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Media outlets tend to make it sound as if all our economic problems are temporary problems, related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In fact, world crude oil production has been falling behind needed levels since 2019. This problem, by itself, encourages the world economy to contract in unexpected ways, including in the form of economic lockdowns and aggression between countries. This crude oil shortfall seems likely to become greater in the years ahead, pushing the world economy toward conflict and the elimination of inefficient players.
To me, crude oil production is of particular importance because this form of oil is especially useful. With refining, it can operate tractors used to cultivate crops, and it can operate trucks to bring food to stores to sell. With refining, it can be used to make jet fuel. It can also be refined to make fuel for earth moving equipment used in road building. In recent years, it has become common to publish “all liquids” amounts, which include liquid fuels such as ethanol and natural gas liquids. These fuels have uses when energy density is not important, but they do not operate the heavy machinery needed to maintain today’s economy.
In this post, I provide an overview of the crude oil situation as I see it. In my analysis, I utilize crude oil production data by the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) that has only recently become available for the full year of 2021. In some exhibits, I also make estimates for the first quarter of 2022 based on preliminary information for this period.
[1] World crude oil production grew marginally in 2021.
Crude oil production for the year 2021 was a disappointment for those hoping that production would rapidly bounce back to at least the 2019 level. World crude oil production increased by 1.4% in 2021, to 77.0 million barrels per day, after a decrease of -7.5% in 2020. If we look back, we can see that the highest year of crude oil production was in 2018, not 2019. Oil production in 2021 was still 5.9 million barrels per day below the 2018 level.
With respect to the overall increase in crude oil production of 1.4% in 2021, OPEC helped bring this average up with an increase of 3.0% in 2021. Russia also helped, with an increase of 2.5%. The United States helped pull the world crude increase down, with a decrease in production of -1.1% in 2021. In Section [5], more information will be provided with respect to crude production for these groupings.
[2] The growth in world crude oil production shows an amazingly steady relationship to the growth in world population since 1991. The major exception is the decrease in consumption that took place in 2020, with the lockdowns that changed consumption patterns.
Figure 2 indicates that, up through 2018, each person in the world consumed an average of around 4.0 barrels of crude oil. This equates to 168 US gallons or 636 liters of crude per year. Much of this crude is used by businesses and governments to produce the basic goods we expect from our economy, including food and roads.
A big downshift occurred in 2020 with the COVID lockdowns. Many people began working from home; international travel was scaled back. The reduction of these uses of oil helped bring down total world usage. Changes such as these explain the big dip in crude oil production (and consumption) in 2020, which continued into 2021.
Even in 2019, the world economy was starting to scale back. Beginning in early 2018, China banned the importation of many types of materials for recycling, and other countries soon followed suit. As a result, less oil was used for transporting materials across the ocean for recycling. (Subsidies for recycling were helping to pay for this oil.) Loss of recycling and other cutbacks (especially in China and India) led to fewer people in these countries being able to afford automobiles and smartphones. Lower production of these devices contributed to the lower use of crude oil.
On Figure 2, there is a slight year-to-year variation in crude oil per capita. The single highest year over the time period shown is 2005, with 2004 not far behind. This was about the time many people think that conventional oil production “peaked,” reducing the availability of inexpensive-to-produce oil.
[3] Crude oil prices dropped dramatically when economies were shut in, beginning in March 2020. Prices began spiking the summer and fall of 2021, as the world economy attempted to open up. This pattern suggests that the real problem is tight crude oil supply when the economy is not artificially constrained by COVID restrictions.
An analysis of price trends suggests that most of the recent spike in crude prices is due to the tightness of the crude oil supply, rather than the Ukraine conflict. The Brent oil price dropped to an average of $14.24 in the week ending April 24, 2020, not long after COVID restrictions were enacted. When the economy started to reopen, in the week ending July 2, 2021, the average price rose to $76.26. By the week ending January 28, 2022, the average price had risen to $90.22.
Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. The Brent spot price on February 23, 2022, was $99.29. Brent prices briefly spiked higher, with weekly average prices rising as high as $123.60, for the week ending March 25, 2022. The current Brent oil price is about $107. If we compare the current price to the price the day before the invasion began, the price is only $8 higher. Even compared to the January 28 weekly average of $90.22, the current price is $17 higher.
Saying that the Ukraine invasion is causing the current high price is mostly a convenient excuse, suggesting that the high prices will suddenly disappear if this conflict disappears. The sad truth is that depletion is causing the cost of extraction to rise. Governments of oil exporting countries also need high prices to enable high taxes on exported oil. We are increasingly experiencing a conflict between the prices that the customers can afford and the prices that those doing the extraction require. In my view, most oil exporting countries need a price in excess of $120 per barrel to meet all of their needs, including reinvestment and taxes. Consumers would prefer oil prices under $50 per barrel to keep the price of food and transportation low.
[4] Food prices tend to rise when oil prices are high because products made from crude oil are used in the production and transport of food.
History shows that bad things tend to happen when food prices are very high, including riots by unhappy citizens. This is a major reason that high oil prices tend to lead to conflict.
[5] Quarterly crude oil data suggests that few opportunities exist to raise crude oil production to the level needed for the world economy to operate at the level it operated at in 2018 or 2019.
Figure 5 shows quarterly world crude oil production broken down into four groupings: OPEC, US, Russia, and “All Other.”
Figure 5 shows four very different patterns of past growth in crude oil supply. The All Other grouping is generally trending a bit downward in terms of quantity supplied. If world per capita crude oil production is to stay at least level, the total production of the other three groupings (OPEC, US, and Russia) needs to be rising to offset this decline. In fact, it needs to rise enough that overall crude production growth keeps up with population growth.
Russian Crude Oil Production
The data underlying Figure 5 shows that up until the COVID restrictions, Russia’s crude oil production was increasing by 1.4% per year between early 2005 and early 2020. During the same period, world population was increasing by about 1.2%. Thus, Russia’s oil production has been part of what has helped keep world crude production about level, on a per capita basis. Also, Russia seems to have made up most of its temporary decrease in production related to COVID restrictions by the first quarter of 2022.
US Crude Oil Production
Growth in US crude oil production has been more of a “feast or famine” situation. This can be seen both in Figure 5 above and in Figure 6 below.
US crude oil production spurted up rapidly in the 2011 to 2014 period, when oil prices were high (Figure 3). When oil prices fell in late 2014, US crude production fell for about two years. US oil production began to rise again in late 2016, as oil prices rose again. By early 2019 (when oil prices were again lower), US crude oil growth began to slow down.
In early 2020, COVID lockdowns brought a 15% drop in crude oil production (considering quarterly production), most of which has not been made up. In fact, growth after the lockdowns has been slow, similar to the level of growth during the “growth slowdown” circled in Figure 6. We hear reports that the sweet spots in shale formations have largely been drilled. This leaves mostly high-cost areas left to drill. Also, investors would like better financial discipline. Ramping up greatly, and then cutting back, is no way to operate a successful company.
Thus, while growth in US crude oil production greatly supported world growth in crude oil production in the 2009 to 2018 period, it is impossible to see this pattern continuing. Getting crude oil production back up to the level of 12 million barrels a day where it was before the COVID restrictions would be extremely difficult. Further production growth, to support the growing needs of an expanding world population, is likely impossible.
OPEC Crude Oil Production
Figure 7 shows EIA crude oil production estimates for the total group of countries that are now members of OPEC. It also shows crude oil production excluding the two countries which have recently been subject to sanctions: Iran and Venezuela.
If Iran and Venezuela are removed, OPEC’s long-term production is surprisingly “flat.” The “peak” period of production is the fourth quarter of 2018. The fourth quarter of 2018 was the time when the OPEC countries were producing as much oil as they could, to get their production quotas as high as possible after the planned cutbacks that took effect at the beginning of 2019.
Strangely, EIA data indicates that production didn’t fall very much for this group of countries (OPEC excluding Iran and Venezuela), starting in early 2019. The 2019 cutback seems mostly to have affected the production of Iran and Venezuela. It was only later, in the first three quarters of 2020, when COVID restrictions were affecting worldwide production, that crude oil production for OPEC excluding Iran and Venezuela fell by 4 million barrels per day. Production for this group then began to rise, leaving a shortfall of about 900,000 barrels a day, relative to where it had been before the 2020 lockdowns.
It seems to me that, at most, production for the group of OPEC countries excluding Iran and Venezuela can be ramped up by 900,000 barrels a day, and even this is “iffy.” Iraq is reported to be having difficulty with its production; it needs more investment, or its production will fall. Nigeria is past peak, and it is also having difficulty with its production. The high reported crude oil reserves are meaningless; the question is, “How much can these countries produce when it is required?” It doesn’t look like production can be ramped up very much. Furthermore, we cannot count on continued long-term growth in production from these countries, such as would be needed to keep pace with rising world population.
Figure 8 suggests that, indeed, Iran might be able to raise its production by perhaps 1.0 million barrels a day when sanctions are lifted.
Venezuela looks like a country whose crude oil production was already declining before sanctions were imposed. The cost of production there was likely far higher than the world oil price. Also, Venezuela has oil debts to China that it needs to repay. At most, we might expect that Venezuela’s production could be raised by 300,000 barrels per day in the absence of sanctions.
Putting the three estimates of amounts that crude oil production can perhaps be raised together, we have:
- OPEC ex Iran and Venezuela: 900,000 bpd
- Iran: 1,000,000 bpd
- Venezuela: 300,000 bpd
- Total: 2.2 million bpd
The shortfall of crude oil production in 2021, relative to 2018 production, was 5.9 million bpd, as mentioned in Section [1]. The 2.2 million barrels per day possibly available from this analysis gets us nowhere near the 2018 level. Furthermore, we have nowhere to go to obtain the rising crude oil production required to support the rising population with enough crude oil to supply food and industrial goods at today’s consumption level.
[6] Eliminating, or even reducing, Russia’s crude oil production is certain to have an adverse impact on the world economy.
Figure 9 shows the step-down in crude oil production that occurred in early 2020 and indicates that the world’s oil supply is having difficulty getting back up to pre-COVID levels. If Russia’s crude oil production were to be eliminated, it would make for another step-down of comparable magnitude. Major segments of the economy would likely need to be eliminated.
[7] When there isn’t enough crude oil to go around, the naive belief is that oil prices will rise and either more oil will be found, or substitutes will take its place. In fact, the result may be conflict and elimination of segments of the economy.
Our self-organizing economy will tend to adapt in its own way to inadequate crude oil supplies. Eventually, the economy may collapse completely, but before that happens, changes are likely to happen to try to preserve the “better functioning” parts of the economy. In this way, perhaps parts of the world economy can continue to function for a while longer while getting rid of less productive parts of the economy.
The following is a partial list of ways the economy might adapt:
- Fighting may take place over the remaining crude oil supplies. This may be the underlying reason for the conflict between NATO and Russia, with respect to Ukraine.
- COVID lockdowns indirectly reduce demand for crude oil. A person might wonder whether the current COVID lockdowns in China are partly aimed at preventing oil and other commodity prices from rising to absurd levels.
- Some organizations may disappear from the world economy because of inadequate funding or lack of profitability.
- Additional supply lines are likely to break, allowing fewer types of goods and services to be made.
- The world economy may subdivide into multiple pieces, with each piece able to make a much more limited array of goods and services than is provided today. A shift toward the use of other currencies instead of the US dollar may be part of this shift.
- World population may shrink for multiple reasons, including poor nutrition and epidemics.
- The poor, the elderly and the disabled may be increasingly cut off from government programs, as total goods and services (including total food supplies) fall too low.
- Europe could be cut off from Russian fossil fuel exports, leaving relatively more for the rest of the world.
[8] Countries that are major importers of crude oil and crude oil products would seem to be at significant risk of reduced supply if there is not enough crude oil to go around.
Figure 10 shows a rough estimate of the ratio of crude oil produced to crude oil products consumed in 2019, the last full year before the pandemic. On an “All Liquids” basis, the US ratio of crude oil production to consumption would appear higher than shown on Figure 10 because of its unusually high share of natural gas liquids, ethanol, and “refinery gain” in its liquids production. If these types of production are omitted, the US still seems to have a deficit in producing the crude oil it consumes.
Perhaps all that is needed is the general idea. If inadequate crude oil is available, all of the countries at the left of Figure 10 are quite vulnerable because they are very dependent on imports. Russia and the Middle East are prime targets for countries that are desperate for crude oil.
[9] Conclusion: We are likely entering a period of conflict and confusion because of the way the world’s self-organizing economy behaves when there is an inadequate supply of crude oil.
The issue of how important crude oil is to the world economy has been left out of most textbooks for years. Instead, we were taught creative myths covering several topics:
- Huge amounts of fossil fuels will be available in the future
- Climate change is our worst problem
- Wind and solar will save us
- A fast transition to an all-electric economy is possible
- Electric cars are the future
- The economy will grow forever
Now we are running into a serious shortfall of crude oil. We can expect a new set of problems, including far more conflict. Wars are likely. Debt defaults are likely. Political parties will take increasingly divergent positions on how to work around current problems. News media will increasingly tell the narrative that their owners and advertisers want told, with little regard for the real situation.
About all we can do is enjoy each day we have and try not to be disturbed by the increasing conflict around us. It becomes clear that many of us will not live as long or well as we previously expected, regardless of savings or supposed government programs. There is no real way to fix this issue, except perhaps to make religion and the possibility of life after death more of a focus.
“Shock To The System” by JHK https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/shocks-to-the-system/#comment-691053
“The next shock will be the utterly predictable crash of global financial markets, which started last Friday and is looking to gain momentum this week. Watch it shove Ukraine clean off the media landing pages and the cable news chyrons. The Hang Seng and Shanghai exchanges closed today down respectively 3.7 and 5.1 percent. Pretty awesome. China unravels with its massive lockdowns, factory shutdowns, and shipping breakdowns. All because of more Covid, really? (I doubt it.) Europe’s markets are red all over this morning, surely fretting over the suicide pact with America to go “green” by energy starvation. The dirty secret is that nobody will be going “green” the way fantasists propose. Rather, we’ll be going medieval.
You can see our nauseating freefall in real time. A friend set forth to shop for a car last week. Her current ride is eight years old and has 110-K on the odo. At two dealerships, there was no inventory of new cars on the lots. The low-mileage used cars were actually priced higher than the new ones (which were not there), and all prices are generally higher than a sinking middle-class can possibly afford. Delivery of a new car could not be promised before September at the earliest, the sales rep said. I will tell you what this means: it means that the car industry’s business model is broken.
Similarly, a conversation I had Saturday with the farm-and-garden store owner in town; supplies of everything are off. Wholesale cost of everything is out-of-sight. He usually has a hundred chain saws in stock this time of year. This April, he’s only got ten. Anything electrical — no replacement parts. They’re short on fertilizer and vegetable seeds. Meanwhile, food processing plants all around the country are mysteriously blowing up and burning down. No supper for you, America!
Next shock to the system: Remember Covid-19? Do you have any idea how much homicidal fraud was committed in its name by the pharmaceutical industry and the public health agencies of the US government? Follow Edward Dowd’s Gettr feed to get a general idea. The former Black Rock investment manager has been collecting the actuarial tables from the life insurance industry. From country-to-country we are seeing a 40 percent increase in all-causes mortality for people in the prime of life. Wall Street has noticed, Mr. Dowd says.
The key to the issue is that fraud obviates the liability shield conferred on Pfizer, Moderna, et al., by the government’s emergency use authorization (EUA). Awaiting in parallel to all that is the criminal culpability of many hundreds, perhaps thousands, of government officials, hospital executives, and doctors who killed their patients while in thrall to the CDC. Dr. Naomi Wolf has engaged over two thousand researchers and hundreds of lawyers in gathering the hard evidence of these frauds. All of this will eventually flip the Covidian catatonics out of their trances (and their stupid masks).”
This is a very fine post.
I don’t know if 100% of it is correct, however. JHK, like all of the rest of us writing about limits problems, has a tendency to see connected things happening faster than they really tend to happen.
I am not as connected as Kunstler is to all of the political goings ons. JHK seems to think that there will be a turnaround and payback against those pushing the vaccine narrative and other distortions. I am not as convinced that this will really happen. I question whether we will ever see “Indictments of rogue bureaucrats and political celebrities.”
Kunstler like the idea of the bad folks getting their come up-ins. In his book a world made by hand the bad folks do not get their come up-ins.
Given the fact that even those suffering from complications are refusing to link it to the experimental treatments, it seems incredibly unlikely that there will be some kind of large scale awakening. And even if there were such an awakening, I see no reason to believe that this would result in indictments for those involved in producing, promoting, and legalizing said treatments.
Kunstler seems to have a very idealistic view of karmic justice. Or perhaps it’s a liberal belief in human justice. Either way it seems rather unfounded to me.
I’m still awaiting Hillary Clinton’s handcuffs and prison mugshot. Kunstler still believes it will happen. I’m not so sure. I go back to a famous George Carlin quote: “It’s a big club and we ain’t in it folks”.
Or as Gerald Celente founder of the Trends Journal magazine likes to say: “Justice is now spelled, JUST US”.
In a sense he is correct – the hordes will want payback… and the Elders know it … that’s why they are killing the hordes and themselves.
They know about the ponds as well… hey Elders are very much detail orientated.
Roadster, Thank you for the insight…went to Walmart and mostly stocked up OK..some food products like pasta was cleared out and the produce area was kinda thin and higher prices for some common stables like cucumbers and fruits… noticed we are still importing barlet pears from Argentina and raspberries from Peru…so BAU hangs on!
Right now have an older 2013 Nissan rice burner with only 50,000 miles on it..bought a spare alternator, starter and water pump just in case from Ebay…a co worker had to wait a couple of months for a part to fix his Rogue…not pleased at all. Will have the brakes redone just in case. I do my own car repairs like hoses and fluid changes.
Hoping that Petro is still available at the pump. If not back to shuffling…
Looks like we are going to see another Kung Flu act here in USA …
That’s what I was doing as well today. I went to Walmart today stocking up on more canned foods, pasta etc. I currently have around 80lbs of rice.
My thoughts on food:
Ideally, you’d like to be already self-suffcient on a farm with daily berries, vegetables, poultry, eggs etc for the present and an extended time horizon. Most of us aren’t in that enviable position.
In my mind, rice, especially white rice, has calories, but not much else, although it stores well with O2 absorbers, mylar bags with 5 gal UHWPE containers with GAMMA lids etc.
Freeze drying is great, but not if consumes money that could be better used to acquire a whole lot more food that will store for the short to intermediate term.
People also say they are going to “stock up” and put a ton of meat in the freezer, which is OK as long as the electricity is running. If power goes out, it will be a mad scramble to have to cook it and eat it all before it spoils. I’ve talked to one or two people here in hurricane prone costal NC where this has happened.
Me? My strategy is to never hoard, only to buy when plenty is available. My recent preferences have been Campbells soups like chicken pot pie, vegetable beef, clam chowder, etc., advertised as a “meal in can” as my main course, along with Delmonte canned fruits and veggies, and then Chef Boyardee mini ravioli as snacks. I already can eat these so I know they are “OK”. Price on the Campbells went up last month from $1.78 to $1.98. I am also now buying one 20lb cannister of propane gas per month and doing the soapy water test to ensure no slow leaks. Not to cook, only to heat up the meals. Propane doesn’t degrade like gas.
That’s why I have gotten into canning, mostly chicken. The costs of the food, and jars, lids etc will have already been paid. All I will have to do is warm it up with a little propane burner- because the last thing I want to be doing is having to split firewood or even charcoal grill, and making a lot of smoke. That and the noise from gas generators, chain saws, and motorcyles will be magnets, if you get my drift. Not ready to eat horsemeat (served when I was in Easter Island, Balut (chick embryo in egg) in the Philippines, crocodile (served at the Carnivore Restaraunt) in Tanzania, or Guinea pig on the streets of i Peru- at least not yet.
I don’t live on a farm. I live on the coast of SW Florida close to the beach., smallish town away from the big city. So planting a garden is not an option. But this also has a lot to do about inflation as well as shortages.
Why bother with a garden when you can take a weekend course learning how to ambush people … buy some automatic weapons and hand guns… then just take the garden….
FE always looks at the bright picture 😂
Think of FE when the hordes come crashing through the fence and eat your chickens and rip up your veggies and chop down your trees
Can never have enough lead… I am so envious of Americans – you guys can have all sorts of high powered automatic weapons — and hand guns …. ooooh a hang gun is fantastic for when the bad guys crash through the door … quick draw and bam bam bam bam bam bam bam… a pistol in each hand… speed loading clips… now that’s what I’m talking about….
Universal suffrage came in Europe only after the Great War. Countries had to treat those who risked their lives better.
The Great War killed Henry Moseley and made Srivinasa Ramanujan a member of the Royal Society, and from there the possibility of singularity began to die.
I have said before that every single Turk who ever lived from 1915 till now, including its sole Nobel laureate Orhan Pamuk (in literature – Aziz Sancar identifies himself as an Arab, not a Turk), combined, is less valuable than Moseley.
Peoples who have no stake on the current civilization thrived for too long, although the trend appears to be ending and those who didn’t contribute will be much less welcome to exist.
Power crisis: Andhra, Maharashtra, 10 other states resort to power cuts as situation worsens
India has been witnessing a power crisis for the last two-three weeks and as many as 12 states have been badly impacted by it. The situation is worse in Andhra Pradesh and a woman delivered a baby under the light of phones, torchlights and candles at a government hospital in the Narsipatnam area.
Narsipatnam, just 311 kms away from the capital city of Amravati, was plunged into darkness due to power cuts. Andhra Pradesh is facing a power shortage of 55-60 million units and it is just one of the 12 states in a similar position. Shailendra Dubey, Chairman, All India Power Engineers Federation, told CNBC TV-18, “Rise in temperature, coal shortage and supply issues, the geopolitical situation is making coal import more expensive and thus resulting in the crisis.”
https://www.cnbctv18.com/energy/power-crisis-andhra-pradesh-maharashtra-10-other-states-resort-to-power-cuts-as-situation-worsens-13267502.htm
India has been having troubles with both oil (too much is imported, causing debt problems) and electricity (not enough to go around) for quite a while. The situation can only get worse.
Interesting note regarding light, Huberman and Medcram are about the same.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YV_iKnzDRg
Light affects our circadian rhythm; I get the feeling in the evening we are better with incandescent bulbs as they are more IR intensive.
Myopia may be caused by too little sunlight. Desirable UV is blocked by modern glass windows.
I think many of our health issues are secondary to modern lifestyles; obviously there are also many advantages.
So, India blessing or curse with regards to electricity?
In my case, both parents grew up with very little electricity, my father a house with 30 amps, my mother a house with kerosene or Delco plant; no myopia, I went myopic in my senior year of high school, ended dreams of being a fighter pilot. Referred to warrior tendencies in young males previously.
Dennis L.
So, prior to electric lights, phones, candles, how were children delivered at night?
Dennis L.
Moonlight. Gravity.
Looks like another round of panic is coming ..real soon..
The Chinese capital Beijing has kicked off mass testing for millions of residents after a spike in Covid cases.
The Chaoyang district reported 26 cases over the weekend – the highest number so far in Beijing’s latest surge.
Long queues outside supermarkets and shops were seen despite government assurances there is sufficient food.
It comes amid fears that Beijing could face a similar situation to Shanghai, which has seen some 25 million people shut in their homes for weeks.
‘All the meat was snatched up’
All 3.5 million residents in Chaoyang, Beijing’s most populous district, will undergo three rounds of mass testing, according to a notice by the city’s disease prevention team.
BBC News…
God help us
This sounds terrible for the people of Beijing!
Anyone have any ides of why? Per Dr. Campbell, this is not consistent with current understandings of the disease.
It seems very drastic to shut down an economy in this manner.
Dennis L.
Bending over too, no doubt: didn’t they decide that was the most ‘accurate’ test?
It seems that the Russian forces are preparing the ground for a major ground assault that will begin within days. Obviously the Russian General Staff is not giving a running account of its plans to the public.
(excerpts)
> Sitrep: Operation Z
Russia continues grinding down the Ukrainian infrastructure, and that has been the theme of the last few days. There has been a huge uptick in aerial assaults and missile strikes on various infrastructural objects all over. As of this writing a huge amount of missiles are recorded flying over Ukraine, and Tu-95MS bombers are said to be in the air to contribute their KH-101’s.
…. Other analysts like Colonel Cassad agree:
So the important distinction above is that Russia announced a 2nd phase, they did not specifically announce a new general offensive. The two are not necessarily interoperable. The fact of the matter is, there are still large regroupings being done and we are not seeing much large-scale offensive operations in most of the theaters on the Russian side – most of the larger advances are being done in the LPR at the moment.
Just yesterday, the Russian Naval Infantry / Marines detachment from Mariupol had only begun to redeploy, and were visible driving on the road north of Mariupol. It could be days before they reach their new positions – which we don’t know what they are yet.
And now we hear other confirmation such as the following: “anna_news Regarding the general offensive of the RF Armed Forces, sources are coming out, citing British sources, that the offensive will begin within 72 hours.” And: “The head of the administration of Krivoy Rog Alexander Vilkul said that Russian troops are preparing for an attack on Krivoy Rog.”
So these indications appear to point to a much larger grand offensive starting sometime soon.
With that said, there were some good/significant battlefield updates and advances, mostly in the LPR direction: Novotoshkovske was captured, south of Severodonetsk (NE of Popasna). Zarichne was reportedly captured as well, which is right next to Torske which we reported captured last time: And now there is reported fighting in Yampol which means it will soon fall as well. If you look on the map that means Lyman is being slowly surrounded, and that is the final large obstacle before Slavyansk itself.
We reported Lozove falling last time, but now the small settlement of Ridkodub just east of it has reportedly been captured as well, which creates a slowly enveloping unified front that’s pushing southward towards Slavyansk. South of Izyum, it’s now being reported that Russian forces captured the small settlement of Kurulka, east of Barvinkove….
https://thesaker.is/sitrep-operation-z-14/
Oh, dear! The war goes on, and it gets worse.
The world is a flux and all things in it. The global dissipative structure is currently seeking new geopolitical forms. Dynamism generally is not necessary congruent with human evaluations. The dissipative system seems to be primary in reality and human values secondary. That is just how the world is.
Humans are DS within DS within DS, and their values have layers that are not necessarily congruent and well ordered. It is just how it is.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35455245/
A cell-based process may be better suited for vaccine production during a highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) pandemic. This was a phase 3, randomized, controlled, observer-blind, multicenter study evaluated safety, immunogenicity, and lot-to-lot consistency of two doses of a MF59-adjuvanted, H5N1 influenza pandemic vaccine manufactured on a cell culture platform (aH5N1c) in 3196 healthy adult subjects…
Conflict of interest statement
J.P. received study fees paid to his Institution by Seqirus, Inc.; E.V., M.H., are employees of Seqirus, USA; E.V.T. is an employee of Seqirus, The Netherlands.
What is a “cell-based process”? Is this a fancy word for something like an mRNA vaccine, or something else?
from the abstract:
IMPORTANCE The emerging avian influenza reassortants and mutants in birds pose an increasing threat to poultry and public health. H10 avian influenza viruses are widely prevalent in wild birds, poultry, seals, and minks and pose an increasing threat to human health. The occasional human infections with H10N8 and H10N3 viruses in China have significantly increased public concern about the potential pandemic risk posed by H10 viruses. In this study, we found that the North American H10 viruses have been successfully introduced to Asia by migratory birds and further reassorted with other subtypes to generate novel H10N4 and H10N8 viruses in eastern China. These emerging H10 reassortants have a high potential to threaten the poultry industry and human health due to their efficient replication and transmission in chickens, ducks, and mice.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35389243/
More virus threats to humans!
The numbers aren’t wrong but they don’t show what P Alexander pretends they do. If you look closely at that image, you’ll notice the title of the table, which P Alexander was careful to mask out. He knew most of his subscribers would not look more closely.
Synthetic Hydroxychloroquine, Natural Quinine and Quercetin
My little experiment.
It is claimed you can refine Natural Quinine extract by simmering grapefruit and lemons; including the rind. I did it, and it worked at least anecdotally.
https://www.therecipes.info/grapefruit-and-lemon-quinine
The link above has articles both supporting and opposing the benefits of Quinine from grapefruit, but it also gives an idea of how it is done.
Quinine and Quercetin
Note: These are NOT the same, but have similar properties in that, both are zinc ionophores, that is they both get zinc across the cell walls where it slows down the replication of coronavirus through inhibition of enzyme RNA polymerase. Hydroxychloroquine has this property too, but It seems Quercetin is safer than Quinine and Hydroxychloroquine has an extremely long half life, at least 32 days.
https://www.aestheticsadvisor.com/2021/07/is-quercetin-same-as-quinine.html
https://go.drugbank.com/drugs/DB01611
The recipe and dosage below is what I used to make Natural Quinine extract and although it worked, I must disclose, I used the ‘allegedly more dangerous’ Quinine stuff and it seems I also consumed small amounts of fruit extracts that contained Quercetin too without knowing it at first. Naughty me.
Recipe:
Take two whole grapefruit and one lemon.
Wash well or insure they are organically grown.
Slice into thin pieces. I used everything (Lemons are alkalising and grapefruit contains high levels of Quinine and is also alkalising, (Grapefruit have higher levels of Quinine in the fruit itself, but it also exists in the pulp).
Place in suitable pot, only ‘just cover’ with water. Remember the goal is to concentrate the residue not drown it.
Simmer for 3 hours.
Cool to room temperature, strain and mash within the sieve to seperate liquid into a clean bowl or suitable receptacle.
Decant into suitable sealed storage,
then store in fridge or even freeze. Grapefruit won’t always be in season.
I got 750 mils from this technique.
I seen remission of covid 2 symptoms, like body aches, migraine, sinus, productive chest congestion within two hours. I was RAT +ive at the time and am an unjabbed/Natural.
I always insured I took a good source of bioavailable zinc with breakfast before taking the Quinine grapefruit extract each day.
I consumed the grapefruit extract with simply squeezed ‘body temple’ fruit juice. (available in NZ) The ratio used was 20 mills grapefruit extract, to 100 mills of simply squeezed fruit juice. Taste was very bitter.
‘Body temple’ simply squeezed fruit juice has some other interesting beneficial ingredients too
Ginger
Turmeric (contains Quercetin)
Carrot juice
Orange juice
Mango juice (contains Quercetin)
Apple juice (contains Quercetin)
Throughout my little experiment I took generous amounts of Vitamin D3 up to 10.000 iu a day
Vitamin K2, which has menaquinone
Triple Zinc.
Lots of natural melatonin (Sleep)
I also used intermittent fasting throughout.
I have been taking a pre and probiotic too, (post antibiotics to clear an ear infection)
The philosophy here is that taking many prophylactics simultaneously creates many protective and mutually enhancing barriers to protect one’s self and others from disease.
Quinine has a half life of 11-18 hours, so I modulated intake accordingly at first. In the literature you will find it comes with risks and health warnings. https://go.drugbank.com/drugs/DB00468
There is significant MSM opposition prohibiting the use of Quinine.
According to data and medical warnings, it can cause heart irregulation, thrombosis, it is considered a Hepatic toxin. It can cause tinnitus, even blindness. It is claimed Quinine is more powerful than Hydroxychloroquine at treating malaria and not chemically related. That is funny because it is easy to assume Quinine is a component of Hydroxychloroquine.
Hydroxychloroquine is a man made synthetic chemical and Quinine is naturally occurring chemical derived from the bark of the Cinchona tree or ‘Fever Tree’ Quinine is also present in much smaller qualities in grapefruit juice and it’s pulp than in the bark of the Cinchona tree. It is claimed both Hydroxychloroquine and Quinine are unproven treatments for SARS Cov 2. I remain a skeptic of this final claim. https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-factcheck-quinine-idUSKBN2370R9
Comparing Molecular Formulas
Quercetin’s Molecular Formula. (C15H14O9) half life 3.5 hours
Quinine’s Molecular Formula. is (C20H24N2O2) half life 11-18 hours
Hydroxychloroquine’s formula is (C18H26ClN3O) half life 32-40 days!
Although each of these structures are quite unique chemically and have vastly different half lives, all three are zinc ionophores and are used to treat malaria. In addition Querctin has successfully been used to treat MEARS in places like Saudi Arabia back in 2012.
In my actual experience of consuming grapefruit extract, I applied the adage that any medicine can also harm. I started by taking small amounts of my Quinine grapefruit extract at levels below Quinine’s half-life threshold, but in the end I found I was fine taking it four or more times a day. In fact I found if I didn’t take it every six hours; my symptoms returned. This may have been reflective of my viral load at the time or the fact there wasn’t much Quinine in my grapefruit extract.
Regardless, no pun intended; my body handled the dosage, I had no underlaying renal or hepatic issues (I’m not on statins or any other medication)
Quercetin, maybe a safer and a proven alternative to the others discussed here, but I’ve not taken it at a medicinal level. (Specifically or deliberately) I can say I have taken both Quinine and Hydroxychloroquine to treat covid successfully.
Quercetin has a small half life of 3.5 hours.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4808895/
Quercetin is naturally occurring in many foods and has been used successfully to treat MEARS back in 2012
I found this linked article, which is quite interesting, but it’s English was hard to follow.
The Study of Quadruple Therapy Zinc, Quercetin, Bromelain and Vitamin C on the Clinical Outcomes of Patients Infected With COVID-19
Amr kamel khalil Ahmed, Ministry of Health, Saudi Arabia.
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04468139
Below is an edited extract from the above article, the source is from Saudi Arabia MOH, 2020. The authors english required some work to understand.
‘With time covid-19 will be explained by scientists as a steroid response disease that causes thromosis and cytokine storm. The aim of this study/treatment was to inhibit viral replication and decrease the severity of the disease by using zinc ionophores, which are antiviral and anti cytokine.
Zinc is a mineral element needed to up-regulate adaptive immune cell function. Higher levels of intracellular zinc increase intracellular pH; (that is it is alkalising) which affect on RNA-dependent RNA polymerase and decrease replication mechanisms of RNA viruses. Therefore, drugs described as zinc ionophores could be used with zinc supplement to act as antiviral agents against many RNA viruses including SARS-CoV-2
Quercetin is a natural compound that acts as zinc ionophore to cause zinc intracellular influx.
Quercetin is a safe natural anti-oxidant and anti-inflammatory polyphenolic compound found in various natural sources including citrus fruits, red-onion, red grapes and honey. It was shown that quercetin has the ability to chelate zinc ions and act as a zinc ionophore. Therefore, quercetin could have antiviral activity against many RNA viruses. Quercetin, a flavonoid found in fruits and vegetables, has unique biological properties that may improve mental/physical performance and reduce infection risk; These properties form the basis for potential benefits to overall health and disease resistance, including anti-carcinogenic, anti-inflammatory, antiviral, antioxidant, and psychostimulant activities, as well as the ability to inhibit lipid peroxidation, platelet aggregation and capillary permeability, and to stimulate mitochondrial biogenesis.
There are various studies that report the immunomodulatory effect of bromelain. Bromelain activates natural killer cells and augments the production of granulocyte-macrophage-colony stimulating factor, IL-2, IL-6 and decreases the activation of Thelper cells. Thus, bromelain decreases the majority of inflammatory mediators and has demonstrated a significant role as an anti-inflammatory agent in various conditions.
Seperate linked article on Bromelain.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3529416/pdf/BTRI2012-976203.pdf
You all know about Vitamin C at OFW
Vitamin C is known as an essential anti-oxidant and enzymatic co-factor for physiological reactions such as hormone production, collagen synthesis and immune potentiation . Naturally, an insufficiency of vitamin C leads to severe injuries to multiple organs, especially to the heart and brain, since they are both highly aerobic organs that produce more oxygen radicals. In fact, studies of in vivo effect on vitamin C are difficult since most animals, except human and some primate, are capable of synthesizing vitamin C endogenously.
_/\_ Bob
So the person writing this article made his own home-brewed version of quercetin/quinine, and lessened his COVID symptoms.
At time 3:01:25 famous Italian Doctor Donzelli talks about ‘Nigella Sativa’ (known also as Cumino Nero) and then he talks about ‘Curcumin’ as power anti viral drug against Covid-19.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tfok1wVK4QE
Here you can find Dr. Donzelli:
https://fondazioneallinearesanitaesalute.org/chi-siamo/consiglio-direttivo/alberto-donzelli/
His intervention was also at the Italian Parliament, but politicians decided for ‘vaccines’.
What has happened about ‘vaccines’ has been criminal.
I don’t know if humanity will ever realized what has happened, maybe after 20 years, if we all will be still alive.
Correct, My parter has access to Hydroxychloroquine, apparently she now has a lifetime supply, but it was not moral or tenable to use or accept her medicine while she herself also dealt with her condition and contended with covid symptoms. I had asked my GP for Hydroxychloroquine, but she refused, said she would loose her job (It’s just a disappointing fact). That is why I tried the natural Quinine in grapefruit as a pathway to recovery.
BTW, Bromelain (mentioned in the last article above) is found in pineapple, so juicing pineapple and consuming it with grapefruit extract, (which itself contains both Quercetin and Quinine) is a great way to enhance overall benefits. Multiple lines of defence win wars. Maybe we should call them ‘Lion’s of defence’, because unless we respect the medicine we take, it can harm too.
The Human body knows what it needs, it has it’s own innate wisdom and way of communicating. We just need to listen and provide the resources needed, as well as have a little faith/trust in ourselves, We’re each given this biological heritage. It’s the knowledge and experience passed on from our ancestors, It’s a very good Practice and Human quality to trust, intuit and experience stuff for ourselves. Direct experience has no substitute. It’s finding out what’s real. In some ways it’s the essence of Life itself, It calls to All of us.
Interesting!
You can try telling the doc you are going on a bush trek in a malarial country and this is the only anti malarial your stomach can tolerate
Great info Bob…I have copied it into my “home health” files. We obtained Ivermectin pills. My wife started coming down with Covid symptoms….took 12mg tablets for a week and the symptoms disappeared.
I intend to try your recipe.
We were both recently exposed to FluA. I took the 12mg Ivermectin pills for 3 days and the flu symptoms (muscle aches, etc) went away….but still developed the congestion. No telling what kind of nasty virus combination we got….as we got it from her daughter(vaccinated) and grandson who came over from the UK.
My wife did not take Ivermectin this go-around since her daughter tested negative for Covid, and she has had a nastier case of the FluA than me.
Thanks for posting Bobby….I have been using the Quinine recipe for about 6 months….
Great stuff JonF, would you please consider sharing your dosage method and experience Sir. You have longer term experience than me with Quinine. It’s valuable information
Bobby,
Here’s what I do:
I take 2-3 organic unwaxed lemons, 2-3 organic unwaxed oranges, 2-3 red grapefruit….give them a good scrub with a s/s scouring pad with water…..peel and use the flesh to make juice….
I slice and dice the peels….put them in a stock pot….more than cover them with water….bring to the boil….then lower the heat and let simmer for 3-4 hours….allow to cool…..strain into glass jars and chill….
I’m not very exact about it….I use more water so I end up with a juice rather than a concentrate…..I take a good glug after breakfast to wash down zinc and any other supplements I am taking…..
Has it helped? I don’t know…but I have worked through the winter….in a confined space with 2 fully boosted individuals….
one of them came down with covid…..I remained unaffected…I haven’t had any noticeable symptoms of shedding either….
Simmering in a crockpot system is a great idea. Wonder if there is a way to test for Quinine quantitatively in the grapefruit extract without getting into spectrometry 🤣
Sounds like you are doing well especially living in close proximity with folk/ or family who have had the disease, although getting symptomatic and testing +ive is a sort of necessary fire trial to developing more permanent and adaptive immunity.
Good to allow your adaptive immune system to be challenged
So If you do get or have been symptomatic, it’s probably a good thing. having a good armoury of prophylactics in the system helps the immune system get a handle on any viral disease so the thymus can get on with mounting a meaningful defence. (in many ways this is perhaps a better natural pathway than vaccine)
I’m being mindful of any the -ive side effects or signs that the body may have consumed too much Quinine.
I have had some tinnitus lately from the ear infection I’d had, but this can also be a side effect of Hydroxychloroquine or Quinine.
I’m monitoring for any front right side, lower right rib cage discomfort/ pain (liver)
Right lower flank pain, just under the rib cage (spleen)
Lower middle right abdominal pain, beside or near the belly button (appendix)
Mid back pain ( kidneys)
Sucks to be injected
Five ways that spike proteins increase vascular resistance
1. Spike proteins can go to the bloodstream.
One study showed that the spike proteins could enter the bloodstream and elicit an inflammo-thrombotic response that narrows blood vessels.[5]
RNA splice study shows why AstraZeneca and Janssen jabs are clot shots
2. Spike proteins disrupt pericytes and endothelial cell functions.
Another research showed that spike proteins in the bloodstream could disrupt the function of pericytes that line the capillaries of the whole body. Disruption of the pericytes affects the endothelial cells and leads to vasoconstriction and elevated blood pressure. The endothelial cells line the inside of all blood vessels and maintain vascular integrity and functions, including dilation of the blood vessels. [6]
Study shows spike proteins affect cardiac pericytes and explain why soccer players collapse.
3. Spike proteins elicit cell signaling
A peer-reviewed study showed that the spike protein and the ACE2 receptor interaction could activate the MEK, which activates the extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK). The result is a thickening of the blood vessel wall, and the thicker arteries become more rigid than rubbery, causing higher pressures.[7]
Pulmonary Hypertension, Heart Disease, and Stroke from SARS-CoV-2 Spike Protein Cell Signaling
4. Vaccine contents can elicit an allergic reaction
Vaccine excipients like Macrogol, a form of polyethylene glycol, are present in the Pfizer and Moderna shot. Polysorbate 80, also known as Tween 80, is found in the AstraZeneca vaccine and the Johnson & Johnson.
These excipients can cause an allergic reaction that causes narrowing of the blood vessels. The narrowing can cause hypertension or rupture an unstable cholesterol plaque leading to a heart attack.
Kounis syndrome can explain vaccine-related heart attacks.
5. Amyloid formation with spike proteins
Amyloids are proteins, and they are associated with neurodegenerative diseases like Alzheimer’s dementia. A study showed that amyloid proteins could form with the clots inside the blood vessels. The amyloid in the blood clots makes it different and resistant to prescription blood thinners and intravenous anticoagulants.
https://drjessesantiano.com/higher-blood-pressure-after-covid-shots-and-why-it-happens/
Yo Edwin …Hello Bro…How did Fast Eddie Get His Name? Mrs Fast answers…”He made me HaPpy ReAl FasT”….Eddie…replies…I hit a Home run but first ran all the bases!
Hahahaha..heard that one from an old repeat of Family Feud TV Show…
Anyway Fast Edwin …just read that blood type may decide
When It Comes to Heart Health, Science Says Your Blood Type Matters
People with type O blood might be less susceptible to heart disease and blood clots than those with type A or B.
Jessica Rendall
April 24, 2022 1:15 p.m. PT
https://www.cnet.com/google-amp/news/when-it-comes-to-heart-health-science-says-your-blood-type-matters/
Ongoing research into blood type suggests it may matter more than we give it credit for — at least when assessing risk for certain health conditions, especially heart disease. These invisible differences in the blood may give some people an edge at staving off cardiovascular problems, and may leave others more susceptible.
People in the same study with type A and B blood were 51% more likely to develop deep vein thrombosis and 47% more likely to develop a pulmonary embolism, which are severe blood clotting disorders which can also increase the risk of heart failure.
A reason for this increased risk, according to Guggenheim, might have to do with inflammation that happens in the bodies of people with type A, type B or type AB blood. The proteins present in type A and type B blood may cause more “blockage” or “thickening” in the veins and arteries, leading to an increased risk of clotting and heart disease.
Guggenheim also thinks this may describe the anecdotal (but currently inconclusive) decrease in risk of severe COVID-19 disease in people with type O blood, which has inspired research. Severe COVID-19 disease often causes heart problems, blood clotting and other cardiovascular issues.
Suppose That may be why I did not die yet from the vac….I’m 0 negative!
Lucky me…
Hope this helps you in your efforts
Good news…I am O-.
Doesn’t sound good!
Sounds devastating…as in quite possibly permanent….
Ah what the hell though … it’s worth it to ‘get around’ right mike?
The thing is…
I didn’t get around much for a whopping 90 days while the passports were in play … but now I get around a lot — I go to dinner in restaurants — I am back playing hockey — I could fly on Air NZ to Greece (if M Fast would agree)… I don’t have to quarantine on return cuz I have an NZ PP…
But my mate — well he got to go to restaurants for those 90 days… but at a rather significant cost to his health…
But mike would say to him — it was worth it. cuz!!!
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d01ede7-31bc-439e-9974-ee1aa3bb08ab_1920x1020.png
“The sheer magnitude and size of hyperscale data centers place enormous power demands upon global energy resources. Cisco estimates that by 2021, traffic within hyperscale data centers will have quadrupled, with hyperscale data centers accounting for approx. 55% of all data center traffic. [Source] At the local level, hyperscale data centres embody colossal electricity demand loads, adding pressure to electricity grids which are often already operating under duress. This is especially true for smaller or impoverished countries. Ireland is forecasting that 30% of their entire national grid will be earmarked for data center power consumption by 2028. One only needs to reflect upon the sheer enormity of these facilities proliferating the globe, to recognize the dire ecological impacts and consequences that lie ahead – upon an already plundered and decimated landscape and biosphere.”
https://www.wrongkindofgreen.org/2020/11/28/the-great-reset-the-final-assault-on-the-living-planet-its-not-a-social-dilemma-its-the-calculated-destruction-of-the-social-part-iii/
hahaha – awesome! BAU not feasible
This is comparable in some ways to earlier civilisations increasing their fixed defences (eg the massive fortifications of late-Rome) armies and bureaucracies in the last stages before true collapse overtakes them.
The increased burden meets immediate perceived needs, and pays certain vested interests well, but only for a time.
Xavier…Exactly!!! Very good insight and precisely what occurred in that time period of the Late Roman Empire and what we are seeing today in the own society…
It went as far as the Emperor Diocletian creating a four man rule
The Tetrarchy was the system instituted by Roman Emperor Diocletian in 293 to govern the ancient Roman Empire by dividing it between two senior emperors, the augusti, and their juniors and designated successors, the caesares. This marked the end of the Crisis of the Third Century.
Diocletian pursued systematically a long‐established policy of dividing provinces into smaller units; by 314 there were about 100, twice the number of a century earlier (see provincia). The purpose was to ensure closer supervision, esp. over law and finance, by governors and their numerous staffs; critics saw it as leading to never‐ending condemnations and confiscations. In the later part of his reign, Diocletian began an important reform, separating military from civil power in frontier provinces. Senators remained excluded from military commands. His conception of defence was conservative; he made little or no effort to increase the size of the élite field army, which had been formed in the late 3rd cent. But a huge programme of building and reconstruction of defensive works was undertaken on all frontiers, and they were to be held by sheer force of numbers; the size of the Roman army was perhaps nearly doubled.
The army and the increase of administrative personnel were a heavy financial burden. Diocletian reformed the system of taxation to take inflation into account and to regularize exactions in kind. Most revenue and expenditure was now in kind. By the Currency Edict (301) Diocletian attempted to create a unified currency, doubling the value of at least some coins, but he could not establish confidence in this revaluation. Late in 301 he tried to halt inflation by the Price Edict. In great detail it fixed maximum prices and wages; despite savage penalties it became a dead letter, as goods disappeared from the market.
https://www.oxfordreference.com/view/10.1093/oi/authority.20110803095719433
Believe we will see such again..rationing, price controls, middle class wiped out..revolts of the peasants…military suppression…all the nasty 🤢
Enjoy BAU today folks…I ain’t kidding….
Inflation; more attempted control over the masses. The same patterns repeat.
I insist that this time it will be different!
High EROEI energy is required to maintain complexity even during Roman times.
Read where the oppression become so great many fled …remember Roman Empire was largely an agricultural economy…and much agricultural land laid fallow…
Diocletian went so far as to institute a mandate in which one inherited the occupation of their father!
Constantine gained his stored energy in a way by plundering the treasures of the pagan temples…gold coinage was again reintroduce in the monetary system in adequate numbers named the solidus…relating to the soldiers that was paid in kind…it latest for centuries as the reserve currency in the Mediterranean world until it was debased to be untrustworthy…like the US Dollar today….
Like today immigrants gained entry to the Roman territory either as recruits or mercenaries of the army and gaining high status…or occupying abandon regions that became depopulated.
I can lecture further… fascinating that it mirrors in many
Issues of today.
The Roman empire also had a trade imbalance with the East …India and China like today…thus creating debasement of their coinage….
We can’t really transfer all of our efforts to on-line efforts, if electricity limits of data centers are a problem.
People want to move to Bitcoins as well. If they are electricity generated, they are even worse than the ones that “only” require data storage.
Cheena https://twitter.com/tongbingxue/status/1518238749263495168
People out buying food in Beijing.
MANY of my colleagues and I have been alarmed at the decision to offer Covid vaccines to children aged 5-11 for a disease that has less effect on this age group than many other viruses they will be exposed to and suffer from.
Why is this even being considered when it is clear that only three children in the UK in this age group have died of Covid, all with serious underlying disease such as leukaemia? Especially when myocarditis and inflammation of the heart are now recognised side effects, especially in young men.
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/the-madness-of-vaccinating-children-against-covid-by-a-doctor/
Why… norm?
hahahahha
THE child of West Australia Premier Mark McGowan is in a “serious condition” in hospital reportedly due to Covid-19. The child has been fully vaccinated.
A statement from his office said: “The child is fully vaccinated, however, was in a serious condition as a result of the infection. The child remains in hospital and is receiving ongoing treatment.
Again, the mantra “safe and effective” looks increasingly redundant, misleading and dangerous.
Mr McGowan has three children, two teenage sons and a young daughter.
https://www.news.com.au/national/western-australia/wa-premier-mark-mcgowans-child-hospitalised-with-covid/news-story/7c3747407fac1842cc88f1dd624a550b
I hope the f789er dies.
I don’t wish death or illness on any of the McGowan children. But daddy should be exposed to much finger pointing and cries of “Jackaroo!” and “Drongo!”
Not much detail in that story, was there?
“The McGowan family asks for privacy regarding this situation at this difficult time.”
I can imagine Mr. McGowan’s feelings. If the child dies, he knows his own policies caused the death. And if he opens his mouth and says what he truly feels….. Best to take the Fifth on this one.
He has pushed vaccines. he has pushed masks. He has pushed for strict limits re. travel, social distancing, numbers of people allowed at events, and even on gatherings of family members in private homes. He has even pushed jabbing of kids. Here’s his Facebook page.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=509076797247837&set=a.263657845123068&type=3
What a Globalist stooge.
He’s pushed the lethal injections therefore is responsible for mass deaths and injuries…
His children deserve to suffer – as does he.
But keep in mind Fast Eddy would – if tricked into the covid vax… make it a point — to seek out the family of the person who made the ‘mistake’… for the purpose of…. for the purpose of…. saying thanks?
One to many coincidences … to be coincidences? https://t.me/DowdEdward/293
My mate with the lung issues … mentioned to me earlier that he also has blood pressure problems – he’s hitting nearly 160/90…. never had issues before (he is very fit)…
Asked if this all might be jab related he said maybe – but the doc says the BP is probably caused by his high intensity job (he is an adventure/adrenaline tour guide – takes people on back country hikes etc)…
Hahaha… he’s been doing this job for 10+ years and now it causes high BP – never heard of anything so absurd in my life…. I told him to contact NZDSOS – he was very keen on that…
These doctors should be burned alive
They are contemptible: to argue that an occupation which actually keeps one fit should suddenly, out of the blue, be a cause of illness without recognising the strong temporal association with being vaxxed…….!
These are the physicians who would if required gladly sign off on anti-vaxxers being ‘mentally ill’, and do anything the state required of them.
100%. Anything to keep getting paid – they would do – no matter how obscene
I suspect they’d be ok with committing ‘anti-vaxxers’ to the asylum where they’d be given Cuckoo’s Nest volumes of shock treatments turning them into zombies.
2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2032, 2033, 2034, 2035……..??????
nobody knows when the music will stop
Gail, thank you for your excellent article. I only recently “discovered” you but have been aware of the Peak Oil phenomenon for many years now. When others maligned said theory I just politely grinned. Perhaps I was wrong I thought, especially as the economy went into overdrive after the 2008 financial collapse and the party went past sunrise. Alas, the following decade was merely the blowoff, the final stage of petroman’s supernova. So thank you Gail for confirming my long held convictions; however, I take exception to the last statement in your article. You say “There is no real way to fix this issue, except perhaps to make religion and the possibility of life after death more of a focus.” With all due respect, how incredibly naive and misguided you are. While the ailment itself is in fact terminal humanity’s solution is no mere opiate administered to make death less painful.
I’m sure you’ve heard it all before but Jesus is not about religion. He’s about a relationship with something far more powerful (and satisfying) than anything humanity has managed to fabricate during the last 160+ years of the petroleum bonanza it per chance stumbled upon. Perhaps, as a scientist you have not had sufficient opportunity to know Him but I encourage you to do so. Do not leave the fate of your soul to mere chance, for the fact that God and eternity are not discretely quantifiable does not render them illusory.
In the future, when human civilization recovers from its “petrover” (petroleum hangover) and returns to its senses it may realize what it sacrificed during its addiction to that black gold. Of course, storytellers like yourself must be able to tell them and I pray that you will still be here to do so, or at least the progeny of your particular discipline.
Pete – I see you subscribe to the state religion of DelusiSTAN…. the worship of Delusion
“Success” of Ontario Mass Vaccination in Preventing Covid Deaths
90% jabbed since Jan. 2021. Negative outcome to show for it.
“The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became the truth.” ― George Orwell, 1984
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/success-of-ontario-mass-vaccination
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65d527a9-6200-4073-a931-b66a8acaa5b3_782x635.png
Fertilizer issues — burned down food processing plants… culling healthy birds?
All the current trends in regards to this matter are rather worrisome for me. Governments around the world are using faulty PCR tests to cull massive amounts of chicken, while not paying attention to the actual problem (human adaptation).
https://hiddencomplexity.substack.com/p/the-mysterious-case-of-human-avian
Remember – total starvation is a pillar of UEP.
UEP? I thought it is CEP?
Ultimate … changed it cuz of Mithridates poisoning his family wimmin and entourage cuz he didnt want everyone to be tortured/raped by the Romans…. the Elders wont want to be skinned alive by the hordes so kill everyone
Official Government reports suggest the Fully Vaccinated have been suffering Antibody- Dependent Enhancement since the turn of the year
“Official figures show the fully jabbed are up to 2 times more likely to be hospitalised with Covid-19, and 2 times more likely to die of Covid-19, strongly suggesting they have been suffering Antibody-Dependent Enhancement since the beginning of 2022”
https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/04/24/gov-report-fully-vaccinated-suffering-ade-since-new-year
norm are your lymphs swollen?
3 YEARS WORTH OF MIDAZOLAM USED IN A MATTER OF WEEKS TO KILL PATIENTS IN UK
The NHS along with the UK Government colluded to stockpile and administer 3 years supply of this drug to patients who were “treated to death in British and American hospitals”
Please read DR. MIKE YEADON – THE COVID LIES (https://doctors4covidethics.org/the-covid-lies/)
Kill people — scare everyone into taking jabs…. Diabolical!! But I like it
Dr Sam White to fellow Doctors: “Stop what you are doing and speak out”
Plea to fellow doctors as claims against UK Government being taken to police complaints authority
“DR SAM WHITE (https://t.me/iamdrsamwhite) has submitted a case to the police complaints authority in his battle against the Government over alleged crimes in relation to lockdowns and Covid injection harm.
If unsuccessful at the Independent Office for Police Conduct, Dr White plans to take his case to the High Court so the evidence he has gathered can be heard.”
https://uncut.substack.com/p/dr-sam-white-stop-what-you-are-doing
Britons told to get ready for a ‘truly horrific’ winter
As many as four in 10 people in Britain could fall into fuel poverty when the price cap rises again in October, the heads of the nation’s energy companies have told the UK Parliament, the Guardian reported.
Energy company heads have called for more government support for vulnerable households which are facing a “truly horrific” winter.
The chief executive of E.ON UK, Michael Lewis, said that between 30% and 40% of Britons could go into fuel poverty from October when the industry regulator is expected to put up the annual limit on tariffs.
“We are expecting a severe impact on customers’ ability to pay,” Lewis told members of parliament, adding that he expected customers’ debts to rise by 50%, or £800 million ($1.04 billion).
I wonder if testing/jabbing centres will be modified for the coming winter…hang out all day for the free heat….cheap food while getting your flu jab in the morning and c19 jab in the afternoon? Come back as often as you want!
Throw in some free donuts and sludge coffee … and Winning!
Not to worry about freezing this winter in the UK….as all the illegal migrants will be comfortable housed in hotel rooms and well fed…to the tune of over $1B per year cost by the UK government. It is interesting that the $1B amount almost perfectly correlates with the amount given in the article that customers energy debts will increase by $1B.
What Fresh Hell have we here!!!
Dr. Richard Urso: “From [ages] 25 to 44, we saw last quarter of last year an 82% rise in deaths, so there’s a lot of data that’s out there that is very, very troubling… This lipid nanoparticle messenger RNA platform, I don’t care what you attach it to, it is always going to travel everywhere. It’s always going to be a problem. And that’s why you see the distribution of of disorders coming from this after the vaccines affect so many different organ systems because it distributes everywhere.”
https://t.me/VigilantFox/4134
Clot shot hahaha https://t.me/PeterMcCullough/768 How appropriate
Rhode Island Bill S.2552 Would Require Residents to Be Vaccinated or Pay Fines & Double Personal Income Taxes
Violating the proposed vaccine mandate would come with a price. Violators would face “a civil penalty of $50 and shall owe twice the amount of personal income taxes.”
Employers would be responsible for enforcement, requiring workers to provide proof or face a $5,000 fine for each unvaccinated worker.
https://rumble.com/v129gon-ri-bill-would-require-residents-to-be-vaccinated-or-pay-fines-and-double-pe.html
Shanghai… come the f789 on…. https://t.me/DowdEdward/292
An 82% rise in the deaths of 25 to 44 year olds in the US in the last quarter of 2021 doesn’t sound good! Neither does the proposed vaccine mandate in Rhode Island.
if you are injected it sounds alarming… ‘am I next?’
But for those who are not injected… no risk of getting onto that data sheet… life goes on …
This is outstanding — and guess what – the heavy beard gives it away if he is trying to pass as a woman … https://t.me/VigilantFox/4123
What sort of Freak Show are we involved in … terminate all humans asap
Doctor – over 90% of the people in England dying from covid were triple vaccinated https://t.me/VigilantFox/4128
I have norm’s attention — what does norm think?
Let me answer cuz he won’t
norm thinks — well then… I need to get that 4th booster asap!
Duhhhhh….
If our “rulers” were convinced that the planet was grossly underpopulated….how would the “messaging” be different?
Trans/gay/birth control/abortion would be banned/persecuted/ridiculed….
Getting married young and having lots of children would be encouraged…
Environmentalism/feminism etc. would be kooky sideshows at best….
Basically the opposite of all the madness we are seeing now….it does look like every tactic is on the table….if it promises to reduce numbers while limiting infrastructure destruction…it will be used….
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F83123774-4412-44e8-b6ff-015ff0d3e7bc_554x549.jpeg
I am thinking … Klaus has been ‘invented’ to be the villain in the fake Great Reset thing…
There will be no great reset — but it sure sounds good to a lot of people — better than the UEP (which is the real plan) that’s for sure! Notice how there is not the slightest whiff of extermination in the air… the great reset = hope… it brings together all utopian ideals (for many) https://time.com/collection/great-reset/
is new england covid hospitalization data being retroactively adjusted down?
because the data reported by NYT has sure changed a lot in the last week.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/is-new-england-covid-hospitalization
Recall the DOD simply amended the previous years data when faced with a leak that demonstrated massive spikes in deaths and disease in military personal.
Recall that the UK and other countries stopped publishing data altogether when it demonstrated that the vaxxed were realizing much higher infection hospitalization and death rates vs the unvaxxed.
norm doesn’t believe in conspiracies — yet multiple conspiracies aimed at hiding these horrifying outcomes from the vaxxed have been exposed — obviously the reason is to ensure the Pro Vaxxers don’t see this data – as it might stop them from taking boosters
I think it’s not necessary to hide the data — norm and mike see All The Data… does it make them Fear the Boosters???? Nope. They cannot wait to take More Boosters.
CNN and Biden says it’s good stuff… don’t matter what that stooopid data says… CNN and Biden don’t lie!
I am sure that things have been getting very confusing. When my daughter had a baby in a suburb of Boston in January, she was the only one out of the dozen or so women in the maternity ward who did not have COVID. The hospital sent her home early, so as to reduce her chance of catching it from one of the other women in the maternity ward.
Konstantin Föhse et al; key paper swept under the rug, I re-highlight “The BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 reprograms both adaptive and innate immune responses”
Key statement for our purposes: “the mRNA 49 BNT162b2 vaccine induces complex functional reprogramming of innate immune responses, which should be considered in the development…of vaccines”
https://palexander.substack.com/p/konstantin-fohse-et-al-key-paper
The significant increase in cases of hepatitis in young children – are the covid vaccines responsible?
Possibly…
https://bartram.substack.com/p/the-significant-increase-in-cases
Also all the children were unvaccinated and were catching devil germs from their vaxxed parents which ruined them just my opinion about what may have happened i dont think the elders were quite expecting that fast Eddie
I am trying to avoid vaxxed… they are filled with that spike protein and toxic lippo shit … they are no doubt spewing
VENTILATORS for COVID actually killed! Did more harm than good, and thats the irony, in that too, we were misled; I am not saying people were deliberate, but this was a reckless insane policy
I share some reports and the key here is a proper comparative effectiveness study must be commissioned but from all I know, the ventilators failed more than helped and many many died due to it
https://palexander.substack.com/p/ventilators-for-covid-actually-killed
Same as stuffing covid patients into geriatric homes https://www.statnews.com/2021/02/26/cuomos-nursing-home-fiasco-ethical-perils-pandemic-policymaking/
Hmmm… now why would you take sick people and put them into places where there are old people with weak immune systems who are likely to die if they get covid or the flu???????????????????
Maybe you want to pad your death numbers — to scare people — into taking the injections???????
Again over to norm …. come on norm – why put covies into nursing homes – huh????
Nah, that would be cons-piracy, and all normies know that the authorities are too stupid to hatch a cons-piracy, since to secretly devise a plan of attack and execute it requires an IQ of 720 at least (or else be my cats).
Moreover, such Machiavellianism would require being a refined psycho-sociopath, for whom the ends justify all means. And one thing normies know for sure is that psychosociopaths are fictional figures who exist only in Hollywood movies. In the normie’s “real world,” the authorities are invariably well-meaning people whose hearts bleed with concern for the fate of the underprivileged.
NI Stormont elections are to be held on Thurs. May 6. along with council elections in Britain.
> NI Assembly Election 2022 – What the data tells us
I am not breaking any new ground here, but am one of those people that needs to visualise information to actually take it in. So, with that in mind here’s an historical overview of party first preference votes with the Apr 22 LucidTalk poll extension included (data collected in Mar 22). Traditionally, the poll-on-poll comparison compares just that, the voter intention between polls. With the election only circa 2 weeks away from now, I figure this is as close of a snapshot we will get to predict the rise and fall of the parties.
The LucidTalk extension used a sample size of 1,616 responses NI-wide and assumes a 95% confidence level. When asked the question, ‘If a NI Assembly election was held tomorrow which political party would you vote for as first preference?’, the results are shown below.
[see image; SF 7 points above DUP, &c.]
Clearly there is likely to be an inversion of the two big parties, with Sinn Fein comfortably outstripping the DUP by around 7%. Interestingly, the TUV could have seemingly increased its voter intention by around 6.4%, and so appear to be directly tearing strips out of the DUP; not surprising after the recent strategically weak performance by the largest party that seems to have alienated some of it’s more extreme followers. Is it too late to expect a hardening of the DUP position in an attempt win back those voters by 5 May?
As for the UUP and SDLP, they seem to be experiencing similar poll results, with the UUP demonstrating a slightly more stable performance. Interestingly, the Alliance Party are polling strongly, with a 6.9% predicted increase since 2017. Although Alliance shares a similar trajectory and growth as the TUV, it is less clear where their voter increase will likely come from, but it looks to be the result of the combined desertion from the DUP and more modest outflows from the SDLP and Green Party (to a predicted lesser extent) as their first preference vote shares shrink across the board.
Even with the vote transfers we see in the Proportional Representation – Single Transferrable Vote system (PR-STV), closing the potential 7% gap between Sinn Fein and the DUP via this means would be exceptional if not impossible. Indeed, vote share often doesn’t translate directly to Assembly seats, but with a relatively close race between the UUP and SDLP, they will be hoping for transfers to make the difference.
Looking at how parties would designate in the Assembly, when grouped below, the LucidTalk results indicate that it will likely be a close race to claim the highest vote share by community. With a margin of error of +/- 2.3%, it really could go down to the wire.
[image: Unionist 41%, Republican 39%, Other 20% (older voters are more likely to vote and that is factored into projections)]
Notwithstanding that, this election is going to be critical for the continued operation of Stormont as we know it. The DUP’s predicted fall from grace alongside Alliance’s nuclear growth and concurrent call for reform of Stormont’s community designation system, are expected to clash seismically as unionism risks becoming a political and community minority. In fact, the DUP’s paranoia has been well and truly stoked to the size of Larne’s Craigyhill bonfire, by Boris Johnson’s past willingness to throw them under the bus and abandon his fellow unionists. I seriously doubt his recent ‘considering’ of legislation to unilaterally suspend parts of the protocol will be enough to repair the catastrophic damage he has already dealt to the DUP’s hull which is taking on water.
All in all, the next fortnight is going to be political catnip for those that follow it. Despite the LucidTalk poll suggesting that in terms of vote share there is likely to be a combined unionist win, this may not be translated into seats, as is often the case. The result of seats won, and voter share perspectives might just give Sinn Fein its most credible call for a border poll yet. That said, a lot can change in a short period of time, so let’s see how this cookie crumbles and if the parties have any aces to play as the 5 May approaches.
https://sluggerotoole.com/2022/04/24/ni-assembly-election-2022-what-the-data-tells-us/
> ‘Partygate’ payback as Tory support in the Red Wall collapses
Poll findings suggest Conservatives are likely to suffer significant losses in May local elections
The Conservative Party is haemorrhaging support in the Red Wall in the wake of the “partygate” scandal, a new poll has shown, as Boris Johnson prepares for losses at next month’s local elections.
A new poll shows the Tories now command the support of just 38 per cent of Red Wall voters, down from 56 per cent at the last general election in 2019.
The finding calls into question the stability of Mr Johnson’s gains in Red Wall areas, and suggest the Tories will lose a significant number of council seats at the local elections on May 5.
The poll, by the think tank More in Common for The Telegraph, also shows a collapse in support in “Blue Wall” areas populated by traditional Tory voters in the south of England, where the Liberal Democrats are targeting Conservative seats.
The collapse in support for the Conservatives comes after Mr Johnson was fined by the Metropolitan Police for attending his own birthday party in Downing Street in June 2020, and the prospect of more fines to come.
The poll also showed that 61 per cent of the public think that he should resign over the controversy, although voters are divided over when he should leave No10.
Forty two per cent of respondents to the poll said he should resign now, but 19 per cent think he should remain in office while the Government responds to the war in Ukraine.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/04/22/partygate-payback-red-wall-support-wanes-tories/
> Council elections Scotland Poll: SNP tipped for record result in new survey
The SNP are on track for a record result in May’s council elections, according to a new poll.
If the forecast is accurate, Nicola Sturgeon’s party are on course to win the backing of 44 per cent of first preference votes, up from 32% in 2017.
This is almost double those who said they would back Scottish Labour, who are predicted to attract the second-largest share of first preference votes.
According to the Survation Poll for Ballot Box Scotland, 23% would back Anas Sarwar’s party, 18% the Conservatives, 6% the Lib Dems, 3% the Greens.
Alex Salmond’s hopes of establishing Alba as a force in local politics look doomed, with his party predicted to receive 1% of first preference votes – the same number as independent candidates.
Voters were also asked how they would use their second and third preferences. A total of 56% of voters said the SNP would feature in their top three picks, slightly ahead of 52% who would do the same for Labour.
https://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/20044661.council-elections-scotland-poll-snp-tipped-record-result-new-survey/
Labour would need an agreement with SNP to form the next Westminster government on present polling. Next GE is by Jan 2025, although there is now some talk that Boris intends to call a snap GE to avoid a Tory leadership contest, which would be ballsy but fraught.
> Who would win if [a general] election was held today?
How the House of Commons would look according to our latest modelling
In 2019 the Conservatives scored a large electoral win, relegating the Labour party to one of its worst defeats in history. But if in an election was held today, such result would be reversed. Labour would be the largest party.
Lab 301 MPs, Con 254 MPs, Lib Dem, 15 MPs, Others 80 MPs
Latest model prediction: hung parliament
https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2022/03/britainpredicts/
> Boris Johnson ‘plots an early general election to see off his leadership rivals’ as Partygate farce trundles on – while party whips think PM will face a vote of no confidence if the Tories lose key Red Wall by-election
Boris Johnson could ratchet up preparations for an early General Election in an attempt to ease pressure from within his party for a leadership challenge, senior Government sources believe.
Party whips think it is now inevitable that the Prime Minister will face a vote of no confidence if the Conservatives lose the by-election in marginal Wakefield that is expected in June, following weeks of damaging rows over lockdown parties in Downing Street.
Sources believe a total of 46 letters calling for a vote have been sent to Sir Graham Brady, chairman of the backbench Conservative 1922 Committee, just eight short of the total needed. A contest is triggered if a majority of MPs vote for it.
But the Government sources think that if Mr Johnson can hang on until the autumn, the prospect of a potential election in 2023, rather then the expected 2024, will stay the rebels’ hand as it would not leave sufficient time for a new leader to bed in before polling day.
The sources put the odds of Mr Johnson leading the party into the next election at 50-50.
Tensions over the long-running Partygate saga came to a head again last week after MPs backed a Commons inquiry into whether Mr Johnson has misled them.
That followed attempts by No 10, to delay the vote, being abandoned following a rebellion by Tory backbenchers.
It is understood that up to 40 Government Ministers, ministerial aides and senior Tories were prepared to defy Downing Street in a show of strength which could not be ignored.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10746909/Boris-Johnson-plots-early-general-election-leadership-rivals-Partygate-trundles-on.html
Will the self-proclaimed ‘Big Dog’ get put down by popular consent? Will he call an early GE and put LP and SNP straight into power? Will Stormont survive the coming month? Will Nicola break new records? Stay tuned for the next episode of…. UK LOL.
UK politics is like daytime TV, no intelligent person watches it.
Personally I do not watch UK TV at any time of day or night. The entire ‘culture’ is absolutely ghastly. The break up of the British State is certainly a lot more interesting than its day to day or year to year ‘functioning’. Personally I am more interested in broader trends, the long-term patterns, than in short-term details.
The dissolution of the national state seems to be of less significance than the demographic trends that are underway, but still pretty dramatic. A ‘people’ gone is the most dramatic trend, and its state form gone is secondary but still pretty major. It really is fascinating to watch. The ‘responses’ of people to those trends are fascinating too.
Of course, nothing matters unless people think that it matters. Nothing matters without the subject to whom it matters. Facts remain facts, however.
Maybe Masaru Emoto´s book “The Hidden Messages In Water” kan give some hope.
This book looks like it was a New York Times best seller when it came out in 2011. The blurb about the book says,
This is part of one review:
the human body is something like 90+% water
there is no doubt that it can be influenced by thought and words
–hypnotism being typical–, even if we don’t understand how it works.
the earth is a water planet—it may have a form of awareness we do not understand either.
it certainly seems to be in the process of ridding itself of us
You are a little high – typically 60 to 65% body is water by weight
up to 70% in child
also dependent on fat %
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Body_water
perhaps your 90% number is maximum water content of individual cell
https://www.thoughtco.com/chemical-composition-of-the-human-body-603995
other interesting tidbits
Carbon is second biggest part of body mass – Most carbon in form of protien (muscles & skin primarily) & fats – carbohydrates/sugars rapidly converted and free carbs & glycogen and make up less than 1% of mass per link (I had heard approx a lb per other source)
Another fun fact – dna within our body envelope (technically “inside” of our digestive tract is “outside” of body but for this count lets call it contained ++> 60% microbial dna (mostly gut bacteria) & 40% human dna – at least according to leading Research UCSD/Scripps
There are other ways of looking at this ratio per this paper but many more microbial cells compared to human cells and 2 orders magnitude more protien sequences in bacteria than in human cells (scroll down to methods & results)
https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/nih-human-microbiome-project-defines-normal-bacterial-makeup-body
i was making the point, that by the use of thoughts and words directed in the right way, the human body is capable of some very strange responses that we do not fully understand
nothing more than that
That fella is dead right. Possibly explains why new zealanders are the way they are with some of the crappiest water on the planet coming through their taps.
Might be the same book I read a while ago on crystal formations in water as a function of water quality and prayer and affirmations.
Although I am academically trained in sciences with majors in Physics but doing well in Biology and Chemistry, I am open minded enough to accept that this may be true.
If you ask, I believe it in after I have done a lot of research on consciousness.
I am 100% certain that the people who rejected Masaru Emoto´s book “The Hidden Messages In Water” are the same people who accepted that the vaccines are safe and effective.
You catch my points. Don’t you all
All this stuff makes one think that one is dealing with a coronavirus infection in the 1880s.”
Let’s say the so-called “Russian Flu” was a coronavirus. Does it serve as a better lens through which to view the current pandemic than the Spanish Flu? What lessons can we learn? Does it offer any clues to how the COVID-19 pandemic might end—or linger, rather, as viruses tend to?
“If we say maybe the Russian Flu went extinct by a deus ex machina event, the odds are much lower for COVID,” Dr. Arijit Chakravarty, Fractal Therapeutics CEO and COVID researcher, told Fortune.
“We’re past that point.”
The forgotten ‘flu’
When “nobody really dared to predict the trajectory of the COVID pandemic, how it will develop or end”—frustrated by short-term computer simulations with a tendency toward inaccuracy—and looking to glimpse into a COVID-19 crystal ball, Bruessow turned to the past.
What pandemic might serve as the best paradigm for COVID? He first examined the Spanish Flu—but that was a different virus, he reasoned. Traveling backward in history from there, his options were limited, with the Russian Flu being the next chronological option—and, ironically, the first pandemic for which data was collected en masse.
As it turns out, it was a great fit.
“The Russian Flu was actually the best case I could figure out of a respiratory pandemic of a comparable size to COVID that was sufficiently medically documented,” Bruessow said of the disease, thought to have originated in cattle in Turkestan before enveloping the Russian empire and sweeping the world.
While considered a flu at the time, scientists did not yet have a solid grasp on what caused disease, with germ theory arising nearly simultaneously and duking it out with the miasma theory, the pre-scientific notion that disease was caused by “bad air” rising from the ground.
In one of his articles on the ailment, Bruessow refers to a 344-page doctors’ report from 1891 London, which describes Russian Flu patients as suffering from a “hard, dry cough,” fevers of 100-105 degrees, “frontal headache of special severity,” “pains in the eyeballs,” “general feeling of misery and weakness, and great depression of spirits,” and “weeping, nervous restlessness, inability to sleep, and occasional delirium.”
As with COVID, children seemed relatively spared, often only mildly affected, if they fell ill at all. Those who were elderly—in addition to those with pre-existing conditions like heart disease, tuberculosis, or diabetes—were more apt to take a fatal course, Bruessow wrote.
And there’s more: Nearly 10% of cases saw continued symptoms, referred to by European doctors of the time as “long enduring evil effects.”
As with COVID, it was noted that patients were likely infectious before developing symptoms, and were occasionally reinfected, as was the case with a patient who fell ill with the “flu” in December 1889 in France, and then again a month later in January 1890 in England.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/curious-covid-19-end-meet-173153195.html
We are living in a pandemic era that began around 1918,” they wrote 13 years ago—long before the advent of COVID-19.
Bruessow agrees with Fauci and his colleagues that “viruses do not simply disappear.”
“They change and hopefully they adapt and behave,” Bruessow said. “But there are still some escapes, and we might see a return with higher virulence. Vigilance is indicated.”
Chakravarty is of a similar mindset but cautions that one can’t draw too many inferences from any particular pandemic, regardless of similarities.
“Each new pandemic, new plague is a new chapter in the history books,” he said. “Your mileage may vary.”
But one thing remains constant.
“There’s no two-year timeline for pandemics,” he warned.
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
Pandemics have been around for a long time, it seems. Now we think we know more than we really do.
And when pandemics go around with the help of biolabs, they work definitely better.
@potatohead has some real practical and insightful experience related to the food fires under these two articles. basically thinks its a perfect storm of lack of maintenance, experienced workers retiring and such.
https://hiddencomplexity.substack.com/p/a-small-list-of-coincidences/comments?s=r
https://hiddencomplexity.substack.com/p/beyond-mathematical-odds-chaos-engineering/comments?s=r
When profits aren’t quite enough, corners are cut. When corners are cut in a plant with high temperatures and a lot of flammable materials, something is bound to go wrong. Once a fire starts, it is hard to stop.
@Hobbs
Often, when the change is made, the leaders die in the struggle for the change and some of the lesser members of the old ruling class sneak into the reformers, often using an assumed name.
They bide their time until the fervor ends and strike when the time is right.
They never believed in change and reform ; all they wanted was continuing their dominance, so when their time comes they turn everything as if nothing had happened.
Stalin read Victor Hugo’s book 1793, which tells the victory of the Vendee rebellion and how the old order survived there, and weeded out all the younger generations of the nobles later and now the former nobles in Russia are not too important. But only he managed to do it in the history of the world. In China, the descendants of the former landowners have gained a lot of power back in the countryside thru the help pf their kinsfolk who left for Taiwan or other countries.
As they say, “There is more than one way to skin a cat.” If colleagues of those who were previously in power want to stick around after a revolution, there may be ways they can do this.
Perhaps it has more to do with aptitude; some of us are patient, we are not grasshoppers.
I see it in land and farms, the successful ones are also families; church plays a part. Church not far from my farm is very close, meat ball dinner yesterday, lot filled, it is a large lot.
Owning a business or land is different from a job; had a job shortly after first retirement, found in most amazing to see money deposited in my checkbook ever two weeks, magic.
Dennis L.
‘Everything must change, so that nothing will change’, as the prince says in the Italian novel ‘The Leopard’.
John Wesley’s mother reportedly hand 30 children, although I suspect some of them were foundlings which the pastor’s wife took as her own. (A lot of old accounts of women having lots of children are women running orphanages and taking the children as their own.)
Out of which, only three (not including John) left descendants.
One managed to marry a landowner. Another married an engineer who emigrated to America. And the last,Charles Wesley, was a successful christian hymn composer of the day but even his line continues thru one surviving child.
That’s how things worked in the old days. It didn’t matter how many children one had, since if you didn’t have property they didn’t go too far.
If that it’s true, I think that it is really a pity that these boys in good health are wasting their BEST YEARS in a Country on the other side of the planet, risking their lives, while they could be useful for themselves and their loved ones at home.
‘American mercenaries in Ukraine ask for money on Instagram for ammunition and food’
https://t.me/intelslava/26593
The news has been originally posted here: https://voxnews.info/2022/04/24/mercenari-americani-in-ucraina-chiedono-soldi-su-internet-siamo-alla-fame/
Best years is too strong a word. The war is barely two months old. And the salary is unbelievable. Maybe they believed the propaganda at home too much, but a lot of other young people are dying in the West for believing propaganda. We have to accept that western idiots will often die. And all this pales compared to the coming worldwide famines. so they get little pity from me.
I’m so confused. If they’re not being paid does that mean they’re not mercenaries? I thought mercenaries were well paid? Should I start a charity similar to those sponsor a child programs? You’ll get a picture and a note from your mercenary and find out how your $2 a day is helping. You can put the picture on your fridge and know you’re making a difference.
Ok but seriously? Why would anyone willingly go to a hellhole meat grinder like that? Did they feel inspired by watching TV news and decided it was a good idea? Maybe it’s tough to find ‘contractor’ work with Afghanistan and Iraq winding down? Is there money being dangled in front of their faces only to be cheated out of it? So much of this conflict is difficult to understand.
The funniest TV report yet was on a local news report about a group setting out to the Ukraine to join up with the resistance fight by volunteer recruitment. Showed an old guy smiling broadly as he signed a relief…I’m going to be 60 in a few months and just made the cut because anyone over 60, as we leaped with arms reaching upwards!
I think that the recruits should be 60 and OVER…they can afford to be cannon fodder.
As for myself, was lucky to miss all wars … Vietnam was over by the time I graduated High School and decided to go to Community College, cheap back in the 70s, instead of the Navy.
Fighting in a war should be a must before people are allowed to collect their pension
Hand to hand combat, fought entirely by triple-jabbed pensioners, would end conflicts rather quickly. It has my vote.
I suspect that these young people didn’t have jobs available to them that would pay very well. It would be hard to support a family on them, for example. The idea may have sounded exciting.
Young men in Britain seemed to sign up to be soldiers back at the time WWI started, when wages in the coal mines were way too low. Eventually, there was a law passed to prevent this from happening, if I remember correctly.
Gail,
The only job I ever really wanted was as a fighter pilot, planned on newly opened Air Force Academy. Excellent vision, excellent eye hand coordination, vision changed in late high school, myopia; if Huberman is to be believed, maybe secondary to not enough sun light.
Was a resident at a VA hospital, Vietnam War period, many young men came home with fewer parts than when they left. It is a test of manhood.
A second father to me, very devout Methodist, didn’t swear, drink etc. enlisted WWII, B17 bomber pilot, two tours over Europe, volunteered for a third, was refused sent home as an instructor. His landings in Europe were mostly controlled crashes, parts of plane missing, one copilot missing secondary to a cannon shell through his seat; they always gave him the keys to a new one and off he went into the wild blue yonder. He really liked that job, wore the top part of the DFC on his suit lapel every Sunday, he taught Sunday School.
Dennis L.
@Norman
Fortunately there is a good measure of who is ‘rich’ and who is not.
In 1776, the territory of New Jersey gave white men who owned property over 50 Pound Sterling the right to vote, a measure which was adopted by what would become the US states.
https://www.crf-usa.org/bill-of-rights-in-action/bria-8-1-b-who-voted-in-early-america
While 50 pound is now about 8,000 pounds according to economists, in USA things were kinda cheaper because of the immigrants and slave labor, so in some states 50 acres of land was seen as the equivalent for 50 pounds. So, 1 pound = 1 acre, and if you owned 50 acres of land you were considered ‘rich’.
Average value of a farmland in USA = $4,420/acre.
https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/Todays_Reports/reports/land0821.pdf
So 50 pounds is about $220,000 now, or 140,000 pounds.
New Jersey had a pop of 180k in 1790. About 2,000 people could vote.
Since the upper crust of USA maintained strong relation with UK even after its independence, 50 pounds as the threshold as a ‘human’ and a ‘subhuman’ would have stood in London as well. (At that time UK had bizarre voting standard which differed by prescient so it is harder to generalize.)
IN Japan, which copied the general laws of Europe, when voting was introduced in 1889 only those who paid a property tax of 15 yen or more could vote. At that time a skilled worker earned 0.50 yen/day, and an unskilled worker earned 0.25 yen/day, So, after everything, a property which incurs 15 yen of property tax would be worth roughly equivalent to $200,000 now.
I think that gives a threshold about who is rich and who is not.
—–
Of course the mans of disposing the disenfranchised, the propertyless and the downtrodden will be established as available resources go down.
My ancestors were at the tail end of Soviet expansion and even though all the property was lost in 1945, they taught me the tricks of owning a vast estate, a skill I intend to use when the time comes. I have no family so I only have to care about myself, and that skill will keep me out of starvation.
I have stories to tell but the crucial thing is property owners DO NOT TOLERATE anything which will damage their property values, human, animals , or whatnot.
During the Clearances, the poor ran and hid but the squire’s employees rounded up, kicked them out with nothing more than the clothes they wore, and killed them if they were too unruly. And the central government, formed by people with property, approved the action.
I can go on and on but will stop by mentioning Gregory Clark, who spent his life proving only the descendants of landowners and successful merchants continued their lines and the lines of lower classes died off.
The entire family line of the Shakespeare clan continues through a sister’s son who emigrated to USA. William was one of the 9 siblings, but he and all of his siblings except the one emigrating to USA did not leave descendants for more than 2 generations.
Interesting! It was only a few rich (men) who could vote.
I know that Keith has posted articles before saying that it was the children of the rich who were disproportionately represented in offspring who survived.
the children of the rich have always had disproportionately higher survival rates
thats just common sense
better food, care, in every respect. At the start of WW1, boys from the wealthier class were 6” taller that the poorer kids. This is documented.
they in turn, usually by force of arms, governed nations, and saw to it that their mode of government held sway.
universal suffrage only came in when there was no other choice.
the industrial revolution created factories—factories needed workers—workers demanded ‘rights’–something they couldn’t get when scattered on farms. Same happened after WW1–men got killed, so women demanded ‘rights too.
now things are sliding back
the momentum of the industrial revolution is dying, and autocratic rulers are rising up again. These factors are not unconnected.
Just as in the USA disenfranchisement is happening, and women’s bodies are becoming politicised, All part of the same thing.
I keep hearing talk of interest rates to climb up to 8 percent. Is that possible?
Interest rates were well over 8% in 1980-1981. One website says, “Interest rates reached their highest point in modern history in 1981 when the annual average was 16.63%, according to the Freddie Mac data.”
https://ourfiniteworld.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/US-3-month-and-10-year-interest-rates-to-Feb-28-2022.png
People put a huge amount down when they bought a home. Sometimes they were able to “assume” a mortgage that a prior owner had taken out. Mostly, housing sales stopped. Building of new homes and factories slowed down greatly. Oil prices dropped.
yes but the government debt was not so high nor were housing prices so high!!!!
> Andrei Martyanov: General Tommy Franks and Geopolitical Reality
Nuclear false flag, timing and victory in Ukraine
I agree that a nuclear false flag is in the cards now. small devices have been, IMO, already used in Ukraine 2014, Yemen 2015, and possibly in Afghanistan. The one in Lebanon 2020 was probably nuclear but not a fission device.
Fusion then? I remember seeing that explosion, it was big, but could it have been an air-fuel bomb? If not fission or fusion, then it would just be a dirty bomb, but that would not account for the small mushroom cloud.
I think it was a fusion device using the (p,7Li) nuclear fusion reaction. This does generate prompt gammas but no radioactive isotopes or free neutrons. There was an accident at Sandia Lab in 2007 I think, while guys were trying this one. Not as portable as a fission bomb but still within the realm of possible (about 2 meters in size). The shockwave was clearly coherent (as seen in many videos), and the crater consistent with a point-like explosion. Both facts reject the ammonium nitrate hypothesis. But there was no excess radiation afterwards.
Maybe someone can summarize what General Tommy Franks is saying, for me.
It’s a problem that a lot of the interesting people making videos seem to assume that we all have 1 or 2 hours to sit and watch them.
Even a podcast of that length is a bit much.
The ‘Resistance’ need to tighten up their act.
Exactly!
It is 25 minutes long. Persons either have that much interest in the ongoing war or they do not. Perhaps their attention span depends on the time of day. There is no need to watch a video the instant that it is offered, one can always pick one’s own time to view. Or not view it, no one is forcing them.
He is not very information dense. Alex Mercouris lasts typically 45 minutes but packs a lot more info.
Yes, Andre is pretty easy viewing. I chill back on the sofa/ do some cooking or something with him on the TV and watch/ just listen on the headphones while I work.
I tried some other bloke last night, and he spent the full first five minutes going on about [other stuff] rather than just getting on with it, so I switched him off there and then! LOL
Andre is a pleasant, pertinent listen who gets on with it and in an easy to process manner. I find no faults with him. I will often give it a second listen.
Alex Mercouris is a Russian shill. A complete liar who salivates over all Russian attacks and murders from the safety of his home in London.
Fortunately we have CNN and the New York Times counteracting all the disinfo Alex puts out.
Btw. I would not lump myself in with some amorphous ‘resistance’. I doubt that the ‘stance’ of most people interests me that much. The subjectivity of other people does not really do that much for me. I am more interested in my own subjectivity, and particularly in my own objectivity. The mind is an interesting organ when viewed ‘from the inside’. Other people are just external data. LOL Except for persons close to me, obviously, although I do not take their opinions that seriously, either. Civilisation is largely about tolerance and politeness, and that is how I tend to proceed. LOL
Interestingly (at least it is for me), I am finding that while people I engage with who are in favor of the jabs are usually not willing to listen to my anti-jab opinions, people who “believe” in the Ukraine narrative are quite willing to be convinced that the MSM are a bunch of serial liars who are not to be believed.
It has happened three times in the past week. Somebody has brought up the subject of Ukraine and how cruel and horrible the Russians are being, and I have sat them down and given them a long lesson in how the MSM operates, on East European history and on how the US and its global protection racket operates.
And mainly because I have an incredible number of historical facts and perspective at my fingertips while they couldn’t find Ukraine on a map of Europe, they have been quite willing to accept that I know a lot more about the subject than they do.
When I try the same tactic on the Covid issue or the Global W issue or the nine 11 issue, I get a lot of pushback. They point out, quite correctly, that I am not an expert or an accredited authority on the subject and they insist that the experts are in agreement and that their judgement should be respected.
But with Ukraine, after hearing they are willing to admit the fallibility or even the duplicity of the experts they see on TV or read in the newspapers. There are definitely cracks appearing in the narrative that are big enough for a lot of normies to notice. Whether TPTB can remedy this by upping their game remains to be seen.
I will be honest that jabs do not really interest me that much. What other people do is really up to them. I am not their minder. I am not responsible for public health and neither do I feel myself to be. No more than I am going to tell people what to eat or what exercise to take. If other people are more into the jabs thing then that is up to them. We are varied.
I was interested in the unwillingness of governments to take seriously the genetic evidence about susceptibility to severe outcomes, and the role of Neanderthal genes, and to consider targeting the vulnerable. As I say, it is not my responsibility, but I would have seriously considered other approaches than mass, untargeted vaccines. It is not really my interest, anyway.
It takes a lot to get me really interested in a subject. Geopolitical wars obviously do it for me while vaccine campaigns do not really. It is just how it is.
If people want to inject an experiment into themselves… I generally don’t care — I just think they are really f789ing stoooopid…
That said, I’d prefer family members and friends reject the injections — I really don’t want to have to listen them moan about their wrecked bodies whenever we do a video call — and if they were to die there’s the hassle and cost of sending flowers to the funerals… and that sorry for your loss BS when really what you want to say is I Told You So….
That is a good approach that saves you a lot of grief, Mirror. Specially with family.
@MOTW
It would seem that your disinterest in jabs comes from you not having to choose between your health or your job. Unless of course you are jabbed.
Two people in my family lost their jobs for their health. Makes it more personal. Though the good side of that is it taught my children not to trust the government and that life is not fair so get used to it.
Gn. Franks said of Feith: “I have to deal with the f/cking stupidest guy on the face of the earth almost every day.”
Gn. Franks was the Commander of the US Central Command who led military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq under GW Bush. Douglas Feith was the under secretary of Defense Policy at the time, and the architect of the Iraq War.
Andre is making the point that the Pentagon has not got a clue what it is doing. He argues that the situation at the Pentagon has not improved, and that a nuclear false flag in the Ukraine cannot entirely be ruled out.
This is a worry:
the Pentagon has not got a clue what it is doing.
As the United States collapses it major institutions will become more unpredictable and corrupt.
It’s big corporations will cheat and steal more. Look for a story about cat meat in McDonald’s burgers as the tipping point.
Note to Censor: Hope the above does not infringe publishing guidelines on OFW.
Existing technology (Perdido oil rig for example) allows oil drilling in water depths of ~1.5 miles. Most of the earth’s oceans are at depths of 2-3 miles, but there are also large portions slightly below that. So, doesn’t that mean we can still expect to find and exploit huge untapped reserves with current technology and near-term improvements?
This blows the entire near-term peak-oil thesis apart. Don’t retort with cost to extract unless you can give some hard numbers – I would imagine that if there’s a Saudi Arabia under the water, it’s going to be a much better EROI than shale was and shale has been a huge economic boon.
So, problem solved and continue BAU?
PS – as of 2015 (I haven’t found more recent numbers yet), offshore production was 30% of global volumes and ultra-deepwater (> 1 mile) was ~2% of total production. This can be expected to rise and is probably higher since that data 7 years ago. I am now much less fatalistic about our near-term prognosis!
I am not an expert in deep water drilling, but I suspect the 1,5 miles is true only in special cases. There is a new Saudi Arabia off the coast of Brazil, and it has been known since 2007 at least. But maybe these new platforms can not cope with15 meters waves. I note all existing platforms are in shallow seas and well anchored to the floor. I assume these deep water ones would be floating.
again
and again
oil isn’t the problem
finding ways to convert it into something useful we can afford is the problem
I think we do not have the technology to make floating oil rigs.
I read last night that (Shell? Exxon? I forget) is building submersible storage for deep water drilling to get around the problem of large waves in deep water. I assume the rig itself is not submersible, though.
Ya and many years ago I read how Japan would be energy self-sufficient by hauling energy crystals from deep under the ocean and burning them… update on that please
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20181119-why-flammable-ice-could-be-the-future-of-energy
I’m working on capturing Fairy Farts — and burning them .. stay tuned
Not knowing about this particular thing but from a broader perspective I had a slight idea that some “unknown” energy source is waiting to be put out at some time because if you look at how all govenments behave like there is no energy shortage of some kind looming, they might know something we do not yet know. ( I mean if we put the CEP aside for a second)
Just my 2 cts….
Without going deeper in the matter I see a huge discrepancy of “information” online in “we have not been on the moon” and “alien crafts or technology”.
That does not compute for me…
Back to your topic “We drill more and are safe” against “we drill less to be safe from Climate change” also does not compute for me.
well… just lamenting about my poor twisted mind here…
Studies show that shale oil has a pretty decent EROEI. The EROEI issue doesn’t really explain what is happening. The problem is all costs, including needed reinvestment costs and taxes, that is really important. This has to be evaluated relative to the oil price that the market can sustain.
What we need is oil that can be sold for $50 per barrel, or better yet, $20 per barrel. We really need conventional oil from good locations for this to happen.
there are no good locations left
that was ‘last century’
and even if we did have ‘cheap oil, there’s no other cheap stuff we can combine with it to make anything usable
when oil was cheap, wages were far lower.
if cheap oil was produced right now, workers would still demand 21st c wages to be ongoing.
few recognise that wages are delivered by constant leapfrogging of oil (and commodity) prices–and have been so since Ford started paying $5 a day.
He (and everyone else) could only do that by delivering products in colossal volume.
But he ignored the ‘forever’ bit.
Unfortunately we have now arrived at ‘forever’
and found it was just a mirage after all.
Norm do yo think we are there now? Do we have 10 more good years left?
tbh—in 05 i thought we might have ’10 good years left’–because 05 was peak year in conventional oil, and i assumed it would be downhill all the way after that.
but fracking marginally kept things afloat—and i hadn’t looked at it very rationally anyway
then in 2015 i was thinking the same thing
but as far back as 2011/13 i was being asked the question ‘when’?—and i could only come up with the answer mid 2020s.
i could be wrong again.
I offer mid 2020s because we seem to be facing political disintegration everywhere. That seems to be the key factor. That drive conflict of denial. (i’ve been forecasting wars of denial for years)
Russia sees the end of its oil dominance, so must grab territory that produces the only real alternative energy—food.
American loonytoon politics is also a war of denial (Jan 6th is a case in point)
Until this century the USA had a reasonably democratic government system–now they are at war with each other.
Commodity prices are destabilising the system. Ordinary life is becoming unaffordable–people blame governments, not themselves. Prosperity is something to be voted into office….except that it isn’t.
Energy collapse will make that a hot war between states.
It will be different in the EU–but the outcome will be the same—And in China. and other marginal nations.
Covid has disrupted an already fragile economic system. I don’t see how it can rebuild itself.
“I could be wrong again” is the only true thing that this user called Norm has ever written on this blog. Peak oil is a religion and oil is almost infinite. World continues the same long after all people alive today are gone.
oh come now–the date on my comment was accurate too.
i always freely admit to the possibility of being wrong
but if you choose to exist in the alice in wonderland world where you choose not to know the difference between the price of oil and the value of oil—
then i must allow you to wallow on, and enjoy it.
nothing i can do.
“Peak oil is a religion and oil is almost infinite.”
If that’s so, then almost infinite oil must be a death cult.
it is a death cult
because we will fight to the death to prove it is infinite
because we are in the hands of the elite–the cabal—the elders
Read All About It!
Norman believes in “the elite–the cabal—the elders”!
And there I was thinking it was all a moonbat con-spicy-theory.
I kept getting confused with EROEI, the thermodynamic feasibility of expending one barrel of oil energy to obtain greater than 1 barrel of useable energy whereas EROI from a financial standpoint can go negative for a longer period of time supported by debt. But it’s like being placed in a frozen environment. Initially your body will try to conserve heat in its core by constricting flow and dissipation of heat to the arms and legs and the blood flow to your brain and heart are prioritized, just consumers will have to prioritize their expenditures from discretionary items to core essentials of food, energy and water.
you cant have a ‘financial EROI’
but you can have financial ROI
increase in ‘wealth’ in actual terms can only be derived from someone, somewhere converting one energy form into another
that conversion process can take many forms.
if i was a famous artist, i could take a few £$ of paint and canvas and get a million times return on my energy investment.–ie the enegy used in converting the paint into something of real value . That would be EROI–i expended energy and got a return on it.
But if i was an investor, and bought the painting and resold it again for more money-that would be ROI–return on investment. I expended no energy in real terms. If i had to sell the painting at a loss–that would be negative ROI
same applies to anything else
corn futures for instance
Hubbs, EROI just means EROEI. Writing “energy” a second time is redundant and can be omitted. From Wikipedia:
“In energy economics and ecological energetics, energy return on investment (EROI), also sometimes called energy returned on energy invested (ERoEI), is the ratio of the amount of usable energy (the exergy) delivered from a particular energy resource to the amount of exergy used to obtain that energy resource.”
Peak oil is a myth that has been debunked countless times. Oil is not and can’t be a problem because the reserves are so big and the possibilities to extract so efficient that the only thing needed to pump more is to simply throw money at it. For example if oil becomes 200$ suddenly there will be massive production because producers will want to sell as much as they can for profit. Production is being limited by politics. There is enough spare capacity to continue BAU until 2100 despite the priests of peak oil religion of this blog telling otherwise. The doomers are addicted to preaching doom, this is nothing new. Oil, Gas, Coal are in quantities that will last hundreds of years and this is a fact. Once the war is over and the fake pandemic is over, expect 50 $ oil. Screenshot this comment and see you in 2025 at 50$ oil.
‘throwing money at it’ is a common mistake.
‘money’ is just tokenised energy
so if you are ‘throwing money’ at something, what you are actually doing is ‘throwing energy’ at it
so–depending on the oil that flows from the well, if you throw more energy (in the form of cash) than you get out of the well, in the form of oil/energy you can convert back into cash, your oilwell is in fact a dead loss.
you might as well leave the oil in the ground
which the future fate of all our energy resources.
we will never run out of oil—what we will run out of is affordable oil.
Ah I get it! This is a very sophisticated psyop code name Sarc.
Uh … no. Shale is on the precipice of a total implosion… the crisis is now .. it can’t wait for maybe we can extract more deep sea oil.
In case you hadn’t noticed we are being put down now…
i am now caught in the dilemma of agreeing with eddy—or slitting my wrists
It sure looks like it. I noticed on George Gammons you tube he believes that there is a ton of oil as well….It is the greenies and their limits to growth nonsense! They just want to push their liberal agenda through climate change !!!! This argument is pushed on Zero Hedge as well…..
Believe me I want it to be true but mathematically it seems impossible….wages around the world would have to increase dramatically and they aren’t.
The belief that we can actually extract the huge amount of fossil fuels that seem to be in the ground seems to be well-embedded in people. It is really hard to see that there is an affordability limit. Fossil fuels have to be used in many ways simultaneously, and it is the simultaneous use that gets us into trouble. Also, the more the population, the more that has be be used in irrigation, pollution control, and fertilizer. The problem is more difficult than “IF the EROEI is less than 10, it won’t work.” The required EROEI keeps rising, as population rises.
The point about simultaneous, profitable and affordable use, in a very complex economy is very important.
Oil is not like the wood in a forest: we can visit a wood regularly to gather firewood from fallen limbs and trees, or cutting the quick-growing thorn bushes, bringing it home on our backs, leaving most trees to stand untouched until seasonal harvesting comes round in 5 years, 10 or 30, etc, when the heavy equipment is needed for cutting and transport.
In the case of the forest, exploitation is seasonal, and requires different levels of energy and skill to do. The axes, wedges and hammers, as well as heavy wagons, will be as good if unused for 20 years, as they can be safely stored and easily maintained. Untouched trees will actually grow in value, so long as they do not grow so old as to rot from within at the end of their lives.
Oil and other ff reserves, however, need to be exploited full-tilt if it is to be worth doing at all, must be fed into a great variety of commercial uses, and the tools used cannot be mothballed until needed.
Agree with your analysis of consequences of our growing oil shortage: Famine and political turmoil are only months rather than years away. See
https://www.thisnannuplife.net/less_4_f_is_for_famine/
In another post below I have argued that Russia’s invasion reflects there own, climate related issues with sustaining oil production. Permafrost melts, pipelines fail…. See
https://www.thisnannuplife.net/why-war-why-now/
In the second one, you lost me at “NATO has no intention of admitting Ukraine”.
I looked at your first post. It is a very fine post, about food, fuel, and fertilizer being linked to famine. Thanks for posting a link. You say,
“In summary, the next 12 months will see roughly 10% less food, fertiliser and fossil fuels to share around the globe – a triple whammy for both prices and access – particularly for the Global South.”
I agree that this is a critical issue. You have some nice illustrations. I particularly like the one of money replacing food.
https://www.thisnannuplife.net/content/images/2022/03/MoneyPlate.jpeg
Peter, your analysis in “why war, why now?” is in large part nonsensical regurgitation of that idiot Peter Zeihan. The only thing you got right is Russia’s terrible demographics. There are too many issues to argue each one, but I’ll say this: if you’re going to make assertions, figure out if they’re true, first! Many things you wrote are readily proven false if you just look at, for example, Russian economic data, rather than just repeating what you heard on YouTube.
it seems obvious
Putin is grabbing what he can, while he can
Union Vote coming up tomorrow. Amazon warehouse employees in New York
https://consortiumnews.com/2022/04/14/amazon-lashes-back-in-staten-island-warehouses/
The company has billed itself as the everything store. Now Amazon is the throw-everything-at-them union-buster — trying every trick in the playbook to throttle worker organizing at its Staten Island warehouses in New York City.
The union vote at a second warehouse, a neighboring sorting center known as LDJ5, is set to start April 25, so the company has turned its focus there.
“All those union-busters that were there to union-bust 8,000 workers at JFK8 have walked across the street and are in our little building of 1,600 people,” a visibly shaken Madeline Wesley, who works at LDJ5, told reporters at a press conference last week. “They’re really fighting us, and they’re playing really dirty.”
Here’s the USDA’s APHIS page re: Highly Pathogenic Avian Flu
31 million fowl thus far. Has a list of detections by day, location, flock description.
https://www.aphis.usda.gov/aphis/ourfocus/animalhealth/animal-disease-information/avian/avian-influenza/hpai-2022/2022-hpai-commercial-backyard-flocks
It looks like Iowa has been hit hardest. The South, other than Texas, has mostly been spared so far.
It’s a good think the CovIDIOTS will all be suffering from VAIDS and too sick to do anything … cuz when they realize what’s been done to their bodies – and better still – their kids … they would otherwise unhinge and go on a murderous rampage…. hahahahaha
This might be news to many members of the public, but it is a long-accepted scientific fact that lipid nanoparticles used to deliver the mRNA in ‘vaccines’ can be toxic. In fact, that is the very reason why some big pharmaceutical companies strategically focused on using them as vaccine technologies instead of for gene therapies and to deliver drugs. A good quality vaccine, such as those used in the mandated childhood series, only require one or two doses for a person’s lifetime. It was assumed the same would hold true for mRNA vaccines. Repeated administration of lipid nanoparticles, especially over a limited period of time, is known to be toxic.
This was openly discussed with the media prior to the declared COVID-19 pandemic, but many people are either unaware of this or have forgotten. This included an interview with the Chief Executive Officer of Moderna and others in the biotechnology industry. Here are quotes from the hyperlinked article:
“In nature, mRNA molecules function like recipe books, directing cellular machinery to make specific proteins. Moderna believes it can play that system to its advantage by using synthetic mRNA to compel cells to produce whichever proteins it chooses. In effect, the mRNA would turn cells into tiny drug factories. It’s highly risky. Big pharma companies had tried similar work and abandoned it because it’s exceedingly hard to get RNA into cells without triggering nasty side effects.”; “Delivery — actually getting RNA into cells — has long bedeviled the whole field. On their own, RNA molecules have a hard time reaching their targets. They work better if they’re wrapped up in a delivery mechanism, such as nanoparticles made of lipids. But those nanoparticles can lead to dangerous side effects, especially if a patient has to take repeated doses over months or years. Novartis abandoned the related realm of RNA interference over concerns about toxicity, as did Merck and Roche”.
https://viralimmunologist.substack.com/p/a-moratorium-on-mrna-vaccines-is?r=lcwte&utm_medium=ios&s=r
” lipid nanoparticles used to deliver the mRNA in ‘vaccines’ can be toxic”.
This is a good point. It is a major reason why multiple boosters are a problem.
We go to norm and mike for the viewpoint of a Pro Vax Booster Lover…
Fellas – you’ve seen the evidence from the same people who are authorizing the Boosters — the shit in them is dangerous… does this give you pause for thought?
Will you continue to take more boosters?
If so why – cuz they make you more likely to die…https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=1621
I am truly interested in the responses to these questions. I am keen to understand what people who inject what is very obviously a poison into their bodies … that puts their lives at risk… are thinking .. Am I missing something? Please enlighten us….
ive had a letter asking me to book a booster eddy
but i dont think i can afford another new tyre
A counter to antivax views:
https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/lipid-nanoparticles-in-covid-19-vaccines-the-new-mercury-to-antivaxxers/
Somewhere in the world they are offering the 5th dose of the Covid Injection…
I recommend you solicit funds for an air ticket and go get your next injection – let me know when it’s live – I’ll donate https://www.givesendgo.com/
I enjoy reading about vax injuries… never get tired of that stuff…
BAM Jab away, many survive perfectly well without needing these ‘treatments’ by using conventional, cheap, safe, available medicine and medical knowledge. It’s the Jabbageddonites that you need to convince to keep calm, no small feat once they realise reality for themselves. They WILL want payback, but they won’t be visiting those wise enough to abstain.
Sent this comment to a buddy of mine:
Prosci
Apr 14, 2022 at 9:08 pm
I can attest to the unsustainable situation in electronics. It’s not just microchip. TI, Atmel, Xilinx, Altera and many more are quoting 52 to 104 week lead times.
I have customers buying development kit assemblies just to harvest parts for reuse on their product. It appears demand destruction is just around the corner.
He replied:
talked to my cousin he is a plant manager for GM he said these numbers are spot on .
Ouch!
There is a pipeline of committed agreements to buy and to provide. We need to know how big are the new orders compared to the existing orders. Maybe 10%? Not an end to the world not an end to these businesses.
A Small list of Coincidences
Living in a sea of serendipity
https://hiddencomplexity.substack.com/p/a-small-list-of-coincidences
Nice list
“Men are so simple and so much inclined to obey immediate needs that a deceiver will never lack victims for his deceptions.” -Niccolo Machiavelli
Yep. norm mike… hahahaha
https://roundingtheearth.substack.com/p/confirmation-of-the-efficacy-illusion
A little known story about Machiavelli is that he was once propositioned by what he took to be a (sort of) hottie in a dark nook: so, being a simple man, he took immediate advantage.
To his horror, in daylight she was far from lovely…..
Richard Burton the actor tells a similar tale in his diary.
Don’t we all have such episodes in our history? Simple men indeed!
Mrs Naugentick of Maude TV fame played by actress Hermione Baddeley was a player in her day. Looks only go so far…
She had a relatively brief relationship with actor Laurence Harvey, a man 22 years her junior. Although Harvey proposed marriage to her, Baddeley thought the age difference was too great and declined.[11]
Double standards…you go Cougars
What is fascinating is if you go through the entire video you will see some countries – mostly in Africa – very low vax rate … very minimal excess deaths
https://metatron.substack.com/p/covid-requiem-aeternam?s=r
norm – mike? can we have your input
or did you watch and rush to the vax centre to beg for another shot?
Endurance (substacker) takes it Back to the Basics.
https://endurancea71.substack.com/p/back-to-basics?s=r
mid-post, Endurance has this list
It is a racing certainty that SARS COV 2, the formulation that gives rise to Covid, was created in a lab funded, at least in part, by Fauci and the National Institute of Health (NIH).
How do we know that Covid exists? Because the Chinese told us and then the likes of the CDC, and the WHO confirmed it. That’s how precarious the entire premise is.
The WHO changed the definition of pandemic to include non-lethal diseases.
The ‘vaccine’, to a disease that was allegedly novel prior to the end of 2019, had already been patented by Moderna prior to the ‘pandemic’.
The PCR test is wholly unreliable, not only in detecting the correct pathogen but also in determining whether it is live (and capable of causing disease) or dead and therefore harmless. It is a secondary diagnostic tool, not a primary one.
The ‘vaccine’ is not a vaccine. Vaccines prevent infection and transmission; these treatments do neither. mRNA technology is historically identified as experimental gene therapy.
Because they are not a vaccine, they are not eligible for an Emergency Use Authorisation (EUA), which was nonetheless granted. The EUA is illegal for this reason.
An EUA cannot be granted to a ‘vaccine’ if there are other effective treatments available. The rationale, sensibly, is that the risk is not justified as the EAU can only apply to a drug that has not received full approval.
Hydroxychloroquine, ivermectin, azithromycin, vitamin D, zinc and others besides are effective early treatments for Covid. Ivermectin is effective at any stage of the disease. The ‘vaccines’ are therefore disqualified from Emergency Use on these grounds also.
Hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin were the prescription drugs of choice in the early stages of 2020. This is because they were known to be effective against SARS and they were fully approved drugs, able to be used for off label treatment.
The FDA and other regulatory bodies around the world retrofitted EUAs to Hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin. There is no regulatory pathway for these actions. A drug that is approved has never been then downgraded for a specific off label treatment.
Regulatory bodies, supervised by the WHO, ran two large trials (Recovery and Solidarity) which overdosed patients with lethal levels of hydroxychloroquine. Scores of patients died. The EUA for hydroxychloroquine was withdrawn.
A regulatory body, by definition, has responsibility for policing the regulations. When it goes beyond those regulations, without authority, it loses its legitimacy and should be ignored.
There is no scientific evidence for the efficacy of masking.
There is no scientific evidence for the efficacy of lock-downs and plenty of evidence against them, not least the absolute certainty of collateral damage. It would be wrong to use the term ‘unintended consequences’ instead. When isolation is imposed upon a population who are also denied ongoing hospital treatments for existing medical conditions (such as cancer), the consequences can be easily foreseen and are not, therefore, unintended.
There is no such widespread phenomenon as asymptomatic spread. There never has been.
Over the past two years, the number of global deaths have been exactly in line with the average for the years preceding. What there have been are peaks where the old and the vulnerable have been ill with a respiratory disease of some kind. These peaks have then been prolonged by the lack of early outpatient treatment and lethal inpatient treatment.
Excess deaths are now skyrocketing. These deaths are not from Covid. They are from heart disease, strokes, cancers and auto-immune diseases.
The overwhelming majority of Covid hospitalisations and deaths are ‘vaccinated’. The injections do not, therefore, prevent hospitalisations and deaths, as claimed.
‘Vaccine’ passports are a complete waste of time, if the purpose of them is as stated. If ‘vaccinated’ and ‘unvaccinated’ alike can spread Covid, possession of a passport means nothing.
According to the authorities, there was no flu season in 2020 and 2021. The same authorities, in the US, have withdrawn the EUA for the PCR test because it couldn’t tell the difference between Covid and flu.
The authorities told us that the ‘vaccines’ don’t alter human DNA. They do.
The full list of ‘vaccine’ ingredients and possible side effects has never been made public. This practice is explicitly forbidden by international treaty and human rights law. There is no exemption for emergency use. Governments are therefore in breach of both treaty commitments and the law.
An excellent summary!
As regards the suppression of early effective treatment – ‘only go to hospital when your lips turn blue’ – when I came down with pneumonia in 2013, I almost killed myself by ‘soldiering on’ ( I hate taking drugs and like to tough things out) and going to my GP at a rather late stage, when a 90% survival rate had turned to 50/50, and was about to slip into 10%.
This is what they, deliberately, did to people: push them to the edge of almost certainly fatal illness. Then they did them in with ventilators.
There is one word for this, and only one: it begins with M.
MURDER most foul
To add to this list of unfortunate absurdities, the FDA approved Pfizer’s Comirnaty on August 23, 2021:
https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-first-covid-19-vaccine
Following the FDA’s approval of Comirnaty, EUA status should have been removed from all other “vaccines”:
“Under section 564 of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act), when the Secretary of HHS declares that an emergency use authorization is appropriate, FDA may authorize unapproved medical products or unapproved uses of approved medical products to be used in an emergency to diagnose, treat, or prevent serious or life-threatening diseases or conditions caused by CBRN threat agents when certain criteria are met, including there are no adequate, approved, and available alternatives…”
https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-framework/emergency-use-authorization
However, the bastards exploited a loophole in that Comirnaty wasn’t made available to Americans:
IN THE Supreme Court of the United States
IN RE: MCP NOd. 165, OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND HEALTH ADMINISTRATION, INTERIM FINAL RULE: COVID-19 VACCINATION AND TESTING; EMERGENCY TEMPORARY STANDARD 86 FED. REG. 61402, ISSUED ON NOVEMBER 4, 2021
“In consideration of these interests, DTR seeks to inform the Court that the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine mandated by the OSHA ETS and described as being the one approved by the FDA, i.e., Comirnaty, is not currently available to anyone in the United States. The United States finally and reluctantly conceded this in a lawsuit DTR brought in Florida. There is no supply of Comirnaty. The only vaccines in production and available are the vaccines approved under the FDA’s Emergency Use Authorization (“EUA”). DTR files this brief to explain why the OSHA COVID-19 vaccine mandate before the Court is an illegal federal mandate to compel Americans to take an experimental vaccine.“
II. The FDA-Approved Comirnaty is Unavailable to the American Public
“On August 23, 2021, the FDA approved the Pfizer- BioNTech mRNA vaccine under the marketed name Comirnaty. Soon thereafter, on September 9, 2021, President Biden announced that he would “protect vaccinated workers from unvaccinated co-workers” by having the Department of Labor issue “an emergency rule to require all employers with 100 or more employees . . . to ensure their workforces are fully vaccinated or show a negative test at least once a week.”
With these marching orders, the Secretary of Labor, through OSHA, issued the OSHA ETS, which mandated that private businesses with 100 or more employees “develop, implement, and enforce a mandatory COVID-19 vaccination policy, with an exception for employers that instead adopt a policy requiring employees to either get vaccinated or elect to undergo regular COVID-19 testing and wear a face covering at work in lieu of vaccination.” OSHA ETS, 86 Fed. Reg. at 61,402. Americans subject to this ETS are in compliance if they receive the recommended minimum doses of COVID-19 vaccines that are “[a]pproved or authorized for emergency use by the FDA.” Id. at 61,479.
Notwithstanding the jurisdictional issues underlying the OSHA Mandate, there is a significant problem concerning how Americans are forced to comply with the mandate. Specifically, the only FDA- approved vaccine – Comirnaty – is not available to the American public. According to the CDC, “COMIRNATY products are not orderable at this time.” As of December 16, 2021, “there is not sufficient approved vaccine [i.e., Comirnaty] available for the population for whom it is authorized.” See supra, FDA Pfizer-BioNTech Expansion Letter, note 6 at 5 n.9. In fact, it appears that Comirnaty is not available at all in the United States. Pfizer and the National Institutes of Health confirmed that Comirnaty would be unavailable for months after its approval.
“The Department of Justice (“DOJ”) finally conceded the unavailability of Comirnaty through defense counsel for DOD in Austin, where DTR represents service members challenging the DOD Mandate. While DOD initially claimed that the DOD in fact possessed Comirnaty and was administering it to service members, in oral argument, DOJ defense counsel acknowledged that not only did it not have Comirnaty and did not know when it would it get it, but also “could not say even whether vaccines labeled ‘Comirnaty’ exist at all.” Doe v. Austin, 2021 WL 5816632, at *5 (N.D. Fla. Nov. 12, 2021)”
https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/21/21A244/206781/20211229144437004_No%2021A244%20and%2021A247%20National%20Federation%20of%20Independent%20Business%20v%20Department%20of%20Labor%20Amicus%20Motion%20with%20Brief.pdf
Bravo well said _/\_
Strange!
Thanks for the link: a highly intelligent substack I hadn’t encountered previously.
sure thing, lot’s of substackin’ going on. be great to see some of them go viral and intrude on the drum-beat ‘narrative’ a bit