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Most people have a preconceived notion that there will be a clear winner and loser from any war. In their view, the world economy will go on, much as before, after the war is “won” by one side or the other. In my view, we are basically dealing with a no-win situation. No matter what the outcome, the world economy will be worse off after the fighting stops.
The problem the world economy is up against is the depletion of many kinds of resources simultaneously. This depletion is made worse by rising population, meaning that the resources available need to provide an adequate living for an increasing number of world inhabitants. Because of depletion, the world economy is reaching a point where it can no longer grow in the way it has in the past. Inflation, food shortages and rolling blackouts are likely to become increasing problems in many parts of the world. Eventually, the population is likely to fall.
We are living in a world that is beginning to behave like the players scrambling for seats in a game of musical chairs. In each round of a musical chairs game, one chair is removed from the circle. The players in the game must walk around the outside of the circle. When the music stops, all the players scramble for the remaining chairs. Someone gets left out.
In this post, I will try to explain some of the issues.
[1] In a world with inadequate resources relative to population, conflicts are likely to become increasingly common.
The Russia-Ukraine conflict is one example of a resource-associated conflict. The allies underlying the NATO organization have chosen to escalate the Russia-Ukraine conflict, in part, because the existence of the conflict helps to hide resource shortages and accompanying high prices that are already taking place. No matter how the war is stopped, the underlying resource shortage issue will continue to exist. Therefore, the conflict cannot end well.
If sanctions lead to less trade with Russia (or even worse, less trade with Russia and China), the world economy will have an even greater problem with inadequate resources after the war is over. In fact, many parts of the current economic system are in danger of failing, primarily because depletion is leading to too little energy and other resources per capita. For example, the US dollar may lose its reserve currency status, the world debt bubble may pop, and globalization may take a major step backward.
[2] There is a huge resource depletion issue that authorities in many countries have known about for a very long time. The issue is so frightening that authorities have chosen not to explain it to the general population.
Mainstream media (MSM) practically never mentions that there is a major issue with resource depletion. Instead, MSM tells a narrative about “transitioning to a lower carbon economy,” without mentioning that this transition is out of necessity: The world is up against extraction limits for many kinds of resources. Besides oil, coal and natural gas, resources with limits include many other minerals, such as copper, lithium, and nickel. Other resources, including fresh water and minerals used for fertilizer are also only available in limited supply. MSM fails to tell us that there is no evidence that a transition to a low carbon economy can actually be made.
[3] The big depletion issue is affordability of end products made with high priced resources. The cost of extraction rises, but the ability of the world’s citizens to pay for end products made using these high-cost resources doesn’t rise. Commodity prices do not rise enough to cover the rising cost of extraction. When this affordability limit is hit, it is the resource extracting countries, such as Russia, that find themselves in a terrible situation with respect to the financial well-being of their populations.
The big issue that hits because of depletion is a price conflict. Businesses extracting resources need high prices so that they can reinvest in new mines, in ever more costly locations, but consumers cannot afford these high prices.
In a sense, the higher cost is because of “inefficiency.” As a result of depletion, it takes more hours of labor, more machine time, and a greater use of energy products to extract the same quantity of a given resource that was previously extracted elsewhere. Growing efficiency tends to help wages, but growing inefficiency tends to work the opposite way: Wages don’t rise, certainly not as rapidly as prices of end products.
As a result, commodity exporters, such as Russia, are caught in a bind: They cannot raise prices enough to make new investments profitable. The problem is that the world’s consumers cannot afford the resulting high prices of essentials such as food, electricity and transportation. Russia reports very high reserve amounts, especially for natural gas and coal. It is doubtful, however, that these reserves can actually be extracted. Over the long term, selling prices cannot be maintained at a sufficiently high level to cover the huge cost of extracting, transporting and refining these resources.
The success of a country’s economy can, in some sense, be measured by the country’s per capita GDP. Russia’s GDP per capita has tended to lag far behind that of the US (Figure 2).
Russia’s inflation-adjusted GDP per capita fell after the collapse of the central government of the Soviet Union in 1991. It was able to grow again, once oil prices began to rise in the early 2000s. Since 2013, Russia’s GDP per capita growth has again fallen behind that of the US, as increases in oil and other commodity prices again lagged the rising cost of production. Given these difficulties with depletion, Russia is becoming increasingly unwilling to ignore poor treatment it receives from Ukraine.
There may be another factor, as well, leading especially to the escalation of the conflict. The US seems to covet Russia’s resources. Some powers behind the throne seem to believe that Western forces supporting Ukraine can quickly win in this conflict. If such an early win occurs, the aim is for Western forces to step in and inexpensively ramp up Russian resource extraction, allowing the world a new source of cheap-to-produce fossil fuels and other minerals.
In this context, Russia launched an attack on Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Ukraine has presented Russia with problems for many years. One issue has been transit fees for natural gas passing through the country; is Ukraine taking too much gas out? Another problem area has been the rise of the far-right Azov regiment. Russia has also expressed concern that NATO has been training soldiers within Ukraine, even though Ukraine is not a member of NATO. Russia doesn’t want military, trained by NATO, at its doorstep.
[4] World economic growth very much depends on growing energy consumption.
There are two ways of measuring world GDP. The standard one is with the production of each country measured in inflation-adjusted US$, with the changing relative value to the US$ considered. The other approach uses “Purchasing Power Parity” GDP. The latter is supposedly not affected by the changing level of the dollar, relative to other currencies. Inflation-Adjusted Purchasing Power Parity GDP is only available for 1990 and subsequent years. Figure 3 shows the high correlation between energy consumption and PPP GDP during the period from 1990 through 2020.
The reason for a strong association between GDP growth with energy consumption growth is a physics-based reason. Producing goods and providing services requires the “dissipation” of energy products because the laws of physics tell us that energy is required to move any object from one place to another, or to heat any object. In the latter case, it is the individual molecules within a substance that move faster and faster as they get hotter. The economy is a “dissipative structure” in physics terms because of the need for energy dissipation to provide the work needed to make the system operate.
Human beings are also dissipative structures. The energy that humans get comes from the dissipation of the energy found in foods of every kind. Food energy is commonly measured in Calories (technically, kilocalories).
[5] World economic growth also seems to depend on factors besides energy consumption.
The fitted equation on Figure 3 (the equation beginning with “y”) implies that GDP is rising much more rapidly than energy consumption, almost twice as rapidly. Over the entire 30-year period, the actual growth rate in energy consumption averages about 1.8% a year. If energy consumption growth had really been 1.8% per year, the fitted equation implies that growth in GDP would have greatly sped up over the period. (In fact, the growth rate in energy consumption was falling over the 30-year period, but GDP grew at closer to a constant rate. In terms of the fitted equation, these two conditions are equivalent.)
How can GDP rise so much more rapidly than energy dissipation? There seem to be several ways such a higher rate of increase can occur, on a temporary basis:
[a] A worldwide trend toward an economy using more services. The production of services tends to require less energy consumption than the production of essential goods, such as food, water, housing and local transportation. As the world economy gets wealthier, it can afford to add more services, such as education, healthcare, and childcare.
[b] A worldwide trend toward more wage and wealth disparity. Such a trend tends to happen with more specialization and more globalization. Strangely enough, a trend to more wage disparity allows the world economy to continue to grow without adding a proportionately greater amount of energy consumption use because of the different spending patterns between low-paid workers and high-paid workers.
Analyzing the situation, the world is filled mostly with low-paid workers. To the extent that the pay of these low-paid workers can be squeezed down, it can prevent these workers from buying goods that tend to use relatively high amounts of energy products, such as automobiles, motorcycles and modern homes. At the same time, growing wage disparity allows the higher-paid workers to be paid more. These higher-paid workers tend to spend a disproportionate share of their income on services, such as education and healthcare, which tend to consume less energy.
Thus, greater wage disparity tends to shift spending away from goods and toward services. The main beneficiaries are the top 1% of workers (who buy mostly services, requiring little energy consumption), rather than the remaining 99% (who would really like goods such as a car and their own home, which require much more energy consumption).
[c] Improvements in technology. Improvements in technology are helpful in raising GDP because technological improvements tend to make finished goods and services more affordable. With greater affordability, more people can afford goods and services. This effect is favorable for allowing the economy, as measured by GDP, to grow more quickly than energy consumption.
There is a catch associated with using improved technology to make goods and services more affordable. Improved technology tends to increase wage disparity because it nearly always leads to owners and a few highly educated workers being paid more, while workers doing the more routine parts of processes are paid less. Thus, it tends to lead to the problem discussed above: [b] A trend toward wage and wealth disparity.
Also, with improved technology, available resources tend to be depleted more quickly than without improved technology. This happens because finished goods are less expensive, so more people can afford them. Once resources start getting exhausted, improved technology can’t fix the situation because resource extraction costs are likely to rise more rapidly than can be offset with the impact of new technology.
[d] A worldwide trend toward more debt at ever-lower interest rates.
We all know that the monthly payment required to purchase a car or home is lower if the interest rate on the debt used to finance the purchase is lower. Thus, falling interest rates can make paychecks go further. Both businesses and citizens can afford to purchase more goods and services using credit, so the overall level of debt tends to rise with falling interest rates.
If we are only considering the period from 1990 to the present, the trend is clearly toward lower interest rates. These lower interest rates are part of what is making the GDP growth higher than what would be expected if interest rates and debt levels remained constant.
[6] The world economy now seems to be reaching limits with respect to many of the variables allowing world economic growth to continue as it has in the past, as discussed in Sections [4] and [5], above.
Figure 6 shows that there have been two major step-downs in world inflation-adjusted per capita PPP GDP. The first one occurred in the 2008-2009 period; the second one occurred in 2020. Figure 7 shows the sharp dips in energy consumption occurring in the same time periods.
In 2021, energy prices started to rise rapidly when the world economy tried to reopen. This rapid rise in prices strongly suggests that energy extraction limits are being reached.
Another clue that energy production limits are being reached comes from the fact that the group of oil exporters, OPEC+, found that they couldn’t actually ramp up their oil production as quickly as they promised. Once oil production is cut back because of inadequate prices, it is hard to get production to rise again, even if prices temporarily rise because the many pieces of the chain supporting this extraction are broken. For example, trained workers leave and find jobs elsewhere, and contractors go out of business because of inadequate profits.
If we think about it, Items [5a], [5b], [5c] and [5d] are all reaching limits as well. Item [5d] is probably clearest: Interest rates can no longer be lowered. In fact, nearly everyone says that interest rates should now be raised because of the high inflation rates. If interest rates are raised, commodity prices, including prices for fossil fuels, will fall.
With lower fossil fuel prices, there will be pressure for oil, gas and coal producers to reduce their production, even from today’s lower levels. Because of the tight connection between energy and GDP, lower energy production will tend to push economies further toward contraction. Of course, this will make resource exporters, such as Russia, worse off.
As the world economy enters recession, we can expect that Item [5a], the shift from goods toward services, to turn around. People with barely enough money for necessities will reduce their use of services such as haircuts and music lessons. Item [5b], globalization and related wage disparity, is already under pressure. Countries are finding that with broken supply chains, more local production is needed. In the US, recent wage gains have tended to go to the lowest-paid workers. Item [5c], technology growth, cannot ramp up as resources needed from around the world are increasingly unavailable, due to broken supply chains and depletion.
[7] We are likely facing a collapsing world economy because of the limits being reached. Adding sanctions against Russia will further push the world economy in the direction of collapse.
Many sources report that Russian exports of wheat, aluminum, nickel, and fertilizers will be “temporarily” disrupted. A few sources note that Russia plays an important role in the processing of uranium fuel used in nuclear power plants. According to the Conversation:
Most of the 32 countries that use nuclear power rely on Russia for some part of their nuclear fuel supply chain.
We have become used to efficient air travel, but sanctions against Russia make this less possible, especially for flights to Southeast Asia. A Bloomberg article called Siberian Detour Requires Airlines to Retrace Cold War Era Routes gives the example of direct flights from Finland to Southeast Asia being canceled because they have become too expensive and are too time-consuming with the required detours. It becomes necessary to fly indirect connecting routes if a person wants to travel. Many other routes have similar problems.
US President Joseph Biden is warning that food shortages are likely in many parts of the world as a result of the sanctions placed against Russia.
According to a video shown on Zerohedge,
“It’s going to be real. The price of the sanctions is not just imposed upon Russia. It’s imposed upon an awful lot of countries as well, including European countries and our country as well.”
If the world economy were doing well, and if Russia were a tiny part of the world economy, perhaps the sanctions could be tolerated by the world economy. As it is, the Russia-Ukraine conflict acts to hide the underlying resource shortage problem. This is possible because, with the conflict, the resource shortages can be described as “temporary” and “necessary” in the context of the terrible things the Russians are doing. The way the West frames the problem provides a scapegoat to deflect anger toward, but it doesn’t fix the problem.
Russia started out being very disadvantaged because commodity prices, in recent years, have not been rising high enough to ensure an adequate living for Russian citizens and high enough tax revenue for the Russian government. Adding sanctions against Russia will simply make Russia’s problems worse.
[8] There is little reason to believe that Russia will “give up” in response to sanctions imposed by the United States and other countries.
The attacks by Russia of Ukrainian sites seems to be occurring for many related reasons. Russia can no longer tolerate being inadequately compensated for the resources it is extracting and selling to Ukraine and the rest of the world. It is tired of being “pushed around” by the rich economies, especially the United States, as NATO adds more countries. It is also tired of NATO training Ukrainian soldiers. Russia seems to have no plan to gain the entire territory of Ukraine; it is more of a temporary police action.
Russia’s underlying problem is that it can no longer produce commodities that the world wants as inexpensively as the world demands. Building all the infrastructure needed to extract and ship more fossil fuel resources would take more capital spending than Russia can afford. The selling price will never rise high enough to justify these investments, including the cost of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Russia has nothing to lose at this point. The current situation is not working; going back to it is no incentive for stopping the current conflict.
Russia is in some ways like a heavily armed, suicidal old man, who can no longer earn an adequate living. The economic system of Russia is no longer working as it should. Russia is incredibly well-armed. The situation reminds a person of the story of Samson, in his old age, taking down the temple of the Philistines and losing his own life at the same time. Russia has no reason to back down in response to sanctions.
[9] Leaders of the world, including Joe Biden, appear to be oblivious to the situation we are facing.
Leaders of the world have created ridiculous narratives that overlook the critical role commodities play. They seem to believe that it is possible to cut off purchases from Russia with, at most, temporary harm to the rest of the world economy.
The history of the world shows that the populations of many civilizations have outgrown their resource bases and have collapsed. Physics points out that this outcome is almost inevitable because of the way the Universe is constructed. Everything is constantly evolving, even economies. The climate is constantly evolving, as are the species inhabiting the Earth.
Elected leaders need a story of everlasting growth that they can tell their citizens. They cannot even consider the physics-based way the world economy operates, and the resulting expected pattern of overshoot and collapse. Modelers of what are intended to be long-lasting structures cannot accept this outcome either.
Limits which are defined based on affordability of end products are incredibly difficult to model, so creative narratives have been developed suggesting that humans can move away from fossil fuels if they so desire. No one stops to think that economies cannot continue to exist using a much lower quantity of energy, any more than an adult human can get along on 500 calories a day. Both are dissipative structures; the ongoing energy requirement is built in. Factories close when electricity, diesel and other energy products are cut off.
[10] The sanctions and the Russia-Ukraine conflict cannot end well.
The world economy is already on the edge of collapse because of the resource limits it is hitting. Intentionally stopping Russia’s output of resources like fertilizer and processed uranium is certain to make the situation worse, not better. Once Russia’s output is stopped, it is likely to be impossible to restart Russia’s production at the same level. Trained workers who lose their jobs will likely find jobs elsewhere, for one thing. The shortfall in output will affect countries around the world.
The United States dollar is now the world’s reserve currency. The sanctions being applied indirectly encourage countries to use other currencies to work around the sanctions. There seems to be a substantial chance that the US economy will lose its role as the center of international trade. If such a change takes place, the US will no longer be able to import far more than it exports, year after year.
A major issue is the huge amount of debt most countries of the world have. With a rapidly slowing world economy, repaying debt with interest will become impossible. Debt defaults will further wreak havoc with the world economic system.
We don’t know the exact timing of how this will play out, but the situation does not look good.
Russian oil output falls below 10 mln bpd, lowest since July 2020 – sources
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russian-oil-output-falls-below-10-mln-bpd-lowest-since-july-2020-sources-2022-04-12/
The forecasting groups that were expecting big increases in oil supply in 2022 were depending on Russian oil for part of it. I know OPEC shows big hoped-for increases in 2022, and I expect that IEA’s hoped for increases are depending on Russia.
With all of the disruption, oil production certainly will fall.
I saw boris waltzing around in Kiev the other day … on the streets meeting people… which makes me wonder… why are the Ukeleles not able to plant and harvest — are the Russias bombing the pastures?
Perhaps they are — just like they are blasting wrecked buildings… with tanks.. they enjoy that sort of thing… maybe they are shooting at cows and farmers just for fun?
Wonder what the KSA numbers are looking like … the real numbers
In Mariupol, lieutenant colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Rostislav Lomtev surrendered.
He had previously surrendered in Crimea in 2014.
Plus video of Ukranians troops and Nato instructors surrendering to Russian troops now.
https://voxnews.info/2022/04/13/esercito-ucraino-si-sta-sfaldando-comandante-si-arrende-ai-russi-a-migliaia-depongono-le-armi-video/
Doesn’t sound good for Ukraine.
On the contrary the best thing for Ukraine woud be if all military surrender.
True.
Off the gas a bit … while it’s still cold
No mas.
162 Ukrainian officers are among the surrender in Mariupol.
Lieutenant Colonel Rostislav Lomtev, deputy commander of the UKR 36th separate marine brigade, under interrogation.
Group interrogation of surrenderers.
Russian Chechen soldiers are spearheading the fight in Donbas. UKR forces are surrendering en masse to the Chechens.
Reporting on this seems to be pretty limited in the US.
I see ” Russia says more than 1,000 Ukrainian marines have surrendered in the besieged port of Mariupol, but Ukraine denies this.” – BBC
Reuters seems now to be reporting the story in the US.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-tells-russia-return-prisoners-if-you-want-top-ally-back-2022-04-12/
Serious Question: Can someone explain why the population is still increasing and projected to get to 10 B if there is a food crisis?
At this point I think it is not something that somebody can be sure anymore that the overall population IS indeed increasing, but if we are to believe the official data, it still grows at around 200.000/ day. So, question is, when is it reasonable to expect a drop in population growth, at the very least? For example, for this rate to diminish 4 times to a mere 50.000 extra people per day. 2030? 2040? People are driven by their most basic instincts. They want to reproduce because they don’t know any better. As such, BAU will continue, almost forever into our lifetimes. BAU until 2100 perhaps?! Oil, Coal, Gas, Water and Food are the only constraints to population growth. I think we have enough phisical space. For example you could take all 8 B and place them into a country and they would fit. My point is, no constraints to population growth in site. Malthus was expecting population collapse since the 1800’s but here we are it’s 2022 and there is no end in sight for the population problem.
Projections are or continued population increase, continued CO2 emission increase, and continued food production increase. They are all wrong starting 2023.
My guess world population actually declines for the first time in 2030. and it is a nice round number
I would tend to agree with you, based on what I can see now. But I have been wrong on timing before.
Yes, if the food supply decreases, and it will, the population will decrease perforce. Whatever is produced will be eaten immediately. It will be toughest in spring 2023.
Because it is too soon to see on population the results of what is happening now
Look at the demographics, population is going down in the near future, rapidly. A combination of “natural” passing of the old and few young people being born.
Mao went for one child, the population self selected for males, no females. It has been reported much of current human population has descended from about 5% of the male population(some discussion about current number), rest were women. Women have a limited number of fertile years, again look at age distributions, fertile women are decreasing rapidly in western countries and obviously China.
Nature and genetics have different agendas than many political agendas. It is a very interrelated problem, quite interesting.
See Ziehan for a nice video, presented at Fort Benning.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0CQsifJrMc
I have referenced this video before, apparently twice and much of his material repeats from lecture to lecture. Demographics are referenced around 3:00.
It is wise not to fixate on a given scenario, seek a number of viewpoints, synthesize where possible and compare ideas to reality. Not perfect, but helps.
Dennis L.
I would be skeptical of population numbers and forecasts are based on old models with little verification. Most everyplace has an incentive to inflate their population numbers and I would not be surprised if world population is already contracting.
I agree. If I had to bet my life on it I’d go with it contracting already. Human reproduction is most fundamentally a trailing indicator of the food supply but it’s also a sociological calculus based on individual cost-benefit analyses. Just as with animist societies that intensified their use of the rythmn method when they were bumping up against their carrying capacity, so do industrial peoples more or less base their reproductive decisions on said analysis. We’re all familiar with declining birth rates in the first world being due to a large swath of homo economicus deciding that kids just don’t really pencil out anymore. So it is with hard times looming: saddling yourself with a kid just makes it harder. Hell, even, the bible changes it’s tune from reproductive imperialism in good times to eschewing children and heading for the hills in bad times.
When I go grocery shopping I’m one of the youngest people in the store and I’m middle aged. It’s struggle to get around all the seniors shambling about. Feels like I’m living in an open air rest home. My coworkers have two kids at maximum and many have none. The local elementary school was converted into the senior center. Think we’re just starting to see the demographic collapse. We’re facing a lot of problems all at the same time. A growing youthful population would be better than an elderly one for a growing economy but with contracting energy supplies we can’t support a lot of young people either. Civilization seems a machine with a lot of moving parts and we’re short on everything.
Boris rallies the troops in Ukraine.
https://www.bobmoran.co.uk/other-work/up-to-here
“Thank you for coming to my rescue!”
https://twitter.com/steve_hawkes/status/1514207092906803200
Boris: “Germany calling! Germany calling!’
Boris is a liar, a hypocrite, and a criminal. His only ‘defence’ to stay in office is that he is busy rallying the Nazis in Ukraine. WTF happened to this country? /s
> Boris Johnson position ‘untenable’ says first Tory MP calling for him to go since police fine
‘I don’t think the PM can survive or should survive,’ says MP who is sending no-confidence letter
Boris Johnson’s position is now “untenable”, according to the first Conservative MP to say the prime minister should resign since he was fined for breaking his own Covid laws.
Backbench Tory Nigel Mills said: “I don’t think the PM can survive or should survive breaking the rules he put in place … He’s been fined, I don’t think his position is tenable.”
Mr Mills, MP for Amber Valley, said people were “rightly angry” over parties. “When they were observing the very strictest of the rules, people who were making the rules didn’t have the decency to observe them.”
He also told BBC Radio Derby that “we have to have higher standards than that of people at the top” – saying he “dreads to think” how many more fines could be issued.
Mr Mills later told the BBC’s World at One programme he “shall be very shortly” sending in a letter of no-confidence in the PM to 1922 committee chair Sir Graham Brady.
Mr Mills said he is “not convinced” by the argument that it is not the right time for a change in leadership in the UK, given the crisis in Ukraine.
The backbencher said: “When will Ukraine be any better than it is now? If you told me this crisis would be over in three months’ time, then you might say, ‘Well OK, let’s get this done (then) the prime minister can meet his fate’.” (The Independent)
Producer prices rose 11.2% from a year ago in March, the biggest gain on record
The prices that goods and services producers receive rose in March at the fastest pace since records have been kept, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday.
The producer price index, which measures the prices paid by wholesalers, increased 11.2% from a year ago, the most in a data series going back to November 2010. On a monthly basis, the gauge climbed 1.4%, above the 1.1% Dow Jones estimate and also a record.
Stripping out food, energy and trade services, so-called core PPI rose 0.9% on a monthly basis, nearly double the 0.5% estimate and the biggest monthly gain since January 2021. Core PPI increased 7% on a year-over-year basis.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/13/producer-price-index-march-2022-.html
Wow!
Addicted To Masks? Maskers Anonymous Can Help.
Mike is a maskaholic, but today he takes the first step on his road to recovery.
norm is a pro-vaxxer… (professional vaxxer)… he admits it….
norm – you should monetize this by taking other people’s injections and getting paid…
I’d pay you – but there are no longer any restrictions here in NZ — so there is no value… we are in the Let er Rip phase….
BTW — for those who like to live dangerous (pro vaxxers) why not take a trip to Afghanistan? Wander through the historic cities … if the Tally Boys kidnap you so what… you tell them you are triple vaxxed and have VAIDS and they will let you go
Every item in this SF Walgreens is under lock and key.
There’s practically nothing you can buy without having to call an associate to unlock something.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FQL7p14VEAAq6s2?format=jpg&name=large
Sounds like a way to boost employment in the store. Also, a way to less efficiency and higher prices. So maybe not higher employment; more a situation of lower sales.
You also need to hire security to enforce mask rules.
SF and in particular, California has a theft problem were up to $950 of shopping lifting is considered, not illegal. So I can or anyone else wake into a Walgreens take an item(s) put it in my pocket, walk out the store and I would not be subject to arrest or be apprehended by store personnel as long as it’s not over $950.
I read a recent story where a popular store owner in San Jose, CA who had a sneakers store called Kickz. He decided to just closed up shop because he was concerned with theft and the safety of his employees.
I think that has more to do with people pretty much everything behind lock and key rather than boosting employment.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/crime/california-republicans-aim-to-make-theft-illegal/
It will become like Amazon but with real product visual display. Use smart phone and Walgreen app to add an item to your basket. When done go to check out and pay and the you will be given your paper bag full of your selections.
Does anyone really need to paw the item before buying?
I remember Cuba had stores where everything was behind the counter, perhaps to counter shoplifting.
They left the sunscreen out.
I took a trip once to a poor area in the 3rd world and the stores had everything behind the counter. You had to ask the clerk for what you wanted. There were metal bars and plexiglass to protect everything. That might be the future store layout coming to a city near you.
We have small booze shops like that here in the UK. Not common but they do exist.
Not possible. The hordes will kill you if you try to lock shit up like that
> We have the first confirmation of foreign mercenaries captured amongst the surrendered in Mariupol. ‘Famous’ British mercenary Aiden Aslin, who fought for the YPG for years in Syria, had his phone call intercepted where he cried about the likelihood of being ‘used for propaganda’ once he’s captured.
Phone call: https://twitter.com/MapsUkraine/status/1513754839121018887
His relatives running his social media account broke the bad news to his tens of thousands of followers:
https://twitter.com/cossackgundi/status/1513768135375077379
UAF troops had been posing for a photo when a tank drove up and blasted them at close range. It is not clear whether the tank was RUS or UKR. Bizarre either way.
> The same brigade minutes before they were attacked by tank…
https://twitter.com/real__libyan/status/1513982460106846210
> Looks like some Ukrainians got smoked by a Shrapnel FS round. My guess is one of two things:
1. IFF system failure resulting in them not realizing it was a Russian tank
2. Friendly fire ND
https://twitter.com/Mrgunsngear/status/1513645466902278147
GNARLY. Do NOT watch the following:
> The remnants of the #APU soldiers after being shot by a #Ukrainian tank from point blank range
https://twitter.com/JustinEcheverr9/status/1513673250114519045
And so, who wanted to have an idea of how is a blow of a bomb in a war, not considering movies, here we are.
Terrible idea to send weapons and avoid negotiations.
For what?
To be against a neutral Ukraine and against of leaving russian territories to Russia?
This will be remembered as the most stupid dispute of the history.
Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson’s goal is for Sweden to join NATO in June this year – the party leadership has decided.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10714715/Now-Sweden-apply-NATO-membership-Scandinavian-neighbour-Finland-opens-debate-alliance.html
A way to antagonize Russia.
Being a neutral Country not far from Russia the worst idea one could have is to stop being neutral.
Has comedian Gilbert Gottfried got fried?
On April 12, 2022, at the age of 67, Gottfried died in the Manhattan borough of New York City from recurrent ventricular tachycardia (fast heartbeat) that was complicated by type II myotonic dystrophy (progressive muscle loss and weakness).
Both of these problems are exacerbated by the jabs. Just sayin’.
Anyone know if Gilbert was jabbed?
Aha! Found it!. Gilbert made a Facebook video for the Orwellian-sounding St. Claire County “Health” Department, telling people:
“You know you have to do it; you have to get vaccinated. No kidding! This one’s a matter of life or death.”
https://www.facebook.com/SCC.HealthDepartment/videos/gilbert-gottfried-here/2572199946419023/
And Gilbert did not speak falsely: it was a matter of HIS death. Poor fool.
“You know you have to do it; you have to get vaccinated. No kidding! This one’s a matter of life or death.”
Death 😀
You see, people need to understand one important nugget regarding life. Whether it’s Covid, the Vaccine etc, we are all dead within 100 yrs, guaranteed. There’s a much higher probability that something besides Covid will have you pushing up daisies. Such as a piano from a 4 story building dropping on your head, a bank safe from a 10 story building dropping on you head, perhaps a stampede of elephants running you over.
However, I can pretty much guarantee you that if you die from any of the above and tested positive for Covid. Oh boy, you are NOW a statistic of a Covid death. So you better get vaxxed and multi-boosted because we all know how effective those vaccines really are. At least we now know, they are 100% safe.
How true: 100% safe for those who made but don’t take them…..
“Oats Hit Record High With Canadian Prairies Staying Dry.
“Breakfast is getting more expensive with prices for the staple grain oats jumping to an all-time high on Monday amid persistent dry weather in the Canadian Prairies. Oat futures in Chicago jumped 1.6% to a record $8.075 a bushel.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-11/oats-hit-record-high-with-canadian-prairies-staying-dry
It seems like it is one commodity after another.
“Panicky Markets Are the Greatest Danger to Global Food Supply. The loss of Ukrainian and Russian wheat can be made up elsewhere….
“The problem is not a lack of wheat. It’s a lack of enough ships to move it around—and a lack of funds to buy it, thanks to panic-driven spikes in wheat prices.”
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/12/russia-ukraine-war-wheat-global-food-supply-panic/
“Brussels has accused Moscow of worsening a global food crisis by targeting wheat stocks and preventing exports from Ukrainian ports.
“EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said Russia’s warships were blockading ships full of wheat and “bombing and destroying stocks of wheat and preventing this wheat from being exported.””
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2022/04/11/russia-is-targeting-wheat-stocks-in-ukraine-worsening-global-food-crisis-eu-says
I am doubtful that this is true:
” The loss of Ukrainian and Russian wheat can be made up elsewhere….”
We are increasingly having problems with fertilizer availability. This will affect yields everywhere.
Also, China has been buying up surpluses of crops. There isn’t a lot in reserve outside of China. Mostly, we eat the grain crops we grow each year. Or, corn is made into ethanol, and canola (rape seed) is used to make diesel.
If we believe this author, printing some more money would help the problem. I don’t think so. He doesn’t mention that we are also short of fuel to move all of the ships around. Our problems began before the Ukraine war.
You are probably right, Gail. Also some of the most vulnerable nations have been struggling with their own crops:
“Morocco’s Wheat Production To Hit Record Low In 2022.
“Morocco’s wheat and barley yields are to witness a sharp fall in the 2022-2023 agriculture season, with production going down by more than 70% from last year… Extreme drought continues to weigh down on the country’s natural resources…”
https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2022/04/348290/moroccos-wheat-production-to-hit-record-low-in-2022
“Iraq’s wheat production is expected to significantly decrease during the 2022 harvest season, a representative from the United Nations’ (UN) Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) told Rudaw on Wednesday, citing the lack of rain as the reason for the massive drop.”
https://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/iraq/13042022
Biden’s policy changes are increasing the use of ethanol in fuel which is going to reduce crop land availability for food. Basically he would rather win (lose less?) at the midterms by lowering fuel prices than feed the hungry.
the most important part of any politician’s job is keeping it.
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/a-picture-is-worth-a-thousand-words-8ed
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9306d611-fde8-4b73-b736-cc9dd59024b3_1284x1047.jpeg
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1dfdc3ab-9ae7-42e6-8e2c-adf769fea933_1155x757.jpeg
Increasing the money supply, without increasing the quantity of what was available to purchase, didn’t work out very well, I am afraid.
Sri Lanka Defaults on Debt, Blaming Covid, As Financial Crisis Deepens
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/04/12/sri-lanka-defaults-on-debt-blaming-covid-as-financial-crisis-deepens/
“Nepal’s economy seems to be heading south, the Sri Lankan way. The country is facing an economic crisis that has sent the prices soaring and the foreign exchange reserves diving nose down. And things seem to be heading for worse.”
https://www.timesnownews.com/world/forex-reserves-declining-in-nepal-is-the-himalayan-kingdom-going-south-the-sri-lanka-way-article-90801074
Not a surprise.
“Fuel shortage in Kenya escalates ahead of price changes…
“Delays in the payment of subsidies to the companies by the government have pushed up prices in the wholesale market where oil majors resell fuel to the smaller independent fuel retailers, who control 40 percent of the market.”
https://www.thecitizen.co.tz/tanzania/news/east-africa-news/fuel-shortage-in-kenya-escalates-ahead-of-price-changes-3779860
“BlackRock urged to delay debt repayments from crisis-torn Zambia.
“BlackRock, the world’s largest fund manager, has come under pressure to delay demands for debt interest payments from Zambia to prevent the crisis-hit African country’s finances from spiralling out of control.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/11/blackrock-urged-to-delay-debt-repayments-from-crisis-torn-zambia
It is hard to know which African nation is not crisis-torn. A lot of African nations will have a hard time repaying debts and interest, I expect.
Let er Rip! When Devil Covid arrives… it will spread across the planet within days….
As New Zealand moves through the peak of Omicron and the country’s Covid-19 settings are relaxed, we will be adjusting some of our domestic and international travel requirements for customers.
From 14 April 2022, you will no longer be required to show proof of vaccination or negative test to fly around New Zealand, and from 1 May 2022, we will remove the no jab, no fly policy for international flights. It’s important to note international visitors will still need to meet the relevant Government entry requirements.
As Omicron took hold in the community, we put in place several temporary measures aimed at keeping our people, customers and New Zealand safe. After a careful risk assessment, we feel now is the right time to step back some of those measures.
From Friday, 15 April 2022, we will start to bring our food and beverage service back on board as we know it’s something our customers look forward to when they fly with us.
New Zealand and the world is moving back towards a sense of normality. We’re seeing customers return to our domestic network and we’re welcoming back Australians from today, with visitors from visa waiver countries such as United Kingdom, United States, Canada and more, shortly after. We’re aware Covid is not behind us yet so we have taken a considered approach and will continue to revise safety measures based on what we’re seeing here in New Zealand and around the world.
For that extra layer of protection, masks will still be required onboard domestic and international flights.
We’re expecting a bumper Easter with an increase in customers travelling to, from and around Aotearoa. We recommend you arrive early to the airport to ensure a seamless journey with us.
I would like to send a heartfelt thanks to our customers for the support you’ve shown us throughout the pandemic.
“India to face more power cuts due to coal shortage, soaring demand.
“Power cuts could stifle industrial activity in Asia’s third largest economy, just when economic activity was starting to recover after months of COVID-related lockdowns… Coal accounts for nearly 75% of India’s power output.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-face-more-power-cuts-due-coal-shortage-soaring-demand-2022-04-12/
“Punjab witnesses power outages because of coal shortage…
“With the Punjab State Power Corporation Limited already under “financial strain”, the government will have to think of ways not to overstrain the state power utility.”
https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punjab/punjab-witnesses-power-outages-because-of-coal-shortage-385718
“Punjab heading for financial disaster…
“Punjab is one of the most heavily indebted states of India today with its debt exceeding 47 per cent of its Gross State Domestic product (GSDP) which itself had contracted by 1.85 percent in the last fiscal.”
https://www.dailypioneer.com/2022/columnists/punjab-heading-for-financial-disaster.html
One final pallet of coal 1700kg to haul from the warehouse — if I burn through all of what’s on hand that’s a whopping 6800kg of coal hahahahaha….
Do I get an award?
When coal is burned, the carbon in the coal combines with oxygen to form carbon dioxide. One molecule of carbon dioxide is 3.67 times heavier than a molecule of carbon, due to the additional weight of the two oxygen atoms. Coal is not 100 percent carbon: burning a pound of coal emits 2.07 pounds of CO2.
So, Edwin you want to know if you get an award?
Well, you have about 15,000 pounds of coal …so according to the above you’ll contribute over 7 tons of CO2 in the atmosphere as your lasting legacy on our Planet!
Yes, yes you do get an award….
Close your eyes and make a wish …
You definitely are the Chmp, Sorry…I mean Champion Gasoale Emitter of the Month!
Congratulations…job well done…BAU PROUD!
Remember..if anything bad happens…it’s only the Weather…
As Gail has written…Its not your fault
Hurrah for me … when do I get my ticker tape parade down Main St Queenstown???
Perhaps an annual – Queenstown Coal King and Queen? Problems is that f789ing Earnslaw boat burns coal … lots and lots… I’ll never be able take first place.
There are those who argue that the meaning of human life is to release all the captured carbon so that the Earth can make use of it … it does no good being trapped in underground in the form of coal and oil…. and now that we’ve burned most of it and released it back into the environment… Mother has no further use for us…. and we are about to be DoDo’ed.
https://critterfacts.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/A-dodo-bird-closeup-portrait.jpg
It’s quite chilly this morning — I am staying with the electric heater — cuz I wanted to be a Tough Guy and make it till Easter without starting the Big Burn … but tomorrow is Bad Friday… we’re gonna announce that the new Pope has not yet been decided with a big blast of filthy black smoke …. hahahahaha
Keep up the burning going Crazy , sorry Fast Cra….Edwin…as Gail has pointed out time and time again….we are born to do so…it’s in our nature…remember …it’s NOT YOUR Fault…
When I was growing up in New Jersey my stubborn granda had a coal furnace and would have a coal bin in his cellar. Remember when the truck came to fill it up before the Winter 🥶. It was indeed beautiful looking…
Lots of coal ash left over.
Alice Freiderman posted this on Energy Sceptic…
Coal Ash is a major toxic waste
Posted on April 3, 2022 by energyskeptic
Coal ash is what remains after coal is burned, and has numerous elements dangerous to human health, including known carcinogens such as arsenic, hexavalent chromium, and radium. A nuclear power plant generating as much energy as a coal plant generates 100 times less nuclear waste.
The USA produces 110 million tons of coal ash every year, the largest waste stream after household trash (HRW 2019).
Over 3 billion tons of it now occupy more than 1,400 sites across the United States. According to the industry’s own data, over 90% of these sites contaminate groundwater with almost two dozen heavy and radioactive metals—including arsenic, lead, mercury, selenium, and radium—at levels exceeding the EPA’s health standards. A 2014 EPA study revealed that living next to a coal ash waste site increases one’s risk of getting cancer from drinking groundwater laced with arsenic.
Most of it ends up in ponds, landfills, and abandoned mines with no safeguards since they’re barely regulated by states and not subject to federal hazardous waste regulations. It can get into groundwater, and destroy land and homes if it is released. At least 67 of them have damaged drinking water across 23 states.
The Environmental Protection Agency says that you’re better off smoking a pack of cigarettes a day than living near a coal ash storage pond (Hitt 2014). The toxins give you a 2000 times greater chance of cancer if you live within a mile of unlined coal ash ponds, neurological damage, respiratory illness, and developmental problems
And we are worried about the Jab?
It would be so coal to have a coal chute!
As for the ash … I just dump it over the cliff into the river… it ends up in the ocean with all the plastic.
I notice a news article:
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s-coal-imports-fall-23-during-apr-jan-2022-as-local-production-rises-122032600804_1.html
India’s coal imports fall 23% as local production rises
Clearly, something is wrong somewhere. India’s coal imports are no doubt terribly expensive. It is trying to produce more coal itself and import less. Without lockdowns, the country needs more electricity, and thus more coal. This becomes a problem, I expect.
“Less rice for the same price: inflation bites Asia’s food stalls.
“Households in Asia, where tasty and affordable street food is an integral part of society and the economy, are feeling the pressure… Some businesses are dealing with the cost pressures by cutting portion sizes.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/less-rice-same-price-inflation-bites-asias-food-stalls-2022-04-13/
“Indonesia police fire tear gas as students protest cooking oil prices…
“Indonesian police fired tear gas and water cannon on Monday to disperse hundreds of university students protesting high cooking oil prices and a mooted extension of President Joko Widodo’s stay in office.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/04/11/asia/indonesia-protests-tear-gas-students-jokowi-cooking-oil-intl-hnk/index.html
I expect at least part of the problem is using cooking oil as biodiesel.
https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/indonesia-malaysia-commit-biodiesel-mandates-despite-higher-prices-2022-03-24/
Indonesia, Malaysia commit to biodiesel mandates despite higher prices
Also, Indonesia is an exporter of palm oil. This recently has been falling. I expect that this affects Europe’s imports.
https://biofuels-news.com/news/indonesias-palm-oil-exports-fall-for-second-consecutive-year/
“A Russia-Germany ‘trade rupture’ could trigger a financial shock, says S&P chief economist…
“A trade rupture between Germany and Russia could put a dent in German manufacturing – one of three global manufacturing centers besides the U.S. and China, Gruenwald said.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/13/trade-rupture-between-russia-germany-could-cause-financial-shock-sp-global.html
“After the EU’s Russia coal ban, Germany grapples with oil and gas…
““Gas cannot be substituted in the short term,” Germany’s finance minister Christian Lindner said recently. “We would inflict more damage on ourselves than on them.””
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/11/after-the-eus-russia-coal-ban-germany-grapples-with-oil-and-gas
Perhaps someone needed to think this through ahead of time. Substitution doesn’t work, especially in the short term.
“Cardboard crisis looms as Putin’s war threatens packaging shortages…
Soaring wheat prices mean manufacturers may not be able to obtain the starch they need… governments are likely to have to prioritise food over paper if the situation persists.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/04/11/cardboard-crisis-looms-putins-war-threatens-packaging-shortages/
“Ukraine war: Russian invasion worsens fertiliser crunch, risking global food supplies..
“Squeeze on food supplies will have greater affect on poorer countries, and comes as March’s world food-price index reached its highest level since it started in 1990.”
https://www.scmp.com/news/world/russia-central-asia/article/3173999/ukraine-war-russian-invasion-worsens-fertiliser
It is difficult to understand all of the alternate uses for what we think of as foods. The push toward “green”substitutes for products made with fossil fuels no doubt makes this worse.
“Global growth optimism at all-time low, fund manager survey finds.
“Optimism among fund managers over global economic growth has hit an all-time low while concerns of possible stagflation have risen to the highest since August 2008, a monthly survey by investment bank BoFA Securities showed on Tuesday.”
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/global-growth-optimism-all-time-low-fund-manager-survey-finds-2022-04-12/
“Risk of Global Recession by End of Year Rises on High Inflation.
“The global economy is set for a step back by the end of the year, and recession risks are elevated against the backdrop of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Covid-19 shutdowns in China, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-12/risk-of-global-recession-by-end-of-year-rises-on-high-inflation
“Dangerous Global Debt Burden Requires Decisive Cooperation…
“…the war in Ukraine is adding risks to unprecedented levels of public borrowing while the pandemic is still straining many government budgets. The situation highlights the urgent need for authorities to undertake reforms…”
https://blogs.imf.org/2022/04/11/dangerous-global-debt-burden-requires-decisive-cooperation/
Ukraine war sounds like a good excuse for problems.
“Rerouting Russian Oil Would Require Dozens Of Supertankers — That Don’t Exist…
“…swapping sources is not a simple thing. As Credit Suisse investment strategist Zoltan Pozsar explained… it can be tougher to rearrange logistics than to find new buyers… Naturally, the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index has more than doubled since the start of the war to levels not seen since 2008.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2022/04/11/rerouting-russian-oil-would-require-dozens-of-supertankers—that-dont-exist/
“Russian Railways becomes first company to officially default in the country…
“A global financial committee has ruled Russian Railways has tumbled into default after the company failed to make interest payments on $268 million of bonds, due to Western sanctions that have stymied Russia’s access to the global financial system.”
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/russia-default-railways-debt-first-sanctions-ukraine-conflict-bonds-us-2022-4
We don’t think about details like, “How is it possible to swap transport oil transport by tanker for oil transport by pipeline? How many ships are needed? What port facilities are needed?”
It is the details that trip these ideas up.
‘Famous Italian swimming champion Mariasofia Paparo suddenly dies for heart attack at the age of 27’
https://www.ilgiornaleditalia.it/news/cronaca/355785/mariasofia-paparo-morta-27-anni-infarto-vaccino-covid.html
-> 16 months of Italian sudden and unexpected deaths and adverse events of experimental therapy here:
https://esclusacorrelazione.it/
Have a nice day
Young swimmer Mariasofia Paparo dies following a heart attack.
She was about to celebrate her birthday and recently got engaged.
ITALIAN swimmer Mariasofia Paparo died following a heart attack just shy of her 28th birthday and only a month after getting engaged to be married. Tributes have poured in following the news of the young woman’s death.
The swimmer died suddenly at the age of 27 after suffering a cardiac arrest in San Giorgio a Cremano (Naples) on Monday, April 11, according to local reports.
https://euroweeklynews.com/2022/04/14/young-swimmer-mariasofia-paparo-dies-heart-attack/
Happens all the time – right mike? nothing to do with the injections
Wonder how long this will be allowed:
Fast Eddy
14 April 2022 • 10:48
Add her name to this list https://adversereactionreport.com/vaccine-injured/779-athlete-cardiac-arrests-serious-issues-500-dead-after-jab/
Reply
Cheena https://twitter.com/SKMorefield/status/1513681673963151372
What’s real and fake/staged – remember Wuhan….
’25M people locked in apartment blocks screaming for help and slowly starving’
‘We are starving!!!’
CEP dry run?
Even if you are rural — they shut the supermarkets – delivery only — they station a couple of cops at various intervals on the roads and anyone trying to drive past is stopped — in fact during one of the lockdowns the one time I went out I experienced exactly that — license – why are you out (I had been hooking up with a VIP hottie but told them I was buying food … I had a box in the back seat)…
During the lockdown essential travel was allowed — what do you do if ZERO travel is allowed.
Oh I know – organize a protest march hahahahaha….
People will do as they are told. See Shanghai. And if anyone gets out of hand – the police will smash them – and arrest them.
And nobody will say anything because when the Real Deal arrives it comes with Devil Covid… people will be absolutely terrified because massive numbers will be dead… they will not dare to step outside.
And that …. is how you exterminate — 8B people — with almost no suffering.
Diabolical Genius
With so much CEP or ROOF potentially to look forward to
We all might need a bit of ROTFLOL
Something Waiting in the bush’s for us.
https://youtu.be/RySHDUU2juM
Strange world we live in. I heard that China might be backing off somewhat on this.
A friend who has deep personal and business links into China, incl. direct contacts in Shanghai says Yes they have locked Shanghai down, but it’s not like the apocalyptic videos.
99.9% of Chinese are compliant. The broader context is that the CCP and Xi personally have staked their credibility on China “does COVID better than the West”.
So for now they have to continue down their zero COVID track, otherwise a big loss of face. Later this year after Xi’s upcoming re-election, they can back off and move towards herd immunity, assuming they’re not all screwed up by Sinovax.
“China’s Credit Market Reaches Inflection Point as Stress Builds…
“Losses are among the worst ever. Borrowing costs are at a record high and big investors are cutting positions… China’s property industry has been rocked by at least 17 offshore defaults…”
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/china-credit-2022-04/
“Chinese Developer Sunac Misses First Bond Payment Deadline…
“China’s fourth-largest developer by sales in the first quarter of this year faces $1.6 billion of other offshore and local bond payments due through June, according to Bloomberg-compiled data. That includes three more interest payments due this month on dollar notes.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-12/chinese-developer-sunac-misses-its-first-bond-payment-deadline
Shanghai-based Zhenro Properties Group Ltd., which was considered a rare beacon of strength earlier this year until it warned of a possible failure in February, has become the latest to default.
If the beacon of light is f789ed … the entire market is f789ed.
The thing is…
It’s been no secret that the market was supported by desperate policies including building massive ghost towns…. and we’ve known this would be the end result – cuz Herb Stein says so…
TBTB TBTF – BAU is no longer viable. Covid or no Covid – this heap of sh it was going down the toilet…
And let’s not forget all of those zombie companies — you know – the massive corporations that were unable to service their gargantuan debts… they have been kept alive by loaning them more cash that was used to pay interest only on their debts to give the pretence of solvency
And this is only the stuff we are told about …
BAU is dying. The CBs are ramming stimulants into the carcass to keep it alive until the CEP completes.
Soon. It will all be over.
Meanwhile — a man with a dongle is competing against women in swimming contests hahahahaha
https://www.liveaction.org/news/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/euthanasia-2.jpg
It is hard to believe any offshore debt will be available to China’s property sector in the future. This would seem likely to hold down the building of new properties.
The family of a footballer who died after collapsing while making a halftime speech are reeling with the loss of their “rock”.
Tim Robertson, a father of six and captain of the North Wellington Onslows football team, was addressing his side yesterday during the halftime break when he collapsed from an apparent heart attack.
Family friend Sandy Cumpstone said the family was shaken up.
“They’re doing it pretty tough, they’ve lost their rock,” Cumpstone said.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/wellington-footballer-dies-after-collapsing-during-halftime-team-talk/QJTD2FKWQNKKG4TVX5VFEUP3MU/
mike?
BTW – searching this brings up pretty much nothing Paige Satchell injury
So this didn’t happen https://twitter.com/backtolife_2022/status/1513976282358374401
norm – why?
IN UK PARENTS ARE ASKED TO WATCH THEIR CHILDREN FOR SIGNS OF HEPATITIS OF “UNKNOWN ORIGIN”…
https://twitter.com/P_McCulloughMD/status/1513893451972104209
Did ‘rock’ by any chance refer to what he had in his head?
It’s going to be entertaining watching them try to talk away the ‘inexplicable’ rise in hepatitis cases. ‘Lock-down stress’?
Get the puffer hahaha that will save her
https://twitter.com/backtolife_2022/status/1513976282358374401
“Saudi Arabia leads OPEC decision to drop IEA data as US ties fray.
“A decision driven by Saudi Arabia that OPEC+ should stop using oil data from the West’s energy watchdog reflected concern about U.S. influence on the figures, sources close to the matter said, adding to strain on ties between Riyadh and Washington.”
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/saudi-arabia-leads-opec-decision-drop-iea-data-us-ties-fray-2022-04-12/
“For the first time i see the Saudi TV mocking the US administration.”
https://twitter.com/AsaadHannaa/status/1513681354348716035
According to the article, the immediate reason why IEA is being dropped has to do with IEA’s big changes that seem to be based on American views:
What I think of the Bryan Ardis video, “Watch the Water”
My take on his key points – Steve Kirsch
Here are some of the key points and my thoughts on them:
Do I think it is a poison rather than a virus? No. You can’t get a poison from another person through close contact like at a party. More importantly, if it is a poison, this would have been discovered by now. Also, poisons don’t replicate. I’m not buying it.
Do I think it is spread through the water? No. If it was there would be pockets of severe disease where everyone has a high infection rate. You don’t get a virus from eating or drinking something. Can the virus replicate in the gut? Yes. But then it needs another pathway to enter your body.
Do I think the virus is related to snake venom? Yes, we’ve been talking about that for over a month internally. I don’t think this part is controversial. The fact checkers are wrong.
Is Ardis on a hit list? What I know is that there is a credible evidence that Ardis is being targeted and I heard that directly from a top government official. However, there is no explicit “hit list” that anyone has seen.”
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/what-i-think-of-the-bryan-ardis-video?r=o7iqo&s=w&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
Substack (https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/what-i-think-of-the-bryan-ardis-video?r=o7iqo&s=w&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web)
What I think of the Bryan Ardis video, “Watch the Water”
The video is out. I’ve seen it. Here’s what I think.
Terrain Theory — if you have already had a disease e.g. measles… why can you not get it again….
The second time you come to a doctor with symptoms of “measles” or “polio”, he “knows” that it cannot be “measles” or “polio”, since you have been vaccinated against them, therefore he simply gives that set of symptoms another label. He call it “dengue” or “acute flaccid paralysis”, for example. What does it matter? It’s just words, and a doctor’s word is law anyway.
I’ll need some hard evidence to support this assertion ….
The symptoms of measles are quite obvious — I do not know anyone who has had a repeat of measles… measles is extremely contagious… I have a younger brother who contracted measles a few years after I did — I was obviously exposed to the disease again – as was my older brother and my parents — they did not contract it again….
I believe it makes more sense to think in terms of symptoms rather than “diseases”. After all, a disease is just a label for a given set of symptoms, which allopathic medicine tries to remove with chemicals. So doctors relieve symptoms (which in some cases is awesome), but they don’t cure disease, since they don’t know enough about human physiology to do so.
in many respects Voltaire’s saying is still valid 250 years later: “Doctors are men who prescribe medicines of which they know little, to cure diseases of which they know less, in human beings of whom they know nothing.”
Give it a try:
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/50351710-what-really-makes-you-ill-why-everything-you-thought-you-knew-about-dis
Thanks – not on Audible though
Wait a minute. Antibiotics do cure disease.
Sure, they serve to stop serious infections and thereby save the patient, but some people wisely argue that the infection is just a symptom of the disease, and that its extermination doesn’t mean that the disease-causing agent (whatever it is) is gone.
And identifying causes of disease is an exceedingly tricky business for an ignorant and self-interested ape like homo sapiens, even more so when the monkey is operating on a basis as reductionist on the theoretical level and as fragile on the practical level as the super-profitable germtheory.
Yeadon https://rumble.com/vs9jsa-dr.-mike-yeadon-covid-19-lies-full.html
Yvette D’Ath is the “health minister” of Queensland, Australia. In the video below, she is looking like a fool, stating that she has no idea what is behind 40% growth in heart attacks in her territory. It is obvious that not only she “has no idea”, but she is also not looking for an explanation. She seems to be very actively “not looking” and hoping NOT to find the answer.
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/health-authorities-are-the-biggest
Change of seasons! Change of seasons! come on … say it
This recalls Bill Gates pretending to have no idea at all why Africans were not dropping like flies in 2020.
Having no clue demolishes their claims to expertise.
Health Authorities are the Biggest Obstacle to Solving Covid
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/health-authorities-are-the-biggest
hahahaha mystery illness https://www.golfmagic.com/pga-tour/steve-stricker-given-all-clear-after-mystery-illness-almost-killed-him
Shane Warning: Opinion – The Covid vaccines may have killed Shane Warne
Shane Warne was larger than life, but it didn’t stop him dying from what appears to be a blood clot in his lungs and eventually heart failure. Rest in peace, you legend.
Most of us know that the covid-19 virus is causing all manner of problems for the human body, but where is the open discussion of how the ‘vaccines’ are simulating the virus and causing chronic health problems in healthy people, particularly athletes.
Friends of Shane Warne have said that Warne was not feeling well after his injections and was keen to get to Thailand to rest and go on a health kick. There are unconfirmed reports he was taking some sort of diet pills to speed up his metabolism. The mainstream media reports all mentioned that there was blood on the floor by his bed and blood on several towels, but there has been next to no mention the blood would indicate he was coughing up blood before he died, indicative of a blood clot in the lung or pulmonary embolism.
Former head of respiratory research at Pfizer Dr Mike Yeadon offered, “bleeding & clotting paradoxically can happen after these evil injections. The start can be a slow loss of platelets giving rise to various clotting & thrombotic events. If platelets get low enough, spontaneous bleeding risk rises. All of the cases I’ve heard have been internal bleeds, especially in the brain. The only two places where spontaneous external bleeding is plausible is from GI tract or from lungs.’’
https://afipn.com.au/shane-warning-opinion-the-covid-vaccines-may-have-killed-shane-warne/
This article details a forensic journey in a one-of-a-kind, brute-force, pedestrian, forensic analysis of the official Massachusetts government data to discover what happened and is happening in a population of ~ 6.9 million people at the fore of C19 “science.” Massachusetts is a leading medical and pharmaceutical technology exporter to the world. Some leaders say it is a model for C19 response planning. The truth is that Massachusetts is a model for fraud on the people.
As demonstrated in particularity below, there was a short pandemic of respiratory deaths in 2020. Then, in the year of injections en masse, deaths switched to mainly circulatory system deaths. Something is attacking the circulatory systems of citizens of Massachusetts.
Three main events are initially depicted: a pandemic, an extremely attenuated second wave of disease no longer a pandemic, and a nearly steady-state excess death anomaly in the second half of 2021 (likely began around February 2021, but was obscured by lower than normal deaths of 85+yo’s due to culling from C19 in spring 2020).
Investigation of the anomaly indicates that excess deaths are circulatory system involved, also known and documented in the C19 vaccine trial data. Though myocarditis gets the most notoriety, the entire circulatory system is under attack.
https://coquindechien.substack.com/p/c19-vaccine-the-cause-of-causes
Money velocity is falling.
Circulations are failing.
Blood is thicker than …it should be.
Injected zombies are as dumb as an empty gumboot.
Before I forget… earlier I was out on the bike .. and some old bag on an e-bike (yes of course.. the ebike … the symptom of a weak and pathetic civilization that is about to collapse)… drives past…
Wearing a f789ing Mask!!!!! A mask!!!! It’s a narrow track with some steep drops in areas… I was tempted to turn around and follow then rip past here and ‘accidentally’ bash her over the side….
But then I thought — why do that — she surely must be Triple Jabbed… and will soon be onto Jab 4… why risk being arrested – for nothing … she’ll soon be With VAIDS…. leave the dizzy old MOREON enjoy her masked ebike ride…. best she ride the ebike cuz if she exerted herself with some actual exercise she’d probly have a Pfizer attack hahahahahahahahahaahahaha
I wonder what she’d have done if I had spit on her?
Ouch
drtimmorgan
on April 12, 2022 at 6:00 am said:
Collapse very much can happen – I’ve only ever said that, whilst perfectly possible, collapse has yet to become inescapable.
My point here is that neither “It’s a conspiracy!” or “We’re all doomed!” is a winning electoral platform. Neither, for that matter, is a logical demonstration that extreme ‘liberalism’ doesn’t work. Voters are entitled to ask: “have you a better alternative?”
I’m not involved in politics, wouldn’t wish to be, and try to keep my articles as non-partisan as possible, within a general cautioning against extremes.
If, though, I were an aspiring politician, my focus now would be on finding out how to ensure that the necessities are accessible and affordable for everyone., and honing my answers into a vote-winning programme.
In the 1940s, British politicians addressed this as a health care issue, winning huge popular support for the NHS. The equivalent need now, not just in the UK but generally, is a programme for universal access, not this time to medical care, but to necessities.
Is this Ukelele land? https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34547
NO!
But this is hahahahaahahaha
Corpses standing up in the rear mirror, after the camera is done filming
https://rumble.com/vzj7jo-ukraine-war-staged-footage-of-the-ukrainian-psyop.html
ARE THE MRNA COVID SHOTS CAUSING A WAVE OF PSYCHIATRIC DISORDERS AND PSYCHOSIS?
We are seeing thousands of reports of psychiatric disorders and Psychosis after the covid shots.
These disorders include: hallucinations, delirium, severe depression, personality disorders, suicidal thoughts and suicide
There are a quarter of a million reports from the EMA, WHO and UK of these disorders in recent months
EMA 71,697 Psychiatric Disorders
43,925 are Serious
499 were fatal 🔗link (https://www.adrreports.eu/)
WHO 163,829 Psychiatric Disorders
🔗link (http://vigiaccess.org/)
UK 31,027 Psychiatric Disorders or psychotic episode 🔗link (https://yellowcard.ukcolumn.org/)
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8349391/
I am looking at dozens of clips like this https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34536 but I cannot find anything like this from Ukelele… rather odd considering in a war this sort of stuff would be happening on a daily basis… often many times per day.. but nope … they never seem to get any action videos… surely there should be a deluge of stuff?
https://youtu.be/_xcsH2EJOis
hahaha .. cheena (CEP)
https://twitter.com/i/status/1511397246868238340
https://twitter.com/i/status/1513384507617034241
https://youtu.be/pcu_z1r1uYU
It’s time for all of us to face it: China’s latest lockdown is a crime against humanity—and we ignore it at our peril, because what’s happening there will surely happen here eventually, if we let it
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/china-under-covid-is-a-hell-on-earth
Testimonies of Triple-Jabbed
And it is ugly!
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/testimonies-of-triple-jabbed
“BTW, what happened to Gilbert Gottfried? “The actor and legendary standup comic known for his raw, scorched voice and crude jokes, has died. He was 67… Gottfried died from a rare genetic muscle disease that can trigger a dangerously abnormal heartbeat, his publicist and longtime friend Glenn Schwartz said in a statement”. “Genetic”, you say? Rare? As myocarditis?”
vaxicide!!!!!!!
“Long illness” was the explanation in one article I saw.
He. must of gotten booted…I mean boostered until the bitter end!
Didn’t he get into trouble a number of years back about something??? It was a big deal like Karen Griffin did about Trump….
The thing is…
The MOREONS want so hard to believe that the vax is not dangerous that they will believe any excuse fed to them as to why an otherwise healthy person has died. MOREONS do not know they are MOREONS — and they don’t want to know. They will do anything to keep the microscopic veneer of intelligence from rubbing off.
They get quite angry when you expose them as MOREONS…. that’s why they lash out when you show them evidence that the injections kill and maim.
More really enjoyable reads here https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-637
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-f2e
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-cb1
What I’d like to see now that the NHL and NBA playoffs are about to get underway — is one or more of the players drop dead on the ice … no clutching the heart — one minute playing the next – dead.
That would be awesome. The funny thing is they’d cart them off – chuck the body in the dumpster out back — and the MOREONS would continue watching — as if nothing happened. cuz
I’m waiting for the Boston Marathon.
Gosh, yes, Rodster, how right you are – marathons! Let’s see how many drop….
Norman Paggett, you have made me think a lot, especially for the last 2 years. You have a capable mind and can articulate logically and very well on matters on energy.This action requires brain cells and thought processes.
It makes me think — why you cannot use the same brain cells that you are using to articulate on the “energy matter” to think about COVID, vaccines or Ukraine?
I cannot find any logic or any “real world reasons” pertaining to this matter. Being brainwashed by media? But you are not brainwashed into thinking that renewables work? I know you did mention that renewables don’t work. That means that you are only partially brainwashed? (Is there such a phrase?)
Alex Berenson is anti-vax but surprisingly he is anti IVM and perhaps pro UKR(?) There are many reasons given by the public (his readers) on why he is acting like that – bribed, blinded, etc. However, all these do not explain how one person be so awake in one but snoring in the other? It does not make any sense at all.
I have no real world explanation, real world as in basing on science and what is potentially happening. If anyone can offer a really good explanation, let me know. Otherwise, I am more inclined towards an “off world” explanation that this is all a simulated reality.
I have met up with tons of people, all taking it hook, line and sinker on all the topics from renewables, COVID, vaccines, UKR, etc.
It is only those few on the internet (I have yet to met a real live person) who can choose what to believe like Alex Berensen.
I love to hear what you all have to say. I know it is a little off topic.
A very good post.
norm is baffling case… he has the potential to not be a MOREON … we have tried to help him … but he insists…. perhaps he has some mates that are MOREONS and he wants to fit in with them…
Norman fears the truth: and he has also boxed himself into a corner.
It’s a dangerous box https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/04/12/distracted-boris-kyiv-fully-vaccinated-92-percent-covid-deaths/
Maybe norm is stitching us up – surely he’s not getting more injections after looking at that data….
Come on norm admit it — you aren’t getting any more are you.
We won’t mock you … in fact just the opposite … we will see this as a ray of light…
Norm is usually right on target on energy issues.
Mike seems to understand diminishing resource issues.
these are well discussed and well understood issues here at OFW, and it seems very rare when a commenter here disagrees with the general fundamental principles of diminishing returns/resource limits/finite world.
but I am very inclined to “on world” explanations for many of the less on-topic issues, because many of these could very well be considered to be close to 50/50 opinions, since on many big world events/issues, the truth is often obfuscated by TPTB and its poodle MSM.
Elders created the Fed 1913?
FDR “allowed” Pearl Harbor?
JFK “lone” gunman ha ha?
Moon landings? (of course real.)
NineEleven “inside” job?
Iraq WMD right Colin Powell?
0.3 degree world temp rise hohoax?
SARS2 virus gain of function from a bat virus?
accidentally released or intentionally released?
toxic “vaccines” pre-made and ready to go?
to make billion$ for Elites?
to cull the world population?
war because Putin had enough of Azov Natzees?
USA intentionally failed to negotiate peace?
now, obviously I am 100% correct on my judgement of these topics.
but again, with obscure/partial info, how does each person filter the info through their imperfect mind and come to the exact correct decision?
ever look at a list of cognitive biases?
I bet it’s much longer than you would imagine.
How could norm not understand energy issues — Gail has been explaining them to him for over a decade now…
I wonder what would happen if Gail spent a few years detailing how we faked the moon landings?
I am taking my UK daughter/son in-law and son to NASA today….will get to see the fake lunar lander again. Also will see the Saturn rocket that they “lost” the design plans for.
They could ask a Chinese engineer to reverse engineer it … I hear they are quite adept at that… particularly when you give them a working model.
hahahahahahaha
Maybe Apple can have a look at that onboard computer and use that tech on the next Mac… hahahahahahaha
MOREONS will be MOREONS… and they think they are clever hahahahahaha
Imagine the equivalent rocket project to the Manhattan Project. One of the largest and most expensive efforts after WWII. And out of that “Manhattan” project you develop the Saturn heavy lifter rocket…the culmination of all that work….oh…and then you accidentally “lose” the design plans…
You have to be stupid to believe that.
Absolutely.
And there is an interview with NASA honchos in American Moon where they admit that all the tapes and plans and other stuff from the moon missions that were in large crates — just disappeared. they also say that they discarded a lot of it because it was taking up too much space… as someone suggested — museums the world over would have been more than happy to display every last bit of it.
Oh and they admit to taping over all the footage ‘because the tapes were quite expensive so they re-used them’
They ADMIT all of this on camera!
This is why they can easily pull the wool over the eyes of the MOREONS … WMD.. 911… CovCON… you name they can do it…
Dead men coming back to life in Ukelele hahahahaha…. nothing to see there…. happens all the time in war…
Like I have said previously … the PR instructors have to constantly be on the recruits telling them not to be to concerned about details… they must remember they are dealing with MOREONS… they can easily be convinced to believe anything — regardless of how ridiculous….
They taped over the moon landing footage -cuz those tapes are expensive!!! hahahahaha A+ for the guy who came up with that howler!!!!
If one thinks the issue is important, perhaps check what the bulk of the science is saying. Or just lick a finger and poke it in the air, or toss a coin.
If one thinks the issue is important, perhaps check what the bulk of the science is saying. Or just lick a finger and poke it in the air, or toss a coin.
Mike Roberts always give word salad. No content or point. Just like AI will do – jumble up and regurgitate out again
If you can’t see that point, let me simplify for you, CTG. David is right that I get the issues related to resource depletion. He then lists a lot of other issues that he considers people could go either way on. I responded that if people think a particular issue is important then look for the science on that issue and go with that. For issues that aren’t important or don’t have any science, then toss a coin, because it doesn’t matter which side it lands on.
If that doesn’t clear it up, let me know and, hopefully, I’ll see a notification for your comment (I didn’t get one for your last one in this thread, so you’re lucky I spotted it.
If you can’t see that point, let me simplify for you, CTG.
That, my dear AI is word salad.
Hey mike — Air NZ has ended all restrictions on the unvaxxed hahahaha… remind me why you triple injected??? Oh … to get around… but for those 3 months nobody got around at all…
You had to quarantine if you left NZ and came back… no concerts or other gatherings — summer of freedom fam… two jabs blah blah hahahaha…
And the data shows the vax does zero to protect you – in fact you are more likely to end up with the cov and in hospital if you are fully jabbed up
Do you feel like you got suckered mike?
CTG, So no response to the actual content. Par for the course. And it was you who constantly hounded me for not answering your questions (which was a lie).
Fast Eddy, you are just plain wrong. In NZ, the unvaccinated are about 10 times as likely to end up in hospital because of Covid than those who’ve had the booster. Even if you count all people in hospital who’ve tested positive, the unvaccinated are more than 3 times as likely to be hospitalised and have covid.
You should check your numbers before making ridiculous claims.
Hahahahaha… keep on believing that mike – and keep on boosting
Remember this? https://twitter.com/Lukewearechange/status/1463932846570192901
And you continue to believe Donkey Face???
Or do you believe that the injected don’t get covid hahahaha
don’t confuse eddy with facts
https://palexander.substack.com/p/hhhhhmmm-what-is-happening-in-new?s=r
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d06464e-48a9-40bf-bedc-f23956a4e830_3400x2400.png
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d42b67-13b9-4957-a4e0-c6ada53a652a_639x495.png
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d555f14-03f1-4271-85d0-f41f0bd0a3e1_639x294.png
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb93dd923-2c43-4c5b-aa3c-71e0efb71bc5_3400x2400.png
Corpses standing up in the rear mirror, after the camera is done filming
https://rumble.com/vzj7jo-ukraine-war-staged-footage-of-the-ukrainian-psyop.html
Why?
90% of Wairarapa Māori fully vaccinated; 21,015 community cases; 773 in hospital; 16 in ICU; 1 death
https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/news-items/90-wairarapa-maori-fully-vaccinated-21015-community-cases-773-hospital-16-icu-1-death
Trust the Science https://twitter.com/Lukewearechange/status/1463932846570192901
Science has been for sale for years. Every religion ends in corruption, cast adrift well away from its founding principles.
Indulgences then…
Sponsorship now.
Very true. Scientists should offer a bill of fare for their work.
One price for the truth and higher prices for untruthful scientific conclusions. The rate matching the degree of dishonesty.
The problem, Mike, is that the very concept of trusting ‘the bulk of the science’ is utter nonsense – in reality, funding, corporate/political influence and censorship play a large role in determining what gets published as ‘science.
You really don’t grasp the first principles, and it requires only an average intellect and just a little worldly wisdom to do so….
So what do you base your opinions of these important issues on? Bloggers?
By the way, I’m well aware that some research is bought by interested parties but not all.
Substack.
I think Stanford did some studies on how corrupt the scientific process is now. Perhaps you could start there.
but I am very inclined to “on world” explanations for many of the less on-topic issues, because many of these could very well be considered to be close to 50/50 opinions, since on many big world events/issues, the truth is often obfuscated by TPTB and its poodle MSM.
Picture yourself at Alex Berenson’s place. You did tons of research on the virus and came out with a book on that. During the course of research, you would have come across IVM.
IVM is so cheap and good. If you are in the pockets of Pfizer, then you would not have come out with the book (controlled opposition?). I don’t have any idea why other people can bribe you for/against IVM
So, either Alex is bought or …… (I need the answer here) I cannot think of any.
Some goes for Norm. Perhaps he can explain on why he is so accurate that the converting energy to the “turning action” is the key to powering the society. This is kind of complicated compared to (1) take vaccine,(2) 2 hours later side effects (3) 3 days later dead.
I cannot comprehend.
david
everything humankind does in order to further material progress is dependent on the energy available (at the time and place) to do it.
we cannot escape that law.
we exist within a dissipative system
So the problem shifts itself sideways to:
If he can do it, why can’t I?–Or anyone can do it if you work hard enough. ..Or, he’s rich, why am I poor?
Which, taken to its logical conclusion, leads directly to voting for the politician who promises to make you rich
ie, the politics of the Ponzi scheme.
When in fact we are locked into the politics of pure chance.
Rockefeller didn’t discover oil–he was in the right place at the right time, and clever enough to exploit it. Pure chance. No plot involved.
That exploitation shifted the course of all of us, for good or ill. Giant Factories and industrial warfare became possible, plus literally everything else we now take for granted. It became possible to tear the world apart in the name of progress.
we are so collectively stupid, that we are convinced we can vote for this to go on forever.
We are even more collectively stupid in thinking that if we can’t, there must be a ‘conspiracy’ preventing it.
Taking stupidity to the next level, we give credibility to that ‘conspiracy’ by pointing to past ‘conspiracies’—all of which are BS btw—but the gullible can point to events of 50–60–80 years ago, and use them as ‘proof’ that such and such did/didn’t happen because conspirators were behind it.
WTC–Moonloonery–JFK–now Pearl Harbour, (I’m amazed that the Holocaust hasn’t been brought into this.)
Now we have Qanon.
Climate change is definetely a hoax.
How do we know?–because of all the other hoaxes perpetrated over the years.
And of course, the ‘elders’ are trying to vax us to death so they can have the world to themselves.
Note—if anyone should be interested, that none of these ‘conspiracies’ can be proven or disproven in a way that will satisfy the conspiraholics.
The other day a flat earther put in appearance–equally convinced there was a conspiracy against him. ‘They’ were hiding the truth from the rest of us. (sounds familiar?).
Bonkers.
That is the whole point.
No one can ‘prove’ that we are not just living in a computer simulation–therefore it must be true. All it takes is a few people to nod their heads at the same time and ‘certainty’ becomes locked in.
Norm, to say there are no conspiracies is as batshit as saying everything is a conspiracy.
It’s obvious and well documented that there are groups that form to further their own power and wealth. Just look around.
Jeez.
Yes of course we exist in a framework where we as a species inevitably pursue and exploit energy sources and other resources. Within that context there are groups that conspire to grab a bigger piece of the available loot.
Always have been and whilst we continue to follow our human traits always will be.
i have said many times that people conspire to increase their power and in particular, wealth.
the two are inextricable, and, as you say it is a human trait.
no doubt that Rockefeller, once he saw the potential of oil, conspired with others to grab it for himself. It’s also called business dealing btw.
It happens all the time. But he didn’t ‘conspire’ to facilitate wars that would kill tens of millions, wreck the climate and make the world uninhabitable.
That was a side effect.
yet conspiraholics will no doubt say he conspired to make it happen, for no better reason than our current mess is directly and specifically the result of access to seemingly unlimited oil.
my anti-conspiracy stance, if you check carefully, is focussed on the ‘conspiracy to kill off 90% of humankind”–or Bill Gates wants to inject us all so we can be tracked via his 5g masts—0r Fauci is working for the Chinese–or Russians, or aliens–or somebody–that kind of rubbish.
I was careful to list typical loonytoons conspiracies, as offered by certain OFW inmates—the ones that can’t be proved or disproved–and separate them out from typical commercial stuff. I did not say that there were no conspiracies.
Read more carefully.
Oh come now norm … 911 Moon Landing etc…
What was your position on WMD at the time norm? I bet you swallowed that hook line and sinker.
“Otherwise, I am more inclined towards an “off world” explanation that this is all a simulated reality.”
I don’t understand why you think our reality is simulated. To describe it as simulated implies that the simulation is taking place in another reality similar to this reality i.e. with similar physical laws. If there is a reality in which our universe is being run, what is the evidence that our reality bears any resemblance whatsoever to the reality in which it was created? Isn’t it infinitely more likely that the higher reality looks nothing like our own and is, in fact, beyond our imagination and comprehension?
Where did we come from?
The fact that we exist (or maybe we don’t) is evidence that anything is possible.
Unless someone can provide evidence of how this was all created then rule nothing out.
Our existence is illogical. At least based on what we refer to as logic
It’s possible that our universe is the creation of other sentient beings existing in a higher reality. What I have issue with is I don’t believe there is any reason to infer these beings bear any resemblance to ourselves (man in God’s image) or that the higher reality resembles our reality any more than an occupied square and sheet of graph paper in the game of life resembles ourselves and our universe.
Any model created within a reality must of necessity be many orders of magnitude less complex than the reality that created it. Or so it seems to me within this reality.
Torphichen, let us take it offline…. chngtg Gmail
Sorry CTG, but I do not have time or inclination to get into offline discussions with anyone at OFW or any other website. Gail is tolerant of all manor of topics and if I take the trouble to write something I’d rather everyone reads it. By all means, recommend any videos or written material you think may be of interest.
I think it’s relatively simple, CTG. Even the smartest amount us humans are not that smart. Some of us are quite good at sounding smart even though we aren’t. Add those cognitive biases that make us prone to rely on facts we haven’t properly checked out and to ignore facts that we don’t welcome, and don’t forget the Dunning–Kruger effect—the cognitive bias that makes the dimmer bulbs among us overestimate their ability all the more—and what we see going on with people around us isn’t so surprising Of course, I might be missing something important.
Even Dr Yeadon kicks himself for not grasping things sooner, a lesson in humility for us.
I like his emphasis on pattern-recognition using incomplete information.
And the liars and manipulators are very, very good indeed at what they do.
What you’re missing is that you are projecting what you see as your own hard ceiling onto everybody else. Don’t do that.
Nice work!
Joyce Culla — 24 Year Old Nurse and TikTok Star Dies After Ruptured Brain Aneurysm Following AstraZenaca Vaccine
April 7, 2022
Julia Culla was a 24 year old nurse, and a viral TikTok star with 1.6 million followers. Recently she was hospitalized. She was reportedly having seizures, in a coma, and was under observation to see if another brain surgery would improve her condition.
Her death was announced on April 1, 2022
https://community.covidvaccineinjuries.com/joyce-culla-24-year-old-nurse-and-tiktok-star-dies-after-ruptured-brain-aneurysm-following-astrazeneca-vaccine/
Sounds like an April Fools joke to me.
yes since she was a “viral” TikTok star.
every god in the universe must be laughing hysterically at the toxic “vaccine” nonnnsense of the Earthlings.
Of course, it was reported that she died from stress and high blood pressure. Just by looking at her, she doesn’t look like someone who was dealing with high blood pressure but i’m pretty sure the “multiple jabs she recently received was not the cause of death”. Those vaccines are definitely 100% safe, just ask Mike.
norm gets a boner every time they announce another booster has been approved. That’s quite the feat for someone who is pushing 100.
The pope from Argentina is just the pope from the mild clmt: Argentina considers itself European, not a part of South America. And it is the clmt, the water, the aqueducts that defined the Roman Empire.
Santiago de Chile faces extreme water shortages, it is not so much European:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/apr/11/santiago-chile-ration-water-drought
The too cold clmt and the too hot clmt bring food shortages and compromised hygiene (water is evaporated or frozen), the transport waterways do not exist or are frozen.
Chile does not have Parana river. Russia does not have transport waterways, but Ukraine has got Dnieper.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper
wow, I did not know that Russia has no transport waterways. How does it get out the energy of the West?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kievan_Rus%27
The capitals of Kievan Rus were firstly Novgorod on the river to the Baltic Sea, i.e. North, and later Kiev on Dnieper to the Black Sea, i.e. South
The Kievan Rus collapsed in 1240, i.e. Middle Ages collapse, before the advent of coal.
this clarifies, totally, the absolute lack of waterways in Russia.
I have added a DeepL Translator translation of the Slovak text explaining the situation of the Kievan Rus, but it has not appeared yet:
It is the part “Prírodné podmienky a možnosti obživy” on https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyjevsk%C3%A1_Rus.
Not the absolute lack, but the lack of the quality and cheap waterways that could connect Kievan Rus with the world. Do not forget the Bosphorus Strait, which means that the access was not free from obstacles.
There is a system of not-very-large canals going from St. Petersburg to Moscow, but the system cannot handle very large ships. My impression, before COVID, was that it mostly handled tourists.
Russia remainde conected to the landlocked Caspian Sea and the cold Baltic Sea, while Ukraine is connected to the warm Black Sea.
There is a very comprehensive information about Kievan Rus in Slovak.
https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyjevsk%C3%A1_Rus
DeepL Translator:
“Natural conditions and livelihood opportunities
The Eastern Slavs settled a vast area of the Eastern European Plain, which stretches from the shores of the Arctic Ocean to the Black and Caspian Seas, the Caucasus Mountains, and from the Carpathian Arch in the west to the Ural Mountains in the east, during the period of the Migration of Peoples. Its mean altitude reaches 170 m above sea level, and its isolated hills rarely exceed 300 m above sea level. The plain passes through different climatic zones, ranging from tundra to coniferous and deciduous forests to the steppes of the northern Black Sea. It is characterised by a typical continental climate; winters are long and very cold with lots of snow (the cold rises towards the east), summers, although hot, are very short. Precipitation is uneven, with the heaviest rainfall in July and August. A small shift in the annual cycle can bring a very dry spring, when sowing and moisture are needed, and downpours at harvest time. On average, one in three harvests have been poor in the past.
Although the Eastern European plain has plenty of agricultural land, it cannot be used as well as, for example, the soil of England in the same climate zone, whose climate is influenced by the warm Gulf Stream, because of the cold. Because of the long and hard winters, when the soil is frozen to the bone under a blanket of snow, it has not been possible to cultivate it for most of the year. In the north around Novgorod this inactivity lasted for 8 months of the year, and in the steppes, where fertile chernozems are found, for half a year. Cattle that were left to hibernate in order to establish new breeding in the spring had to be stabled for long periods and were deprived of fresh spring pasture. After the winter, the retained animals were very emaciated and the breeding was generally of very poor quality, including the draught animals.
Rye was the most widely grown crop, as it was the most adaptable to the colder climate. At the same time, however, it is the cereal with the lowest yields. For these reasons, agriculture provided the population of old Russia with a bare subsistence. Natural conditions did not allow them to develop their cultivation any further.
Even attempts to settle on the better black soil of the steppes, which lay beyond the southern and eastern borders of the Kievan state, were unsuccessful. At the time of the Migration of Peoples, the East Slavic tribes did settle in the northern Black Sea, but it was not permanently. The steppes were the domain of nomads who raised and grazed cattle there. Initially, the Slavs were protected from them from the east by the neighbouring Khazar Empire, to whom they paid tribute. However, when it was unwisely destroyed in 965 by the Kiev ruler Sviatoslav I, the steppes in the northern Black Sea were opened to a flood of nomads, especially the Pechenegs. The nomads began to graze cattle and destroyed the existing agricultural settlements. The Eastern Slavs thus had only one option for colonization, namely to the northern regions. However, these were not very suitable for agricultural production and could not accommodate large numbers of migrants.
The standard of living of the population, which was provided by agriculture, was only inevitably raised by the great natural wealth. The forests were rich in game, which provided meat and quality furs, and the waterways were a source of fish. Bee colonies were also important, for which it was not even necessary to build hives – the honey was stored by the bees in the old, decaying trees.
Another peculiarity of the Eastern European plain was the existence of a large number of waterways. The main rivers here flow from north to south, their tributaries oriented in a west-east direction. As the watercourses originate in swamps or marshy lakes and there is very little elevation gradient, the rivers have only a slight gradient. They thus form a unique network of navigable streams that are connected by overland routes. Already in the early Middle Ages it was possible to sail with fairly simple equipment from the Baltic to the Caspian or Black Sea. This was precisely what the Varangians, a militarily organised band of Swedish merchants who appeared in Eastern Europe in the 8th century, took advantage of.”
:
> Russia does not have transport waterways, but Ukraine has got Dnieper.
What about Don?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don_(river)
> What about Don?
… connected to Volga:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volga
That flows quiet.
And then there’s the Volga, the one with all the vulgar boatmen.
And the Lena and the Ob and lots of others.
The rain in Russia has to go somewhere.
And the Dnieper is a Russian river too. It’s total length is around 2,200 km (1,368 mi) of which 485 km (301 mi) are within Russia, 700 km (430 mi) are within Belarus, and 1,095 km (680 mi) are within Ukraine (for the moment, anyway.
Sad news from Utica University as the school’s president emailed students, faculty and staff to say one of their classmates had unexpectedly passed away.
“It is with the deepest regret and sadness that I must inform you of the passing of one of our students,” President Laura Casamento said in her email to the campus-community on Sunday.
“John Paul (JP) Ramel, a senior Construction Management major from Bucks County, Pennsylvania, suffered a stroke on Friday and passed away earlier today. The University has contacted JP’s family to extend condolences, and I ask that you keep them in your thoughts at this extraordinarily difficult time,” Casamento’s email read.
Utica College “vaccination” policy:
[I]t is College policy that all members of the Utica College community submit confirmation that they have received the COVID-19 vaccine and booster vaccine by February 1, 2022. The only exceptions to this policy will be for those who have an approved accommodation on medical or religious grounds, providing for an accommodation from the vaccine requirement.
and many more hahahahaahahaha
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly
Surely, the cause of death was “stress from the vaccine and of course high blood pressure because we all know college students are dropping like flies from vaccine stress. 😜
Final exams are a time of intense stress and we can expect many uni students to experience heart failure and death during this time of year. The grim situation is compounded by the stress on the heart caused by the time change and the change of seasons …
Lots of good stuff here https://worldedge.substack.com/p/disruptions-shortages-and-the-flock