exacerbated by the vast swath of the energy patch that has been hocked to financiers in order to propagate growth in derivatives markets that are much larger, even, than the oil sector. I referred to this effect as a ‘double whammy’ in my last commentary, which was titled Inflation’s Last Fling.
Here’s the Trade…
So where might crude’s rally reverse, popping an asset bubble that has been building for more more than three decades? The chart above makes a persuasive case for a bull-market top at $141. That would represent an 8% gain over this month’s so-far peak at 130.50, and a 33% gain over the current $106. The May contract shown may need to correct for a few weeks or longer before the blow-off rally can begin, but there can be little doubt that it will reach a minimum 141.
https://www.rickackerman.com/
hilll,
I have watched, casually read “experts” like this for many years, have yet to see one of these experts with any money. Only thing I have seen work is limiting losses with a specific amount bet, Claude Shannon. Good luck.
Dennis L.
Hi Dennis; no trading in my world. I just like to read the contrarian stuff and ponder the surprises that may be in the cards. Rick’s been peddling Deflation for 30-years at least. His take on an oil-price collapse driving the bus eventually echoes some thoughts over here at OFW.
My favorite of all time is Dave Stockman, former Budget Director with Ronald Reagan…been warning to get out of the Stock Market for over a DECADE at least…
The Casino is still doing very well….sorry DAVE.. eventually youll be correct and you can scold us all by writing I told you so😂
https://t.me/robinmg/17436
You don’t unplug because it is good for you.
Rather you unplug because there is an incompatibility between the two systems. Binary incompatibility and API breakage causes the originating code to reject the ego tripping cognitive dissonance being projected. Nope; I won’t run those bug riddled kludges of software in my metal, I rather roll my own Real-Time operating system and juxtapose some clean implements on top.
THE OIL LOCKDOWNS ARE COMING!
“The IEA’s plan to curtail oil demand includes lower speed limits for cars, urging people to work from home, placing occasional limits on car access to city centers, making public transport cheaper, encouraging carpooling, and greater use of high-speed rail and virtual meetings instead of air travel.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-18/iea-says-world-could-ease-russia-oil-crisis-by-restricting-cars
Um why is that a bad thing?
Fast Eddy gets a burst dopamine and feels euphoric at any sign collapse might be near. Oil lockdowns are wonderful news to FE and I only sense excitement in his post about it. I suspect many who visit here enjoy ‘bad’ news and are chasing the dragon always looking for another hit.
Isn’t that rather bewildering given the rather hard-coded survival instinct of basically all fauna.
Who in their right mind would want irrecoverable chaos? Is existence really _that_ miserable?
I suppose the Rapacious Primate is the only species that get vested in a fantasy to such a degree that the prospect of objective reality interferes with the delusions which eventually causes the desire for immediate extinction, or just plain old depression, substance abuse and suicide.
How about limiting the exposure to egotistic fantasies and attachments that serve no purpose?
But I guess most people reading this blog and comment section is reasonably well grounded in reality to merely play with the idea of various forms of collapse and rebirth.
Worrying and pondering upon finite world issues seem rather healthy from an existential and evolutionary perspective. No?
🤔
There is opportunity in rebirth, look not at what is passing but seek what is to come.
Dennis L.
Instant gratification much?
What’s the problem grinding to the bitter end? Too inconvenienced? Wanna have your effortless ego pampered while people suffer and die all around you?
How about princess commissions the bicycle and starts chucking in the oats instead of living in the fantasy of easing through the bottleneck?
There is something to be learned from the seven stages of grief and suck, not skipping a single one of them.
Evolution is evolution, you can never be sure what it spits out when it reaches ‘code complete’ in this particular incarnation of IC.
Another brilliant comment Kowalainen! A question for you: If BAU were to collapse, what would become of the millions who depend on a regular supply of antidepressants and anxiolytics to maintain a semblance of psychic stability? Petroleum is after all used in the production of a vast range of pharmaceuticals.
Thanks.
I guess they would sober up rather fast and then plunge into the seven stages of grief never to be seen again.
It’ll be plenty of suck enough for the most hardily princes(ses) of IC assuming WW3 and burning nuke ponds could be avoided by some miracle.
I don’t even want to think about that, blissful ignorance isn’t the same as the fantasy of a bunch of weakling “buffoons” (including myself) passing through the “bottleneck” inside some fucking ridiculous bunker only to emerge in a dystopia of death and destruction.
I’m not sure if being “nice” about things will get the job done. I suppose we are so mollycoddled by the egotistic fantasy that it overrides the prospect of a grim reality and becomes priority over truth one Xanax and delusion at a time.
“When the going gets tough, the tough… etc.”
Realistically, who’s gonna keep the shebang operating with minimal functionality through the “bottleneck”, if that is a possibility?
I think starting from “scratch” won’t yield different results, as proven by the ruins and destruction in the past N iterations of history.
But WTF do I know?
Convince me otherwise!
🤔
Who in their right mind would want irrecoverable chaos? Is existence really _that_ miserable?
Hahahahaha…. only a truly enlightened individual would want irrecoverable chaos. Only one who realize and acknowledges that humans are a vile species… an out of control cancer on the planet … a wicked organism that tortures and exterminates other species by the thousands while paving over the world and calling that ‘Progress!!!’
Only a true genius would be able to reach – process – and not be driven insane … by that reality.
Whoever wrote this scene… is a true genius… (maybe Fast Eddy did…)
https://youtu.be/rcx-nf3kH_M
Let’s ask a question:
Given the choice of eliminating all humans at the press of a button right now — would you do so? If not – why not? (feel free to make a complete fool of yourselves by explaining why not).
It was a rhetorical question/statement.
It certainly seem we’re a failure as a species as you insist upon. No?
I merely express the absence of rationality of our species from an existential viewpoint. I think you do too?
However, it is virtually impossible to determine the ultimate output from a vile species such as the rapacious primate.
I guess it traverses in between the hyper MOARons (egotistical fantasy specialists), effortless ego tripping mass consumerists of trite drivel and kitsch, and chilled out schmucks, chucking down a bowl of rice and meditate upon the mystery of it all.
☺️
Agree.
I am torn between a poster child — Justin Bieber? Mylie Cyrus? Kim Kardashian?
Yup spot on!!
YES!
Extinction is the name of the game. Fast Eddy also hopes for the CEP to fail — cuz HE prefers Face Ripping. 8B ‘tearing each other apart’ (quote from Utopia).
Fast Eddy will be popping that popcorn by the tonne and feeding it to the animals as they watch with delight as their former oppressors take to the Coliseum for the Ripping of Faces Grand Tournament….
We’ll be sending in batches of 100,000 at a time at Coliseums across the world where they will fight to the death over a Domino’s pepperoni pizza…. in Spain we’ll have smaller events at the bull fighting arenas… the matador will carry a roast chicken and the Hordes will chase him around the ring until they catch up – stab him with pokers the put a sword through his heart before fighting each other for the chicken…
So much fun for the animals – they deserve a little fun huh?
The Great Catharsis hahahahahahaha
as i’ve said before—i’m left wondering if eddy has a booze problem, based on the coherence of his wordflow here–(not joking btw), that, and the number of comments that get deleted.
You see that I just connected the dots for you — I was anticipating this question.
I have a friend in Europe and she has been flying all around the country in the world for tickets as low as $40. The airlines have to fly to keep their routes
Fly Robin Fly…
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8GMVN63Tzvw
Was that the year 1976?? The Silver Connection..
We gotta keep the aerosols masking in place to keep GW in check
YAYAYAYAYAAYAYA
“Covid cases among over-70s hit highest ever levels” – Office for National Statistics finds around one in 23 in the age group has the virus – a higher prevalence than at the height of the winter Omicron wave
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/03/18/covid-cases-among-over-70s-hit-highest-ever-levels/
I think that is fake news! Everyone I know that has been getting sick with cov1d are getting better immediately and it is not that bad of a sickness. Lies…Lies….Lies…tell me more! The cov1d is done but the wasn’t to keep this dead horse going …..
No one has a cold or flu anymore.. they all say it’s “covid”. I went to a concert today. Although we checked ahead of time and were told that masks weren’t required, they lied. Everyone wore masks, including the singers!!** but the interesting thing I noticed was that nobody coughed at all during the (three-hour) concert. There’s *always* that stray cough here and there, but today, nothing!
This is a solid level-headed analysis of the economic aspect of the war:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZay4Y9ilF8
He isn’t saying anything particularly unique but is a legit econ professor and explains things clearly and without the “public intellectual” spicy rhetoric substituting for actual knowledge.
In other news, weirdos who impute responsibility for their solitude and sadness to neo-mystical Bad Actors human and otherwise, then spend all day posting about these fantasies…. tend to suffer from severe depression in addition to the normal range of health problems associated with such a lifestyle. The reason? MOREONS might say, you’ve already answered that question. But my IQ is among the highest ever recorded, which is why I’ve realised that fossil fuels are non-renewable yet essential to modern industrial production and infrastructure. I’ve also realised that it’s the vax that are causing these problems.
I’m not vaxxed tho, so I’m totally fine and don’t suffer from any of those problems. Which is why I post about not getting the vax all day, either mocking vaxxers who suffer from any illness whatsoever (cuz it’s the vax doing it) or conversely being compassionate towards the poor vaxxed MOREONS who aren’t as clever or lucky as I.
True https://www.bitchute.com/video/3kxtbhbONEgJ/
hahahahaahahaha norm? https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/uk-elderly-double-vaccination-kills/
Depression
Vent
Just really struggling right now. It’s been going on 6 months and I am tired of living in constant pain. Not sure how much longer I can do this.I feel so alone and defeated. Not getting anywhere with doctors or supplements and almost every single test I have taken has come back negative. I have never been so depressed or anxious in my entire life. As soon as my symptoms start going away they come back full force. I think of death and dying on a daily basis. I could use some words of encouragement.
https://www.reddit.com/r/vaccinelonghaulers/comments/thc5qh/depression/
https://youtu.be/Pi-bP3XrcO4
This is a good one hahaha
https://www.reddit.com/r/vaccinelonghaulers/comments/tgqiek/so_i_guess_this_is_my_life_now/
and ‘so i could travel’ hahahahahaahaha good idea!
I got J and J November 2021. I had already had the virus and got poked so I could travel internationally.
J and J is.a sneaky bastard. My symptoms came and went and did have similarities with GERD. My research found J and J effects the vargus nerve. That’s why pepcid helps to heal the irritation to vargus while it suppresses stomach acid.
Also my digestive system is F*cked. I am seeing a functional Doc to create custom probiotics because I lost 30 pounds, and am always eating. My body is not digesting food correctly.
Have you gotten any better??
MOREONS suffering https://www.reddit.com/r/vaccinelonghaulers/comments/tgswbm/cardiac_tests_came_back_clean_but_i_still_live_in/
Veins & discoloration getting worse
Symptoms
For the past few months I have been getting progressively more vascular. First it was just my hands and legs and now it’s everywhere, including my face. Day by day more blue veins show up.
Then, at random times my hands will turn almost purple. That’s been happening for a while, and today I noticed that now up my forearms have started to become discolored and lacy.
Is anybody else getting this? It is POTS related? I’ve been to a vascular specialist and he was completely uninterested.
https://www.reddit.com/r/vaccinelonghaulers/comments/thaqp7/veins_discoloration_getting_worse/
I recall speaking to someone in this village – early in 2021 – who said they would be hanging back on the vaccines, ‘just to see first whether they turned people purple’.
This dire result seems to have been fulfilled in this instance…..
We have an elderly neighbor who I’m sure has been jabbed. A few months ago, her hands were entirely dark purple. They look somewhat better as of last week.
or deep purple?
funny https://www.reddit.com/r/vaccinelonghaulers/
Ukraine’s energy problems before the war:
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2021-10-19/ukraine-energy-problems-eve-heating-season
Thank you, MG, this link was very good information and reveals the soft underbelly of the Ukraine situation as far as energy is concerned.
Seems we all are in tuff times ahead.
Poland to Propose Ukraine Peacekeeping Mission at NATO Summit
Poland will present a proposal to organise a peacekeeping mission in Ukraine at the forthcoming NATO summit and European Council meeting, the government has announced. The idea was put forward by Jarosław Kaczyński, the head of the ruling party, during the visit to Kyiv of the Polish, Czech and Slovenian prime ministers.
https://notesfrompoland.com/2022/03/18/poland-to-call-for-peacekeeping-mission-in-ukraine-at-nato-summit/
I ask immunologists and virologists out there to comment and tell me if I am seeing that data correctly. My interpretation as I am trying to make sense of the UK data. If this is so and this trend continues for the next couple of weeks in UK granular data, we may be witnessing a devastating turn of events where we have damaged the natural INNATE (the first and min line of defense) and this is catastrophic for natural immunity which needs INNATE to FIRST blunt (calm down/temper) the viral load coming at it.
This can also drive a very infectious variant and lethal one and can devastate humanity. The vaccines must be stopped NOW! This vaccine will keep the pandemic ongoing with deadly consequences for us all and our children. I am hoping that government officials and policy decision makers are monitoring this UK data for this is maybe a water-shed moment in what we have done with these ineffective and unsafe vaccines.
https://palexander.substack.com/p/catastrophic-surveillance-report
Here’s hoping! Good that the Potemkin War is distracting the MOREONS… hahahaha
“The vaccines must be stopped NOW!”
no chance.
99% of the sheeple have no idea that these toxic vaccines are producing VAIDS in the triple jabbed.
the excess mortality is there, but too low for the sheeple to pick up on it.
ending the horrrrible global vaccine program would probably require a strong surge in excess deaths.
which is quite possible in the near future.
exciting times!
I wonder whether taking iver mectin as a prophylactic would help vaccinated people from developing bad covid. Obviously if the immune system is crashing then it is not just sars to worry about.
If the vaxx programme was in fact being monitored with a view to ending it at the sign of any danger signals, it would have been stopped in early 2021.
Drug safety thresholds have long since been breached, with absolutely no action to halt vaccination, and we see only renewed and determined intense drives to inject ever more people, multiple times.
That this is being closely monitored we should not doubt.
But it is clearly not with benign intent.
Bossche has to be right … if there was some intent other than Devil Covid then surely one shot would have been the ticket…
Continuing to pump more shit into people is killing and maiming a decent number of them … but that surely is not the end game… as we can see we are getting increasingly more contagious mutations resulting in record hospitalizations and deaths…
At some point we have to hit the Jackpot with this … everything they are doing – everything — points to a conscious attempt to spread covid amongst injected CovIDIOTS… while pushing more injections on the CovIDIOTS.
What other reason can there be for doing so other than a mass cull? (aka extinction).