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Media outlets tend to make it sound as if all our economic problems are temporary problems, related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In fact, world crude oil production has been falling behind needed levels since 2019. This problem, by itself, encourages the world economy to contract in unexpected ways, including in the form of economic lockdowns and aggression between countries. This crude oil shortfall seems likely to become greater in the years ahead, pushing the world economy toward conflict and the elimination of inefficient players.
To me, crude oil production is of particular importance because this form of oil is especially useful. With refining, it can operate tractors used to cultivate crops, and it can operate trucks to bring food to stores to sell. With refining, it can be used to make jet fuel. It can also be refined to make fuel for earth moving equipment used in road building. In recent years, it has become common to publish “all liquids” amounts, which include liquid fuels such as ethanol and natural gas liquids. These fuels have uses when energy density is not important, but they do not operate the heavy machinery needed to maintain today’s economy.
In this post, I provide an overview of the crude oil situation as I see it. In my analysis, I utilize crude oil production data by the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) that has only recently become available for the full year of 2021. In some exhibits, I also make estimates for the first quarter of 2022 based on preliminary information for this period.
[1] World crude oil production grew marginally in 2021.
Crude oil production for the year 2021 was a disappointment for those hoping that production would rapidly bounce back to at least the 2019 level. World crude oil production increased by 1.4% in 2021, to 77.0 million barrels per day, after a decrease of -7.5% in 2020. If we look back, we can see that the highest year of crude oil production was in 2018, not 2019. Oil production in 2021 was still 5.9 million barrels per day below the 2018 level.
With respect to the overall increase in crude oil production of 1.4% in 2021, OPEC helped bring this average up with an increase of 3.0% in 2021. Russia also helped, with an increase of 2.5%. The United States helped pull the world crude increase down, with a decrease in production of -1.1% in 2021. In Section [5], more information will be provided with respect to crude production for these groupings.
[2] The growth in world crude oil production shows an amazingly steady relationship to the growth in world population since 1991. The major exception is the decrease in consumption that took place in 2020, with the lockdowns that changed consumption patterns.
Figure 2 indicates that, up through 2018, each person in the world consumed an average of around 4.0 barrels of crude oil. This equates to 168 US gallons or 636 liters of crude per year. Much of this crude is used by businesses and governments to produce the basic goods we expect from our economy, including food and roads.
A big downshift occurred in 2020 with the COVID lockdowns. Many people began working from home; international travel was scaled back. The reduction of these uses of oil helped bring down total world usage. Changes such as these explain the big dip in crude oil production (and consumption) in 2020, which continued into 2021.
Even in 2019, the world economy was starting to scale back. Beginning in early 2018, China banned the importation of many types of materials for recycling, and other countries soon followed suit. As a result, less oil was used for transporting materials across the ocean for recycling. (Subsidies for recycling were helping to pay for this oil.) Loss of recycling and other cutbacks (especially in China and India) led to fewer people in these countries being able to afford automobiles and smartphones. Lower production of these devices contributed to the lower use of crude oil.
On Figure 2, there is a slight year-to-year variation in crude oil per capita. The single highest year over the time period shown is 2005, with 2004 not far behind. This was about the time many people think that conventional oil production “peaked,” reducing the availability of inexpensive-to-produce oil.
[3] Crude oil prices dropped dramatically when economies were shut in, beginning in March 2020. Prices began spiking the summer and fall of 2021, as the world economy attempted to open up. This pattern suggests that the real problem is tight crude oil supply when the economy is not artificially constrained by COVID restrictions.
An analysis of price trends suggests that most of the recent spike in crude prices is due to the tightness of the crude oil supply, rather than the Ukraine conflict. The Brent oil price dropped to an average of $14.24 in the week ending April 24, 2020, not long after COVID restrictions were enacted. When the economy started to reopen, in the week ending July 2, 2021, the average price rose to $76.26. By the week ending January 28, 2022, the average price had risen to $90.22.
Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. The Brent spot price on February 23, 2022, was $99.29. Brent prices briefly spiked higher, with weekly average prices rising as high as $123.60, for the week ending March 25, 2022. The current Brent oil price is about $107. If we compare the current price to the price the day before the invasion began, the price is only $8 higher. Even compared to the January 28 weekly average of $90.22, the current price is $17 higher.
Saying that the Ukraine invasion is causing the current high price is mostly a convenient excuse, suggesting that the high prices will suddenly disappear if this conflict disappears. The sad truth is that depletion is causing the cost of extraction to rise. Governments of oil exporting countries also need high prices to enable high taxes on exported oil. We are increasingly experiencing a conflict between the prices that the customers can afford and the prices that those doing the extraction require. In my view, most oil exporting countries need a price in excess of $120 per barrel to meet all of their needs, including reinvestment and taxes. Consumers would prefer oil prices under $50 per barrel to keep the price of food and transportation low.
[4] Food prices tend to rise when oil prices are high because products made from crude oil are used in the production and transport of food.
History shows that bad things tend to happen when food prices are very high, including riots by unhappy citizens. This is a major reason that high oil prices tend to lead to conflict.
[5] Quarterly crude oil data suggests that few opportunities exist to raise crude oil production to the level needed for the world economy to operate at the level it operated at in 2018 or 2019.
Figure 5 shows quarterly world crude oil production broken down into four groupings: OPEC, US, Russia, and “All Other.”
Figure 5 shows four very different patterns of past growth in crude oil supply. The All Other grouping is generally trending a bit downward in terms of quantity supplied. If world per capita crude oil production is to stay at least level, the total production of the other three groupings (OPEC, US, and Russia) needs to be rising to offset this decline. In fact, it needs to rise enough that overall crude production growth keeps up with population growth.
Russian Crude Oil Production
The data underlying Figure 5 shows that up until the COVID restrictions, Russia’s crude oil production was increasing by 1.4% per year between early 2005 and early 2020. During the same period, world population was increasing by about 1.2%. Thus, Russia’s oil production has been part of what has helped keep world crude production about level, on a per capita basis. Also, Russia seems to have made up most of its temporary decrease in production related to COVID restrictions by the first quarter of 2022.
US Crude Oil Production
Growth in US crude oil production has been more of a “feast or famine” situation. This can be seen both in Figure 5 above and in Figure 6 below.
US crude oil production spurted up rapidly in the 2011 to 2014 period, when oil prices were high (Figure 3). When oil prices fell in late 2014, US crude production fell for about two years. US oil production began to rise again in late 2016, as oil prices rose again. By early 2019 (when oil prices were again lower), US crude oil growth began to slow down.
In early 2020, COVID lockdowns brought a 15% drop in crude oil production (considering quarterly production), most of which has not been made up. In fact, growth after the lockdowns has been slow, similar to the level of growth during the “growth slowdown” circled in Figure 6. We hear reports that the sweet spots in shale formations have largely been drilled. This leaves mostly high-cost areas left to drill. Also, investors would like better financial discipline. Ramping up greatly, and then cutting back, is no way to operate a successful company.
Thus, while growth in US crude oil production greatly supported world growth in crude oil production in the 2009 to 2018 period, it is impossible to see this pattern continuing. Getting crude oil production back up to the level of 12 million barrels a day where it was before the COVID restrictions would be extremely difficult. Further production growth, to support the growing needs of an expanding world population, is likely impossible.
OPEC Crude Oil Production
Figure 7 shows EIA crude oil production estimates for the total group of countries that are now members of OPEC. It also shows crude oil production excluding the two countries which have recently been subject to sanctions: Iran and Venezuela.
If Iran and Venezuela are removed, OPEC’s long-term production is surprisingly “flat.” The “peak” period of production is the fourth quarter of 2018. The fourth quarter of 2018 was the time when the OPEC countries were producing as much oil as they could, to get their production quotas as high as possible after the planned cutbacks that took effect at the beginning of 2019.
Strangely, EIA data indicates that production didn’t fall very much for this group of countries (OPEC excluding Iran and Venezuela), starting in early 2019. The 2019 cutback seems mostly to have affected the production of Iran and Venezuela. It was only later, in the first three quarters of 2020, when COVID restrictions were affecting worldwide production, that crude oil production for OPEC excluding Iran and Venezuela fell by 4 million barrels per day. Production for this group then began to rise, leaving a shortfall of about 900,000 barrels a day, relative to where it had been before the 2020 lockdowns.
It seems to me that, at most, production for the group of OPEC countries excluding Iran and Venezuela can be ramped up by 900,000 barrels a day, and even this is “iffy.” Iraq is reported to be having difficulty with its production; it needs more investment, or its production will fall. Nigeria is past peak, and it is also having difficulty with its production. The high reported crude oil reserves are meaningless; the question is, “How much can these countries produce when it is required?” It doesn’t look like production can be ramped up very much. Furthermore, we cannot count on continued long-term growth in production from these countries, such as would be needed to keep pace with rising world population.
Figure 8 suggests that, indeed, Iran might be able to raise its production by perhaps 1.0 million barrels a day when sanctions are lifted.
Venezuela looks like a country whose crude oil production was already declining before sanctions were imposed. The cost of production there was likely far higher than the world oil price. Also, Venezuela has oil debts to China that it needs to repay. At most, we might expect that Venezuela’s production could be raised by 300,000 barrels per day in the absence of sanctions.
Putting the three estimates of amounts that crude oil production can perhaps be raised together, we have:
- OPEC ex Iran and Venezuela: 900,000 bpd
- Iran: 1,000,000 bpd
- Venezuela: 300,000 bpd
- Total: 2.2 million bpd
The shortfall of crude oil production in 2021, relative to 2018 production, was 5.9 million bpd, as mentioned in Section [1]. The 2.2 million barrels per day possibly available from this analysis gets us nowhere near the 2018 level. Furthermore, we have nowhere to go to obtain the rising crude oil production required to support the rising population with enough crude oil to supply food and industrial goods at today’s consumption level.
[6] Eliminating, or even reducing, Russia’s crude oil production is certain to have an adverse impact on the world economy.
Figure 9 shows the step-down in crude oil production that occurred in early 2020 and indicates that the world’s oil supply is having difficulty getting back up to pre-COVID levels. If Russia’s crude oil production were to be eliminated, it would make for another step-down of comparable magnitude. Major segments of the economy would likely need to be eliminated.
[7] When there isn’t enough crude oil to go around, the naive belief is that oil prices will rise and either more oil will be found, or substitutes will take its place. In fact, the result may be conflict and elimination of segments of the economy.
Our self-organizing economy will tend to adapt in its own way to inadequate crude oil supplies. Eventually, the economy may collapse completely, but before that happens, changes are likely to happen to try to preserve the “better functioning” parts of the economy. In this way, perhaps parts of the world economy can continue to function for a while longer while getting rid of less productive parts of the economy.
The following is a partial list of ways the economy might adapt:
- Fighting may take place over the remaining crude oil supplies. This may be the underlying reason for the conflict between NATO and Russia, with respect to Ukraine.
- COVID lockdowns indirectly reduce demand for crude oil. A person might wonder whether the current COVID lockdowns in China are partly aimed at preventing oil and other commodity prices from rising to absurd levels.
- Some organizations may disappear from the world economy because of inadequate funding or lack of profitability.
- Additional supply lines are likely to break, allowing fewer types of goods and services to be made.
- The world economy may subdivide into multiple pieces, with each piece able to make a much more limited array of goods and services than is provided today. A shift toward the use of other currencies instead of the US dollar may be part of this shift.
- World population may shrink for multiple reasons, including poor nutrition and epidemics.
- The poor, the elderly and the disabled may be increasingly cut off from government programs, as total goods and services (including total food supplies) fall too low.
- Europe could be cut off from Russian fossil fuel exports, leaving relatively more for the rest of the world.
[8] Countries that are major importers of crude oil and crude oil products would seem to be at significant risk of reduced supply if there is not enough crude oil to go around.
Figure 10 shows a rough estimate of the ratio of crude oil produced to crude oil products consumed in 2019, the last full year before the pandemic. On an “All Liquids” basis, the US ratio of crude oil production to consumption would appear higher than shown on Figure 10 because of its unusually high share of natural gas liquids, ethanol, and “refinery gain” in its liquids production. If these types of production are omitted, the US still seems to have a deficit in producing the crude oil it consumes.
Perhaps all that is needed is the general idea. If inadequate crude oil is available, all of the countries at the left of Figure 10 are quite vulnerable because they are very dependent on imports. Russia and the Middle East are prime targets for countries that are desperate for crude oil.
[9] Conclusion: We are likely entering a period of conflict and confusion because of the way the world’s self-organizing economy behaves when there is an inadequate supply of crude oil.
The issue of how important crude oil is to the world economy has been left out of most textbooks for years. Instead, we were taught creative myths covering several topics:
- Huge amounts of fossil fuels will be available in the future
- Climate change is our worst problem
- Wind and solar will save us
- A fast transition to an all-electric economy is possible
- Electric cars are the future
- The economy will grow forever
Now we are running into a serious shortfall of crude oil. We can expect a new set of problems, including far more conflict. Wars are likely. Debt defaults are likely. Political parties will take increasingly divergent positions on how to work around current problems. News media will increasingly tell the narrative that their owners and advertisers want told, with little regard for the real situation.
About all we can do is enjoy each day we have and try not to be disturbed by the increasing conflict around us. It becomes clear that many of us will not live as long or well as we previously expected, regardless of savings or supposed government programs. There is no real way to fix this issue, except perhaps to make religion and the possibility of life after death more of a focus.
Covid, “Hospitalizations plummeted among the unvaccinated.”
Early treatment with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs within 72 hours from symptoms dramatically reduces hospitalizations for Covid-19.
Scientific study published on the American Journal of Biomedical Science and Research.
In the news here:
https://www.liberoquotidiano.it/news/scienze-tech/salute/31351076/covid-ospedalizzazioni-crollate-non-vaccinate-uso-ibuprofene-indometacina-entro-72-ore.html
And official scientific study here:
https://biomedgrid.com/covid-19.php
https://biomedgrid.com/pdf/AJBSR.MS.ID.002197.pdf
This is a very good study.
COVID-19 Early Treatment with Non-Steroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs Reduces Hospitalizations and Symptom Duration
We saw an earlier study with respect to aspirin, only. This study uses aspirin, ibuprofen, and a couple of other prescription-only pain relievers. Hospital admissions were reduced by 68% (if treatment started within the first 72 hours) and 63% if started later.
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/russia-halts-natural-gas-supplies-poland-european-energy-prices-spike-local-reports
If it is gas through the Yamal Pipeline that has been halted, it will also halt some of the natural gas to Germany, I would think.
Countries will not be happy.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-gas-supplies-poland-halted-polish-media-reports-2022-04-26/
> WARSAW, April 26 (Reuters) – Russian gas supplies under the Yamal contract to Poland have been halted, Polish private broadcaster Polsat News and the Onet.pl website reported, citing unnamed sources.
Thx Gail! So It Begins
Russia halts natural gas supplies to Poland…after Poland refused to pay in roubles and sent T-72 tanks to the Ukrainian army
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/russia-halts-natural-gas-supplies-poland-european-energy-prices-spike-local-reports
Gazprom Gives Poland Ultimatum To Keep Gas Flowing: Must Pay In Rubles “Today”
Also,
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/major-reversal-after-warning-nuclear-war-germany-approves-tanks-ukraine
In Major Reversal After Warning Of Nuclear War, Germany Approves Tanks For Ukraine
2 messages:
https://english.alarabiya.net/business/energy/2022/04/25/Russia-s-Rosneft-fails-to-sell-oil-in-tender-after-demanding-payment-in-rubles
1. nobody buys any Russian oil any more
2. Payment Rubles only. Now oil is second after gas to be paid in rubles.
This can only go up.
Having the stuff in the ground is better than not having it at all as in Poland. Actually no sales for a prolonged period migh shut down the wells.
This is a temporal factor.
In november 2020 Russia exported 19,6 billion cubic metres of natural gas. In october 2021 exports had dropped to 14,3 billion cubic metres (27% less). (Data from JODI Gas World database)
Could it be, that Russia cannot produce or deliver like it used to a couple of years ago?
Maybe Russian natural gas production has peaked.
well, all autocratric rulers thrust outwards when their home territory resources begin to look shaky
that’s been a universal law for 000s of years
I would not use JODI data base for anything. It is voluntary reporting, without any balancing.
Look at BP data, or something else. JODI tends to understate the most recent year. Also, 2020 is distorted by the COVID closures.
BP data shows Russia’s production as follows:
2017 635.6 billion cubic meter
2018 669.1
2019 679.0
2020 638.5
I don’t think we know the reason for the reduction in 2020, but we do know that Russia is committed to selling quite a bit of natural gas to China. That will likely mean less natural gas exports to Europe in the future.
‘The Countries that have sanctioned Russia are 19% of the total, but are worth 59% of economic production. The other 41% (81% of the total Countries) continue to do business with Moscow, China and India in primis, probably heading towards an increase in their share of business, while the Kremlin has fielded its own economic countermeasures towards the countries that have initiated sanctions.’
https://www.themeditelegraph.com/it/transport/intermodal-and-logistics/2022/04/23/news/alla-logistica-mancano-12-mila-camionisti-ucraini-1.41394335
There are different ways of counting the various countries. The countries that sanctioned Russia are mostly the ones with the highest per capita energy consumption per person, but without a lot of actual “goods” (or raw materials) produced using that energy.
Instead, these countries tend to depend on an international supply chain of workers from low-wage countries for their goods, including the raw material used to make these goods. These high per capita energy consumption countries think that they are the most advanced. In another way of looking at the situation, they are the ones that are the least self-sufficient if energy supplies and imported finished goods are cut off.
The rainbow and unicorn belt initiative.
Very interesting considerations.
We are too puffed up of ourselves, we believe to be superior and we don’t see our reality.
When the time comes i won’t share my dog with my neighbor. I will share my neighbor with my dog. In the final hour, our mutual understanding will be stronger than a lifetime.
So maybe Gail is correct and we will become more spiritual. That is, me and my dog.
There’s a movie along those lines.
Have you seen ‘the isle of dogs?
Very enjoyable
Chatting to the lovely brunette at the bookshop today, I heard that one of her friends, mid- 20’s and newly triple-vaxxed, came down with ‘Covid’ and ended up in hospital.
She now has chronic ‘asthma’: sounds like she’s been vaxx-wrecked to me…..
Poor old bent man at the supermarket told another crone waiting in line that he’d had the ‘Modern 4th’ and felt awful and in pain: seemed to think this was normal and nothing to worry about…..
That’s how you know it’s working. The sicker you feel afterwards the better, it means stronger immunity later, they are fortunate. My co-workers talked about it during a Teams meeting and some were disappointed when they had no reaction and worried if they were really protected. A 4th or even 5h shot is best to get multiple layers of protection, it’s like an onion, getting a few infections of covid also aids your protection against covid. The ideal state is to be constantly sick with covid and the vaccines at which point you’ve reached the singularity of protection.
Strange world we live in!
I’m not sure how I’ll react when I come across a vaxx-injured child, rather than adults.
Filled with MOREONS hahaha
‘The singularity of protection’ – wonderful!
The poor old man was already bent quite double with arthritis, his eyes were full of misery.
But ping, they get the call for their jab, and off they hobble……..
Ya you really know it’s working when you have stabbing pain in your heart…
It’s the same with all vaccines — I was so disappointed when I got the polio shot and there as no heart pain… same with tetanus…
It’s not working of there is no organ damage.
That said – I never got polio — just lucky?
New Study confirms Pfizer Covid Injection can cause Severe Autoimmune-Hepatitis
“A new scientific study published 21st April 2022, has concluded that Covid-19 vaccination can elicit a distinct T cell-dominant immune-mediated hepatitis (liver inflammation) with a unique pathomechanism associated with vaccination-induced antigen-specific tissue-resident immunity requiring systemic immunosuppression.“…
https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/04/28/new-study-confirms-covid-jab-causes-hepatitis-kids/
Excellent – this means it’s working too!
And if you end up in the hospital — well then that’s some excellent immunity…
This is by far the most effective vaccine ever https://openvaers.com/covid-data/hospitalizations
And of course you can still get covid if you take this vaccine … so that’s good too — I’m not sure why but it must be a good thing
Really good soundtrack — eerie https://metatron.substack.com/p/covid-requiem-aeternam?s=r
Quite stupid, the average human …
Good for them!!
mike and norm will never tell us if something goes sideways… the shame … the shame
There is only one group who is charged with dealing with inflation and that is the Federal Reserve. They have only one tool for addressing inflation, tightening money supply or removing money from circulation so there is not so much money chasing goods and services bidding them up creating higher prices.
Everyone knows that prices are going up due to shortages, supply chain constraints, increased cost of resources, not because there is too much money bidding up prices. In fact it is well understood that after more than 2 years of C-19 the average person has much less money, higher CC debt, small business closures, record high non-employed, hundreds of millions falling into poverty.
Yet everyone is saying that the Fed needs to do more to tackle inflation i.e. tighten money supply more and more. They are purposefully obscuring the truth in order to make things worse. I believe this was at least part of how the Great Depression happened.
Of course, deficit spending to finance direct payments to individuals or to create more jobs is part of what creates inflation, especially when resources aren’t really there to support these new jobs. Such programs are usually well liked by politicians who want to get re-elected.
If there were not a problem with politicians wanting to get re-elected, inflation could be reversed by the government raising taxes and cutting spending on new programs for citizens. It is hard to see that this will happen.
A third way that inflation might be affected would be by “cracks” in the financial system appearing. Defaults on some of the derivatives, for example. Banks that cannot repay their loans with interest. Countries increasingly shifting away from the dollar because of the danger that accumulated dollar reserves will have no value because of sanctions. If the system is not working well, “demand” goes down and with it prices.
We have recently seen China making COVID responses that likely will reduce both its buying of commodities and its selling of finished goods. This, of course, seems likely to reduce inflation.
Gail said; “…reduce both its buying of commodities and its selling of finished goods. This, of course, seems likely to reduce inflation.”
Wouldn’t this cause shortages driving up prices?
Allow me a question for the knowing few:
Would a stock market crash not also reduce inflation?
It takes out a lot of money. first from booked money but also the owners of the stock might later not be able to sell at such a high price having money to push inflation.
Otoh could also be that a crash only wipes out fictous money and will not “help” here.
In some things, maybe, in others not. Yachts might take a hit, maze would be more a function of population size; that issue is debated here and no one really knows.
Money can purchase opinions, a certain board has discovered their nice sincure is gone, someone used stock market to allow free expression. Perhaps most costly to the board, wow, $300K/annum gone, need to get two jobs, inflation/deflation?
Money is a funny thing. Perhaps inflation is best described as “It depends.”
Dennis L.
hahaha why not
TO ME THIS SEEMS LIKE BAD NEWS NOT GOOD…
REMDESIVIR now FDA approved for children down to the age of 28 DAYS OLD…
https://www.medpagetoday.com/infectiousdisease/covid19/98392?
THE COVID VACCINE ROLL OUT HAS WELL AND TRULY STALLED…
Yesterday was a public holiday in NZ….no work.
In the entire length and breadth of New Zealand on Anzac day, this is what happened in terms of covid vaccine administration…
Quote:
Yesterday, 196 vaccine doses were administered to those aged 12 and over. This includes 182 booster doses. This means 71% of those eligible and due for their booster have now received it.
There were also 159 child (paediatric) vaccine doses, which were administered to 5 to 11 year olds throughout New Zealand yesterday.
https://www.facebook.com/UniteAgainstCOVID19
Bad news https://t.me/DowdEdward/299
Oh Wow… https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34949
Another one https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34978
Funny – sad https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34983
Funny https://t.me/robinmg/18972
High number of Strokes caused by the Covid-19 Injections may explain why so many of the Vaccinated are also going Blind
“Around one-third of stroke survivors suffer visual loss, and most sadly never fully recover their vision. With so many strokes being reported as adverse reactions to the Covid jabs this could explain why so many people have reportedly gone blind as well“
https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/04/26/why-people-going-blind-following-covid-vaccination/
“REMDESIVIR now FDA approved for children down to the age of 28 DAYS OLD…”
That is absolute insanity. Remdesivir aka “Run Death Is Near
I would suggest this means that they really want child Covid’ deaths i hospital to increase – what better way than by using Remdesivir as a treatment?
Call it a Covid Death — and run that headline hard… to encourage uptake
Where Is the Outrage Over COVID Vaccine Deaths? – Dr. Peter McCullough
“When a child dies of cancer, the family members start a funding campaign to help fund cancer research… but here with COVID-19 vaccination, [there is] almost a uniform absence of family outrage over the loss of their loved one, unnecessarily so with the COVID-19 vaccine.”
https://t.me/VigilantFox/4140
Video via Dr. McCullough’s Telegram: https://t.me/PeterMcCulloughMD/1724
Hahahahaha https://t.me/VigilantFox/4143
No Organ Is Safe: Vaccine-Induced Autoimmune Attack in the Brain, the Heart, the Lungs, etc.
Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi: “German pathologists… have shown now that these people who died after vaccination, 90% [of them] all had signs of autoimmune attack in the organs, with the heart as the major organ.”
@VigilantFox | Rumble (https://rumble.com/v12d3gz-no-organ-is-safe-vaccine-induced-autoimmune-attack-in-the-brain-the-heart-t.html) | Full Video (https://rumble.com/v117213-peter-breggin-md-interviews-sucharit-bhakdi-md..html)
3 Years Worth of Midazolam Suddenly Gone – “I Think [People] Were Being Murdered”
Dr. Mike Yeadon: (http://t.me/robinmg) “There are a group of people in the National Health Service who ordered and with physicians who dispensed three years worth of midazolam and morphine in a couple of three-week or four-week periods, coinciding, oddly enough, with huge numbers of deaths, including the people who you wouldn’t have expected to die, [such as] someone who was 60 and not previously ill.”
@VigilantFox | Rumble (https://rumble.com/v12el75-3-years-worth-of-midazolam-suddenly-gone-i-think-people-were-being-murdered.html) | Full Video (https://live.childrenshealthdefense.org/shows/chd-friday-roundtable)
Vaccinations don’t prevent Long Covid; they probably promote it.
A pre-print study (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.01.04.21268536v1.full-text) analysed 487 individual data with a median follow-up of 44 days. The authors discuss that “another important predictor of Long Covid was the presence of pre-existing conditions like diabetes and hypertension. A study from India and a systematic review on this topic has found a similar and strong association between the pre-existing condition and Long Covid. An observational paradox in our study was that the participants who took two doses of COVID-19 vaccination had higher odds of developing Long Covid.”
This observation is supported by a retrospective cohort study (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0889159122001118?via%3Dihub) of 10,024 breakthrough infections, which states that:
👉🏻 “Risk of anxiety, depression, sleep disorder, renal disease and Long Covid features did not differ..”
👉🏻 “[…] compared to unvaccinated individuals, those who were vaccinated, …there was no significant difference in the risk of many other outcomes including composite of death and any Long Covid feature.”
So next time someone argues that vaccination prevents ‘Long Covid’, you can teach them otherwise. ☝🏼️
Cheers,
Dr. Simon
@Goddek | Minds (https://www.minds.com/goddeketal) | Bastyon (https://bastyon.com/author?address=PF57cm7HGsc5djwK556uZ7AZbqk59wXxF2) | Gettr (https://www.gettr.com/user/goddeketal)
Takeaway: ” An observational paradox in our study was that the participants who took two doses of COVID-19 vaccination had higher odds of developing Long Covid.”
In other words… they have wrecked their immune systems so they are unable to deal with the non-Wuhan Covid variants so when they get the new and improved Delta/Omicron Covid… they are often f789ed up for months…
VAIDS. cuz.
hahahahahahahaha…. poor confused CovIDIOTS… they done what they was told… and This.
And now they are going to blame the unvaxxed for their endless sickness
Why no outrage at child deaths?
Good question.
Because this is a form of child sacrifice for the benefit of cowards, and the so-called Greater Good?
Back when they rolled the injections … I mentioned I was a no go to a few people because of the injuries (and the lack of long term safety studies).
The immediate reply when I told of my HK mate with a wrecked heart was – he must have had other health issues or something else caused it – cuz the injections are safe…
Assume there is no anger when a child dies from the injection because it wasn’t the injection .. or if it was – then it’s unfortunate but Covid is the plague and if we have to sacrifice some people to survive it… then that’s just the way it is.
How about some Purple Hearts for our fallen children – with a Mickey Mouse face embossed on them? And a posthumous parade on April 1 for all the vax dead and wounded? Free tickets to an sports game?
Maybe there’s no outrage because people feel guilty for having been so gullible, and therefore somehow deserve what happened to them?
Or simply because cognitive dissonance prevents them from adding 2+2 and facing the awful truth?
I thought Xabier’s answer was really good. Your explanation is even better.
Perhaps poetic justice is reassuring to some of these people. Unfortunately, they’ve sacrificed their bodies in this case but the upside is the centering effect that comes with their teasing out poetic justice. They now know their place in the universe.
The path of “vaccination” is simply another means of finding God for the secular. All paths lead to God, to the source, anyway. Some walk along paths blindly while others do so with eyes wide open. Some walk along paths chosen for them by “experts” (e.g. Fauci, Walenski, et al) while others listen to their inner voice – the voice of the source – and follow it’s guidance.
I’ve seen the look on the face of an CovIDIOT who was fit, in his 30’s and healthy when he realized he’s f789ed himself up… and is having trouble dismissing the injections as the cause… (cuz what else could it be)
It’s one of confusion… despair… helplessness…. betrayal? No anger …
Keep in mind the doctors are not helping by telling CovIDIOTS their severe health issues are caused by ‘anxiety’… they are stoooopid MOREONS…. but end of the day when your body is clearly f789ed… and it was not f789ed before the jab + you know it’s not anxiety (even though you want to believe that)…. so this leads to even more confusion.
Hence that look.
They are also feeling that they’ve been tossed on the scrap heap because nobody will listen – nobody will help….
The CovIDIOT I spoke to was all of the above and when I mentioned NZDSOS would fight his corner… he was very keen….
It’s too bad that one has to be damaged for life before one wakes up.
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1698,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99fc1d83-0402-41ad-9952-c575b8ed9db8_849x480.jpeg
Oh wow – this is GREAT — https://twitter.com/TexasLindsay/status/1518790462273986561
These charts are on two different subjects.
The first one shows the cost of steel pipe for drilling skyrocketing. This likely will adversely affect the drilling of new wells. A person wonders whether enough steel pipe is really being made for this purpose.
The twitter feed shows Israel’s all cause mortality again rising out of the normal range. The normal range appears to be quite wide. We can look at pretty much the same data at Our World In Data:
https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid#excess-mortality-using-raw-death-counts
if a person scrolls down and inserts Israel as one of the choices of countries to show, we can see the indications in a different way. I inserted Israel and the United States into the age group death rate comparison.
Our World in Data does indeed show that death rates seem to be high for the same re
cent periods that the United States death data seems to be high. In Israel, there are definitely spikes in the 85+ age group, since the middle of 2021. The 75-84 age group also has high death rates during this period for both the US and Israel. For younger age groups, Israel is not doing as badly.
At this same link, a person can also plug Israel into a comparison of actual deaths to expected, for individual years. (Excess Mortality: Raw Number of Counts Compared to Projections . . .). This chart seems to show the first quarter of 2022 number of deaths is higher than for any previous year.
On the OurWorldinData charts, the most recent data is not really complete. Thus, don’t pay any attention to what April indications are yet.
https://gro-intelligence.com/insights/corn-prices-rise-as-prospects-weaken-for-brazil-us-crops
In the US, cool and wet weather across the Midwest has delayed early corn planting. Gro’s Climate Risk Navigator application, weighted to US corn growing areas, shows the coldest temperatures in at least 20 years. US corn planting is just 4% complete this week, versus a five-year average of 6%.
In Brazil, favorable early conditions for the second corn crop, or safrinha, are giving way to dry weather just ahead of the crop’s critical reproduction and grain-fill growing period, raising the prospect of another La Niña-diminished harvest in June and July. No significant rainfall is forecast for Brazil’s already parched central and southern states for the remainder of the rainy season, which ends in early May.
Corn stocks in the US, the largest corn exporter, are the second tightest in eight years. Amid continued uncertainty surrounding exports from Ukraine, the No. 3 corn exporter, and crop prospects in North and South America, Gro predicts an even tighter corn balance sheet for 2022/23.
UK ‘sleepwalking’ towards food shortages, farmers warn
Rising costs of fuel, fertiliser and feed are impacting on farmers
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/uk-food-shortages-farming-fertiliser-prices-b2064645.html
Moderna Knew Vaccinated People Will Never Acquire Proper Immunity After Breakthrough Infections
Original Antigenic Sin was hidden from us until Apr 19, 2022
`Ever wondered why some vaccinated people seem to be having endless Covids? An interesting study came out.
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/moderna-knew-vaccinated-people-will
It’s getting very expensive to export soybeans from Brazil, the world’s top supplier.
That’s according to Cargill Inc., one of the biggest global shippers of the oilseed. Diesel price hikes and worsening road conditions have led to expensive freight rates. The cost to export soybeans this season has exceeded Cargill’s estimates for freight rates by at least 25%, slashing margins, according to Paulo Sousa, who heads Cargill’s operations in the South American nation.
https://archive.ph/kNnDe#selection-4187.0-4191.384
Thanks Edwin about Cargill…
Yo this just posted…for your amusement….by 2030? We’ll all be dead by then…
By Jack Wittels (Bloomberg) —
Commodities trading giant Cargill Inc. expects some of its freight vessels to be powered by clean marine fuel before the end of this decade.
In 2020, Cargill shipped almost 200 million tons of iron ore, grains and other goods around the world. It has as many as 700 vessels on the water at a time, and most of them are leased. All those carriers currently are powered by oil — as is the majority of the world’s merchant shipping fleet, which spews more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than Germany and the Netherlands combined.
“I’m very confident that we will have some zero-carbon fuel ships by 2030,” Jan Dieleman, president of Cargill’s Ocean Transportation business, said in an interview. “The big challenge is how fast are we going to be able to scale.”
The number of zero-carbon ships Cargill will control and the type of fuel they will use hasn’t been determined yet. The Minneapolis-based company is involved in trials of alternative options, including biofuels, ammonia and methane.
The green vessels likely will be at the larger end of the size scale. Cargill’s fleet includes giant Capesize vessels, typically capable of carrying about 180,000 tons of commodities including ores, coal and grain, as well as Panamax, Supramax and Handy size ships.
Amazon.com, Ikea of Sweden AB and Unilever Plc are among the companies announcing they want to cut shipping emissions. In perhaps the clearest sign of the industry’s transition, container giant A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S already invested in 12 new vessels powered by clean methanol.
But there is still a long way to go. The International Maritime Organization, shipping’s global regulator, has yet to produce a full plan for wide-scale decarbonization in line with the Paris Agreement.
A big part of the decarbonization challenge for Cargill will be ensuring there are enough supplies of these alternatives in the right locations.
“We’re talking about technologies that are not on the water yet, supply that isn’t there yet,” Dieleman said. “There’s a lot of ‘ifs’ and ‘buts’ still.”
© 2022 Bloomberg L.P.
The telling paragraph….
The number of zero-carbon ships Cargill will control and the type of fuel they will use hasn’t been determined yet. The Minneapolis-based company is involved in trials of alternative options, including biofuels, ammonia and methane
Doubt it will every see the light of day except for phototype photo op displays
P.S. when visiting Southeast Minnesota by Red Wing/Winona in the Bluff region remember seeing their Logo displayed by silos and on buildings….
Part of the Elders….make the sheeple think there are solutions….sure…they will come up with SOMETHING!!!! Sure they did, sure they have….
Why ‘flammable ice’ could be the future of energy – https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20181119-why-flammable-ice-could-be-the-future-of-energy
Replace ‘_________’ with fusion … solar… wind etc etc etc….
It works — someone I know who gets the CovCON and acknowledges the oil issue — responded to me just a few weeks ago with ‘bit fusion energy looks ready to take off’ — cuz he read that in the news…. it really does work.
Cuz nobody wants to accept that there is no future. That’s too big… unless you are a misanthrope
Fast, I know you think the energy descent is not survivable and that we are all going to get ravaged by savages and dumped into the cannibals cauldron. I also suspect you (having or formerly having your shipping container) have thought longer and harder about the issues than most of us. Can you humor us pollyannas with your idea of best practices for trying to survive? I promise I’ll keep a second pistol on me for finishing me and mine off when the savages breach the wall, but until then……whats your idea of best practices for survival? Some of us have already reproduced and may feel a moral obligation to the kids to exhaust all options before turning to the pistol. I know you shared some of this a couple years back, but I’m interested if your opinions have changed…….
If you want to survive until the spent fuel ponds come for you …. find a remote place — one with no access roads — make a list of all the stuff you require to stay alive — go to Costco and purchase pallets of food and whatever else you think you will need — buy a prefab hut with a wood stove — hire a helicopter — and drop everything at your site.
That will be your prison. Until the spent fuel ponds come for you.
I’d get on this immediately — time is short
If you try to survive in the city or a rural location — you are doomed…. the hordes will find you.
In Bali we lived on a small farm – completely self sufficient and then some in terms of food – but the neighbours were not — I hired an organic trainer and offered to pay for all seed for those who wanted to learn – understanding that they’d quickly come over my fence when BAU fell apart.. not a single one was interested… that was when I realized this was a silly game I was playing…
Fast Eddy showed up soon after this.
I remembered Paul living in Bali … many many years ago. Still as brazen as ever
Yes — but now Fast Eddy is on board. It must have been on that trip to Borobudur when we unearthed the ancient Pazuzu icon
“The world faces a growing stagflationary storm…
“There are many reasons to worry that today’s stagflationary conditions will continue to characterise the global economy, producing higher inflation, lower growth, and possibly recessions in many economies.”
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/apr/25/world-stagflation-covid-ukraine-inflation-growth
There is no good way to fix our problem.
“The Fed Is Losing Control Over the Inflation Narrative.
“… either the world’s most important central bank has lost control over inflation, or it isn’t going to even try to get it back down to their 2% target.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-04-24/the-federal-reserve-is-losing-control-over-the-inflation-narrative
“Breakfast Gets Costlier as U.S. Ratchets Up Food-Price Forecasts.
“Overall, the agency now expects food prices to rise 5% to 6% this year — at least double the forecast of about 2.5% three months ago… A year ago, the USDA forecast little inflation, or even price drops, for many food groups.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-25/breakfast-gets-pricier-as-u-s-agency-hikes-food-price-forecasts
“US trucking downturn foreshadows possible economic gloom…
“There has been an unexpectedly sharp downturn in demand to truck everything from food to furniture since the beginning of March and rates in the overheated segment that deals in on-demand trucking jobs – known as the spot market – are skidding.”
https://cyprus-mail.com/2022/04/26/us-trucking-downturn-foreshadows-possible-economic-gloom/
A trucking downturn is a very bad sign. Very little coming our way.
Probably spending has moved away from discretionary spending, the sign of a prosperous economy, to immediate needs…
The Fed seems to be finally out of bullets … if they raise rates significantly BOOM… if they don’t inflation keeps on ripping higher… BOOM
Remember – when it goes BOOM the Elders lose their system of control – and their protectors will blame them for the collapse…. the politicians will most definitely throw the Elders under the bus when the SHTF
I can hear them already — no no we didn’t do this to you — it’s those J-ewish bankers who did this…
History repeats… Hitler blamed the same folks for selling out Germany and throwing the country into deep poverty…
The irony is that without the Elders and UEP … the situation would be far worse…but try telling that to a million man mob of starving people…
The Elders KNOW this. It makes sense for them to suicide everyone
They are not stuuupid men
“Pharmacists in England face abuse from patients due to drug shortages…
“The hostility, including swearing and spitting, comes as availability of medicines is becoming more uncertain as a result of Brexit, the Covid pandemic and ingredient supply problems.”
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/apr/25/pharmacists-in-england-face-abuse-from-patients-due-to-drug-shortages
“‘Everyone should prep’: the Britons stocking up for hard times.
“Even before the pandemic, some people were stocking up on essential items such as food and toilet roll, in anticipation of supply chain disruptions wrought by Brexit or a fundamental civilisational collapse.”
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/apr/22/everyone-one-should-prep-the-britons-stocking-up-for-hard-times
Prepare for an extended Global Holodomor
I’ll be ok. I’m planning to eat children.
Oh my…. let’s try to drop the normalcy bias and imagine what 8B on the streets with no food — and no police … looks like.
Not difficult to image these raging hordes seeking scapegoats… how do you hide when your protectors are shouting ‘he’s up there – ya that house – with the big gate’
Yes they are trying to say times might get hard but it’s all going to be temporary. Good times just around the corner!!! Without exponential growth the machine stops!!
Yes the future is great https://time.com/collection/great-reset/
Depending on drugs is becoming increasingly perilous.
“Could the Japanese yen’s 12% decline this year be an even bigger threat to global markets than inflation, Federal Reserve tightening and war in Ukraine?
“A month ago, this question might have elicited eye-rolling and guffawing. Now, no one is laughing at the risk of the third-most-traded currency plummeting from the grasp of Tokyo officials notorious for micromanaging exchange rates.”
https://asiatimes.com/2022/04/freefalling-yen-a-soaring-global-risk/
“Japan’s new economic measures to counter the impact of rising prices on households won’t produce an increase in consumer spending, according to SMBC Nikko Securities Inc.
“Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is expected to brief the press at 6 p.m. after a media report said the government will decide on the measures as early as today. It’s expected to spend 6.2 trillion yen ($48.6 billion) to help households and businesses cope with higher prices…”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-26/japan-s-new-economic-measures-won-t-boost-spending-smbc-nikko
Way too many economies with big problems!
Shades of Fukushima 3/11. Makes one wonder.
https://twitter.com/TexasLindsay/status/1518790462273986561
This is a nice presentation of an apparent correlation between vaccines administered and excess deaths recorded in Israel to a beautiful musical accompaniment.
Can anybody “name that tune”?
The presentation is interesting and the melody too 🙂
From my knowledge of music it is more a greek or east mediterranean style music more than Israeli.
But it is true that Israel is in the mediterranean sea so the influence is surely present and it might be israeli too.
Just for the news, you can feel mediterranean influence also in traditional Portoguese music like here from wonderful Marta Pereira da Costa:
And also here, expecially from time -> 3.30
I’m in love with traditional Mediterranean music, but also with other kind of music I would say 🙂
Maybe you like this, Student
Thank you, I will listen to that with great interest.
norm shagged nagela norm shagged nagela… norm shagged nagela … and norm got the dose…
now say it faster… faster… FASTER!!!!!
Hava Nagila
Thank you Christopher
Very nice, but not so Israeli.
Inspired by a Ukrainian folk melody from Bukovina,[1] the song was composed by musicologist Abraham Zevi Idelsohn[2] in 1918 to celebrate the British victory in Palestine at the end of World War I, on the occasion of the Balfour Declaration.
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hava_Nagila
As early as the 14th century Bukovina constitutes the northern part of Moldavia having belonged to the ancient principality of Moldavia. In fact, Bukovina was part of the principality of Ștefan III cel Mare (Stephen the Great), who fought for a long time against the Ottoman invaders.
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bucovina
This is traditional style of Music from Bukovina region which probably inspired the author, as indicated above.
There is a lot of similarity with Greek and Turkish music.
Very interesting.
Sorry for my digression.
The Ottoman Turks regarded the playing of musical instruments as beneath them, being a warlike race, so they employed Greek and Jewish musicians, often slaves.
Turkish music comes down to beating war drums and Sufi chants…..
Jordi Savall’s ‘Mare Nostrum’ concert programme is very good.
In Romania they play it when the want to get the men into a frenzy for their annual cow orgy.
“Indonesia may widen palm export ban to combat shortages.
“Indonesia is prepared to widen its ban on exports of refined palm olein if it faces domestic shortages of derivatives used in the production of cooking oil, according to details presented at a meeting between government and industry officials.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesia-may-widen-palm-export-ban-combat-shortages-2022-04-26/
“Indonesia may widen palm export ban to combat shortages.
“Indonesia is prepared to widen its ban on exports of refined palm olein if it faces domestic shortages of derivatives used in the production of cooking oil, according to details presented at a meeting between government and industry officials.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesia-may-widen-palm-export-ban-combat-shortages-2022-04-26/
A ban on palm oil exports hurts those countries that hoped to solve their diesel shortage with imported palm oil.
“Lebanon banking group rejects latest draft of financial recovery plan.
“The Association of Banks in Lebanon said on Saturday it “completely rejects” the government’s latest draft of a financial recovery plan meant to pull the country out of an economic meltdown. In a statement… the ABL called the plan “disastrous” and said it would leave banks and depositors shouldering the “major portion” of losses.”
https://www.arabnews.com/node/2069316/middle-east
“Angry residents in north Lebanon’s Tripoli protested on Sunday night following a devastating incident that saw an overloaded migrant boat sink off the city’s coast killing at least seven passengers.
“Gunshots rang out… Locals smashed military posts and threw stones at army vehicles…”
https://english.alaraby.co.uk/news/tripoli-erupts-protest-after-deadly-lebanon-boat-disaster
So much for bank accounts being “stores of value.”
So… hockey earlier … on the bench and a younger guy maybe 18-19… tells me to move ahead of him in the rotation … I said are you hurt…no – he says… I just don’t feel right – I don’t feel good … this was towards the end of the game … I don’t think he went back on the ice again…
He would almost certainly be vaxxed as almost everyone in the various leagues is….
It’s gonna ne the nightmare from hell when one of these young guys goes down
“Nigerian manufacturers are being strangled by surging diesel prices, analysts say.
“While petrol prices in Nigeria are subsidised, diesel prices are unregulated, so the impact of higher crude is immediate and unavoidable. According to research from Chapel Hill Denham, diesel prices are up 129% so far this year, and the firm forecasts that prices will end 2022 up 123%.”
https://www.theafricareport.com/197083/nigerian-manufacturers-are-being-strangled-by-surging-diesel-prices-analysts-say/
“United Airlines Cancels Johannesburg Flights Over Fuel Shortage.
“United Airlines’ Newark-Johannesburg route is presently facing disruption due to a fuel shortage at the South African airport. The carrier, which has been serving this aerial corridor for just under a year, has already been forced to make several cancelations on the route.”
https://simpleflying.com/united-airlines-johannesburg-fuel-shortage/
No jet fuel; no flights.
If a country wants businesses to operate, they will subsidize diesel rather than gasoline. I suppose subsidizing gasoline prices reduces the likelihood of riots.
This is a very interesting post!
Does it suggest the supply crunch is artificially altered?
The basic idea of the peakoil thesis says, the energetic productivity of fossiles decline while the needs of exploration investment grows. This will lead to degrowth and thus a problem with capitalism and democracy.
If we look to Gail’s data it seems as if production in Venezuela and Iran is artificially stopped – by sanctions.
Reserves in Venezuela and in Iran are estimatedly as large as the Saudis. There are sanctions imposed on Russia as well. How much investment would be needed to ramp up production in Venezuela, Iran and Russia? How much was spent on dozens of “vaccination shots” per capita the populations are not willing to ever consume? People are currently squeezed out by inflation. Does this somehow go into oil investments? Or are we fueling the luxury of a growing elite while our economic basis deteriorates? Is that the Roman illness?
to answer only two of your questions.
1) the supply crunch is not artificially altered. It is rather a consequence of maintaining the same economic model, which requires infinite growth, and that is quite poor (perhaps the worst possible one) at coping with current limitations. It creates unintended consequences. The PTB want the population as calm as possible, but the economy throws them curveball after curveball, for example taking cooking oil out of the market to convert kerosene into diesel. I think the “pandemic” was created solely to reduce consumption, but not primarily to affect supply chains.
2) The 3 countries you list have totally different problems. Iran has been explored and exploited for some 80 years now, and is probably past Huppert peak. Venezuela has reserves that are not much better than the sand tars, and we got tar in Alberta. Not worth at this time to dissipate extra energy to convince the populace that babies are taken out of incubators in caracas, then bomb Venezuela to smithereens while losing a number of ships due to the S-300 batteries there, all to get something that is too thick to put in a pipeline. Russia has the potentially best new fields and this is why Putin is demonized. I am sure that something will be done with the arctic fields. at the very least at some point China will push all its financial chips on the arctic table in exchange for preferential treatment by russia. there is no alternative for them.
Arctic fields tend to be mostly gas, rather than oil. Before they are well explored, it is difficult to tell precisely what is available. We need heavier oil for diesel. For this reason, Canada’s oil sands and Venezuela’s heavy oil may be of interest as well. Production from Canada’s oil sands has been holding up well (in fact increasing) according to EIA quarterly data through the end of 2021.
Yes but what price does oil have to be for this to work??
Any of the goobie doobies have an explanation for why there would be oil/gas in the Arctic? Do ya’ll think the Arctic was green once upon a time …. we know Greenland was…
I guess those Eskimo’s must have burned too much coal and caused the temperature to drop
GW is mass psychosis… it is nearly impossible to unconvince someone who believes in this outrageous lie
Eddy
because you (>>>>please add series of expletives of choice here<<<) the 'arctic' as a region of the globe has shifted relative to the sphere of the planet
just as the uk used to be south of the equator, and the antarctic continent used to be somewhere where India is now—hence the quantities of coal there, and no doubt gas and oil too.
do stop and think eddy—
its called plate tectonics, everywhere on the planet has been 'somewhere else'
in addition, the earth warms and cools in overlapping cycles lasting thousands, or millions of years. This is due to galactic orbit, and earth tilt movement. Read it up if you can manage big words. 600m years ago the earth was a snowball.
normally i ignore such silliness, but on this occasion i felt some correction was necessary.
this 'warming cycle' has only lasted less than a couple of centuries, and has been entirely due to man's activities.
not that i expect any of this to register—but one feels compelled to try once in a while.
Oh–and Greenland was so called to lure gullible nordic settlers.
Of course, we can expect the continents to move around again in the future. This may expose more fossil fuels to areas where they can be extracted and burned.
A succession of different dissipative structures seem to dissipate as much energy is possible. This is why I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a later civilization of somewhat different type of beings than we are today dissipating more energy in the future, after ice ages and many other changes in the earth. What happens in a 200 year period is easily self-corrected by the overall system.
Good questions. Damn good questions. Artificial restrictions in production and distribution to raise prices and squeeze consumers is a practice that’s been around for as long as we’ve had civilization, I should think.
One my favorite stories — because it is so quotable and so Malthusian — is A Christmas Carol, the story of how the old miser Ebenezer Scrooge was reclaimed and reformed through his encounters with three ghosts.
In the 1984 movie based rather loosely on the novel, there is a scene in which Scrooge is attempting to sell corn at an inflated price due to a shortage:
Mr. Pemberton:
[at the exchange]… Ah, Ebenezer. We were afraid you wouldn’t come.
Mr. Tipton:
It’s about to close, Sir.
Ebenezer Scrooge:
Well, I’m here, aren’t I?
Mr. Pemberton:
Good. You’ll take our bid, then?
Mr. Tipton:
I take it you’ve changed your mind.
Ebenezer Scrooge:
Yes, I have changed my mind. The price has gone up.
Mr. Pemberton:
Gone up? But that’s impossible!
Ebenezer Scrooge:
If you want my corn, gentlemen, you’ll meet the price I quoted yesterday… plus five percent interest for the delay.
Mr. Tipton:
That’s outrageous, Scrooge. You’ll be left with a warehouse stuffed full of corn!
Ebenezer Scrooge:
Well, that’s my affair, isn’t it?
Mr. Pemberton:
If we have to meet your price, our bread will be more expensive. The poor will suffer.
Ebenezer Scrooge:
Then buy someone else’s corn. Good day, Sirs.
Mr. Tipton:
Scrooge, one moment. We’ll buy your corn… at the price you quoted yesterday.
Ebenezer Scrooge:
It’s too late for that, gentlemen. And if you wait until tomorrow, it’ll cost you another five percent interest.
Mr. Pemberton:
Damn it, Scrooge, that’s not fair!
Ebenezer Scrooge:
No, but it’s business. I’ll give you a second to make up your minds. [Pemberton and Tipton do so]
Mr. Tipton:
All right, Scrooge, done and done!
Ebenezer Scrooge:
Good. Make sure that a check for the entire amount is deposited with my clerk. I don’t ship until I have the cash in hand.
There is a song that touches the same theme by Bert Jansch.
It’s called Oh My Father.
Here are the first two verses:
Oh my father, where can you be
Do you travel the earth just like me
As you pass on your way
Can you hear the people cry
Can you hear people cry in the night
Have you seen the hungry faces from the East
Or have you seen the wealthy princes from the West
Have you seen the cornfields burned to the ground
Just to keep their prices high and their keep money safe and sound
Have you seen the little children starve and die
As I understand it, the vast majority of Venezuela’s reserves are heavy, sour (high sulphur content) crude….too viscous to go into a pipeline without further processing or mixing with a lighter grade of crude such as LTO from the US…. vast reserves on paper….but most likely staying in the ground….
Gail has addressed this in the past… there are no extra reserves sitting around
The supposed reserves of these countries are complete nonsense numbers. It all depends on how well the system can be kept going and the prices kept high enough to encourage production.
Investment takes real goods, including fossil fuels, steel piping and semiconductor chips. Printing money doesn’t do very much. If there are supply line breaks, it may not be possible to do what is hoped.
BREAKING!
Giant pool of the best quality oil has been discovered on the dark side of the moon.
The bad news is we cannot fly to the moon (the tech to do that was destroyed)… and even if we could it would cost $20,000 a barrel to retrieve the oil.
Quite an interesting article. Be interested in hearing your views.
Sorry if someone else has already posted this.
https://www.interest.co.nz/business/114820/john-mauldin-says-energy-spikes-preceding-almost-every-recession-past-80-years
‘My eight kids in Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, and Florida tell me they see much higher.’
This guy hasn’t had his eye on the ball ever!
The ‘Blaming Putin’ shtcik. Energy just another input, we will get throough this…pandering to established clientele mixing myth, rumour, history and hope.
My reading of the Tea leaves is that V. Putes anticipated the planned assault on the Donbass by Zelenkee scrum and forestalled a slaughter of ethnic Russians.
This interrupted the Convid scamdemic as now people are directed to ha8 ruskies instead of the un-injected; G Allwells minute of hate etc.
So once the Ukie situation pans out to a stalemate, things will turn inward again and the masses will be redirected to lambast the un jabbed. The ill-effects of the unscientific mRNA mass jabbing will blamed on these outsiders via statistical chicanery.
An ongoing ‘Orchestrated litany of Lies’ 24/7.
We resistors have 6-12 month window to enjoy the wind down
A H10N is brewing…
The onslaught on humanity will not end before “it” is finished. Whatever it is to be accomplished.
I remember some articles in January: “…well, we must not think that phasing out the c9/11 heat means that we will live in peace”. Right.
His choice of that photo of Putin tells me more about him than any google search could.
My comment about him and his shallow article is stuck in moderation…
Putin looks like he’s been reading too many Western newspaper “reports” about him.
Not being a sociopath or a psychopath, the stresses of being a busy wartime leader are obviously getting to him.
The contrast between Vlad and Britain’s own Dear Leader couldn’t be more complete.
https://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/0435/8452/0350/files/Boris-Donald.jpeg
Boris is just a heap of putrescence, with the face of someone who has never knowingly told the truth.
Come the hour, comes the man!
Very well educated fella though. Took a 2:1 in Literae Humaniores. And before that Eton.
I think he is so bright he plays the fool a lot while the dullards around him squirm in ignorance.
Trouble is not everyone finds him funny. And when you are head prefect for a whole country (even if it is a vassal state of the burger-centric USA), you must project some gravitas and decorum.
I like his partying ways though. Complete opposite of the dumb b*tch running sad new zealand.
Test; I won’t use the name of the leader of that large northern country and see if this gets through; 3rd time lucky.
Waste of time….
Who decides this ‘moderation’ nonsense?
Relax. Most comments eventually go through; I’ve never had a comment moderated, even when on occasion it’s a bit rude or argumentative or, more likely, goes against the grain of the mainstream narrative. Sometimes I’ve thought a comment was moderated, but eventually it goes through. I suppose it’s just whenever Gail gets around to it – you can’t expect her to spend every waking moment on this site.
Not at all; but if you stick around you will see my comment very bland. Arbitrary is my summary.
I have posted 4 comments; 3 are quickly posted. The one half decent one is held up.
Love to know the trigger words; wouldn’t you?
Very relaxed; 2nd glass of Shiraz. Everything else is fruit juice!
i think it is all elementary AI. see my comment above in reply to Jan, which has been also moderated. Mostly it is trigger words. I think in this case it might be “instrument to protect and help newborns” plus “newborns”. Below you will find one comment of mine which used several words to describe male cattle residual from grass digestion, which also escaped moderation.
This article has a lot of problems. For example:
“So if, as happened this week, the US and UK ban imported Russian oil, the global oil supply may not change much. Russia will sell that oil to someone else while the US and UK find other sellers. Everyone typically is still buying and selling the same amounts they were before, just from different counterparties.”
There is built infrastructure to enable all of this buying and selling. It is not in the right place to work correctly for new buyers and sellers. Quite a lot of production is likely to get “hung up” in bottlenecks caused by lack of capacity for selling to other purchasers.
There was a discussion of tetanus in previous comments
Here is a good example of vaccine no longer probably needed for general population. If look in link see a graph of cases since 1900. There was significant drop in cases (majority of reduction) prior to vaccine introduction. Further reductions did occur after vaccine introduction but no telling if vaccine is responsible or the continued decline was due to whatever drove the reduction prior to vaccine introduction.
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/pubs/surv-manual/chpt16-tetanus.html
Text mentions 2017 as having 33 cases (nationwide total) w/ 2 deaths for the entire US population
2/330,000,000 or 0.006/1,000,000 per year * 80 years/lifespan ~ 0.5 deaths/1,000,000 over lifetime
at current rates.
A vaccine with a 1/1,000,000 death rate due to adverse reaction would be considered a very safe vaccine but this is still 2x the rate of the lifetime current risk approximation from above. Also think they require 3 doses during childhood and then 1 every ten years recommended so potentially 10 or more jabs in a lifetime. Who knows if adverse events increase w/ more doses or if you survive the first you are fine for the rest?
Bar chart shows that those that did die of “Tetanus” (see below) were almost all over the age of 70 and none under 50.
Also if read further down in link apparently if Doctor does manage to diagnose (almost none have ever seen it) then their is apparently an antitoxin that can reduce severity if symptomatic.
Oh yeah and if you read a little bit futher – what is a case of “Tetanus”?
Tetanus clinical case definition
In the absence of a more likely diagnosis, an acute illness with muscle spasms or hypertonia and diagnosis of tetanus by a health care provider; or death, with tetanus listed on the death certificate as the cause of death or a significant condition contributing to death.
There is no diagnostic laboratory test for tetanus; the diagnosis is entirely clinical. C. tetani is recovered from wounds in only about 30% of cases, and the organism is sometimes isolated from patients who do not have tetanus. Serologic results obtained before TIG is administered can support susceptibility if they demonstrate very low or undetectable anti-tetanus antibody levels. However, tetanus can occur in the presence of “protective” levels of antitoxin (>0.1 IU by standard ELISA); therefore, serology cannot exclude the diagnosis of tetanus.
Moving on…From what I understand from some reading I did months ago, the main reason for reduced infections is the shift of population from rural to urbanized areas. The microbes responsible can be associated with animal waste in moist soils – the problem isnt the rust on the nail it is that the nail was in the soil long enough to get rusty and in an environment that provide a nice home for the microbial growth. Most of us aren’t in areas any more that are subject to long term continuous exposure to conditions conducive to growth/contamination of injurious materials (dirty/rusty metals on farms) and conditions on the much smaller number of farms now are typically much cleaner now than they were back in the early 1900’s.
But if you are one of the few that work or are injured in an area that is continuously exposed or had long term exposure to organic waste contamination then I would imagine you’re at much higher risk than general population and in that case consider vaccination or at least extreme diligence in cleaning & observing wound.
So while medical science/pharma wants to credit the vaccine there is much more to the story.
Also I dont think they will let you get only a tetanus shot alone any more – Must get a DPT which is combined Diptheria, Pertussus and Tetanus shot. Besides the MMR being suspect wrt Autism there have also been parental reports of association of onset w/ DPT shots….
Excellent post, NSP. My best friend wife got a tetanus shot at age 56. She started a decline immediately, that had her in a wheelchair, with severely impaired cerebral function, within within two years.She then died after 7 years. Friend is adamant it was due to vaccine. There was a lot of suffering and malpractice long before the current pickle.
Big Pharma have been acting with impunity,and without conscience, for decades – this makes them the perfect errand boys for this mision.
In many ways they – BP, doctors, regulators, etc, – are like priests who, while always seen with a prayer book in hand, are quietly molesting altar boys on the side.
It looks as though their cover will hold i this instance, oo.
I am done with all vaccines
I am also done with all vaccs. That said a friend’s daughter got tetanus from an accident that removed her toenail. She nearly died but antibiotics saved her. We live in a moist rural, animal cra pped on part of Oz. i was contemplating getting q fever vax but won’t now as I know what to look out for and get antibiotics if necessary.
everywhere is animal cr apped on
animals come in all shapes and every possible size
medication is a bit like religion—some doctors are charlatans, some priests are charlatans
but most mean well
It started when his big floppy ears were strangely sticking straight up. His legs didn’t bend at the knees and he walked very stiffly and had a hard time laying down or getting up. This progressed over a couple days till he was standing all the time. I threw him a squash and he was hungry but he just pushed it around on the ground with his nose, it dawned on me he couldn’t open his mouth….lockjaw.
So yes dirt and animals means Tetanus more likely for both people and pastured livestock. Tetanus thrives in deep puncture wounds , anoxic conditions. Like castrated piggies running in the mud. If it wasn’t for the word “ lockjaw “ I wouldn’t have known what he had. Only happened once ( one pig out of hundreds ) but when I get a deep puncture wound ,like stepping on a rusty nail, I get my booster. Piggy didn’t make it, I put him down.
as i understand it, the first trial with penicillin was on an agricultural worker who had an infected wound caused by a scratch from a thorn
just as well there was no social media back then, or there would certainly have been an eddy screaming that doctors were in the pay of somebody or other—and trying to kill us
Good to hear – I’d rather take the tiny risk and rely on antibiotics if necessary
That said my hands are full of cuts and torn blisters most of the time – from yard work – no tetanus here… and it’s been over 10 yrs since the last shot
FFS!!
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FRPQVk7UUAUuM0V?format=jpg&name=large
Let the animals keep spreading the disease around, too.
What precisely is the point at which irreversible decline begins? Or can we expect a sudden collapse? What might that look like?
Be more specific. Collapse where? it will be different according to geography and resources. We had a meeting here yesterday, needing to inspect some land, and we were quite late as we could not stop talking technology replacement/extension before that.
How far are you from the nearest nuclear power plant? All power plants have multiple spent fuel storage ponds
yes, whenever diesel stops coming the pools will start drying. but why ask this kind of question? do you really think diesel stops coming to all pools at once?
It is a possibility.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1L_G-iuLCyk
I enjoy your comments BTW
When BAU collapses … whatever diesel is in storage will be stolen — quite likely by the military units that are guarding it.
Cuz the military units will go rogue — they will be the ones murdering and raping … cuz they have the guns and the mindset … I suspect they will establish their HQ at the diesel storage tanks….
It won’t occur to them that the spent fuel ponds need the diesel… but then the engineers who operate these ponds are gonna f789 off real quick back to their families .. so diesel or no diesel the pools are gonna go dry in real quick.
You need to lose the normalcy bias.
The military units will be sending out patrols looking for doomie preppers ….cuz food is gonna be real short real quick once the supply chains vapourize. Double Whammy.
Keep in mind – I was a major DP so I have thought all of this through — before abandoning that Delusion.
Think about it – you are sitting on a farm surrounded by people with no food … humans are like rats … if there is food they will find it — and there is no way you can fend them off.
We don’t know for certain. It is possible that a remnant will make it through this bottleneck.
It is even possible that that remnant will be the beginning of a different civilization that is capable of extracting resource that have been left behind.
extracting any form of resources requires energy input
if human population is drastically reduced, there will not be enough collective ‘group energy’ to do more than extract food from the earth.——and that, only if we are lucky.
which is how we survived until about 200 years ago, or less
a ‘future people’ will be governed by the same laws of physics we are
there will be no ‘breakthrough’ that suddenly enables us to reach a higher plane of civilisation and ‘do things differently’..
we have burned through our ‘once only’ resource bonanza in a 300 year ‘supernova’ of heat and light, which in biological terms, has been an anomaly.
True. But if there is anything left, it is possible that a completely new approach will get it out.
Or perhaps there will be enough changes in the earth’s surface and sea levels that some deposits which are now underwater will become accessible. This could be many thousands of years from now, after the next ice age.
It won’t be by us or our children or grandchildren.
I have to disagree Gail
no matter how far into the future, an ‘approach’ means energy input
energy input requires leverage.
leverage has only 2 methods of input
1 muscle power–either human or animal
2 Mechanical, which can be anything from a digging stick to a steam turbine. The principle of leverage remains the same, governed by the same laws of physics.–ie, to use it you would have to set fire to it to release any energy contained within whatever that resource happened to be.
(digging sticks were generally fire hardened)
Where I live, the run off from the last ice age 20k years ago carved out valleys, that exposed coal which had been put there 100m years earlier. This made coal extraction easy, and kicked off the industrial revolution, and consequently our explosion of population.
People-growth and industry-growth leapfrogged each other.
That is the crux of the matter.
Usable resources must be available, but they are of no use without people to exploit them. Coalmines/oilwells are in effect gigantic levers, those levers create wages, wages buy the ‘stuff’ the levers make possible.
it can’t be done with a few scattered tribes, they have to devote too much time to getting hold of food.
Which is why nothing much happened to humankind until the 1700s
With more wages, people have more babies, who are in effect, the extractors of the resource that makes yet more babies possible.
As i’ve pointed out before, the prime activity of our species is eating and procreation.
The rest is window dressing
They might even be able to eat food and drink water laced with radiation etc from the spent fuel ponds that will billow toxic stuff for centuries
It’s almost as if the ponds were part of the virtual reality … thrown in to ensure extinction… just like the Van Allan Belts prevent us from exiting Earth
Do not count me as one of those ‘very happy’ persons. That is all that we need right now. Can the situation get any more idiotic?
> ‘We’re going to have problems’: Trump hints he would threaten to NUKE Putin if Russia’s leader even mentions nuclear weapons and claims ‘a lot of people are going to be very happy’ when he announces his decision on running for President again
Go for it! I am sick of the entire subject but this would seem to be a legitimate occasion.
> Deadly outbreak of children’s hepatitis may have been brought on by Covid lockdown weakening immunity, health chiefs say as two more children need liver transplants in UK and dozens are sick
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10753079/Deadly-outbreak-childrens-hepatitis-brought-lockdown-weakening-immunity.html
More here https://www.zerohedge.com/political/why-are-rare-hepatitis-cases-rising-children
The good thing is … there are plenty of livers from vax wrecked kids coming … so no need to wait very long for the transplant!!!
The thing is…
A MOREON will read that… and think OMG! I must inject my child because Covid is wrecking the immune system and causing liver damage cuz. The news says so (and Trust the News)….
Even though the injection does ZERO to stop their kid from getting covid….
Hahahaha… now isn’t that stuuuupid????
But it works… they’ll inject that toxic shit into their kids over and over and over… and when the little bastards get wrecked they’ll moan – but nobody told me this could happen! Or they’ll blame it on Long Covid… or they’ll parrot ‘it would have been SO much worse if little F789tard wasn’t vaxxed!’
The idea of a rational decision is ….. an illusion…..this is one giant reality TV show. Black Mirror was well short of ambition!
‘Imagination,’ says Bilgi, ‘is a major aspect of hypnosis and suggestion patterns. In fact, rather than tell people facts, it’s better to get them absorbed in an alternate reality and by creating a vision in the mind, the new reality can begin to take hold. It’s the unconscious mind that makes more than 90 per cent of our decisions and we follow this up by finding conscious justifications to rationalise the decision we’ve already made. So the idea of a rational decision is ultimately an illusion.’
https://johnwaters.substack.com/p/whipnosis-part-1-of-3?s=r
If there is one essay people read this year — it’s that one
Above all, never feed LSD to 170IQ mathematicians.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1zJCT5qQXW4
If they are dead they can not catch CV.
Ah ha! That’s why they want more boosters… logic prevails!
In my view, the excuse of lockdown is a better excuse than the ‘vaccine’ for MSM.
It is always a government’s fault, but not as severe as the ‘vaccine’.
About hepatitis also the Ministry of Health is considering a possible relation with the ‘vaccine’.
As reported in the article: ‘Nel documento viene spiegato anche il ruolo ipotetico giocato dal vaccino anti Covid’:
https://quifinanza.it/salute/video/epatite-acuta-bambini-vaccino-covid/642865/
And also about hepatitis and link with the liver, Comedonchisciotte has been following the subject since a long ago:
– https://comedonchisciotte.org/epatite-autoimmune-dopo-il-vaccino-covid-19-sempre-piu-conferme/
– https://comedonchisciotte.org/epatite-autoimmune-dopo-il-vaccino-moderna/
– https://comedonchisciotte.org/stroncato-a-46-anni-da-unepatite-fulminante-dopo-la-terza-dose/
– https://comedonchisciotte.org/aumento-di-epatiti-nei-bambini-lukhsa-indaga/
– https://comedonchisciotte.org/vaccino-e-dna-studio-svedese-conferma-non-erano-bufale/
– https://comedonchisciotte.org/dimostrata-la-trascrittasi-inversa-con-il-vaccino-pfizer-seri-interrogativi-sulla-genotossicita/
Video https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/france/major-riots-against-macron-throughout-france-over-questionable-election/
Popcorn time
I wanna see what the authorities will do when one of these riots gets completely out of control …
Recall the UK riots some years ago – when they torched cars by the hundreds… that sort of thing .. mass riots across entire cities/countries… where people stop giving f789s and burn everything…
Anarchy… I suppose they’d declare martial law and start shooting people dead if they didn’t lockdown…
For things to come to that people have to be in a serious state of hopelessness …
It is amazing what effect some well placed live rounds can have on even the most vociferous rioters… not too many people are ready for suicide missions
I see a rioting police mob covered in clouds. Cigar smoke ?
What is felt to be questionable about the election?
DANGER DANGER DANGER — as the MOREONS are increasingly damaged they will first scapegoat the unvaxxed — of course at some point these dummmb f789s will look for the elites and the Elders… hence UEP.
“The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.” (George Orwell, “1984”).
The breaking news of today! A new Canadian Medical Association Journal study unequivocally proves that unvaccinated must be put down, lest they threaten the vaccinated: “Unvaccinated People May Increase Risk For Others“ (MSN India). Run for your life! And it is just a re-publish from countless other such re-publishes of today, and I’ve heard it on the local radio first thing this morning, as the most important scientific take-away of the day. It seems to be a contest for the most scary caption. Here are just SOME examples:
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2022-04-unvaccinated-people-sars-cov-vaccinated-vaccination.html: “Unvaccinated people increase risk of SARS-CoV-2 for vaccinated people even when vaccination rates are high”
https://www.scimex.org/newsfeed/unvaccinated-people-put-vaccinated-people-at-higher-covid-19-risk-when-they-mingle: “The unvaccinated increase the risk of COVID-19 for the vaccinated when they mingle”
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2022/04/25/remaining-unvaccinated-increases-risk-to-the-vaccinated-says-u-of-t-covid-study.html: “Remaining unvaccinated increases risk to the vaccinated, says U of T COVID study”
This is how “the lemmings” are kept in their constant state of fear of the unvaccinated. As we all know, they don’t read past the article’s title, let alone think for themselves.
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/new-cmaj-study-proves-unvaccinated
Hence the ‘Savages’ in Brave New World; outcasts desrving of pity at best, derision and death at worst.
The ‘godless’ tech-babies are android driven; the meme, the tweet, the tik tok are the strings of the puppeteers.
Hence we have Jabcinda in ‘sad’ NZ proclaiming ‘We are the Truth, we are The Science’ and the lamestream media, social media, smart phone dummies lap up the cool aid.
The selection process was too easy.
If it comes to this… do not go down without a fight. Melt down the metal then slash and hack to your last breath. F789ers!
Made in Germany:
https://images.obi.at/product/DE/1500×1500/527188_1.jpg
It’s for wood Baby, it’s for wood.
Hack and slash hack and slash
‘Readymade opinions can be distributed day by day through the press, radio, and so on, again and again, till they reach the nerve cell and implant a fixed pattern in the brain. Consequently, guided public opinion is the result, according to Pavlovian theoreticians, of good propaganda technique, and the polls [are] a verification of the temporary successful action of the Pavlovian machinations on the mind.’
https://johnwaters.substack.com/p/whipnosis-part-3-of-3?s=r
The most critical factors were the acquiescence of the people and the connivance of the media. Our skunkish politicians would have been powerless had they not succeeded in corrupting beyond redemption what had been our Fourth Estate. But this in turn would have been impossible without the malleability of entire peoples in the face of a ‘threat’ that a ten-year-old child, left to her own devices, would have seen through in an hour of study and reflection.
As, back in April 2020, the former judge of the UK Supreme Court, Lord Jonathan Sumption, said in a BBC interview: ‘The real problem is that when human societies lose their freedom, it’s not usually because tyrants have taken it away. It’s usually because people willingly surrender their freedom in return for protection against some external threat. And the threat is usually a real threat but usually exaggerated.’
you have to be right at least once eddy.
got to grant you that, painful though it is, though that fact is eased by you not actually saying it.
As, back in April 2020, the former judge of the UK Supreme Court, Lord Jonathan Sumption, said in a BBC interview: ‘The real problem is that when human societies lose their freedom, it’s not usually because tyrants have taken it away. It’s usually because people willingly surrender their freedom in return for protection against some external threat. And the threat is usually a real threat but usually exaggerated.’
Remember Day 1:
A six year old child can understand that you can not lump together people dying with c9/11 and from c9/11.
‘We can say that verbocracy turns [citizens] into what psychology calls symbol agnostics, people capable only of imitation, incapable of inquisitive sense of objectivity and perspective that leads to questioning and understanding and to the formation of individual ideas and ideals. In other words, the individual citizen becomes a parrot, repeating ready-made slogans and propaganda catchwords without understanding what they really mean, or what forces stand behind them.’ Thus, ‘a common delusion is created: people are incited to think what other people think, and thus public opinion may mushroom out into a mass prejudice.’
https://johnwaters.substack.com/p/whipnosis-part-3-of-3?s=r
MOREONS>
It is a hallmark of totalitarian thought processes that they generate a phenomenon that in the former ‘eastern bloc’ was termed ‘absurdistan’ — a satirical appellation for a country with absurdity as its central cultural hallmark. The only logic to such jurisdictions and their internal systems is a certain internal coherence of the ubiquitous illogic. Thus, for example, someone who dies within 14 days of receiving a vaccine is deemed to be unvaccinated, nominally because the ‘effects’ of the vaccine do not fully kick in for two weeks, but really because this is an ideal way of laundering the mortality figures, since about half of vaccine deaths occur within a few days.
https://johnwaters.substack.com/p/whipnosis-part-3-of-3?s=r
Let’s think of mike as we read that paragraph
In honour of … mike
Words, phrases, sentences, provide the building blocks of the pseudo-reality. This involves a conscious use of the language emanating from power centres as something other than a tool of communication and understanding. The purpose is, essentially, mendacious. Its objective is to deceive, but not in minor ways.
It is directed at the construction of an alternative version of reality that becomes so persuasive as to obscure what is real. It constructs in words and images a kind of imaginative stage-set, before which an entirely fictional version of reality can be enacted.
The more people come to accept the pseudo-reality, the closer they move to the mentality of the governing narcissist/psychopaths. This is why it is foolish for ‘normal’ people to try to ‘understand’ why their neighbours accept the pseudo-reality, imagining them to be misinformed or simply emotionally overwrought. In fact, according to Andrew Lobaczewski, in Political Ponerology, they have become functionally pathologised, which is to say that they have come to find the false reality more tolerable than the real one, because the false reality relieves them, at least temporarily, of the pathologies they had developed within normal society.
This may be a relatively small sector of the population — 6 per cent in Lobaczewski’s direct experience in Poland — but its influence is infectious upon a segment of the ‘normal’ population, which will adapt to its thinking so as to rationalise the pseudo-reality sufficiently to be able to exist within it. Normal people don’t think like psychopaths or schizoids but, presented with the double-binds of the constructed reality, may engage in mental gymnastics of accommodation so as to make their sense of reality approximately fit the imposed everyday understandings.
As the process develops, the grey areas in the middle tend to disappear and a clear polarisation develops between those who believe in the pseudo-reality and those who continue to dissent. This renders real violence inevitable. Gulags, show trials, zero tolerance towards even minor dissenters, and other extreme symptoms of the twentieth-century model inevitably follow, though bearing different names, like ‘mandatory hotel quarantine,’ ‘naming and shaming,’ and ‘emergency measures.’
https://johnwaters.substack.com/p/whipnosis-part-3-of-3?s=r
Like german ?
http://www.dragaonordestino.net/Drachenwut_Blog_DragaoNordestino/Politische_Ponerologie/Politische_Ponerologie_arquivos/Politische_Ponerologie_1984.pdf
I looked at the first one. It talks about “new modeling study.” It is possible to prove almost anything in a new modeling study.
On conspiracy theories…
For the most part it does not matter if one buys into the reality that conspiracies are everywhere…
People like norm and mike can go on watching CNN and believing they are not being lied to… so what if people believe we have been to the moon… doesn’t matter…
Until now… because if you ‘trust the government’ then you took the injections — you ignored the obvious (never been a coronavirus vax… now there’s one within a year — and it’s full tested – including for long term side effects haha)….
And now you’ve f789ed yourself… haha…
Your stooopidity + naivety = f789ed.
Marc, among others, believes that this is not directly due to the spike protein, but happens indirectly. Here’s how:
After injection, the lipid nanoparticles (LNP) in the vaccines carry the mRNA instructions to your cells causing them to express spike protein (known as “transfection”). These transfected cells are all over your body and are not limited to the injection site.
The T-cells in your immune system then attack these cells (since they are expressing a foreign protein) causing the destruction of (formerly) healthy tissue. If the T-cell attacks happen to cells in the liver, you get hepatitis.
If it happens in cells around your heart, you get myocarditis. If it happens in the cells protecting the blood-brain barrier and in your brain, the barrier can be damaged leading to prion disease, Alzheimer’s, dementia, autism, stroke, etc.
With respect to the cases of hepatitis being reported in 11 countries across the world, this may not be related as most of the cases are being reported in unvaccinated people. However, in the VAERS database, hepatic failure is elevated 87X normal and hepatic cirrhosis is elevated 125X normal.
More details in this 47-minute video. If you are short on time, just watch the first 5 minutes or read the comments.
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/pandas-marc-girardot-on-how-the-covid
Oh ya!
PANDA’s Marc Girardot on how the COVID vaccines damage your body
Marc Girardot brought a recent paper on COVID-19 vaccines causing hepatitis to my attention. Marc’s theory on how the vaccines damage your body is consistent with what the paper found.
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/pandas-marc-girardot-on-how-the-covid
Justin Trudeau to the 4-yr-old children: “You’re gonna be able to get your vaccine as soon as you turn five. I know you’re excited. I know you’re eager.”
https://twitter.com/OzraeliAvi/status/1518515923875143681?s=20&t=rNEZFq2-VqmM54WX4DS2Pg
hahaha
The immunological rationale against C-19 vaccination of children
https://voiceforscienceandsolidarity.substack.com/p/the-immunological-rationale-against
Thanks Bochy… now over to norm for the rationale FORE C19 vaccination of children…
norm:
The NIH now knows that the COVID vaccines can cause death 1 year from the vaccination date
A 61-year-old man got 1 dose of a COVID vaccine and developed severe neuropathy within days. The neuropathy continued for a year until he died of a stroke and massive blood clots. The NIH knows.
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/the-nih-now-knows-that-the-covid
The Horror Show is Never-Ending!!!
Hey norm … see — Malone changed his mind … on lots of stuff… including conspiracies…
Cuz. He is not a MOREON.
Before the time of COVID, my wife and I had built a quiet life on a Virginia horse farm.
Both of our homeschooled sons were healthy and happy, had graduated from college, were married, and we had one grandchild. The farm and tractor were mostly paid off. We homesteaded the place, starting with unimproved rolling hay fields purchased directly from the prior owner – no bank loans necessary.
Beginning with an old office trailer, we had built up fences, power, well, septic, barn and both a main and a guest house over five years. Run-down historic outbuildings were being renovated. Years of experience in rebuilding and landscaping small farms had allowed us to create a working operation that was also a park and a garden. Our own private Galt’s gulch.
Our refuge is located in a sleepy Virginia county with about as many residents as before World War II, an hour and a half south of the bustle of the nations’ capital. Using American political slang, a red county in a purple state, stretching along the northwestern side of the Shenandoah National Park. Internet access is a problem, and television requires a satellite dish. The historic farms of USA founding fathers Thomas Jefferson (Monticello) and James Madison (Montpelier) are only a short drive away. The first Lutheran church in North America is two miles over the hill as the crow flies. Old established farming families control local politics.
Trees pop up when no-one mows the grass. Amish and Mennonite communities work the land. Our Portuguese senior stallion was coming along nicely in his dressage training, we had a great string of brood mares, and home-bred Australian Shepherd dogs were our daily companions. Travel planning consisted of trying to figure out how to budget a trip to the Golega Lusitano horse fair in Portugal or attend a horse competition in Texas. Price and availability of hay was a constant topic. Far from the maddening crowd.
https://rwmalonemd.substack.com/p/the-way-we-were?s=r
An idyllic life. Well done Sir!
Malone, Kirsch, Yeadon, were all slow to catch on at first, but then had the brains and sense to notice something was up and escape the brainwashing – and the humility to admit it.
Yeadon indicates he’s read Perfect Storm and the OFW link in the UEP… respect.
He says it is ‘very grim reading’… but I don’t think he’s prepared to board the UEP train… which is understandable … I suspect most OFWers aren’t ready to board (although deep down … most people here understand that UEP makes sense… but again it means extinction… that’s a Big Chunk of Meat to Swallow…)
I suspect when Devil Covid hits… we’re gonna see a lot of blank stares here on OFW… cuz when that arrives — there won’t be any uncertainty… that is UEP.
Let’s stay in the eye of the hurricane for a few more months shall we.
A very thoughtful read on a topic I have been increasingly thinking about and coming to the same conclusions. I definitely need to read Small is Beautiful by Ernst Schumacher again. It is such a pity they never teach us anything remotely useful during our compulsory schooling.
That was true of my schooling, too.
Although I always maintain that intelligent people basically teach themselves, and do so throughout their lives, so the school doesn’t matter that much.
We read a lot of Shakespeare, though, and he is full of wisdom.
Thanks! Schooling seems to teach us the current narratives, right or wrong.
seems the the most important aspect of early schooling is learning to interact with others, learning to recognise good and bad in people
this is why home schooling does kids a disservice.
I have two different close relatives who have (or are) home schooling their children. Especially with the younger group of home schooled kids, I have noticed that the children are not as good at social skills.
The thing that has helped the kids in the older group of homeschoolers with social skills is that they have been involved in a lot of different homeschool groups and perhaps other groups (church related, for example). They have been on basketball teams, and part of scout groups, and they have had particular mothers teach homeschoolers are a group on particular topics. They also have had group instruction on quite a few topics, taught by one or another mother in the group.
One big shortfall in the older group of homeschoolers is that they have not learned much math (or physics, I am sure), because that was not a strength of the mother doing the majority of the teaching. It also wasn’t part of “group instruction.”
thanks Gail
i’ve no experience of home schooling, and don’t know anyone who has, but that more or less confirmed my basic thinking on it
As sad new Zealand confronts a world with reducing energy supplies and falling prosperity it has introduced a number of processing technologies.
new zealand has realised it is returning to the stone age with its groundbreaking 50 year dysgenics program, communal living and welfare UBI.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/hawkes-bay-today/news/moko-kauae-ignorance-why-have-you-got-that-barcode-on-your-face/IKRBQNT3U5YY4Y4RZPPTU6TTWA/
Now a new zealander can choose to have a barcode placed below the bottom lip for ease of check-ins to communal sleeping houses and welfare shops.
Already one of the most violent places on earth this new tech will speed food processing and welfare collecting thereby minimising brawls in food and welfare lines.
Hooray for new zealand. Truly at the intellectual head of the global community.
Strange!
I STRONGLY suggest you delete that racist, piece of crap post from your website. The linked article is from behind a paywall, but it seems to be about the ignorance of New Zealanders for the respected tattoos of the native Maoris. It’s the height of ignorance and disrespect to compare them to a barcode – which is the apparent point of the article.
Nothing Wet My Beak wrote is true. New Zealand is NOT tattooing faces to speed up welfare. Wet My Beak is insulting all Maori with this hateful, stupid made up story. Face tattoos of the Maori are a very respected tradition. Wet My Beak just is a horrible racist posting lies on your website. Don’t buy into his hate speech.
I will put up your comment as well.
I have no idea what the article really said. If there really were bar codes, it would be truly bizarre.
The idea from elsewhere has been implanted chips, perhaps in the hand, to allow others to know how much of an allocation each person is allowed to have.
Is it ok to refer to most NZ women as Plough Mules? I can provide photo evidence….
anna – what are your thoughts?
Free speech, ‘Anna’ ,means that even ‘untrue’ things get to be published.
It’s much preferable to slavery and 24/7 propaganda, and is a foundation of the common good.
Intelligent people will arrive at heir own conclusions, and need no assistance from censors.
imagine if anna was your mum…. not saying it would bad (cuz anna would ask to have that censored)…. just asking people to imagine….
norm and mike might think that a pleasant thing…
Keep calm and take another booster anna..
Many Maoris do indeed tattoo their faces
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/9b/85/30/9b8530ee40ab8f39621b03c6ca1a64db.jpg
The first time I encountered this I said to M Fast — WTF was she thinking…. then said – remember that guy in Bali who tattooed his face — the only job he could find was selling day old newspapers tossed in the bin from planes….
Then someone told me this is a cultural thing… all good if you never plan to leave NZ to work… although if you are super smoking hot and can twirl around a pole … there are places that will hire you in spite of the mouth tattoo.
F the MSM https://archive.ph/qqhib
https://www.christianitydaily.com/articles/15681/20220425/social-credit-scoring-system-designed-to-modify-behavior-launched-in-italy.htm
Can anyone verify this is true?
Social credit is an invention of a taoist named Yuan Liaofan (1533-1606). His scheme was called the Gongguge, or standards for doing meritorious and malicious works.
Its standard is obviously different from what we have in China now, but not too different.
For those who can read Chinese, here it is. http://www.amtb.tw/pdf/gongguoge.pdf (It has never been translated to English.)
Apparently PRC is not advertising that one of its sages who lived 450 years ago had invented the social credit system it is taunting now.
Interesting, Kulm.
‘A good-tempered, sensual man, fond of wine and women, who rarely goes to church, may well be closer to God than the most austere and virtuous moralist.’
Take that, crazy and deluded dead Taoist!
If it exists, I wonder if it will include, “Voted for the correct person in the last election.”
Please see here 🙂
Italy is surely in first positions for this madness. I think we want beat China:
https://www.byoblu.com/2022/03/30/crediti-sociali-in-italia-a-bologna-ce-il-portafoglio-del-cittadino-virtuoso/
𝙬ith “social change” in the headlines and new normals popping up everywhere, I am sure,you fine people here in the ofw community are wondering what the next new normal will be. It could be less alcohol.
https://www.wired.com/story/the-end-of-alcohol/
This movement, although only existing among young urban professionals, at the moment, kind of makes sense. I think it has grown organically from the #metoo movement. The #metoo movement suggested than any sex done under the influence may not be consensual which makes alcohol an enabler of crimes against a protected group in a way other substances aren’t.
There is also less need for alcohol in a world where breeding is not a social priority, and meeting strangers to hook-up is considered a public health risk.
Stay home, everyone. It’s scary out there.
Remember, though, when people were forced to stay at home, alcohol use went way up. I am afraid we will be forced to stay at home more, if fuel for oil based fuels are in short supply.
Also, alcohol has significant calories in it. It stores well. It can be traded for other things. I don’t expect to see a big drop in its consumption.
Catherine Austin Fitts reminded us that during the break-up of the old Soviet Union, vodka was the most barterable item.
https://usawatchdog.com/we-are-at-war-right-now-catherine-austin-fitts/
@47:00
That got me thinking, or rather, set off my PTSD chain reaction.
I may have a beer or a drink 3 times a year. Last was in November, 2021 at the Amherst-Williams Little Three telecast football game in Spartanburg SC, and months before that from a small bottle of Maker’s Mark given to me as a thank you by my daughter’s best friend’s parents whose wedding pictures I took with my Nikon Z-7II. They couldn’t afford a photographer. (hardworking God fearing Latinos form Honduras).
I had to stay for an hour after those three beers because I was too under the influence to drive back to Asheville and I knew it. I couldn’t believe it.
But I now have a hair trigger anger obssession with lawyers, Medical Boards especially KY and NC that like dominoes leads back to the political corruption and slime in both the medical and legal professions- to the point that I wrote a memoirs, but it did nothing to acheive closure for all the crap they did to me.
The NC Medical Board in 2003 sent me to Pine Grove Recovery Center in Hattiesburg MS, for anger management, even though their own experts (all five of them) had opined that I didn’t need tany drug or behavior therapy etc. They realized I was getting railroaded. But when I arrived, suddenly Pine Grove announced they had no such program for anger management. To keep me there for 3 months, they diagnosed and treated me as an alcoholic or drug addict. Pure fraud, coercion, and medical malpractice, but you can’t do a thing about it. You can not sue these entities who enjoy soverreign immunity. I had to sit around impaired pathological lying physicians all day long as they insisted I was in denial. I had to attend Caduceus, the 12 Step Program, confess that I was an alcoholic and attend AA meetings, etc even though I have never been accused of, rumored to have been, or suspected of drugs or alcohol ever having been a problem, at the hopsitals, by the staff, or any failed drug screen, DUI or DWI in my life. Crusader Dr Louise Andrew, formerly of Center for Professional Well Being in Durham NC had been one of those NC Medical Board appointed experts. She has subesequently acknowledged the abuses by the NC Physician’s Health Program (NCPHP) and NCMB towards physicians via referrals to these sham treatment centers for $$$$.
Where was I going with this? Oh yeah, I am now stocking up on some booze. The guy at the Alocohol Beverage Control in NC says that the Hispanics like Tequila. (If I need work done, it might come in handy as payment or barter.) While I was there chatting with him for about 15 minutes at 1:00 in the afternoon on a weekday, four customers came in individually and purchased hard liquor but only in small amounts. All were black females 25-35ish. No whites or Hispanics. The owner clerk was white. Just reporting what I saw. I loaded up on 4 of the biggest bottles of Maker’s Mark (1.7 liters each?). Like propane, it will store forever. I guess that now makes me a full fledged alcoholic. Hair sample anyone?
“They couldn’t afford a photographer. ”
I’m not sure if that’s a bad thing.
Professional photography has become a very upper class profession in the last 30 years. They mostly take pictures of other members of the upper class. Everything else they take pictures of goes through many filters, and I’m not referring to software filters,. to the point the other things they take pictures of seem unnatural.
After reading John Waters blog on Mass Formation and enduring a high level of hygiene theatre and hypnosis at regular recovery meetings I am a bit more skeptical and isolated these days.
Your experience of being railroaded into treatment with a diagnosis of alcoholism speaks to how the medical community has been weaponized for profit or control in many cases.
Considering that the judicial system regularly “refers” offenders to treatment programs and regular meetings raises some red flags for me. The same judges and district attorneys who refer substance abusers are the ones who sign warrants for DEA assisted, intelligence-led police actions, no-knock warrants and run Cointelpro style campaigns against local activists. Character assassination and breaking support systems are chief among their tactics.
In my case it helped to break the cycle of addiction as I am a “real alcoholic.” As with any “program” there are core principles that can be followed so I decided to focus on those and attend private meetings with people I trust to cope with fresh traumas, fears/regrets and daily reminders of my personal shortcomings.
When talking with my smart aleck Father (who supports my recovery) about some serious prepping, he suggested cigarettes and alcohol as barter items. It is said that if one is spiritually fit they should be able to go anywhere or do anything without fear of king alcohol with a few notable exceptions, lol.
RE mass formation
The official framing of this “phenomenon” is misleading and wrong. The false hope-addicted psychologists and their acolytes want you to believe this is “just some temporary occasional” madness by the masses that has been going on since only about the 20th century when it is but a spike of a CHRONIC madness going on for aeons with “civilized” people — https://www.rolf-hefti.com/covid-19-coronavirus.html
One of these mainstream psychologists who have been spreading this whitewashed reality, Dr. Desmet, also fails to see that the Covid Psyop is a TOTALLY deliberate ploy because he doesn’t think it’s ALL intentionally sinister. This makes him witting or unwitting controlled opposition.
Worst of all, perhaps, the mass formation/mass psychosis notion frames the problem as the public being a mere unaccountable non-culpable victim in this phenomenon. Nothing could be further from the truth (see referenced source above)…
Self-organizing systems behave strangely. When there is extra energy in the system, new organizations form. If there is more energy in the system, more children live to maturity and fewer dye. As the system is strained with less energy per capita and more poorly distributed energy (more for the top 1% and less for others), strange things seem to happen as well. There is always a tendency for leaders to create “narratives” for people to believe. These narratives seem to become more and more bizarre. Scapegoats are found, for push their personal negative feelings toward.
Notice how so many substackers are rejoicing as Denmark halts the vaccine — they all want to believe this nightmare will stop when governments wake up…
They cannot accept that this is an extinction event. It must be mistake – corruption – $$$… can’t be on purpose
We’ll see with Denmark — if all countries stop then mission accomplished .. no point in jabbing if you have enough to kill everyone … alternatively as I have suggested — all the bad stuff that happens due to the high vax rate in Denmark will be blame on the stopping the vax.
Remember Sweden didn’t play ball.. and they beat covid – but they vaxxed too… why would they vax?
End of the day we are out of oil — Covid is no accident – it is all tied together
I also think a good supply of wine, vodka, ouzo, rum, etc. definitely makes sense. Either for occasional consumption for pleasure or in the crisis to exchange.
Yes, it’s a double-win. Consolation for oneself, or barter goods.
I once did volunteer work for a charity, which shared a building with Alcoholics Anonymous.
AA were shut at the time ‘until further notice’,
I asked why:
‘Oh, they had a party which got rather out of hand’.
In the UK, Twitter is going to be subject to the Tories own Online Safety Bill, though. Elon and the Tories may be pulling in different directions on ‘free speech’, and the state will presumably ‘win’ that one.
> Elon Musk buys Twitter for $54.20 per share in takeover deal worth $44BN: Tesla tycoon takes social media giant private and promises ‘new features, to defeat the spam bots and to make the algorithms open source to increase trust’
I will lift this discussion into the open space.
“Humans are DS within DS within DS, and their values have layers that are not necessarily congruent and well ordered. It is just how it is.”
I was dashing out to shop, and I have a moment to develop that just a bit more. (Apologies in advance.)
– Layer of values –
1. a) Humans are dissipative structures, even living organisms with organic drives. Their ‘values’ are ordered to the dissipative structure that they are. So, eg. they ‘value’ nourishing food, warmth and shelter. It is ‘their personal good’.
b) Humans construct economic societies through which to satisfy their organic drives. Economies are also dissipative structures, and human ‘values’ are also ordered to those dissipative structures. So, they value a well-functioning economy. It is ‘their social good’.
c) Economic societies today exist within a global economic dissipative structure that allows the economic societies to function, and human values are ordered to that layer of dissipative organisation too. So, they value a well-functioning global economy. It is ‘their international good’.
So, there are layers of dissipative organisation within which human values are ordered, the organic, the economic society, the global economy.
– Ordering of values –
Now, it is a matter of perspective which layer of dissipation human values are ordered ‘toward’. (The simple fact is that they are ‘layered’.)
2. a) The person may take oneself, or one’s near and dear ones, as the ‘aim’ to which values are ordered. That would be ‘self-interest’. So, they would value the global economy in so far as it allows for the well-functioning of their local economic society in so far as that satisfies their own organic drives.
b) Humans may take their local economic society as the ‘aim’ toward which values are ordered. That would be ‘patriotism’, ‘the social good’. So they would value their lives, and even be willing to sacrifice them, in so far as it allows for the well-functioning of the local economy. And they would value the global economy on the same grounds.
c) Humans may take the global economy as the ‘aim’ toward which values are ordered. That would be ‘humanism’ (for want of a less used and flexible phrase), ‘the international good’. Persons and economic societies would be valued in so far as they allow for the well-functioning of the global economy. (Political philosophies of ‘progress’ may lend themselves to that, like Marxism, although they tend to ‘bring it back’ through b to a (which is another discussion, the abstract ‘person’), which assumes an ‘ideal’ harmony between the layers.)
So, human values have layers of ordering toward layers of structural dissipation and it is a matter of perspective to which layer they are ordered.
– The potential incongruence and disorder of the layers of values –
Now, those values are not necessarily congruent or well ordered, depending on the situation.
3. a) The dissipative drives of the person (or their loved ones) may or may not be congruent with the well-functioning of the economic society. So, eg. the society may need to reorganise its workforce, or even reduce it, which may be contrary to the drives of the person. There is then a disorder of values between 2a (‘self-interest’) and 2b (‘patriotism’). A ‘priority’ must then be given between 2a and 2b.
If 2a (‘self-interest’) is prioritised then 2b (‘patriotism’) becomes ‘high-handedness’ or some such.
If 2b is prioritised over 2a then 2a (‘self-interest’) becomes ‘selfishness’.
b) There may be an incongruence between the well-functioning of the economic society and the global economy. So, eg. a global hegemon may need to make way for a new global order if it becomes an hindrance to the well-functioning/ progress/ maintenance of the global economy (as eg. British imperialism gave way to USA globalism). There is then disorder both between 2a (‘self-interest’) and 2c (‘the international good’) and between 2b (‘patriotism’) and 2c. A ‘priority’ must then be given both between 2a and 2c and between 2b and 2c.
If 2a (‘self-interest’) is prioritised over 2c (‘the international good’), then the person is liable to then ‘identify’ with the social economy (2b), and 2c is then ‘enemy machinations’, or the person may just call 2c ‘global tyranny’ or some such.
If 2b (‘patriotism’) is prioritised over 2c (the ‘international good’), then 2c becomes ‘enemy machinations’ or the ‘high-handedness’ of one state toward another or some such.
If 2c (‘the international good’) is prioritised over 2a (‘self-interest’) then the latter is again ‘selfishness’ here in relation to 2c.
If 2c is prioritised over 2b, then 2b becomes ‘national-selfishness’, which may also be reduced to the ‘high-handedness’ of the state but, again, in relation to 2c.
– Conclusion –
Personally I tend to lean toward 2c, although it is easier to be ‘idealistic’ in the abstract. Practice may be a different matter if it has any immediacy.
The potential incongruence of the layers of dissipation and disorder of the layers of values is real and even experiential. It is a topical matter with what is going on right now. Eg. should Westerners side with NATO on ‘selfish’ or ‘patriotic’ grounds or with Eurasia on ‘humanist’ grounds of ‘the international good’? (Obviously, assuming that reading of the situation.) Life and its ethics are not necessarily simple.
(Apologies, again to anyone who persevered with that one. I am going to leave off editing that now, and hope that I did not leave any errors.)
You say:
I think that there are sublayers that become important. A woman, especially, will be concerned about her family. Following some strange order that would put her family at risk will not go over well. A father would probably not be too happy either.
Some dissipative structures will succeed, while others will fail early. Which ones will succeed and which will fail can be difficult to see, early on. NATO is a dissipative structure. It needs energy from many directions. Keeping it operating becomes difficult unless benefits are inexpensive and clearly evident.
Yes, there is no ‘right’ or ‘wrong’ ‘answer’. The whole point was the potential incongruence of the ‘layers’.
On the other hand, they also have a certain ‘interdependence’. If one were always to put family above society, then one would perchance dissuade them from ever fighting for the society in wars. But if everyone did that then there would be no one to defend the society, and perchance another could walk in and deprive the families of all. That outcome assumes that each family would make the same choice. Ruin might not prevail if one made a different choice to other families. Conscription is also a possibility.
Or if one always put society before family then it could lead to scenarios like a particularly forceful or inconsiderate ‘euthanasia’ programme. Death in wars might be acceptable to some but not T4 or whatever. People are not necessarily ‘consistent’ in how they order the ‘layers’.
My ‘option’ for 2c (‘the international good’ conceived as material progress or whatever) was a touch eccentric, and it perhaps illustrates how simple models can lead to slightly eccentric conclusions – although the British State certainly has lost attachment from me. It is just an economic society, a labour market, and as such the same as any other such thing. It has reduced itself to the cold abstract that is easily despised or transcended, so 2c. Labour markets are there to be used for a job, not to ‘die for’.
No one dies for a labour market – but then again, what is an ‘international dissipative structure’ if not the same? Humans tend to look for more ‘meaning’ than that, even if ‘values’ do tend to be secondary to dissipative structures. The UK simply does not ‘cut the mustard’. Many may feel the same about the USA, which is also just a labour market. Of course, states like to talk about ‘values’, which is superficial, unless one is a ‘believer’, which is what states want from their citizens/ subjects.
(also see drb)
When there is not enough to go around, 2c becomes in practice unviable. you can further explore your value scale by comparing 2a.1(self), 2a.2(family),2a.3 (tribe or village). 2b.1 (local culture) is certainly viable in Italy (e.g. Emilia Romagna culture, which is a mix of industrialism, rural northern and etruscan ethos), as opposed to 2b.2 (Italy, a country created by globalists in the 1800s to combat the Austro-Hungarian empire), 2b.3 (Europe, as in the EU).
Others will recognize similar scales, in the UK or Eastern Europe. Not all scales are present in racially homogeneous countries, or former empires. You could even split it further to 2a.11 (self plus children). For me it is only 2a.11 plus 2b.2 or 2b.3 (Russia) that matter now.
You talk is if we’re just around the corner. Is it really that close?
Yes, I constructed the model simply as layers of ‘dissipative structures’, but humans do not tend to think in those terms.
They tend to think through the prism of their ‘being’/ ‘identity’. Then the ‘layers’ are more likely to be self, family, local community, tribe, nation, race, species. That is probably closer to how nature normally organises itself as dissipative structures.
Those are not the terms in which Western European or North American societies currently function though. We live under capitalist states under which societies are simply labour markets for the capitalist class to make money (which can raise living standards for families).
Models can be constructed with different terms, and the potential incongruence between the ‘layers’ can be discussed in those terms.
Interesting discussion to ponder, thank you Mirror.
I add this in jest, laughter is good, helps me deal with the inevitable.
d) Old age is a dissipating structure 🤣
Yes, dissipative structures tend to be subject to entropy – people, nations, states. It is just how it goes.
I enjoyed reading that, Mirror. You’ve clarified that there are layers of dissipation (big word!) and that there is the potential for incongruence (even bigger word!) between them.
Outside of the global economy, there is a further layer of dissipation that Greens used to call Gaia. Under the UN SDGs that are currently being promoted everywhere, we are asked to make sacrifices on her account.It seems to be being positioned as the ultimate patriotism these days.
One thing you might like to ponder further is how do these layers of dissipation fit in with the concept of will to power that you see as one of the most important psychological dynamics or drives affecting human behavior?
Yes, and ‘Gaia’ can be conceived as an open dissipative system that exchanges energy and matter with the broader solar system and even the wider universe, from which all of its energy and matter is ultimately received and to which it is returned. ‘Gaia’ and everything on it, including our lives, is all then just ‘the sun rising’, and that is all that is ‘really happening’.
We are nestled dissipative structures within the wider cosmos that simply tends to form dissipative structures between which to exchange matter and energy. We are simply organisms that dissipate energy that has been received from the sun, like leaves that grow toward it. That perspective is liable to have an odd effect on our sense of ‘values’. The cosmos is All.
(I will come back to the ‘will to power’ thing.)
I am currently chewing through Nietzsche’s Genealogy of Morals, and he seems to touch on this matter in the current passage, so I will quote him.
In other words, the individual person would subject itself, or be subjected to, the economic society, and the latter to the well-functioning of the global economy, in such a manner as to create greater ‘units of power’. It is not simply how humans behave, it is how dissipative structures in general act. They compete for existence through the concentration of energy to their own maintenance and expansion, and they order the environment to themselves, and so increase entropy in the environment (and thus the travails of ‘Gaia’), including other dissipative structures. It is rooted in physics.
He is discussing the origin of moral concepts, and their origin in physiology and in the course of history. Plato thought (or pretended to think) that they are pre-existent Ideas, which Nietzsche obviously considered to be nonsense. Neither are they based on ‘natural law’, which is similarly nonsense. In reality, people make up ‘morality’ as nonsense to suit their own interests, and society uses ‘law’ to regulate interactions in a way that allows power to concentrate particularly in the upper classes and to an extent in the society in general. Presumably ‘international law’ is also rooted in similar power dynamics.
> …. Therefore ‘just’ and ‘unjust’ only start from the moment when a legal system is set up (and not, as Dühring says, from the moment when the injury is done.) To talk of ‘just’ and ‘unjust’ as such is meaningless, an act of injury, violence, exploitation or destruction cannot be ‘unjust’ as such, because life functions essentially in an injurious, violent, exploitative and destructive manner, or at least these are its fundamental processes and it cannot be thought of without these characteristics. One has to admit to oneself something even more unpalatable: that viewed from the highest biological standpoint, states of legality can never be anything but exceptional states, as partial restrictions of the true will to life, which seeks power and to whose overall purpose they subordinate themselves as individual measures, that is to say, as a means of creating greater units of power. A system of law conceived as sovereign and general, not as a means for use in the fight between units of power but as a means against fighting in general, rather like Dühring’s communistic slogan that every will should regard every other will as its equal, this would be a principle hostile to life, an attempt to assassinate the future of man, a sign of fatigue and a secret path to nothingness. – TGOM 2, 11, emphasis added
I was reminded today of an article I read saying that a particularly underfunded school district had been told about deficiencies in its heating, air conditioning and plumbing. The district had been told about the issues, but had only made superficial fixes. The article went on to talk about how terrible this was, because “every school child has a right to a school with adequate heating, air conditioning and properly functioning school bathrooms.”
I thought about my mother telling me about attending a one-room school, with none of those things.
What is a “right” seems to have changed a whole lot.
To assert a ‘right’ is to attempt to perpetuate, or to outright create, a prerogative in the assertion of it.
‘Rights’ is from PIE *reg-, which has the basic meanings of ‘stretched out’ and ‘straight’, and it is the root of ‘erect’. Its originally meaning may have been like the moderns slang, ‘ballsy’ (titter), envigored in the assertion of dominant personal prerogatives.
(I am joking, mainly anyway.)
> -reg* …. It is the hypothetical source of/evidence for its existence is provided by:
Sanskrit raj- “a king, a leader,” rjyati “he stretches himself,” riag “torture” (by racking); Avestan razeyeiti “directs,” raštva- “directed, arranged, straight;” Persian rahst “right, correct;” Latin regere “to rule, direct, lead, govern,” rex (genitive regis) “king,” rectus “right, correct;” Greek oregein “to reach, extend;” Old Irish ri, Gaelic righ “a king,” Gaulish -rix “a king” (in personal names, such as Vircingetorix), Old Irish rigim “to stretch out;” Gothic reiks “a leader,” raihts “straight, right;” Lithuanian raižytis “to stretch oneself;” Old English rice “kingdom,” -ric “king,” rice “rich, powerful,” riht “correct;” Gothic raihts, Old High German recht, Old Swedish reht, Old Norse rettr “correct.”
When I look up prerogative, the dictionary tells me it is a right or privilege exclusive to a particular individual or class.
Using that definition, your opening sentence above looks tortuously tautologous.
But of course, you have a right to attempt assert any prerogative you like as long as it doesn’t trample on the prerogatives already established by other rights holders. In which case they’ll have you bang to rights.
Bionic Mosquito has been writing on this subject – rights, natural law and all that – recently. He recommends going back to C.S. Lewis’s book The Abolition of Man.
https://bionicmosquito.blogspot.com/2022/03/nature-according-to-our-purpose.html
The section below is lifted from a subsequent post on the same subject:
Why do I believe the entire answer will be found in this short (less-than-forty-page) book? Lewis quickly summarizes why we, as human beings, require objective values if we are to live as human beings.
Now, consider that last sentence carefully: we require objective values if we are to live as human beings. If he is right, then the clear implication is that if we do not have and hold to objective values, we cannot live as human beings.
Hence, if we cannot live as human beings, our lives have lost meaning as human beings. We can live as something else, but not as human beings. Would this not result in a crisis of meaning, to live as something other than what we are – to not live as we are meant to live?
Lewis covers all of this. Now, he begins with an example that seems quite quaint to our ears; a seemingly small little slight, an almost unnoticeable ounce of meaning stripped from a large inventory of stock. It will be worth beginning by examining how far we have fallen since the time he wrote these words – from a small little gap in maintaining objective values to the chasm we now live with today (and we know the limits of widening this gap have not yet been reached).
The cost of the one little slight noted by Lewis at the beginning of this book can be understood if one understands the quote from Confucius with which Lewis begins his work:
The Master said,
He who sets to work on a different strand
destroys the whole fabric.
Just one strand out of place – in a different order, one not belonging to the whole – and the whole is ruined. Once the unraveling begins, there is no end to it. Once the principle is given up or compromised, there is no natural (principled) place by which one can say “it stops here.”
What is the fabric that is so delicate that one wrong strand, one strand out of place, will destroy the whole? Lewis answers the question:
This thing which I have called for convenience the Tao, and which others may call Natural Law or Traditional Morality or the First Principles of Practical Reason or the First Platitudes, is not one among a series of possible systems of value. It is the sole source of all value judgements. If it is rejected, all value is rejected. If any value is retained, it is retained. The effort to refute it and raise a new system of value in its place is self-contradictory. There has never been, and never will be, a radically new judgement of value in the history of the world.
Throughout the book, Lewis, for convenience, uses the word Tao when he speaks of this point. I will, as Lewis has made clear is appropriate, use the term Natural Law whenever he uses Tao, in order to be quite clear to Western ears what Lewis is speaking of.
It is this that Lewis explores – the loss of a Natural Law ethic and the costs associated with this – and this is why Natural Law is the key to resolving the meaning crisis. It is the fabric that has been destroyed because man has been working on a different strand. It is derived from the objective values on which man depends if he is to have a meaningful life.
Yes, that is complete rubbish and I am not sure why you posted it.
The sentence that you quoted from me was not entirely tautological. It asserts that rights are created in their assertion, and do not pre-exist their assertion. I deny the ‘natural law’ rubbish, which lacks any historical perspective or critical basis.
It is the difference between reality and story time.
The famous reggae/ dub artist Lee Scratch Petty was once asked why he did not preach Selassie as God like other rastafarians. He reply was ‘because I am not a liar.’ Words worth pondering.
So, the point is that wars happen, so get over it. How one might feel about it is simply due to the incongruence between dissipative layers and the common disorder of human values in their regard. 2c. /s
When there are not enough resources to go around, wars are indeed inevitable.
We are in new territory. That is we are running out of several things but no one can yet say it outright. They have to give excuses. It is not supply chain, pandemics, small local wars, etc. It is just gone not there not available at any price.
too many after too little
Spare parts for automobiles seem to be a big issue. Quite a few people are driving rental cars, because their personal auto needs a back-ordered spare part.
I manage a small auto glass service business. This morning a customer came in looking for a replacement back glass for a ’17 Chevy Malibu. I looked to all my contacts for a new back glass to replace the broken one. No luck. We found a used one at a salvage depot. Ridiculous, having to source a salvaged part for a fairly new, fairly common car, but here we are.
I will be that “junk” cars will now have more value.
I’m in the auto repair business as well and I have been encountering more and more product backorders that the dealer informed me could take 4-6 weeks.
The problem is, you think you are “prepared” because you have new tires, new belts, alternators and batteries like Herbie posted earlier, only to find out that your car is dead weight anyway because you’re missing the part that you didn’t think you’d ever need or didn’t know would prove to be a wink link.
I have thought about this lately and whether it is better just to get ready for a really teched-down scenario, whereby I use a bicycle, with spare inner tubes, maybe a chain, but with reasonable assurances that I will at least be able to roll and not have to walk. Even if there is gas, you may not be able to afford to make a 40 minute round trip to your favorite grocery store.
So, you could fix your car and have all these back up parts only to find out, as Herbie said, that there is no gas.
I have been rethinking things in terms of connecting the dots. If there is no gas due to distribution or supply problems, then there may not be an electric grid either, which means the water supply or the sewage disposal (requires pumping stations here in flatland coastal North Carolina to move it along) will be out as well. Ditto for the gas pumps. Also means your cell phone and internet may be useless and may even moot the “necessity” for other complex systems as disruptions won’t be limited to isolated systems. Overcoming normalcy bias is a bitch.
Obviously, “a 40 minute round trip to your favorite grocery store,” will be a lot longer, if you have no vehicle that works, for one reason or another. The grocery store may not have groceries when you get there, either.
Gail, you’ve been warning us all here for years that there may be nothing to buy.. kudos to you …seems you are right 👍 again….poor us all that are used to cushie living…
We will all have to learn to make sauerkrauts with different vegetables. They last all year in a good root cellar, or at room temperature if you pickle them at the end of fermentation. They have more absorbable magnesium, calcium, plus good amounts of B and K vitamins, plus ten times the amount of vitamin C that was in the raw vegetable. you can all start now. For calories, proteins and fats it is a different story.
In the Alps they indeed used to deliver kraut once a year by lorry which people turned into sauerkraut. In return the valuable cheese from cows grazing in the mountains were sold to the cities. People never got rich with that method and suffered a lot of illnesses. On the other hand some of them got quite old, even under extremely poor conditions.
I think it’s generally a sensible idea to look at preserving food.
When seasonal produce is abundant, you can preserve, ferment, pickle, dry, etc. and this can help to bridge the time when there is little and very expensive import.
It is not just the preservation but the unlocking of minerals and increase in vitamins. also enzymes and acidity that promote good digestion.
I have a mental block about sauerkraut that I’ll have to get over somehow, as it seems very sensible. Similar thing with eating or drinking nettles. Cultural conditioning I suppose.
Try the mixed ones, Xabier. I make a lot of sauerkrauts without any cabbage. But I do put wild greens in, though not nettles yet.
I eat sauerkraut fairly infrequently, but when I do I try to buy fresh (non-pasteurized) whenever possible. It’s more expensive, but certainly more nutritious.
A friend of mine has made kimchi (the South Korean version).
With such things we will have to deal in the future probably something.
I just bought some old, used preserving jars at a good price. The idea is to preserve good meat, for example, because that could become a scarce commodity in the foreseeable future.
But I don’t have any expertise here yet.
Maybe I should start as soon as possible…until autumn my electricity price is still fixed, then the price shock should come.
Another method to get an extra portion of vitamins is “microgreens”, sprouting in a jar.
We see 40% higher death rate among the p rime working age folks. The big question is will this continue every year from now on? Or, is it a one off?
Still no info for or against on fertility.
Still no info on natural immunity rates among the unvaxxed.
Contradictory info on vax versus novax. UK and Israel data say unvaxxed 2x to 4x safer. The US data Eddy posted today say unvaxxed 2x to 4x more likely to die. The most basic of facts are not being made available.
I haven’t seen enough data yet to believe that the death rate is 40% higher for working age individuals, outside the US.
From a new New England Journal of Medicine COVID booster vaccine editorial:
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2203329?emp=marcom&utm_source=nejmlist&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=aomev2&cid=DM965207_US_PST&bid=948055695
I think that the misunderstanding also led to the belief that the vaccine could work magic. It cannot. People who are vaccinated will still catch the illness and pass it along to others. This needs to be clearly explained to the public. Vaccines will do nothing to reduce transmission. In fact, they probably increase transmission.
I would like to see the data that shows benefit of lower death rates.
I think that the data still shows that vaccinated people (of a given age) still have shorter hospital stays and lower death rates following hospitalization than unvaccinated people.
The big thing vaccinated people seem to be doing is raising the number of illnesses, by spreading the disease around when they don’t feel sick. (But, we don’t have proof that precisely this is happening.)
The vaccinated also seem to be over-represented in the number ill. This may be especially true with respect to those who are not sick enough to be hospitalized. The Walgreen data seems to show this.
https://www.walgreens.com/businesssolutions/covid-19-index.jsp
We can see this because at every age group, the unvaccinated are shown to take a higher proportion of the tests than the proportion who ultimately test positive. Thus, a larger proportion of the vaccinated are testing positive. This can also be seen on the schedules showing the rates by testing status. (You have to go through several screens to find the correct sheet.)
The argument that the unvaccinated don’t get tested as often wouldn’t hold up here. Clearly, the unvaccinated would need to get tested if they are going to be hospitalized. They would also need to be tested if they were having surgery that required a pre-surgical test. If they don’t get tested as often, it would seem as if the positivity rate would be higher, because those who were quite ill would be getting tested.
If the situation is that the unvaccinated get tested more, perhaps because their work requires it, this would lead to the low positivity rates we are seeing. But, when we look at the data by age group, we still get the same phenomenon at all age groups, even elderly and children.
Statistica says that 95% of US population over 65 was vaccinated with one or more doses of COVID vaccine, as of April 22, 2022. Walgreens reports that 13.3% of the tests given to those over 65 were unvaccinated. This would suggest that one of the following is happening:
–The unvaccinated are getting testing a lot more than the vaccinated.
–The matching process isn’t very good. Unvaccinated actually includes some vaccinated people over 65.
–The procedure of throwing out vaccinations within 14 days of a recent COVID vaccine is transferring a lot of people into the unvaccinated
category who are really people within 14 days of vaccination. Their rates of illness would be expected to be quite high. In spite of this, the “unvaccinated” group is coming out better. A strange finding.
The notes page indicates that those preparing the comparison have seen the lower rates of COVID in the unvaccinated (for every age grouping!!) The March 11, 2022, note says:
Note that this comparison is only to the three dose group. And the data we have is be age group already. It is basically the same result we have seen everywhere else.
– – – –
Once people are ill enough to be hospitalized, the vaccinated seem to do a little better than the unvaccinated, given the same level of poor treatment, at least according to some analyses.
This study in Australia suggests the unvaccinated are less likely to be tested. It’s impossible to know if that actually is the case.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.01.17.22269450v1
In theory, we should know how many of each age group are vaccinated. We were told that only 5% of the 65+ group are unvaccinated, for example. Why are 13.3% of the tests being given to those over 65 years old appearing to be given to the unvaccinated? Is this grouping really a mixture of unvaccinated and vaccinated less than 14 days ago?
This doesn’t match up with the “lesser vaccination” theory well.
In our data, in NZ, one is considered unvaccinated until 7 days after receiving the first dose. It used to be 14 days, so the US may still be using that delay. I agree, though, that this might suggest the unvaccinated in the over 65s aren’t test hesitant.
Official data is a con because “vaxxed” excludes the first 2 weeks after the jab when people drop dead.
That is jab them, wait 2 weeks and during that period if you drop dead or get sick you’re counted as unvaxxed.
Same fiddle with boosters, until the 2 weeks is past you’re not counted as boosted for the stats.
Remember also they were officially jiggling the PCR test cycle count (not sure if they still are) – 28 for the vaxxed, 40 for the unvaxxed.
With covid just remember they lie about everything – when the data busts them they hide the data….when anyone exposes the lie they block them.
In Europe, people testing positive are isolated in their appartments and cannot see their doctor for treatment. They only can call the ambulance when they develop severe symptoms.
How many severe cases could be avoided with early treatment? How does age, vaxx status and home care influence the numbers?
I am sceptical to statistics because they indicate causality where in fact is none.
“a decreased ability to respond to a new immunogen” Yes, please tell the public that taking the booster can increase your chance of death.
I am proudly and unapologetically Fully Vaxed now. That is, I have had all the jabs I am every going to have willingly.
The most recent was a tetanus jab I had after an injury fifteen years ago. And if I had known then what I think I know now, I would not have gotten that either.
I am due for tetanus… but I fear they might ‘mix up’ the jab with Pfizer so f789 it. Not getting it
+ be dead soon anyway
Just make sure the doctor isn’t named Norm, Dunce or Mike.
Imagine what would happen — if FE were to get that shot — and there was a mix up — and FE was damaged… but not damaged severely enough to not be able to ‘get around’
FE can be extremely vindictive… (let us not forget the Fat Bastard in Wellington…) … FE might park outside and wait for someone to leave … then follow them … and find out everything about them… if they have kids… a partner… I would not put it past FE… to take Action. Because FE would be livid if someone f789ed HIM over like that…. an eye for an eye would not be enough …
Best not to get the tetanus shot.. for everyone involved…
dead from what?
It’s a bit of a long story (if you read all the links):
ULTIMATE EXTINCTION PLAN (UEP)
1. Every country on the planet is on board with the Injections. Even Sweden. When have all countries aligned on any issue? Never.
2. Not a single MSM outlet is interviewing any of the expert dissenters – Yeadon, Bridle, Montagnier, Bossche etc… and the mainstream social media platforms are blocking them.
Why?
Conventional Oil peaked in 2005 http://www.euanmearns.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/C-Cdec141.png
Shale in 2018.
According to Rystad, the current resource replacement ratio for conventional resources is only 16 percent. Only 1 barrel out of every 6 consumed is being replaced with new resources
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Biggest-Oil-Gas-Discoveries-Of-2019.html
Shale binge has spoiled US reserves, top investor warns Financial Times.
Preface. Conventional crude oil production may have already peaked in 2008 at 69.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) according to Europe’s International Energy Agency (IEA 2018 p45). The U.S. Energy Information Agency shows global peak crude oil production at a later date in 2018 at 82.9 mb/d (EIA 2020) because they included tight oil, oil sands, and deep-sea oil. Though it will take several years of lower oil production to be sure the peak occurred. Regardless, world production has been on a plateau since 2005.
What’s saved the world from oil decline was unconventional tight “fracked” oil, which accounted for 63% of total U.S. crude oil production in 2019 and 83% of global oil growth from 2009 to 2019. So it’s a big deal if we’ve reached the peak of fracked oil, because that is also the peak of both conventional and unconventional oil and the decline of all oil in the future.
Some key points from this Financial Times article: https://energyskeptic.com/2021/the-end-of-fracked-shale-oil/
Shale boss says US has passed peak oil | Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/320d09cb-8f51-4103-87d7-0dd164e1fd25
Our fossil fuel energy predicament, including why the correct story is rarely told https://ourfiniteworld.com/2021/11/10/our-fossil-fuel-energy-predicament-including-why-the-correct-story-is-rarely-told/
SEE PAGE 59 – THE PERFECT STORM : The economy is a surplus energy equation, not a monetary one, and growth in output (and in the global population) since the Industrial Revolution has resulted from the harnessing of ever-greater quantities of energy. But the critical relationship between energy production and the energy cost of extraction is now deteriorating so rapidly that the economy as we have known it for more than two centuries is beginning to unravel https://ftalphaville-cdn.ft.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Perfect-Storm-LR.pdf
“The global economy was facing the worst collapse since the second world war as coronavirus began to strike in March, well before the height of the crisis, according to the latest Brookings-FT tracking index. “The index comes as the IMF prepares to hold virtual spring meetings this week, when it will release forecasts showing the deepest contraction for the global economy since the 1930s great depression. https://www.ft.com/content/9ac5eb8e-4167-4a54-9b39-dab48c29ac6c
Collapse Imminent: https://thephilosophicalsalon.com/a-self-fulfilling-prophecy-systemic-collapse-and-pandemic-simulation/
The Illusion of Stability, the Inevitability of Collapse http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2021/09/the-illusion-of-stability-inevitability.html
Fed is sharply increasing the amount of help it is providing to the financial system https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/23/fed-repo-overnight-operations-level-to-increase-to-120-billion.html Banks did not trust each other – similar situation when Lehman collapsed
Oil Gluts – do NOT indicate we have found more oil. We just pumped what’s left too fast.
Summary In 2019 a second Perfect Storm was approaching – the central banks had been doing ‘whatever it takes’ for over a decade…. Essentially nothing was off the table — throw the kitchen sink at pushing GFC2.0 into the future. In 2019 the guns were blazing but the beast was no longer held at bay…
What do you do when you are burning far more oil than you discover — and your efforts to offset the impact of expensive to produce oil push you to the edge of the cliff? You can accept your fate and allow the beast to shove you into the abyss…. Or you can take the ‘nuclear option’ and shut down as much of the economy as possible, preserve remaining oil and pump in trillions of dollars of life support to keep the system feebly alive.
Punchline: The problem global leaders face is that if you unleash the nuclear option without some sort of cover, the sheeple and the markets would be thrown into a panic and you risk blowing things up prematurely. So you need a reason for putting the global economy on ice — one that does not spook the masses – one that is big enough to justify such epic amounts of stimulus and extreme policies — and one that allows you to explain ‘this is just temporary – once this is gone — we will get back to normal’
A pandemic is the perfect cover.
End Game – Covid was foisted on us as cover for the response to peak oil (if we don’t slow the burn oil prices go through the roof and we collapse) but it is also being used to convince billions to be Injected. The Injection is meant to cause extremely deadly variants similar to Marek’s .. only worse because we are deploying into a pandemic https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/tthis-chicken-vaccine-makes-virus-dangerous.
“Mass infection prevention and mass vaccination with leaky Covid-19 vaccines in the midst of the pandemic can only breed highly infectious variants.” https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/videos-and-interviews/international-vaccine-expert-geert-vanden-bossche-speaks-up-again
French virologist and Nobel Prize winner Luc Montagnier called mass vaccination against the coronavirus during the pandemic “unthinkable” and a historical blunder that is “creating the variants” and leading to deaths from the disease.
Imperfect vaccines can make a virus more prevalent and more deadly. some questions on covid vaccines and their policy implications. https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/leaky-vaccines-super-spreads-and?s=w
The Vaccines and Boosters will Result in a Catastrophic Outcome – From a scientific viewpoint it is, therefore, difficult to understand how booster immunizations using vaccines which are not evolution-proof could prevent a highly mutable virus from escaping neutralizing anti-S Abs while driving the pandemic in a catastrophic direction, both in Israel and worldwide. How can the WHO stand by and watch as this additional experiment unfolds, soon to be followed by other countries? https://thehighwire.com/videos/vaccine-expert-warns-of-covid-vaccination-catastrophe/
The Vaccines ARE causing Mass Death https://metatron.substack.com/p/covid-requiem-aeternam?s=r
If you have a large pool of hosts that all have the same fixation, then you have a large number of individual labs in which to have such a mutation occur. You have far more hosts in which to have random chances occur, all selecting for a mutation that attacks one specific weakness and that weakness is in most of the population, so once it’s out, there is no stopping it. And if this fixation prevents the hosts from developing strong new immunities based on these novel pathogens, this becomes iterative. you get wave after wave of pandemics until you wipe out the susceptible population. https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/homogenizing-herd-level-antigenic
The reason for this is that 8B people need cheap energy to live. They would starve without it. And 8B people without food would result in epic starvation, violence, rape and cannibalism. Industrial civilization ends soon after peak oil. Unfortunately we also have 4000 spent fuel ponds that will boil off and release toxic substances for centuries. These facilities cannot be controlled with computers and energy. So even the few remaining hunters and gatherer tribes will die as they consume these toxins in the food, air and water.
The PTB understand all of this and that is WHY every leader is on board with the Injections. There is NO way out of this — so they have decided to mitigate the suffering as much as possible by putting us down and here is the mechanism https://www.geertvandenbossche.org/post/why-the-ongoing-mass-vaccination-experiment-drives-a-rapid-evolutionary-response-of-sars-cov-2.
Also note – when BAU collapses the PTB will not be insulated from the violence or starvation – or the spent fuel ponds. They will be scapegoated and targeted by violent hordes. There system of power collapses with BAU so their protectors abandon them (or worse – turn on them). They have chosen to go down with the ship rather than be skinned alive by angry mobs who will be blaming them for the fact that their families are starving.
I don’t do tetanus, flu shots or any other jabs. I have been cut, lacerated by blunt objects, once I sliced my thumb which would have probably required stitches working on a customers vehicle. I used a bandaid, some duct tape to close the wound and no problems.
> I used a bandaid, some duct tape to close the wound and no problems.
Doc Macgyver goes a long way.
I suspect the odds of getting tetanus are near zero… without the jab
I get the dog to lick any cuts. This is done lovingly and with no fee.
It was only recently I found out that a tetanus injection is a bloody vaccine and not an antidote.
Oh well, never had one of those either.
Sorry, “vaccine”.
> I am proudly and unapologetically Fully Vaxed now. That is, I have had all the jabs I am every going to have willingly.
Ha ha, that phrase will come in handy, thank you!
That’s what you think bro…when food rationing comes into play one must be fully vaccinated to obtain a rationing card..or be allowed in the food distribution center…or on on on ..
It’s all for your own safety and good for others….we MUST be protected….
Won’t happen … too many people have dropped off the vax treadmill now and are considered unvaxxed… and they won’t be getting back on … We B You B. WBYB. If you know what I’m sayin… sayin…..
“I think that the misunderstanding also led to the belief that the vaccine could work magic. It cannot.”
Mebbe because these jabs are not vaccines. They are gene therapy. they do no prevent infection. Period.
Instead, they appear to damage the ability of the immune system to respond to new threats.
Synthetic mRNA jabs ARE NOT VACCINES.
Fer chrissakes.
“Mebbe because these jabs are not vaccines. They are gene therapy. they do no prevent infection. Period. ”
Ding, ding, ding !!!
I will respond for norm since he won’t and I am sure he won’t mind
norm would say — great – gene therapy is what I need as I approach 100… I need more of it – when’s the next booster?
> Synthetic mRNA jabs ARE NOT VACCINES.
>
> Fer chrissakes.
Amen.
Many people were confused by the lies https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=397
Hello Gail
I have a few questions for you.
Your comments and ‘links’ as well as those of others on your site suggest that you are committed to something as ‘abstract’ as freedom of speech and the daily ‘unraveling’ of conspiracies whether it be about Covid, covering up underlying hidden political reasons etc.
After all, your site is full of ideas and thoughts that are at least diametrically opposed to what is considered ‘suspect’ namely the MSM.
1. Do you have the idea that the respondents (especially when it comes to subjects that have nothing to do with energy) and who, like almost everyone else, base themselves on equally ‘unverifiable’ sources, do speak the ‘truth’? And if so why?
2. Imagine if you lived in post Soviet autocratic Moscow and wanted to keep this site up and running under the MSM of the Soviet/KGB/Putin empire. How many days do you think you could stay ‘on the air’ and how big do you think the chance is that you would be permanently watched even because of your ‘religious’ deviant pieces and you would be sentenced to a maximum of 15 years in ‘a labour camp’?
3. Do you think a let’s say Trumpian/Orbanian neocons society would tell you and your readers the truth, or do you think your comments and those of your respondents would be stripped of any ‘political interpretation’?
4. Doesn’t it seem wise to you as a ‘religious contemplative positive moment’ to take a closer look at the book of Jonah and the ‘expected’ downfall of Nineveh?
sheeessshhh
thats a bit deep, even for OFW
ask Eddy
got to go with Norman that is deep. Give us a hint.
5. I’d like to have some of what he is smoking.
Wow, I wouldn’t even try wading into a response to Gerard, as it seems to be preloaded with multiple Kafka traps.
I am not really certain what you are talking about.
I research issues from as many directions as possible. When my findings differ from what is published in Mainstream Media, I say so. I have commenter who offer their thoughts from many different directions.
I am not an outsider, coming to Nineveh, telling it to change its ways, or it will come to a bad end. All the readers of this blog, as well as me, are subject to the same forces as everyone else. The big issue is that Mainstream Media and academic research are doing their best to cover up the physics-based problems that we are facing, as we hit the limits of a finite world. We are hitting these limits head on. Unless the laws of physics are changed, there is no way around this.
We don’t know in what way our current economy will collapse. Parts of it may perhaps stay standing, for a while longer. Self-organizing systems behave strangely.
At this point, my site and I have pretty much “flown under everyone’s radar.” I am not very worried about being sentenced to 15 years of hard labor.
You’ve already put in 15 years of hard labor writing this blog and responding to the comments. A few years in Putin’s “Gulag” would be a welcome break by comparison.
LOL!
And just look a the company Gail has had here all these years…..!
Gerard, I don’t know what your psychological problem is, but please don’t take it out on Gail. But if you must ask them, please try to make them a lot less opaque. Either that, or use a different online translator. Deep L is pretty good these days.
I agree with Jesse on this (as on most things). Just reading your list of questions was a Kafkaesque experience. I may never be the same again.
There must be a lot of head-scratching going on among readers of these comments as they struggle in vain to make sense of what you’ve written.
Enjoy it while you still can.
Slava Ukraine!
I’d respond to this dog’s breakfast but Flirty Divine is the feature dancer and she’s on in an hour… so I need to get dressed and drive all the way into town so I don’t miss anything
“your ‘religious’ deviant pieces”
Gail, is this true?
LOL
I see the hidden accusation that readers of this blog do not valuate the benefits of the current governments enough, especially as they are not sent to Gulag or be death sentenced. Maybe you should rethink this idea?
Clearly readers that come together here do not have the mainstream perspective that’s why they come here. The mainstream is extremely reluctant to think about aspects that are considered fact and logical consequence by a lot of readers here. If you read more you will see a lot of complaints about “denial” and suppression.
The big question is if there can be any understanding, knowledge or cognition without traces of “religion”, if we mean by this prefabricated ideas or axioms?
I believe that TPTB around the world believe that the chaos they bring about is preferable, more controllable than the chaos that is inevitable if they do nothing.
There is really nothing that they can do anyway so they might as well try and manage collapse.
IMO there is no chance in hell they can control it.
Agree completely.
Yes – they are exterminating us
Why is China doing lock down for a few cases? Does this mean they will be non-immune forever?
My guess is that China has financial and energy problems that it needs to hide; COVID is the convenient excuse.
I fully concur. I add that the same male cow back end product (I am tired of ending in moderation) present in Russia Sept.-Dec. 2021 points to a non rosy energy situation even in the country where energy is by far the cheapest. we are really in trouble.
Sorry to see Putin looking quit ill.
I see two possible explanations. It is either:
1) Pure stupidíty combined with hubris. This is the most probable explanation. Hanlons Razor.
or
2) Government planners are aware that there are not enough resources (like coal, oil and gas) to keep the economy expanding and pull people out of poverty and into middle class consumption. As soon as people understand this there will be a violent revolt overthrowing the central government. They have been doing this in a cyclical fashion for several thousands of years so it might happen again.
2) I don’t think things would get that far even in America where a lot of people have guns.
Anyone who entertains the idea that a sustained unrest in important areas of industrial society is possible is living in the past–whether it’s their own past or the past as recorded in a textbook.
1) IS Irrelevant. Almost all new technological developments are making it easier for them to monitor and control resources and people.
It looks like that guy who was ranting about a reset in the comments section years ago was right.
As Gail said, it’s an excuse.
Overall deaths in Italy in 2020 e 2021 (2021 is the year of ‘vaccines’) age 15 – 44:
2020 = 3.119
2021 = 6.190
(Source: Euromomo)
https://t.me/VociDallaStrada/10015
Percentage of population vaccinated is about 80% last time I had a look to.
So this means 3000 murdered for corporate profit. Not to mention those maimed for life.
I looked at euromomo and the data do not support that. they only show excess mortality. That is, zero suppressed. where the data is not zero suppressed i see 83,000 total deaths in 2020 and about 87,000 in 2021, for all the euro zone monitored. the link seems to say virtually all the excess happened in Italy, which would be entitled to about 17,000 deaths, given that it is about 1/6 of the population. but according to the link, only 3000 deaths in 2021.
You might enjoy this, Student, from Pietro Aretino the notorious, witty, Renaissance writer:
‘Doctors, what scoundrels! Their experiments will give only an ounce of health in return for two deaths! And the law actually lets them charge huge fees instead of hanging them as they deserve!’
I suggest that he had either he had a time machine, or nothing ever changes…..
Thank you. All the best, Xabier
“The physicians, therefore, cutting, cauterizing, and in every way torturing the sick, complain that the patients do not pay them fitting reward for thus effecting these benefits and sufferings.”
– Heraclitus, circa 500 BC
Excellent, thank you!
Coin #6
“The Russian Invasion of Ukraine”
Honoring President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
https://www.whitehousegiftshop.com/President-Volodymyr-Zelenskyy-Commemorative-Coin-p/ukraine.htm
What a fucked up word …
Hiding the real problem.
should be made into a Disney Land ride soon
Not to one-up you, but–
“Louisiana is no stranger to disaster recovery. Louisianians
by nature are resilient people, as are brave Ukrainians defending
their homeland from Russia.In recovering from record setting hurricanes
and the largest oil spill ever in U.S. waters, Louisiana has
learned many lessons, many of which should inform the U.S. recovery
efforts to assist Ukrainians in rebuilding their homes, businesses and lives. ”
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/lessons-learned-in-louisiana-s-disaster-recovery-can-aid-ukraine-s-recovery/ar-AAWgjRz
What an analogy. Rebuilding from a natural disaster is the same thing as rebuilding from a war.
Here is another one.
In the search results this appears
Louisiana has suffered from back-to-back climate disasters …
https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/28/us/hurricane-ida-louisiana-climate-change
Two months later, Hurricane Zeta, a Category 3, left half a million people without power and caused $1.25 billion in damage. In total, five named storms struck Louisiana in 2020. As the state …
but the headline on the actual page is different from the search results. but the content matches.
“Louisiana hasn’t yet recovered from two major hurricanes in 2020. Now another is taking aim”
Why the change?