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Why is the economy headed for a financial crash? It appears to me that the world economy hit Limits to Growth about 2018 because of a combination of diminishing returns in resource extraction together with rising population. The Covid-19 pandemic and the accompanying financial manipulations hid these problems for a few years, but now, as the world economy tries to reopen, the problems are back with a vengeance.
In the period between 1981 and 2022, the economy was lubricated by a combination of ever-rising debt, falling interest rates, and the growing use of Quantitative Easing. These financial manipulations helped to hide the rising cost of fossil fuel extraction after 1970. Even more money supply was added in 2020. Now central bankers are trying to squeeze the excesses out of the system using a combination of higher interest rates and Quantitative Tightening.
After central bankers brought about recessions in the past, the world economy was able to recover by adding more energy supply. However, this time we are dealing with a situation of true depletion; there is no good way to recover by adding more energy supplies to the system. Instead, the only way the world economy can recover, at least partially, is by squeezing some non-essential energy uses out of the system. Hopefully, this can be done in such a way that a substantial part of the world economy can continue to operate in a manner close to that in the past.
One approach to making the economy more efficient in its energy use is by greater regionalization. If countries can start trading almost entirely with nearby neighbors, this will reduce the world’s energy consumption. In parts of the world with plentiful resources and manufacturing capability, the economy can perhaps continue without major changes. Another way of squeezing out excesses might be through the elimination (at least in part) of the trade advantage the US obtains by using the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. In this post, I will also mention a few other ways that non-essential energy consumption might be reduced.
I believe that a financial crash is likely sometime during 2023. After the crash, the system will start squeezing down on the less necessary parts of the economy. While these changes will start in 2023, they will likely take place over a period of years. In this post, I will try to explain what I see happening.
[1] The world economy, in its currently highly leveraged state, cannot withstand both higher interest rates and Quantitative Tightening.
With higher interest rates, the value of bonds falls. With bonds “worth less,” the financial statements of pension plans, insurance companies, banks and others holding those bonds all look worse. More contributions are suddenly needed to fund pension funds. Governments may find themselves needing to bail out many of these organizations.
At the same time, individual borrowers find that debt becomes more expensive to finance. Thus, it becomes more expensive to buy a home, vehicle, or farm. Debt to speculate in the stock market becomes more expensive. With higher debt costs, there is a tendency for asset prices, such as home prices and stock prices, to fall. With this combination (lower asset prices and higher interest rates) debt defaults are likely to become more common.
Quantitative Tightening makes it harder to obtain liquidity to buy goods internationally. This change is more subtle, but it also works in the direction of causing disruptions to financial markets.
Other stresses to the financial system can be expected, as well, in the near term. For example, Biden’s program that allows students to delay payments on their student loans will be ending in the next few months, adding more stress to the system. China has had huge problems with loans to property developers, and these may continue or get worse. Many of the poor countries around the world are asking the IMF to provide debt relief because they cannot afford energy supplies and other materials at today’s prices. Europe is concerned about possible high energy prices.
This is all happening at a time when total debt levels are even higher than they were in 2008. In addition to “regular” debt, the economic system includes trillions of dollars of derivative promises. Based on these considerations alone, a much worse crash than occurred in 2008 seems possible.
[2] The world as a whole is already headed into a major recession. This situation seems likely to get worse in 2023.
The Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) has been signaling problems for months. A few bullet points from their site include the following:
- Service sector output declined in October, registering the worst monthly performance since mid-2020.
- Manufacturing output meanwhile fell for a third consecutive month, also declining at the steepest rate since June 2020.
- PMI subindices showed new business contracting at the quickest rate since June 2020, with the weak demand environment continuing to be underpinned by declining worldwide trade.
- The global manufacturing PMI’s new export orders index has now signaled a reduction in worldwide goods exports for eight straight months.
- Price inflationary pressures remained solid in October, despite rates of increase in input costs and output charges easing to 19-month lows.
The economic situation in the US doesn’t look as bad as it does for the world as a whole, perhaps because the US dollar has been at a relatively high level. However, a situation with the US doing well and other countries doing poorly is unsustainable. If nothing else, the US needs to be able to buy raw materials and to sell finished goods and services to these other countries. Thus, recession can be expected to spread.
[3] The underlying issue that the world is starting to experience is overshoot and collapse, related to a combination of rising population and diminishing returns with respect to resource extraction.
In a recent post, I explained that the world seems to be reaching the limits of fossil fuel extraction. So-called renewables are not doing much to supplement fossil fuels. As a result, energy consumption per capita seems to have hit a peak in 2018 (Figure 1) and now cannot keep up with population growth without prices that rise to the point of becoming unaffordable for consumers.
The economy, like the human body, is a self-organizing system powered by energy. In physics terminology, both are dissipative structures. We humans can get along for a while with less food (our source of energy), but we will lose weight. Without enough food, we are more likely to catch illnesses. We might even die, if the lack of food is severe enough.
The world economy can perhaps get along with less energy for a while, but it will behave strangely. It needs to cut back, in a way that might be thought of as being analogous to a human losing weight, on a permanent basis. On Figure 1 (above), we can see evidence of two temporary cutbacks. One was in 2009, reflecting the impact of the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-2009. Another related to the changes associated with Covid-19 in 2020.
If energy supply is really reaching extraction limits, and this is causing the recent inflation, there needs to be a permanent way of cutting back energy consumption, relative to the output of the economy. I expect that changes in this direction will start happening about the time of the upcoming financial crash.
[4] A major financial crash in 2023 may adversely affect many people’s ability to buy goods and services.
A financial discontinuity, including major defaults that spread from country to country, is certain to adversely affect banks, insurance companies and pension plans. If problems are widespread, governments may not be able to bail out all these institutions. This, by itself, may make the purchasing of goods and services more difficult. Citizens may find that the funds they thought were in the bank are subject to daily withdrawal limits, or they may find that the value of shares of stock they owned is much lower. As a result of such changes, they will not have the funds to buy the goods they want, even if the goods are available in shops.
Alternatively, citizens may find that their local governments have issued so much money (to try to bail out all these institutions) that there is hyperinflation. In such a case, there may be plenty of money available, but very few goods to buy. As a result, it still may be very difficult to buy the goods a family needs.
[5] Many people believe that oil prices will rise in response to falling production. If the real issue is that the world is reaching extraction limits, the problem may be inadequate demand and falling prices instead.
If people have less to spend following the financial crash, based on the reasoning in Section [4], this could lead to lower demand, and thus lower prices.
It also might be noted that both the 2009 and 2020 dips in consumption (on Figure 1) corresponded to times of low oil prices, not high. Oil companies cut back on production if they find that prices are too low for them to expect to make a profit on new production.
We also know that a major problem as limits are reached is wage disparity. The wealthy use more energy products than poor people, but not in proportion to their higher wealth. The wealthy tend to buy more services, such as health care and education, which are not as energy intensive.
If the poor get too poor, they find that they must cut back on things like meat consumption, housing expenses, and transportation expenses. All these things are energy intensive. If very many poor people cut back on products that indirectly require energy consumption, the prices for oil and other energy products are likely to fall, perhaps below the level required by producers for profitability.
[6] If I am right about low energy prices, especially after a financial discontinuity, we can expect oil, coal, and natural gas production to fall in 2023.
Producers tend to produce less oil, coal and natural gas if prices are too low.
Also, government leaders know that high energy prices (especially oil prices) lead to high food prices and high inflation. If they want to be re-elected, they will do everything in their power to keep energy prices down.
[7] Without enough energy to go around, more conflict can be expected.
Additional conflict can be expected to come in many forms. It can look like local demonstrations by citizens who are unhappy about their wages or other conditions. If wage disparity is a problem, it will be the low-wage workers who will be demonstrating. I understand that demonstrations in Europe have recently been a problem.
Conflict can also take the form of wide differences among political parties, and even within political parties. The difficulty that the US recently encountered electing a Speaker of the House of Representatives is an example of such conflict. Political parties may splinter, making it difficult to form a government and get any business accomplished.
Conflict may also take the form of conflict among countries, such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. I expect most wars today will be undeclared wars. With less energy to go around, the emphasis will be on approaches that require less energy. Deception will become important. Destruction of another country’s energy infrastructure, such as pipelines or electricity transmission, may be part of the plan. Another form of deception may involve the use of bioweapons and supposed cures for these bioweapons.
[8] After the discontinuity, the world economy is likely to become more disconnected and more regionally aligned. Russia and China will tend to be aligned. The US seems likely to be another center of influence.
A major use of oil is transporting goods and people around the globe. If there is not enough oil to go around, one way of saving oil is to transport goods over shorter distances. People can talk by telephone or video conferences to save on oil used in long distance transportation. Thus, increased regionalization seems likely to take place.
In fact, the pattern is already beginning. Russia and China have recently been forging long-term alliances centered on providing natural gas supplies to China and on strengthening military ties. Being geographically adjacent is clearly helpful. Furthermore, major US oil companies are now focusing more on developments in the Americas, rather than on big international projects, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Countries that are geographically close to Russia-China may choose to align with them, especially if they have resources or finished products (such as televisions or cars) to sell. Likewise, countries near the US with suitable products to sell may align with the United States.
Countries that are too distant, or that don’t have resources or finished products to sell (goods, rather than services), may largely be left out. For example, European countries that specialize in financial services and tourism may have difficulty finding trading partners. Their economies may shrink more rapidly than those of other countries.
[9] In a regionally aligned world, the US dollar is likely to lose its status as the world’s reserve currency.
With increased regionalization, I would expect that the US dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency would tend to disappear, perhaps starting as soon as 2023. For example, transactions between Russia and China may begin to take place directly in yuan, without reference to a price in US dollars, and without the need for US funds to allow such transactions to take place.
Transactions within the Americas seem likely to continue taking place using US dollars, especially when they involve the buying and selling of energy-related products.
With the US dollar as the reserve currency, the US has been able to import far more than it exports, year after year. Based on World Bank data, in 2021 the US imported $2.85 trillion of goods (including fossil fuels, but excluding services) and exported $1.76 trillion of goods, leading to a goods-only excess of imports over exports of $1.09 trillion. When exports of services are included, the excess of imports over exports shrinks to “only” $845 billion. It is hard to see how this large a gap can continue. Such a significant difference between imports and exports would tend to shrink if the US were to lose its reserve currency status.
[10] In a disconnected world, manufacturing of all kinds will fall, especially outside of Southeast Asia (including China and India), where a major share of today’s manufacturing is performed.
A huge share of today’s manufacturing capability is now in China and India. If these countries have access to oil from the Middle East and Russia, I expect they will continue to produce goods and services. If there are not enough of these goods to go around, I would expect that they would primarily be exported to other countries within their own geographic region.
The Americas and Europe will be at a disadvantage because they have fewer manufactured goods to sell. (The US, of course, has a significant quantity of food to export.) Starting in the 1980s, the US and Europe moved a large share of their manufacturing to Southeast Asia. Now, when these countries talk about ramping up clean energy production, they find that they are largely without the resources and the processing needed for such clean energy projects.
In fact, ramping up “regular” manufacturing production of any type in the US, (for example, local manufacturing of generic pharmaceutical drugs, or manufacturing of steel pipe used in the drilling of oil wells) would not be easy. Most of today’s manufacturing capability is elsewhere. Even if the materials could easily be gathered into one place in the US, it would take time to get factories up and running and to train workers. If some necessary items are lacking, such as particular raw materials or semiconductor chips, transitioning to US manufacturing capability might prove to be impossible in practice.
[11] After a financial discontinuity, “empty shelves” are likely to become increasingly prevalent.
We can expect that the total quantity of goods and services produced worldwide will begin to fall for several reasons. First, regionalized economies cannot access as diverse a set of raw materials as a world economy. This, by itself, will limit the types of goods that an economy can produce. Second, if the total quantity of raw materials used in making the inputs declines over time, the total amount of finished goods and services can be expected to fall. Finally, as mentioned in Section [4], financial problems may cut back on buyers’ ability to purchase goods and services, limiting the number of buyers available for finished products, and thus holding down sales prices.
A major reason empty shelves become can be expected to become more prevalent is because more distant countries will tend to get cut out of the distribution of goods. This is especially the case as the total quantity of goods and services produced falls. A huge share of the manufacturing of goods is now done in China, India, and other countries in Southeast Asia.
If the world economy shifts toward mostly local trade, the US and Europe are likely to find it harder to find new computers and new cell phones since these tend to be manufactured in Southeast Asia. Other goods made in Southeast Asia include furniture and appliances. These, too, may be harder to find. Even replacement car parts may be difficult to find, especially if a car was manufactured in Southeast Asia.
[12] There seem to be many other ways the self-organizing economy could shrink back to make itself a more efficient dissipative structure.
We cannot know in advance exactly how the economy will shrink back its energy consumption, besides regionalization and pushing the US dollar (at least partially) out of being the reserve currency. Some other areas where the physics of the economy might force cutbacks include the following:
- Vacation travel
- Banks, insurance companies, pension programs (much less needed)
- The use of financial leverage of all kinds
- Governmental programs providing payments to those not actively in the workforce (such as pensions, unemployment insurance, disability payments)
- Higher education programs (many graduates today cannot get jobs that pay for the high cost of their educations)
- Extensive healthcare programs, especially for people who have no hope of ever re-entering the workforce
In fact, the population may start to fall because of epidemics, poor health, or even too little food. With fewer people, limited energy supply will go further.
Governments and intergovernmental agencies may start to fail because they cannot get enough tax revenue. Of course, the underlying issue for the lack of tax revenue is likely to be that the businesses within the governed area cannot operate because they cannot obtain enough inexpensive energy resources for operation.
[13] Conclusion.
If the world economy experiences major financial turbulence in 2023, we could be in for a rough ride. In my opinion, a major financial crash seems likely. This is could upset the economy far more seriously than the 2008 crash.
I am certain that some mitigation measures can be implemented. For example, there could be a major push toward trying to make everything that we have today last longer. Materials can be salvaged from structures that are no longer used. And some types of local production can be ramped up.
We can keep our fingers crossed that I am wrong but, with fewer oil and other energy resources available per person, moving goods shorter distances makes sense. Thus, the initial trends we are seeing toward regionalization are likely to continue. The move away from the US dollar as the reserve currency also looks likely to continue. Moreover, if the changes I am talking about don’t occur in 2023, they are likely to begin in 2024 or 2025.
I dont always agree with Scott Ritter but I certainly respect him. It is rather sobering to hear his thoughts about the possibility of a nuclear exchange with Russia since he is so informed in this area. In this video he discusses how the USA attempted to create a networked anti ballistic missile defense using naval ships that would;d allow first strike against Russia and how Russia has countered it. Russia has clear superiority at this point in time in his opinion. The plans to counter this superiority are rather feeble in his opinion. He discusses the total lack of nuclear arms negotiation between the USA and Russia. In fact the USA unilaterally pulled out of two arms agreement under Trump and it looks like the third START will not be renewed. To some extent Trumps popularity reflected his corporate style of effecting change. It is clear to me now that Trump pulling out of two negotiated arms control treatys with Russia and the nuclear treaty with Iran were extremely unwise and ego based decisions. Those treaties took enormous amounts of negotiation by pulling out of them Trump not only negate the treatys but the negotiation and communication it took to create them, MR Ritter discusses that those actions and the admission that Minsk was a pretense has led to a situation where Russia has no interest in negotiating arms control because it has no trust that there is good faith. The USA shows no interest in this time in negotiating arms control. From a personal perspective I think this is important not only from a practical standpoint but because it demonstrates intent. True intent often manifests in reality IMO. During the Cuban missile crisis there was significant desire not to have a nuclear exchange occur and that intent resulted in communication between Russia and the USA. It appears to me that there is very little intent to avoid a nuclear war in the USA by negotiation and communication. Mr Ritter opinions that negotiation and communication are skills that if not practiced deteriorate and I agree. It appears to me the USA has only one behavior and that is escalation. In escalation and cessation of negotiation and communication the intent that is demonstrated is desire for a nuclear exchange IMO.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/WU2YOv7DMc3I/
Thank you for this assessment and we are witnessing the behavior of an old, weakened, wounded, which undoubtedly resort to desperation to remain on top.
Like to say, “Old men do not fight fair”, thus Trump’s ” Make America Great Again” and Biden’s proxy war against Russia in the Ukraine.
I expect we will likely see some nuclear crisis as Admiral Hymen Rickover predicted in an interview suggesting we will likely kill ourselves.
Judging from the mindset of my fellow citizens in the USA and their entitled lifestyle that is not negotiable, the words of a former President Bush, will lead to that path. Thomas Merton also predicted the same in his journal writings:
“The real focus of American violence is not in esoteric groups but in the very culture itself, its mass media, its extreme individualism and competitiveness, its inflated myths of virility and toughness, and its overwhelming preoccupation with the power of nuclear, chemical, bacteriological, and psychological overkill. If we live in what is essentially a culture of overkill, how can we be surprised at finding violence in it?”
https://prayerandpolitiks.org/articles-essays-sermons/more-merton-quotes/
Video’s title is SCOTT RITTER SAYS SITUATION OUT OF CONTROL: WE’RE ON THE CUSP OF ”THERMONUCLEAR WAR”
He says that negotiation of differences is no longer happening. We are in a new arms race. W can’t keep up with the advances of other countries.
America finally found a diet program that works.
Inflation
From the series Vitamins for Misanthropes.
“You are free if you can withdraw from people, not having to seek them out for the sake of money, company, love, glory or curiosity, none of which can thrive in silence and solitude. If you can’t live alone, you were born a slave. You may have all the splendours of the mind and the soul, in which case you’re a noble slave, or an intelligent servant, but you’re not free. And you can’t hold this up as your own tragedy, for your birth is a tragedy of Fate alone. Hapless you are, however, if life itself so oppresses you that you’re forced to become a slave. Hapless you are if, having been born free, with the capacity to be isolated and self-sufficient, poverty should force you to live with others.” ― Fernando Pessoa, The Book of Disquiet
he could not have produced the writings that we now can read if not for the cooperation of many other people, from his birth thru his education up to the production of his writings.
“self-sufficient” oh the irony.
This was put well by a Scottish Colourist painter who wrote in his memoirs that he had been so well treated by the lady who owned an inn in France, who provided such good food and wine, and such an encouraging atmosphere for her artist guests, that the work he did there was ‘as much her achievement as his’.
Few people ever think of paying such tribute – few people are truly grateful – but we are all in a sense made by others, from survival as babies onwards.
Yes to X and yes to david.
No man is an island.
Dennis L.
Humans are pack creatures. Life in the pack is not fair but it is life. A pack where compromises have been achieved is desirable as it is life. Yes this should not be sought with compulsion as if there is no alternative but to shun the human condition view it as unworthy is to deny life if you are human. IMO the pain of a degree of dysfunction is worth experiencing life if there is growth compromise and a process.
Humans are pack creatures, but who said that artists are human? I would say that like the kings, the philosophers or the big bankers, artists are monsters of selfishness and hardened individualists, who never think or act or live or die exactly like herd animals.
Here’s how a wild individualist thinks:
“I’ve never forgotten that phrase from Haeckel, the biologist, whom I read in the childhood of my intelligence, that period when we’re attracted to popular science and writings that attack religion. The phrase is more or less the following: The distance between the superior man (a Kant or a Goethe, I believe he says) and the common man is much greater than the distance between the common man and the ape. I’ve never forgotten the phrase, because it’s true. Between me, whose rank is low among thinking men, and a farmer from Loures, there is undoubtedly a greater distance than between the farmer and, I won’t say a monkey, but a cat or dog. None of us, from the cat on up to me, is really in charge of the life imposed on us or of the destiny we’ve been given; we are all equally derived from no one knows what; we’re shadows of gestures performed by someone else, embodied effects, consequences that feel. But between me and the farmer there’s a difference of quality, due to the presence in me of abstract thought and disinterested emotion; whereas between him and the cat, intellectually and psychologically, there is only a difference of degree” – Pessoa, Book of Disquiet
I thought it was obvious that Pessoa was referring to mental self-sufficiency after reaching the age of reason. Of course he wasn’t denying that he’d needed people to change his diapers as a baby or to produce the wine he loved so much as an adult.
Besides, you can’t ask for too much logical coherence from a poet’s meditations. If you are looking for 100% logical sentences, it’s more likely that you will find them in the memoirs of lawyers or construction engineers.
Thanks for introducing Pessoa’s writing to me.
I am a slave in as much as I don’t feel comfortable living alone. On the other hand, I need my solitude and my exclusive space too. So I’m a slave in that respect too.
I think that with the term “slave” Pessoa was mainly targeting people who absolutely need the approval of others, and also their intellectual stimulation. Yes, he was a bit of a solipsist, and so confident of his intellectual superiority, at least compared to that of his countrymen or contemporaries, that he didn’t even bother to publish his books.
I’ve never needed the approval of others too much, and I’ve always been fine on my own, but without the intellectual stimulation provided by others, my brain would be like a tributary without its river. And this dependency of mine would make Pessoa brand me an abject slave.
Yes well put, had to look up “solipsist.”
Dennis L.
Thanks JMS.
Civilizational separation trauma includes both separation from the physical home ecology itself and separation from the psychological home human ecological culture in which humans commune with each other via the ecology. The slavery Pessoa refers to refers to the desire for the latter, and what makes him an apparently self-admitted misanthrope and solipsist, which are understandable but traumatized places.
To commune with others is to make common with others. That is an approval-based dynamic. The commons is the accurate, intelligent patterning common to Reason, which is our shared gift in life. To seek approval is to seek togetherness in Reason, because togetherness in Reason is the place we call home. I have that home human ecological culture homesteading with my wife but my genetic inheritance as a northern European yearns for me to have that with 10-40 people. That yearning is not slavery it’s the healthy desire for human healing. It’s necessary.
Reante, I agree with you that this yearn for community is inevitable, since humans are social animals, but i find problematic your saying that seeking approval is to seek togetherness in Reason, as I see no reason in almost any sphere of human affairs, but a blind will in action instead.
Your diagnosis of civilization separation trauma is very accurate. Pessoa was keenly aware of this separation. Separation from culture, from others and even from himself.
Another excerpt from Book of Disquiet:
“But while the sloppy criticism of our fathers bequeathed to us the impossibility of being Christians, it didn’t bequeath to us an acceptance of the impossibility; while it bequeathed to us a disbelief in established moral codes, it didn’t bequeath to us an indifference to morality and the rules for peaceful human coexistence; while it left the thorny problem of politics in doubt, it didn’t leave our minds unconcerned about how to solve it. Our fathers blithely wreaked destruction, for they lived in a time that was still informed by the solidity of the past. The very thing they destroyed was what gave strength to society and enabled them to destroy without noticing that the building was cracking. We inherited the destruction and its aftermath. Today the world belongs only to the stupid, the insensitive and the agitated. Today the right to live and triumph is awarded on virtually the same basis as admission into an insane asylum: an inability to think, amorality, and nervous excitability.”
MORE-ONS seem to love company.
BTW – where are you norm
JMS
“but i find problematic your saying that seeking approval is to seek togetherness in Reason, as I see no reason in almost any sphere of human affairs, but a blind will in action instead.”
I hear that, if I’m understanding you correctly To be sure I’m talking about intelligent cultures and not this one. When I look around me I see little reason either. The blind will in action is what you end up with when free will is not only removed but no longer even a consideration. What Ouspensky referred to as “mechanicalness.” But even in this culture we see that people just seek approval and togetherness in blind, mechanical ways It’s the same impulse though, isn’t it, just run through the meat grinder and commodified?
Let me know if I’m not following you.
Thanks for the fine excerpt. Never heard of Pessoa, I’ll have to look him up.
Scottish Excess Deaths reach 29%
And other Covid news
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/scottish-excess-deaths-reach-29
Deaths in England Care Homes are at High…
https://metatron.substack.com/p/deaths-in-england-care-homes-are/comments
In Scotland, even young people are experiencing excess deaths.
If the human population is like the human body, we can expect these 5 stages of ageing:
1. Independence
2. Interdependence
3. Dependency
4. Crisis management
5. End of life
https://liveinplacedesigns.com/the-5-stages-of-aging-at-home/
Independence is when the populations are young.
I would say that now we are in the stage 4, i. e. crisis management.
I hadn’t heard about that list. It seems like quite a few older people do run into crises, especially as they age in place.
The brain can tell the age:
https://www.mpg.de/19260712/determining-age-from-brain-scans
I wonder, if they asked AI, how old it is?
On the front of the online WSJ:
China’s Global Mega-Projects Are Falling Apart
Many of China’s Belt and Road infrastructure projects are plagued with construction flaws, including a giant hydropower plant in Ecuador, adding more costs to a program criticized for leading countries deeper into debt
Of course, the countries with these projects owe huge debt to China for these projects.
“We could lose everything,” said Fabricio Yépez, an engineer at the University of San Francisco in Quito who has closely tracked the project’s problems. “And we don’t know if it could be tomorrow or in six months.”
It is one of many Chinese-financed projects around the world plagued with construction flaws. Now, they are on the edge of breaking down. Other examples are given.
‘Odious debt’ as far as the eye can see.
Thank God Zelensky is still able to sign lease contracts for Leopard 2 tanks at the IMF.
hmmmmm
wikipedia page on the dam reads like a hit piece on China, just like the wsj article. Why now??
2020 almost this exact piece
lapatilla.com/2020/11/10/represa-china-ecuador/
I cannot find any evidence – like pics of these supposed cracks in concrete in a generation house – that warrants all this. Is there any engineering report on this safety alarm?
Meanwhile the dam continues to supply the Equadorian population with 1,500MW of electricity and China with oil
Do we will believe a word of what the USA MSM says about its geopolitical rivals in the age of UKR?
China projects around the world are supposed to be partnership, that is the agreements. Several countries have made a deal then wait for China to do everything and pay for everything. When this happens China stops the project. There are other projects where countries have tried to contribute but fell short and China has renegotiated or even written off the debt.
Point is China has actually built massive infrastructure all around the world. What has the US done for the developing world…oh yea… they bomb them destroying all infrastructure never to be built back or bury them in debt and take all their resources. China is being wrongfully accused of doing exactly what the US has been doing for over a hundred years.
China might not be great but it is the US and its minions that are the major source of evil on the planet not China or Russia or Iran.
I think that in general, there is a problem with building big projects for people in countries where the skill set for maintaining them is not really in place. I have heard about smaller projects being built in Africa by missionary groups, and the people not being in a position to maintain them. If financial resources are tight, money may may not be allocated for maintenance.
I don’t think we really know to what extent the hydroelectric plants were not properly built in the first place. I know that China has had a lot of problem with people at the top level of projects taking bribes. Bad actions could include cutting corners on essential parts of the projects, especially as raw materials become more expensive or unavailable. There would need to be a close audit to figure out where the fault lies, or whether the WSJ is exaggerating the problem.
Masters of the universe irrelevant?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4UUKKGgVbEU
Duran on Davos: The movers and shakers have moved on. Maybe the universe looked down and basically said, “Enough of that nonsense.”
Man can become too anthropomorphic and exaggerate his/her self-importance.
The “man” behind the curtain most likely is not a “man” but the fabric of the universe trying on some suits, some fit, some look good, some go back on the hanger.
We are either in good hands, or if the universe is done, well, then it is no reason for our concern.
Dennis L.
Alex and Alexander talking about the World Economic Forum. The WEF has become a kind of clown show. People are mocking it. Attending it is more of a badge of dishonor than honor. Elon Musk reportedly turned down an invitation to go. Jacinda Ardern was a protege of Klaus Schwab. She stepped down, as this was going on.
The WEF is sliding into absurdity and irrelevance. The group was trying to set itself up as the world’s government, but no one is taking the group seriously anymore. China, India and Russians all stayed away.
—-
These seems like good observations. With less energy to go around, the whole idea of a world government becomes absurd. The rich would like to find a way to dominate the world, but at some point what they want just doesn’t work.
They certainly do look like clowns in their Hollywood villain costumes.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/dollar-hegemony-saudi-arabia-oil-ron-paul
Dollar Hegemony, Saudi Arabia, Oil, & Ron Paul
Another related article on Oil Price:
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Saudi-Arabia-Is-Open-To-Discuss-Non-Dollar-Oil-Trade-Settlements.html
More agreement that the US dollar is losing it monopoly on being the world’s reserve currency.
It would seem that way.
What if one wants to launch a satellite into space? Who you gonna call? Elon, cheaper, faster, better; another Falcon Heavy recently launched. Starship is huge, it seems the biggest problem is the launch platform being destroyed by the engines, concrete flying all over. For some reason, people immigrate here and what they make works for the most part.
The US has many faults, but to date it has been self regulating.
Parts of the US are self destructing, e.g. the universities, perhaps that is a feature and not a problem. Interestingly enough, women are becoming presidents of these schools, I look at photos of large engineering projects, mostly males and they are integrated with Indians, Iranians, Orientals, etc. We are a universal nation, but it is competitive. That is the nature of biology.
If earth really is the only planet with life in the universe, then biology is the height of the universe – to date. If some on that planet chose to be non biological, i.e. non reproducing, the universe shrugs its shoulders and moves on. The universe seems to want biological units, fighting the universe seems like a challenge to me.
We are going through change, to date we have done that well, the trend is your friend. From my limited view, the trick is to sense the fabric of the universe and avoid areas of turbulence. The universe has limitless energy, it seems to make it available for biological units. They will think of something.
Dennis L.
I lost you at Elon, faster, cheaper. Koolaid much?
What’s the use for faster satellites so more people in Pakistan or Tanzania can watch satellite TV?
They will work harder so they can buy a Tesla in 2064.
Kulm, currently we thrive on fiat currency crap. That will end soon. And then, we will have nothing. And we won’t be happy.
I don’t know, they didn’t ask me.
Laughing quietly and gently.
Dennis L.
Better performance for the real-time global surveillance grid.
Okay, maybe.
We have a resource problem on earth, it is a finite planet which is out of some stuff. There is no shortage of stuff in the universe, there is no shortage of stuff in our planetary system.
Mine it, use robots, process it on the moon. NASA has a probe to a metal rich asteroid, why?
If you have a solution to this, let’s hear it.
A complaint on OFW, it is very rearview looking, there are so many can’ts, won’ts impossibles. You are a woman, if we are going back to hunter gathers, your life is going to change dramatically. When the man brings back the kill, what services will you offer for a bite? If no children, whose children do you expect to employ in your later years? That’s demographics up close and personal.
Space has to have a finite possibility; according to FE it is hopeless, what is there to lose?
Dennis L.
Dennis, underwater is infinitely more habitable than space. Why not start there? We can start with something easy, like sea floor regions that are less than 75 meters below sea level.
They forget that what’s backing the Greenback is the Uncle Sam military complex…this ain’t going down without a nasty fight and imagine the Elders have all bases covered for themselves…what do they care what pictures are on the confetti 🎊 they toss around?.
It won’t surprise me if we see accidents happen among the Saudi ruling elite if they go too far…maybe very gradual will be tolerated…
I still think that Russia is being used by China and other energy dependent countries- more than what would exist under fair trade conditions. If I were Putin, I would take a close look at how much oil is actually being used by these importing countries vs how much of the excess is being resold for opportunistic pure profit from skirting western sanctions, and raise the price accordingly. It seems that Russia is having to buy support from India and China etc by agreeing to allowing these vampire bats to drain its blood slowly every night, exploiting the Russian-Ukraine conflict. Here Russia is making the sacrifice to break up this western petrodollar /military hegemony while these other countries are exploiting the situation and offering nothing in return. Get rid of these parasitic middlemen traders and make the others pay a fair price. Not price gouging, just fair market price.
Because a potential food bonanza attracts not just the stalking lions, but the opportunistic hyenas, jackals, and vultures too.
In the end, the entire world may gang up on Russia for her natural resources.
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/cheap-russian-oil-finds-home-singapore-then-re-exported-global
Yes it is probably so.
I could be wrong, but I think that with Russia the ‘music’ will be different than with Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria (am I forgetting any Country related to oil/gas?), because they will be ready to fight by all means in order to remain an independent power.
I agree. Russia is buying its friends. They should adopt a different approach centered on autarky, but instead they appear content to be a cheap natural resource exporter.
This is consistent with a book I read, where international trade (resource exports) are the primary means by which Russian oligarchs pad their foreign bank accounts. However, I can’t verify the book’s claims myself.
I suppose that the issue now is that every country is fighting every other country in an undeclared war. Also, within each country, the “least productive” are in danger of being squeezed out.
Russia is subject to that difficulty as well. It is survival of the best adapted.
Last year, Russia increased its exports of both natural gas and oil.
In a very real sense, Russia is selling the oil that is used to kill its people in Ukienazi.
Does that seem logical to you?
One possibility is that Russia is just as much controlled by oligarchs as the rest of the world. That would be sad.
Another possibility is that the Ukie war is a psyop with US, Russia and China all collaborating on it. If that sounds crazy read about the WWI – ALL empires were ok with killing their own people because they were afraid of the large cohorts of young men.
I know there are apologists (like D. Orlov) that are trying to explain away this as some long term plan. I just don’t buy it – either you care about people and you stop ALL oil exports until the enemy is defeated, or you don’t. Seems straightforward to me. And no, Russia doesn’t need any imports – they are perfectly self-sufficient in everything needed for survival.
unfortunately i think that the idea that Russia is just as much controlled by oligarchs as the rest of the world is true. vaccine mandates there were just as present as elsewhere, and the digital control net is just as present. it’s all just kabuki theatre. the only place that doesn’t seem onboard with “kill the peasants” is africa, from what i can tell.
https://off-guardian.org/2023/01/11/russias-biometric-nightmare/
It seems like leaders everywhere want to control their populations. This is called,
Russia’s Biometric Nightmare
A rushed “security” bill paves the way for a privatized digital control grid
https://edwardslavsquat.substack.com/p/russias-biometric-nightmare
“russias coercive vaccine programs”
Linked there also.
Russia is way ahead on QR coding the cattle.
What choice would it have? Choose the side which will honor Russia’s territorial integrity, or the side which won’t?
Russia has to choose between two bad choice, and it will probably choose what is a bit less bad. Bad, but not as bad as the other one.
(La Verità)
Moderna CEO Steva Bancel says, in an interview during WEF at Davos, that mRNA vaccine against Covid-19 wad ready before the spread of the virus.
He also criticizes Countries where there was more debate about the experimental vaccines, because doing so more people questioned about the experimental jab due to the debates.
‘who are those mad people who decided to make questions and didn’t obey in silence?’
‘the experimental therapy must be accepted without questions, it was ready independently by the presence of the virus…’
https://www.laverita.info/moderna-avevamo-il-vaccino-prima-che-ci-fosse-il-covid-2659282432.html
Megalomania and hubris in its purest form!
No questions in the ranks! And line up for…..something we made earlier.
Does he just mean that the ‘platform’ was ready, perhaps?
And I see that Bourla – who merely sent his minion Janine Small to the EU parliament last year – deigned to grace Davos with his saintly, world-saving presence.
This is bizarre! Of course, this agrees with what we have heard earlier, namely that Moderna tried unsuccessfully to patent at least some parts of this.
(Marittime News)
”Construction Contract for First SAIL Ro-Ro Neoliner is Completed” […] ”The load capacity of the vessel will be 265 TEU, for a maximum weight of 5.300 tons of goods.”
https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/construction-contract-for-first-sail-ro-ro-neoliner-is-completed
In order to make a comparison, the ‘Ever Given’ ship, the one blocked in Suez canal, has a load capacity of 20.124 TEU (Twenty-foot equivalent unit), with a maximum weight of 199.629 tons.
The shipping world is probably about to change drastically in the future…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ever_Given
https://maritime-executive.com/article/ever-given-s-owner-files-suit-and-declares-general-average
That sounds incredible transition to the days of lore…
Which made me listen and watch John Denver’s big song hit Aye Calypso in honor of Jacques Cousteau!
Beautiful Video…can’t wait to sail the seas with sails…
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZonmQZG0GQ
“That sounds incredible transition to the days of lore…”
Apart from the diesel engines?
Nothing good about Cousteau either. He was just another eugenics for thee, but not for me merchant.
“In order to stabilize world population, we must eliminate 350,000 people per day. It is a horrible thing to say, but it is just as bad not to say it.”
Jacques Cousteau, interviewed in November 1991 by the UNESCO Courier.
UNESCO wa set up for this very purpose, as Julian Huxley it’s first director general made quite clear.
“Political unification in some sort of world government will be required… Even though… any radical eugenic policy will be for many years politically and psychologically impossible, it will be important for UNESCO to see that the eugenic problem is examined with the greatest care, and that the public mind is informed of the issues at stake so that much that now is unthinkable may at least become thinkable.”
Sir Julian Huxley, UNESCO: Its Purpose and Its Philosophy.
The last 3 years have been a normalisation of this through lies and deceit.
Why don’t any of these freaks ever take their own advice and end their sad lives(or move to NZ)?
I recall from the autobiography of his wife that Julian Huxley was pretty awful, a serious depressive.
Such people are probably inclined to fantasize about eliminating the planet’s clutter.
The One World Government fantasy also ignores the tendency of even smaller political units to disintegrate in quite a short space of time.
It would appear to lie behind the harmonisation of certain policies we have seen over the last 3 years, so their dream has been realised partially.
Oh, my post was about a Uplifting John Denver Ballad and his wonderful voice..the yodelling was spectacular..
Here is John in concert…amazing…
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UJLIXrOjdic
To sail on a dream on a crystal clear ocean
To ride on the crest of a wild raging storm
To work in the service of life and the living
In search of the answers to questions unknown
To be part of the movement and part of the growing
Part of beginning to understand
Aye, Calypso, the places you’ve been to
The things that you’ve shown us
The stories you tell
Aye, Calypso, I sing to your spirit
The men who have served you
So long and so well
Olole iiiii, ololo ululululu
Olole iiii, ololo uu
Like the dolphin who guides you
You bring us beside you
To light up the darkness and show us the way
For though we are strangers in your silent world
To live on the land, we must learn from the sea
To be true as the tide
And free as the wind-swell
Joyful and loving in letting it be
Aye, Calypso, the places you’ve been to
The things that you’ve shown us
The stories you tell
Aye, Calypso, I sing to your spirit
The men who have served you
So long and so well
The lyrics are magical too!
Enjoy BAU now with Jacque!
Yes, it’s an uplifting song and he had a great voice, so no complaints about John.
Cousteau on the other hand was a piece of shit, that like all eugenicists didn’t practice what he preached. Ever notice how they all blame the ‘other’ whilst forgetting that it was them that championed our acceleration of constantly burning more, right up until it threatened their own status and massive over consumption. Pieces of shit, one and all.
We’re a plague species and nature will deal with us, in the same way that it deals with all plague species. It will just take a bit longer, as we have found a way to cheat the system for a short while. Overlay a graph of the rise and fall of any plague species with a graph of our rise and it will be obvious were we are headed.
If we are going to self regulate population, I’d suggest that we start with the top 10% of energy consumers, so that’s all the Davos freaks and their lackeys booked in at Dignitas(look it up if you don’t know).
Well, I appreciated it. Thanks for the link
Fritz, Sorry but can’t trash him…watched him on the television as a teenager and only have good memories of Cousteau…
To be honest..I think we all have some dirt on us as being “the problem”.
Thanks for writing the song by John Denver is a good one👍
To be honest..I think we all have some dirt on us as being “the problem”.
Yes, that’s a fair comment, but unlike Cousteau and his ilk(Attenborough) we don’t call for the murder of others to protect our own delusional self worth. They both made interesting stuff, but when you look into it you realise that they were lying. Show me one program from either that blamed the destruction on us rather than the ‘other’.
These people are there to deceive us, so BAUl for them can continue, while the rest of us are fooled into believing that it’s all for a worthy cause.
How do you view the WWF. Caring people or the scum of the earth?
https://www.dailymotion.com/pandasilence
And Herbie, it’s Fitz, not Fritz 🙂
I’m going to listen to Denver now, as I need to cheer up a bit 😉
Life in the trenches, Fitz. Anybody calling for managing population is a sociopath. Just because population has to crash doesn’t mean prescriptions for that crash are ever appropriate.
People confuse the use of the word eugenics. One meaning the correct meaning is to allow the “better people” to breed and forbidding the “undesirable people” to breed. The incorrect usage is controlling the number of humans. That is just population control not eugenics.
As we have seen if a inject decreases life expectancy by 20 years and decreases fertility by 40% no cares.
And by only allowing the ‘chosen’ to breed you deny the vast majority, so very much a way of population control.
Here’s another ‘undesirable’ talking shit about things he clearly had no clue about.
“A good citizen of the right type” as we have seen over the last 3 years are anything but in reality and certainly not the ones we need in the troubling future we face. I’d prefer those with their own minds and particularly those with a spine, which again the 3 years have made very clear who’s who.
“Society has no business to permit degenerates to reproduce their kind…. Any group of farmers who permitted their best stock not to breed, and let all the increase come from the worst stock, would be treated as fit inmates for an asylum…. Some day we will realize that the prime duty, the inescapable duty of the good citizens of the right type is to leave his or her blood behind him in the world; and that we have no business to permit the perpetuation of citizens of the wrong type. The great problem of civilization is to secure a relative increase of the valuable as compared with the less valuable or noxious elements in the population… The problem cannot be met unless we give full consideration to the immense influence of heredity…”
Theodore Roosevelt to Charles B. Davenport, January 3, 1913, Charles B. Davenport Papers, Department of Genetics, Cold Spring Harbor, New York
Who exactly are the ‘undesirable people’ and who determines that they are undesirable and under what criteria?
I find this Calypso song even more uplifting,
Thank you for the reference to Huxley’s book. It’s amazing that UNESCO still promotes it (https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000068197) , apparently without apology. Why should we be surprised when the powers that be actually try to do what they say they are trying to do and have been saying for many decades?
at last a project that makes sense
Can’t wait for the Navies of the world to follow suit and looking forward to naval battles again in the likes of this epic movie with Russell Crowe …Master and Commander
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dY2ff_XslX8
Now, that what I call engagement, Right Klummie
The new ship sounds like an expensive way to ship goods.
This ship, too, is dependent on fossil fuels. It is just that energy from wind will be substituted for some of the diesel (or whatever other fuel is being used). It would seem like an easy exercise for someone involved with this to figure out the quantity of fuel expected to be used on a voyage of a particular length, divided by the tonnage of goods being transported, and compare this to the fuel needed on one of today’s large cargo ships for the same length trip. We don’t even know whether this ship would save very much diesel!
Another issue is the cost of all of the staff needed for this boat, compared to the cost of the staff needed for the same cargo, being carried on a large modern cargo ship. My impression is that the staff cost, (relative to the weight of the cargo transported) would be a whole higher for this boat than a “regular” cargo boat. Presumably, the staff needs to be paid partly based on the number of days of the voyage. This would be a whole lot longer and more variable for the wind operated ship. Also, staffing costs would depend upon the availability of sailors with adequate training for the job. I would expect some highly trained individuals would be needed. And of course, there would be food costs along the way, for this larger crew.
A third issue would be the capital investment required for this ship, compared to other ships, relative to the weight transported and the length of time required for transportation. My impression is that this is a slow ship. It cannot expect as many trips of a given length in a particular year. Somehow, the capital cost needs to be paid back, with an adequate rate of return on the investment.
The article states 80% to 90% fuel savings. Good question on speed of transit.
Is that 80% or 90% of the fuel that that particular ship would require for fuel, that is saved?
Or does it consider how much fuel a huge ocean-going ship might use, to transport the quantity in question, the distance in question? I expect that these amounts are fairly different. I would expect a small boat is, by its very nature, inefficient.
Also, I expect the cost of staffing would be a reasonable-sized issue.
I didn’t mention other costs, such as insurance. How durable will this ship prove to be?
Yes, I think it is mainly an experiment to see in practical ways if all that theory makes sense.
Nevertheless, I think that it is anyway a project in line with what we have been saying here in this blog since some time, that the global trade (which we have to remember is currently by sea) will decrease in distance and volumes.
That kind of ship will actually transport less containers on shorter distances.
It is a step toward lower “efficiency.”
(FranceSoir)
”Potential links between against Covid-19 injections and excess mortality in Europe”
[…]
”For all age groups and for the years 2021 and 2022, there are two peaks of injections with Covid-19 vaccine and two peaks of post-vaccination deaths within a time frame of less than 11 months.
We highlighted the troubling coincidence between these vaccination peaks and post-vaccination excess mortality.
A particular case could be highlighted for the 0-14 years age group, where vaccination of pregnant women seems to be accompanied by disastrous effects on future births and in particular the abnormal number of premature infant deaths. This particular case is, moreover, corroborated by three other studies cited in the paragraph 0-14 years.”
http://www.francesoir.fr/opinions-tribunes/liens-potentiels-entre-les-doses-injectees-anti-covid-19-et-la-surmortalite-en
The article seems to be well documented. Maybe Gail thanks to her skills as an actuary can give some analysis about.
It is an interesting article. With my college French, I can almost read it without Google translate.
We all know that most people (at least, most people associated with mainstream media) are in no way looking for evidence that vaccines are a problem. So, this is an issue.
In some ways, the article is OK, but in other ways, my initial reaction is that the author is trying to “tease out” relationships that don’t exist. He notes peaks in doses and peaks in deaths (relative to population) for various ages. But the offset in timing in different on every chart shown: 8 months, 10 months, 7 months, 6 months.
In many ways, I like Joel Smalley’s analyses better. But, of course, none of any of these analyses is in the peer reviewed literature. These authors are mostly preaching to the choir.
Joel has been consistently good throughout.
On the subject of peer reviewer and the system that controls it, the below explains it’s flaws nicely in less than 2 minutes.
https://twitter.com/JamesMelville/status/1536611363308679168?s=20&t=-487RgIEpX-h3A7X473HEA
I have been involved in the process of peer review of scientific papers (on both sides–review and writer of the paper). I have seen for myself how flawed the system is. It is pretty much a system that perpetuates wrong beliefs. There tend to be a group of researchers in the same general area, who review each others’ papers. It is not a method of finding new ideas–they practically never will pass peer review.
Good papers can sometimes go through, but a person has be very careful about what they read in scientific journals. Findings based on models are particularly suspect.
IPSE DIXIT
That is very interesting, thank you.
It reminds me what happened during the middle age when philosophers referred to what had previously said Aristotele of an argument in order to justify the correctness of what they were trying to demonstrate.
This way of doing has been defined as ‘ipse dixit’ (that means: ‘he said that’, referring to Aristotele).
In that way Knowledge was just repeating itself and also its mistakes, without discovering anything new.
Actually now Science is becoming a sort of religion which cannot put in discussion some arguments because are unquestionable ‘axioms’, like in geometry.
If for instance one pays attention the current researches which try to highlight some problems of the current mRNA vaccines, these studies mainly start with a similar foreword like:
‘we would like to stress that the researchers of this study believe in vaccines and on their fundamental power to contrast dangerous diseases, but..’
That is really embarrassing and mortifying.
Thanks for that Student. I didn’t know that, but will remember it and look forward to using it, which may be quite often in the present situation we find ourselves in 😉
It is a great pleasure for me to give a contribute because this blog give many contributes to me (and your video was one of those).
To conclude I would like to add an article (written in 2018, because today it will not be accepted in mainstream media) which highlighted the problem of ‘ipse dixit’ in current society.
Today we could say that ‘mainstream-thinking’ uses ‘ipse dixit’ for people like Bill Gates. ‘Ipse dixit (Bill)’, so it must be correct.
https://secolo-trentino.com/2018/05/02/oggi-come-nel-medioevo-la-societa-dellipse-dixit-e-del-pensiero-unico/
Thank you for the article Student, it’s unfortunately as you say. No thinking allowed for the masses.
The royal society has as its motto Nullius in verba, which is kind of amusing given where we are now.
The Royal Society website says that the motto is “an expression of the determination of Fellows to withstand the domination of authority and to verify all statements by an appeal to facts determined by experiment.”
Might be a good time for them to shut up shop, as they clearly can’t live up to their own standards.
The story about Adam and Eve in the Eden is about the progress: the humans were forbidden to progress.
But they decided to progress to higher level with eating the forbidden fruit.
With the progress, we bear the consequences: higher standard of living requires pollution, higher population requires resource depletion, longer life requires complex healthcare prone to failure.
The progress to higher level, to inhospitable areas of the Earth comes with the later collapse: the further and higher we go, the steeper is the collapse.
The longer is the growth, the steeper is the collapse.
The more we are sophisticated humans, the deeper we fall to the animal level.
We have moved from the warm areas with water, where we were apes and everything was close to us in the rainforest, to the dry and cold areas, where the things we need are farther from us.
The rising complexity of the human species requires resources that are far away from the rainforest where we were animals.
Finally, with the ageing, we do not have energy to go further.
The cars have become the symbol of the accessibility: going shopping is easy. Now, the Amazon rainforest will deliver to your home in inhospitable areas all you need.
You.grow from a little animal to a human, but you die as an animal, as your growth has limits.
The growth is a special feature of the humans: they learn new and new facts, they are better and better in understanding the universe, they venture into the space…
But there are limits to growth. The physical limits. In order to grow further, we need a different bodies that do not correspond to our Earth’s gravity, temperature, pressure etc.
Every attempt to go further requires a capsule to maintain the conditions for our animal bodies.
Our brain outgrows our animal bodies. We need better bodies for our brain.
If Adam and Eve are depicted as apes, then the Bible story is o.k.
It is the progress that changed our appearance.
It’s now Adam and Steve. Get woke guy!
Them and they…things move, and get removed, quickly!
Adam and Steve have already been replaced by the machines: from animals to artificial creatures.
Send machines, the earth may well be the only biology in the universe. It is very well engineered and self regulating.
Dennis L.
No kidding. We know that any planet that has a resource equivalent to fossil fuels will burn through this resource very quickly. So, we would expect that there would be very few, if any, planets in the Universe equivalent to ours.
We also know that every part of the universe is trending toward more complexity. It takes more energy to support greater complexity. Read Eric Chaisson, Cosmic Evolution: The Rise of Complexity in Nature, published in 2001.
https://ourfiniteworld.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/13-chaisson-trend-is-toward-more-complex-energy-intense-form.png
In some way, more energy is being added to the Universe, all along. This seems to me to be evidence of Higher Power, of some sort, that can create energy (including matter) from nothing.
Scientific American says that new energy is not created as the universe expands, rather gravitational potential energy converts into intrinsic energy that fills the space. And thus energy is simply transformed from one form into another and the law of conservation of energy is preserved.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/energy-can-neither-be-created-nor-destroyed
Is energy always conserved, even in the case of the expanding universe?
…. Modern cosmology has offered up new riddles in energy conservation. We now know that the universe is expanding at a faster and faster rate—propelled by something scientists call dark energy. This is thought to be the intrinsic energy per cubic centimeter of empty space. But if the universe is a closed system with a finite amount of energy, how can it spawn more empty space, which must contain more intrinsic energy, without creating additional energy?
It turns out that in Einstein’s theory of general relativity, regions of space with positive energy actually push space outward. As space expands, it releases stored up gravitational potential energy, which converts into the intrinsic energy that fills the newly created volume. So even the expansion of the universe is controlled by the law of energy conservation.
—
The Bible nowhere says that the universe was created out of nothing (ex nihilo), and Genesis 1 simply says, ‘In the beginning God created the heaven and the earth.’ That can be understood in the sense of bringing about a particular state of what already was. The dogma of ‘ex nihilo’ has its roots in post-apostolic debates about Neoplatonism and ‘ex nihilo’ became a dogma. A belief in ‘ex nihilo’ does not seem to be necessary to a Christian belief in a role of a ‘Creator’, and some theologians agree with that. Many Christians suppose that ‘ex nihilo’ is part and parcel of Christian belief, and it certainly is a Roman Catholic Church dogma, but actually it is a post-Biblical ‘tradition’.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creatio_ex_nihilo
> …. The Hebrew sentence which opens Genesis, Bereshit bara Elohim et hashamayim ve’et ha’aretz, can be interpreted in at least three ways…. It has been known since the Middle Ages that on strictly linguistic and exegetical grounds option 1 [an absolute beginning] is not the preferred translation.[11] Our society sees the origin of matter as a question of crucial importance, but for ancient cultures this was not the case, and [when] the authors of Genesis wrote of creation they were concerned with God bringing the cosmos into operation by assigning roles and functions.
…. Creatio ex nihilo, in contrast to ex nihilo nihil fit [nothing comes from nothing], is the idea that matter is not eternal but was created by God at the initial cosmic moment.[13] In the second century a new cosmogony arose, articulated by Plotinus, that the world was an emanation from God and thus part of God. This view of creation was repugnant to Christian church fathers as well as to Arabic and Hebrew philosophers, and they forcefully argued for the otherness of God and his creation and that God created all things from nothing by the word of God.[14] The first articulation of the notion of creation ex nihilo is found in the 2nd century writing To Autocylus (2.10) authored by Theophilus of Antioch.[15] By the beginning of the 3rd century the tension was resolved and creation ex nihilo had become a fundamental tenet of Christian theology.[16] Theophilus of Antioch is the first post New Testament author to unambiguously argue for an ontological ex nihilo creation from nothing, contrasting it to the views of Plato and Lucretius who asserted clearly that matter was preexistent.[17]
—
So, present-day Christian writers may be concerned to find a ‘place’ for ‘ex nihilo’ through the expansion of the universe when ‘ex nihilo’ is not really a Christian (or Biblical, ‘revealed’) doctrine, anyway.
And it is doubtful that ‘ex nihilo’ would ‘prove’ anything about a ‘Creator’ anyway, which is an analogy, a common human way of thinking but not necessarily true on that count. A ‘Creator’ would just be a placeholder for the physics idea that actually ‘something can come from nothing’ in some way, be it energy or whatever. The idea that it cannot is just a human physics idea anyway, and they tend to get ‘improved upon’. (The multiverse has called into question the assumption of any ‘fundamental laws’, and presumably even that one.)
Jesus was all about ‘faith’ anyway, and arguably Christian belief does not rest on ‘evidence’. The search for ‘evidence’ is always liable to lead to disappointment, which is probably counter-productive. ‘Evidence’ is a very strong word if it is used to mean ‘final’ and ‘incontrovertible’. And what room would that leave for faith, Christian faith, anyway? So it seems to be a self-defeating exercise.
Somehow, I don’t find this explanation very satisfying:
“It turns out that in Einstein’s theory of general relativity, regions of space with positive energy actually push space outward. As space expands, it releases stored up gravitational potential energy, which converts into the intrinsic energy that fills the newly created volume. So even the expansion of the universe is controlled by the law of energy conservation.”
I think the explanation at the beginning–the Universe is a closed system with a finite amount of energy–is not really true.
Well, there is physics and then there is personal belief, and the two do not necessarily add up, and that is not necessarily satisfying on a personal level. You are probably not alone in feeling that way.
Personally I have no physics background, so I am in no position to contradict the general theory of relativity or to deny that gravitational potential energy converts into intrinsic energy. Scientific American is not about to give me a column anytime soon lol.
Gail, I agree, as far as I can tell the increasing expansion rate of the universe requires the “new” space to be filled with “dark energy” to fuel the ever increasing expansion. Basically, the universe is heading to the next big bang. An endless series of big bangs. See Roger Penrose for the math. He has some nice youtube interviews on this subject.
Thanks! Trust Scientific American for the mainstream media version of the story.
“Scientific American says that new energy is not created as the universe expands, rather gravitational potential energy converts into intrinsic energy that fills the space. And thus energy is simply transformed from one form into another and the law of conservation of energy is preserved.”
True. Dark energy and dark matter exist in creative tension. The condensive pull of gravity and the growing push of energy. When we realize that dark matter is both the gravity field and undifferentiated Source Consciousness everything falls into place; gravity is based on consciousness. The Red Man, in his animist wisdom, universally referred to dark matter as some variation of the “Great Spirit/Mystery in the Sky,” with Sky meaning everything, both sky and earth, because dark matter is a field that pervades everything, with the “everything,” the Sky itself, being dark energy.
Light Energy — holographic reality — is consciousness animating dark energy, by condensing the energy into holography. Biological holography does this just as does elemental holography, because biology is an emergent phenomenon of elemental holography; this is the fundamental underpinning of animism. Biology does this with nucleic acids swimming in polymerase because polymerase nucleic acids are so reactive when suspended in polymerase that they can draw the pure Reason of consciousness from the dark matter field and in doing so enables the equivalent drawing of dark energy into biology, which is the growth function, and which grows dark energy in the universe, by drawing down dark matter, which is why the universe is currently expanding, by weakening the undifferentiated gravity field. And the same applies to elemental holography: dark matter is converted to elemental holography by it’s conscious animation of dark energy, which grows energy.
I suspect the universal dynamic is toroidal, and that we’re in an expansionary location of the torus right now. Tori themselves are forever, because they are cycling phenomena, but the universal function within the torus is cyclical.
I always refer to this as the “myth” of Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden.
Humans, once they gained control of supplemental energy, developed bigger brains and smaller guts and teeth than other animals. They have been able to be the alpha species, and push a lot of other animals out.
I suppose a person can read it as a story about not growing to prevent overshoot and collapse, as you say.
I think it might also be taken as a cautionary tale about assuming that the climate stays constant. The Garden of Eden is set in Iraq, near the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers. We don’t think of the area as a well-watered area today. The climate has changed dramatically. We don’t know the timing of the story, but it is probably only a few thousand years old. Things change quite quickly.
Too bad that they had too much ‘intelligence’… if they hadn’t they’d have stayed in the garden of eden and ate pears
The UK Office for National Statistics has published revised figures for 2021 for England and Wales combined.
The total fertility rate fell to 1.55 kid per woman in 2021, which is the lowest level ever recorded, and down from 1.94 in 2012 (2.93 in 1964 before contraception and abortion were legalised in UK.)
(1.55 is 73.81% of the 2.1 replacement level, and a decline to 54.48% of present births in 2 generations.)
51.3% of births were outside of marriage, the first time a majority has been.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/bulletins/birthcharacteristicsinenglandandwales/2021
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-11652953/UK-mums-OLDER-ever.html
In 2021, there were 624,162 births in England and Wales, of which 367,375 were white British (58.85%), down from 66.25% in 2010. 41.15% of births were ethnic minority. 72,945 were other white; total 440,320 white, 70.54%.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/datasets/birthcharacteristicsinenglandandwales
do you have a breakout for Muslim?
No. We will have to see whether ONS releases religion and age group stats for the 2021 census, but I do not recall having seen such stats in the past. I am pretty sure that info is not gathered in point of birth stats.
Muslims make up 6.5% of England and Wales, so they probably are a slightly higher percentage of kids as they are a younger population on average. Maybe 8%? Whether they will stick with it into adulthood is another matter as UK secularism is pretty powerful.
> 41.15% of births were ethnic minority.
USA is already over 50%. We’re number 1!
What’s the “other white” category that you mention being 70.54%.
I checked the data – they break it down into “white british” and “white other”, so combined they’re still 70+% white. Multiculturalism is further along in the USA.
Does multicultural mean many cultures or does it just mean not white?
UK needs more Mexicans, more Hispanics, more of those little short South American Indians, more Chinese, more Hasidim. You seem to be doing OK on Black and Indians.
What it means depends on your preferred narrative. Multiculturalism means means strength and creativity, according to media messaging, or it means distrust and low social cohesion, according to peer-reviewed literature/studies.
Very large Cleveland Clinic study shows more vaccines make you more likely to get COVID https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/very-large-cleveland-clinic-study
Right. A write up by a different sub stack author of a study we saw recently.
Lochlan Birchall, 3
January 7, 2023
It is with overwhelming sadness that we share the passing of our 3-year-old son, Lochlan (Dually) McCullough Birchall. At 7:20 p.m. on Friday, December 30, 2022 in the arms of his mommy the angels surrounded him and gave him his wings. Daddy, is devastated.
No cause of death reported..
https://www.trousdalefuneralhome.com/obituary/Lochlan-Birchallmm
Much more SHAD here https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-80f
We have heard about the avian flu in the US and the higher cost of eggs in the US. I am wondering if the virus will ever go away. The virus is spread by wild birds. The only way chickens can be kept save is if they are completely locked away from the viruses from outside –the virus that the farmer might have has as he walks into the building where the chickens are located, for example.
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/avian-flu-crushing-farmers
Avian Flu Is Crushing Farmers
Just a guess:
Life is dynamic, the chickens have not been stress tested; they are optimized for one thing, an egg.
The universe is not a perfectionist, various combinations are tested, those found lacking are discarded.
This seems to be happening across more than chickens, us humans come to mind.
Dennis L.
I think we should assume until proven otherwise that Avian flu is yet another lab engineered gain of function virus. But this is a more clever and insidious delivery system. Migratory birds attacking a food source instead of directly targeting human injectees. Assuming this avian flu is a killer and not just a wimpy COVID flu like virus for 99.98% of the people, IMO, this is just another excuse to cull the entry level food source for billions of people, on top of erradicationg food sources. like burning down fertilizer and food processing plants, thereby starving the cattle of fertilizer dependent feed grain to limit meat production.
Now there are rumours they are trying to introduce mRNA vaccines into the food source. Don’t know how the mRNA could survive passage through the stomach acidity etc, but a protective lipid nano particle coating equivalent would be easy to manufacture and mingle with all the regular injections that commnercial live stock receives. I don’t waste any more time reading about COVID and didn’t watch this. In fact, I canceled my subscription to Epoch Times. Poltics and media (especially financial analysis) are the only “growth industries” left in the country these days. Totally useless people. You are better off going to the fortune teller to get advice. The bottom line is, you don’t know what the hell they’re injecting into you.
https://www.theepochtimes.com/the-mrna-vaccines-could-wind-up-in-food-supplies-cdc-investigates-vaccines-and-strokes_4992946.html?utm_source=enewsnoe&utm_campaign=etv-2023-01-19&utm_medium=email&est=cfF07L93l0lJAVMdfrCFEeI8saeiSIWGXr1%2FeVGmLdvboqu4%2F4go%2B50QOmnpJm%2FnlOg%3D
I think you might be right about Avian flu being yet another lab engineered gain of function virus.
While an awfully lot of food comes from eggs and chicken, there would be a huge savings in the feed that these birds eat. In theory, there would be more grains for humans to eat, and the system might actually be able to feed more people, with fewer chickens and eggs.
Introducing mRNA vaccine into the food supply sounds like a headache for people trying to avoid it. Hopefully, the idea goes nowhere.
I agree with Hubbs. The ‘Avian Flu’ has been around for years and called into question many times, though these reports rarely make it to public reporting/viewing. We need an Avian Flu Sub Stack!
Then Eddy would post teary posts about chicks who have died. He would also call the mother chicken (and possibly also the rooster) moreons.
The problem is protein. While you can get a complement of essential amino acids by combining wheat grains with beans for example, wheat alone is inadequate for chickens. I think you need to supplement that with some protein source for the chickens as well like larvae grubs and insects. Those no doubt are produced commercially for poultry. I am still researching.
Everyone seems to think that all you have to do is “grow a garden” for your food source. While vegetables and fruits supply nutrients and minerals, you still need calories and protein, and that is where meat comes in. Fats for energy and protein for rebuilding tissue. Rabbits and chicken have been the backbone of protein sources for homesteaders who can’t move up to larger stock like goats, cows, pigs which require more investment and maintenance.
Speaking of pigs, I wonder if they are working on a swine flu gain of function virus. The idea is to gradually cut people off from a protein source since the direct assault with these mRNA COVID injections seems to be floundering. Flounder. Speaking of fish, throw in gain of function for fish viruses to deplete the commercial fish farms as well.
I haven’t looked into it, but it might also be like Covid in that 90%+ of “cases” are just false positives. It could just be a testdemic carried out for similar reasons. The articles I’ve seen on this topic all focus on culling, but nothing about actual sick or dead birds. One of the farmers interviewed for the article blamed homesteaders with their own small flocks as sources. I haven’t heard of such people dealing with sick/dead birds in my area, despite frequent overflights of waterfowl and free range chickens. I still see eggs available on roadside stands from such outfits.
I can easily forsee homesteaders banned from having chickens.
Similarly, backyard gardens banned as they are a threat to industry.
Easy to see where this is going…
Enforcement of such laws would be difficult, at least in rural areas in the US. I suspect most rural county sheriffs wouldn’t enforce and would say they wouldn’t enforce, much like they are doing now with respect to restrictive gun laws in “blue” states.
And this https://t.me/c/1588731774/16313
Gail said: ” The virus is spread by wild birds. The only way chickens can be kept save is if they are completely locked away from the viruses from outside”
Gail, this is completely unsubstantiated bs, I am sorry to say.
You obviously don’t know anything about it and the article you quote it’s either a psyop or lying through their teeth.
I live in a poor countryside community. Most people raise chickens – outdoors with no protection or medication.
I have never heard of ANY dead chicken due to any sickness. Yes, dogs or raccoons but no diseases.
Whatever the problem is, it’s caused by factory farming and probably over-vaccination. How much do you want to bet that this is done on purpose?
Gail already acknowledged the likelihood of this obviously manufactured nature of this psyop well before your comment.
The green wings of the national socialisms are coming. Hitler and his fellow elites were vegans. It goes all the way back to the Indus river valley civilization that enforced vegetarianism upon going into agricultural overshoot. There’s a perfectly good logic to it as we’re all aware. Tulsi is a Hindu vegan. Surprise surprise. That said, it’s going to be a libertarian government at heart, at least in the US, and they will leave alone those who grow their own (because they are constitutionalists), which is what we should be doing anyway, so we ourselves don’t really have anything to complain about from a personal perspective.
Reante,
you are an optimist (about having a libertarian govt).
Myself, I believe we have not reached peak control yet.
Just like some communist countries became more and more totalitarian as their economy got worse and worse, I would expect US to go through a long nazi phase, complete with genocide, brainwashing and no individual freedoms, before it finally ends as a large group of warring poor kingdoms (aka dark ages).
As I said to Lidia, it only looks like optimism. Structuralism does neither optimism nor pessimism; it only does structuralism. Some might call that Realism if the structural analysis is deemed to be sound. Your communist example is structurally unfounded. Soviet peak oil didn’t hit until 1988/9. In the run-up to the peak, if the dynamics were as you say, then the carrot-and-stick calculus by the commie PTB was that sacrificing a degree of the material wealth of the citizenry and reallocating those resources towards the security services was the Feathering required to keep chitty chitty bang bang going the longest.
The ‘nazis’ were ideological libertarians. Strasserism was the dominant ideology. Strasserism didn’t come to fruition because the Third Reich had to fight WW2. Nationalisms are by definition libertarian compared to the much greater centralization of internationalism. But nationalisms also vary in their libertarianism depending on their respective territories. The US is a wide open country of gun owners. During collapsing complexity that structurally makes for more freedom for those who can take material responsibility for their freedom in marginal areas that the State can’t extract meaningful surpluses from. The less dead weight for the State to carry the better. For people in cities and suburbs it probably won’t feel very libertarian will it? But their environmental perspective doesn’t really lend itself to objectivity does it?
Thanks Reante, you are offering me hope! This is not sarcasm, I really do appreciate a different perspective that makes sense and gives me hope.
Based on your thinking, would you say that Europe will fragment while each country will get more totalitarian? At least that’s the way I see it. Plus I think that internecine European wars (not proxy wars for US and Russia) will come back in a decade or so.
What do you think?
You’re welcome, NB. Thanks for the affirmation. The better the feel we have for the lay of the land, the more hope we can reasonably have to find and nurture the open spaces we require.
I don’t have the same feel for Europe that I do the US but the same principles apply. I expect European government to disintegrate for sure. I don’t expect technological totalitarianism anywhere, if that’s what you’re asking.That requires an additional layer of complexity than what we currently have, and with electrical grid blackouts and food shortages we’re moving inexorably towards simplification.
If you’re asking about totalitarianism WRT political structure, I don’t consider Marxism any more or less totalitarian than finance capitalism. They’re just different. All industrialized States are totalitarian because the FF allows them to control every square mile of their territory.
As you know I expect national socialisms to become the norm because they’re the most efficient economies during hard times, and because they’re not rigidly ideological, and hard times require practicality and not ideology. Now many people would think that government nationalizing most stuff means totalitarianism, even though that’s what has to happen with the national socialisms out of necessity when ponzi valuations crash. So I disagree with that view. During collapse, nationalizing industry in order to keep society together is just the State doing what needs to be done. Similarly, hard rationing during collapse isn’t totalitarianism imo, it’s just doing what needs to be done. Martial law, government massacres, and the end of democracy wouldn’t be totalitarianism imo, it would just be the necessary response of the State to less energy and major civil unrest. Democracy is very expensive and complex theater. So it depends on what the definition of is is when it comes to totalitarianism. YMMV.
You mentioned ten years. My HTOE thesis is a framework for a global peace accord lasting about three to five years under the national socialisms in order to try and put the lid back on the Pandora’s Box. After that your guess is as good as mine.
I feel that the principles are the same everywhere. As resources shrink government control over goods and services will expand but the geographical reach of government will shrink, which means more open space for those willing and able to
operate in those spaces. I fully expect most of my small town here to empty out as things progress but that’s just when things will start to get interesting and we men will maybe have to live the rest of our lives awake at night and sleeping during the day, hopefully with our boots off.
I saw a turkey farm in California. It was like a science fiction scene, complete isolation. Fence 100 feet from building. No people around, no out buildings, big harsh signs telling everyone to stay out.
(WEF – Davos)
‘Tony blair calls for a digital infrastructure to track who is vaccinated and who is not for the vaccines to come’.
(Video inside the article)
https://voxnews.info/2023/01/19/davos-lelite-vuole-una-schedatura-globale-dei-non-vaccinati/
People have understood for a long time that vaccines are “good” or that they “provide miraculous results.” They cannot imagine that they might be harmful.
Whether the mRNA treatment can be considered a “vaccine” is iffy. It certainly is not a sterilizing vaccine.
…. what people think of vaccines is beside the point, a mere distraction. The complete breakdown of your physical boundaries is the goal and is the inevitable outcome of technological takeover of all functions in society. If I’m sounding like Ted Kaczynski it’s because I recently came across a disciple of John Michael Greer, a fellow named Chad A. Haag. What a romp thru those early years of ‘The Manifesto’ and other writings by Ted going back to the ’70s! He has a great YT channel, I recommend it highly.
The great takeaway is that Ted saw cause and effect so clearly, that technology would not only require the breakdown of national boundaries(borders) but eventually those of our own physical bodies…viola! the Plandemic! It was a no-brainer.
Can I offer some context on the people you mention?
– JM Greer still mentions “conspiracy theory” like it’s a bad thing and he won’t allow any of it on its websites. When asked if he can think of ANY conspiracy he could not give any example. So according to him, there are no conspiracies! He is so behind the times, it’s ridiculous.
– Ted Kaczynski. The more I read about him, the more unreal he looks. See for example: http://mileswmathis.com/unabomber.pdf
If that’s too long just ask yourself how come this super-genius guy, deciding to kill the “bad” guys, could only find some nobodies that mostly agreed with him. Not to mention the huge press that he got – NY Times printing a ton of his writing (which was probably written by CIA).
So, instead of sending us to all this guys, why not tell us what you think?
Nice dude. I’m halfway through the Mathis piece. He has a gift, huh? Makes you feel at home, like you’ve come home, while inhabiting his work. Wouldn’t it be funny if it was turtles all the way down and he’s the ultimate meta-project of intelligence. The miles mathis hall of mirrors, under the let there be light luciferian rules. Nice little nod to Hitler there, early on, and the first thought of course is zelensky.
I think I’ve mentioned here that my dad was career cia. Didn’t know til I was a sophomore. Till that disclosure he was always DOD. (Note to banned: latypova is probably a spook pinning the blame on the public agency that has always serves as general cover for the covert agency.) Don’t think I’ve mentioned here that this son of a spook was paid a visit by an operative a number of years ago. She was a pretty young thing who in short order succeeded in accomplishing one of her objectives which was to break up my farming partnership. (When we think of the back to the land communes of the 70s the first thing we think of I how almost all of them failed because of sexual dysfunction…) Apropos of your comment, my partner had been extensively posting up K’s manifesto on his Facebook page, plus he was an ex-con (wrongful conviction), plus he was the black sheep son of a local evangelical pastor with a congregation full of homeschoolers (good, solid, peaceable, loving people to be sure). And, of course, I am me, and have been for a long time. I don’t consider it boastful to say that they don’t come more subversive than myself who has the soul of the Red Man. Or am I turtle too? 🙂
I cottoned to this young woman after three days. She had been a Russian-PoliSci double major, and had spent time in Russia after graduation. Had spent time in Montreal which culturally is obviously an area of concern. My town is an arterial into the most productive private timberland on the planet. Mr. Weyerhausee is featured on a statue outside of Langley. At the back corner of my property is a gate owned by that company. My town is known as the sketchiest town in the valley area. The Oregon coast range is long known for its independent views. On the sixth day I asked her to leave and very open with her. I explained my position, that I couldn’t have what I felt was a 50pc chance that I had a pathological liar on my property, and that I meant no personal offense to her by saying so. But she had bedded my partner the night before. Well played. And she had hooked him, and off they went. C’est la vie. They took their pound of flesh fair and square. For my part I let her know, and she could see that it was obviously true, that I’m a peaceful man and a good neighbor who keeps to himself. Weyerhausee are good neighbors to me because they do not spray (Dennis…) anywhere in the watershed of the creek that runs across our place. And that means a lot to me. And they also paide a fair price for the timber I sold them.
A few things tipped me off and a big one was that she had an iphone “that didn’t work.” They operate on a private apple cloud. Months later he told me that they had gone to a Rainbow Gathering (surprise surprise) which is not really his thing, and that while there she misplaced her nonworking phone and completely freaked out, and she wasn’t the freakout type. She stayed in the area for exactly a year. They both moved onto a local hippie commune and I was told she would frequent the only local watering hole by herself. Front and center at the bar. Classic fieldwork, on contract. Guessing she wasn’t making thirty an hour. I’m also guessing she became salaried afterwards, as I heard her next assignment was “a graduate degree at the University of Oslo.” Oslo University is like Harvard. Ground zero for NATO signals intelligence vis a vis Russia. As a Russian speaker she was part of the ‘all hands on deck’ call.
Norway was the second country in the world to get the internet.
My dad funnily enough double dipped in retirement on a contract riding the amtrak rails through the west reporting on the ecoterrorist threats to the rail system.
Live and let live.
Thanks for sharing. Oregon was nice before the private timber companys locked all the gates and the gangs meth and heroin came up from CALLY. No poisonous snakes or ticks! Big Plusses!
Dr Dave Martin explained why patent applications for gene sequences of the spike protein were denied as far back as 2000. He’s not a biologist, not a pharmacist, just a disinterested neutral patent office official- just like a funeral home embalmer who only notices these stringy (fibrin) clot thingies that keep him from injecting embalming fluids.
To be patented as a vaccine it had to do three things.
1.) Protect the individual from getting infected if exposed.
2.) Demostrate the virus is not detected in the vaccinated person. (I.e., is sterile)
3.) Demonstrate that the virus could not be transmitted by one who had been vaccinated.
The application failed on all of these criterea.
The big pharma company then paid or tried to bribe or ask the patent office to cover up this application.
Thanks!
I can also see why an mRNA vaccine couldn’t be patented if, in humans, it produces primarily IgG4 antibodies based on the spike protein, rather than what as really needed to stop the infection from spreading.
In statistical terms, the mortality year running from August 2021 to July 2022 represents an 8-sigma deviation from expectation (Figure 2). That’s totally and utterly monstrous.
And yet, this is possibly nothing compared to what is likely to be the result for the full season 2022-23, given how it has started?
So, what should we expect from the public health agencies? An urgent investigation? Urgent action? Consideration of the elephant in the room and “coincidence” now being the the major cause of death all around the world?
Of course not.
https://metatron.substack.com/p/something-is-rotten-in-the-state
From prior things we read, Norway seemed to be a country with high vitamin D level. Probably because of the high vitamin D level, it didn’t have a high covid death level in 2020. Nevertheless, it had the bad sense to encourage vaccination, and that seems to be what has led to its recent much higher death rates. The chart at the end seems to show that big increases in deaths followed vaccination surges.
Gail,
In retrospect, not a very good call, but much was not known at that time. Getting people to do the right thing at the right time is not easy and in this case one had to know what was the right thing. We are human, we live as a group, sometimes the group is wrong, most of the time it is right which may be why we are all here.
I passed in part because of this site and in a larger part because of an almost religious belief that my body will fight the majority of its own battles.
Our younger generation in my opinion has been shielded too much from its own decisions, we do learn by having things not go well.
When my daughter was young I metaphorically saw her as being in a harness with a long rope. The only time I jerked the rope was when she go too close to the edge,; if it was a small edge and the fall would not hurt her, I lengthened the metaphorical rope. She did not appreciate that, but she learned.
Dennis L.
>> In retrospect, not a very good call, but much was not known at that time.
Unfortunately, many people will find this “no one is to blame, no one could have known” narrative a convincing one. But it’s bollocks – I had immediate concerns, even without patient data, based on the mechanism of action and later a data leak:
(1) I knew the vaccine uses a lipid delivery system and that the heart runs on fatty acids (lipids). Thus, I was worried that myocyte (heart muscle) fatty-acid receptors would facilitate entry and cause heart damage. This was an obvious concern to me, even before a single patient injection. It took years for this data to confirm my suspicion – based on a *totally obvious* mechanism.
(2) There was a PDF leak (Pfizer subdivision in Japan) of mouse-experiment data showing bioaccumulation not only in the liver and spleen (expected), but also the ovaries (unexpected). I wasn’t 100% sure it was real, but the data and tables were so complete and with very specialized data that I thought it was probably was. Years later, Pfizer had to reveal these documents and the data was confirmed.
Both of these were extremely early on. Anyone in a bio-related field should have been able to predict #1 and #2 means that Pfizer knew from the biodistribution experiments that it can go to many organs. There is NO LEGITIMACY to claims that “we couldn’t have known”. I knew and so did everyone that bothered to look.
This was really a test of whether people blindly trust our institutions (media, government, healthcare system).
pssst…. I have someone new, really good but never tested before. Do you want to buy?
That is the ultimate red flag. Would you be the guinea pig? All else is BS
ivan,
I am not competent to follow your reasoning; I have a near religious belief in the body handling its own battles and have gone very near to death with that belief. I looked seriously at vaccines, Novavax was my first choice, don’t have a clue where that one is now. My strong belief most likely explains no vax, but I looked as seriously as I could understand. This site affirmed that belief, we seek affirmation, not information.
I strongly believe life, the universe is not deterministic. The “masters’ of the universe are wrong, their illusions of grandeur will end in tears, their own. Que Sera, Sera.
Dennis L.
Thank you Ivanislav for the correction.
I agree with you absolutely. Even ignoring the rat poison injection, the context of its introduction was enough to make any normal person (and country!) stop and think.
– People were bullied and blackmailed to take it
– Former democratic countries turned overnight into dictatorships
– Propaganda was used to demonize anybody disagreeing
– The whole operation was conducted as a psyop (and they admitted it later)
So all the countries and people that supported this are evil, full stop. Even if they just did it for the job, they are as bad as nazi collaborators (unless they were starving on the street and there was absolutely no other choice).
I hope that some people in the future will see the above and understand that this was not done by aliens or a small group of evil people – no, the majority of the people turned evil on a dime due to cowardice and lack of spine.
For me this is the main lesson of the last 3 years.
There’s nothing that makes the spine more flexible than fear, as you know. And of course all politicians worth of their salt know that a good fear campaign is the safest way to direct and control the dangerously blind force of the masses.
Someone else was ‘cautious’?
“10:24 . . . there were four cardiac arrests in the vaccine group and one in the placebo he said . . . if this signal is real we’re going to see a real problem going forward in the next couple years and I want to wait and see what happens . . . ”
The Expose reported today about the potential of enhanced COVID disease as a result of COVID mass “vaccination” programs.
But do you want to know what that looks like in the real world?
Well, all you have to do is look at Norway.
https://metatron.substack.com/p/something-is-rotten-in-the-state
The situation is critical… it’s definitely getting more exciting!
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4793bb9a-f1a8-4e95-92c2-c87ff2095f5a_2601x1951.png
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe4ae83d-c963-4222-8399-8249531a0b31_2601x1951.png
https://expose-news.com/2023/01/19/secret-pfizer-gov-docs-confirm-millions-dead-covid-vaccine/
https://privatedic417.files.wordpress.com/2008/11/smoking-gun1.jpg
The title of this article is,
“Secret Pfizer & Gov. Documents confirm Millions have died Worldwide as ADE and VAED due to COVID Vaccination sweeps the Globe”
One of the documents that Pfizer was forced to release was this one, showing that during the initial three-month study period, there were 138 cases reported with Vaccine Associated Enhanced Disease (VAED), including at least 38 deaths (some outcomes were unknown).
https://i0.wp.com/expose-news.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/image-149.png?w=968&ssl=1
The article says,
“This confidential data [including other information beyond what is shown in the above chart] proves that the Covid-19 injections should never have been granted emergency use authorisation, and should have been pulled from distribution by the FDA as soon as they sighted the figures.”
Oh no! (hahahaha)
Too bad norm is not here to ignore this
Pfizer claimed in their confidential document that up to 28th Feb 2021, they had received 138 cases reporting 317 potentially relevant events indicative of Vaccine-Associated Enhanced Disease. Of these 71 were medically significant resulting in 8 disabilities, 13 were life-threatening events, and 38 of the 138 people died.
Of the 317 relevant events reported by 138 people, 135 were labelled as ‘drug ineffective’, 53 were labelled as dyspnoea (struggling to breathe), 23 were labelled as Covid-19 pneumonia, 8 were labelled as respiratory failure, and 7 were labelled as seizure.
Pfizer also admitted that 75 of the 101 subjects with confirmed Covid-19 following vaccination, had severe disease resulting in hospitalisation, disability, life-threatening consequences or death.
https://expose-news.com/2023/01/19/secret-pfizer-gov-docs-confirm-millions-dead-covid-vaccine/
https://i0.wp.com/expose-news.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/image-149.png
Bernard Malamud wrote the book “The Fixer”, in which a not really religious Jewish man is accused of the murder of a Ukrainian boy. Loosely based upon a real historical event (the accused man was released, but ended up in a great poverty and died in New York state in obscurity) the situation gets worse and worse although he does not lose hope.
Obviously showing Kafka’s influence , the story is not resolved at the end – it is not certain whether the protagonist is found guilty or not as he is transported to the larger city of Kiev for a trial, and the story ends with him, in shackles, watching a fight between his supporters and the Czar’s policemen. He also finds his faith in the prison.
People like Dennis L are oblivious to the harsh reality and try to see any good news, even it it comes from unreliable people, to justify their optimism.
Some people are pessimistic and they have given up already.
Me, I grew up in a cynical household where nothing really mattered too much unless we restored the family land. Enough family history to refute any kind of optimism and pessimism. All which mattered is the continuation of the family rule of the land, nothing else mattered. That’s why I am not that optimistic but not as pessimistic as others.
Did you restore the family land?
I grew up in harsh reality, some here know my family home was a whore house prior to my grandfather purchasing it. Tough neighborhood.
I am a land owner, no family land, only hard work; but I obey the ten commandments to the best of my ability. I did and still do view them as a set of rules which work fairly well. I hold no grudges, but walk away from those who deal dishonestly, unfairly or with little intelligence.
I do not know the stories of Kafka et al. With a university education, UW Madison, I view most philosophy as attempts by moderately intelligent people to construct a reality through their own efforts rather than observing the world as it goes by and recording the observations in a book which is revised through the ages.
Land is nice, but I will take very intelligent children any time, they will get your land if you are not careful and chose your mates wisely.
The fabric of the universe is vast and really doesn’t recognize the individual, it only provides a place for individuals to thrive given a bit of luck and hard work. But, there are no guarantees, one can work hard and have bad luck. It happens.
Dennis L.
In short, no. A bunch of complications too tedious to list here.
Hope springs eternal, but it doesn’t feed someone.
But I thought the Owners always won against the peasants? How could this happen?
The Russian Revolution was the only exception, plus what happened in 1945
A Landjuncker losing land in the Kaliningrad enclave? Regaining that land must have been hopeless since 1945…
I´ve actually visited the area, countryside, as well as Kaliningrad. Must have been a nice place prior to WW2. Kaliningrad of today is a depressing place compared to Köningsberg. The only main buildings left from the königsberg period are, funilly enough, the cathedral and the stock exchange (Religion and capitalism). The cathedral survived because it was necessary for the bombers to have a land mark left for reference.
Can cancer really be cured with ivermectin and other safe, old treatments?
Big pharma will say no – but this cancer survivor and TOP scientist knows otherwise
https://drtesslawrie.substack.com/p/can-cancer-really-be-cured-with-ivermectin
Worth a shot… no harm done
This is a lead-in to a later interview with a cancer physician who cured her own cancer using a nonstandard medical treatment, involving the off-label use of a widely available drug (ivermectin? or something else)
A lot of great cathedrals and buddhist temples and statues were built by violent dictators who attempted to atone their destruction of the innocents later in their lives.
The restoration of civilization will be a very violent affair, with the crack soldiers of the previous regime destroying all traces of anything occurring during the interregnum, and after all these killing the ruler or chief advisor usually builds a huge temple to ask forgiveness from God or whatever they were believing at.
I imagine the followers of the leader would feel better, too, with the newly built temples or statues.
Even if I show a Green Groopie this — they will not believe GW is fake .. I know cuz I showed them Leo’s sea level concrete eco resort – Obama’s sea level house in Hawaii and Gore’s in Cali..
Cuz – MORE-ONS will be MORE -ONS
But anyway…this has some funny stuff that should entertain The Core
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/malign-creativity-greta-edition
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5f7a59ea-8c61-4567-ba56-cad2320c19a5_427x420.jpeg?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9cd59638-3c0d-425c-ba75-f3677299e155_1100x1200.jpeg
Epic rant here from Al Gore. He flew across the Atlantic on a private jet to lament that our CeeOhTwo emissions are “boiling the oceans.” He says “we must act.” And his own acting, much like Greta’s, is as wooden as it is over the top.
By some counts, Al has made three hundred million dollars by acting as a prophet of doom, which is comparable, accounting for inflation, to what Charlton Heston got over the course of a long career playing Moses, Ben Hur, El Cid, the guy who discovered the head of the Statue of Liberty in Planet of the Apes, and the guy who discovered that Solyent Green is people!
https://twitter.com/TheFirstonTV/status/1615879331749953536?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
The green groopies are not at all troubled by his private jet flights… they are willing to shower with cold water to offset Al’s burn.
they have a website that allows them to see if they are winning the battle Alvsthegreens.com… when you shower cold you click the button and it shows the calculation against Al’s aviation fuel burn
MORE. ONS
Inflation/deflation:
SS is now funded in part by assets which are debts of the US government, cash flow does not cover all payments, uncertain about Medicare.
Debt limit not increased, SS payments decline, Medicare payments decline(?), Even if it is only a temporary cash flow issue, a huge part of the US economy experiences a violent deceleration in money velocity, assets sit on the shelves, medical services are not paid(by memory, Mayo is close to 50% Medicare, doctor’s have difficulty paying mortgages and leases on the Beamer, dealerships, automakers have cashflow problems. Sell the most liquid assets first, at a discount, deflation.
Starting to her more and more rumors not related to debt ceiling that what cannot go up generally goes down. Nature abhors stasis.
Interesting days.
Dennis L.
On the contrary.
The middle ages was 1000 years of status and everyone more or less liked it
And that was after a millennium of civilization.
Perhaps the people back then realized civ was not as good as it seemed.
Inflation versus deflation may be a moot point if suddenly the money (fiat currency) no longer exists. Fiat currency, CBC, anything else goes supernova into nothingness, other than silver, gold and items for barter. Poof ! All gone and we would be left in chaos. Zimbabwe, Venezuela, Germany still had alternative “black market” currencies to fall back on. But the dollar is the end of the line. Good luck with ruble or the yuan keeping the trucks rolling and the factories and farms going.
My understanding is that the plan is to keep debt payments funded, so there will not be a default problem. Social Security and Medicare are also high priorities, because older people vote.
We will have to see how this actually works out. It is possible that the financial crash referred to in this post could be started the the inability to get the US debt limit raised.
Billions for Ukraine but concern about the debt? Now the endless cycle continues. Red clown team selection. Defense spending stays intact but SS and social spending gets cut hard. This is red clown team plan to be selected.
The autonomous organism called USGOV senses a threat in the debt now as the hyperinflation and the dollar losing all value looms. What is disregarded as the “inflation” causal is the failure of sanctions to overthrow Russia coresponds strongly with the inflation. Why is their concern about the debt now? Russias demanding payment in Rubles and starting the foundation of a alternative international settlement currency spells the end to the dollar as a reserve currency.
Unsupported by reserve currency status demand for the dollar must be supported by demand for actual resources, goods or services. That would be bad enough but a currency has to actally be solvent too to have demand for it with no reserve currency status. The 31 trillion of USAGOV is unpayable. Thats $250k per taxpayer. Worse yet as we encounter a era where dollar value is based on productivity not reserve currency status the taxpayer ability to pay off the USGOV autonomous organism debt decreases radically. The autonomous USGOV organism will stop social spending and extract as many pockets of personal citizen wealth as it can to sustain itself. The death of the dollar was anticipated with a intended CBDC rollout. A CBDC rollout is not possible with the syndicate losing reserve currency status.
These events are not entirely negative in nature. The standard of living must fall in the USA and this in one way in can be manifested. A slave CBDC may not be instituted. It appears that the USGOV autonomous organism has enough self preservation motive not to precipitate a nuclear exchange. That is certainly welcome news!
What is despicable is the USGOV autonomous organism is not a government for and by the people as intended. Things would be much easier for the people during this transition without these huge sums and resources being spent on hugely overpriced weapons systems. While spending cuts are in fact required it does nothing about the existing 31 trillion debt. A orderly transition to a healthy economy with a military of a appropriate to the productivity of the USA could occur but not with 31 trillion of debt. That debt is getting written off one way or another and IMO the manner in which that occurs will have little to do with the people and everything to do with the USGOV autonomous organism. USAGOV true liability to things like veteran benefits is actually closer to 100 trillion. A great deal of the social contract is simply not going to be met. It would be nice if this inevitable downsizing was to occur with the needs of the people as the charter not the continuance of the USAGOV autonomous organism
The debt ceiling discussion is another kabuki charade. USAGOV is bankrupt. Stopping the debt increase does not change that USAGOV is bankrupt. The argument that stopping here with debt while sustaining the maxinum power operating principle of the USGOV autonomos organism will solve the problem of hyperinflation is simply nonsensical.
The 31 trillion in debt and much of the 100 trillion in unfunded liabilities will be defaulted upon. That needs to be acknowledged in any sane discussion of a path forward. There is only one sane path going forward IMO. We ask for membership in the BRICS alliance where sovereign nations are represented and a REAL rules based order not one where the USGOV autonomous organism makes the rules. Change is coming. We have the capability to avoid chaos but that capability is not compatible with the maximum power operating principle of the USGOV autonomous organism. Stopping the debt at 31.5 trillion while advocating continuance of the operating principle that created it is not a feasible path forward if we wish to avoid chaos. All balanced budget legislation has always been negated. The debt can not be payed off. This must be acknowledged and a realistic path forward adopted if we are to avoid chaos.
The USA has huge value as a sovereign nation. WE the people our lives our creativity, our ingenuity, our society, our businesses, our institutions have value. That our value is only manifested by the maximum power principle is a great deception. Regardless to cling to it as the realities of a finite world are observed and not to rise to the occasion of asserting our true value and productivity saddens me for I believe it is that clinging will cause hardship not our actual value. That we are unable to assert our self evident right to life on a principle of value and productivity saddens me. Whatever the consequences is it not better than continuing a dysfunction based on deception? Is it not best to take your best shot at operating in a sane ethical and moral manner? If one knows that ones operating principle is based on deception how does that effect the character and essence?
The US government is in a really bad place now. Its huge amount of debt is un-payable. Without the reserve currency status, the situation is even more obvious.
When countries get caught in a bad situation, the tendency is to try to make war. But the US can’t make war against China and Iran and Russia, all at once, or even separately. It would have a hard time on one of these fronts. Afterwards, it would not have the reserve currency.
On the verge of a nervous breakdown … severely mentally ill… drug addicted…
https://t.me/c/1588731774/16294
Norm seems yo be mising…..
actually he’s tweeting as much as fast eddy posts here
https://twitter.com/end_of_more
that’s his twitter
Could be a bot… but then … norm is a zombie bot…
I see multiple Huff Post articles…a little Alternet and Guardian…
Imagine reading Huff Post and believing it. It must be a shock to the system to read OFW after that drivel.
This leaves me thinking … we’ve overestimated norm… it’s far worse than anyone could have imagined. Huff Post … ouch.
Betcha he’s a big fan of Jerry Springer and Rachel Maddow (who is btw a post op tranny)
How does Super Snatch fit into all of this???
Seriously someone who has the time to post this so regularly on Twitter (with so much work and “research”)……. I have some doubts
Norman likes to air his views. But he doesn’t like to be heckled. I think EF’s heckling has helped to drive him away, but the overwhelmingly negative comments he has been getting from half a dozen other regulars have been pivotal.
OFW has not been a nurturing or a supportive environment for Norman. He isn’t comfortable with so much opposition to his opinions as well as with some of the deeply hurtful personal comments he has had to endure. He didn’t realize that OWF has turned into the online equivalent of Flight Club.
“The violence of the fight clubs serves not to promote or glorify combat, but for participants to experience feeling in a society where they are otherwise numb.”
“The fights represent a resistance to the impulse to be “cocooned” in society.”
Sound familiar?
Norman is bad but a nutcase like FE is ok? The mind boggles.
Was that your interpretation?
I don’t know why I bother lacing my comments with subtlety, sarcasm, euphemism, aphorism, and an occasional light dusting of litotes. It is obviously lost on the local riff-raff.
And I really must protest.
FE is NOT a nutcase……
…as long as he doesn’t forget to take his meds.
T’is a fine line so they say…
https://i.imgflip.com/14p3m8.jpg
norm won a small lotto prize.. he’s used the $$$ to book some special time with Super Snatch… she’s got him on holiday milking him for the lot.
once she burns through his wad … norm will be back on OFW … spouting the rubbish that he reads on Huff hahaha… Huff … Gawd…. who read that sh it?????
(Il Paragone)
Zelensky’s wife arrival at Davos (WEF) with elicopter dedicated to her. Video.
https://www.ilparagone.it/attualita/moglie-zelensky-davos-elicottero-inquinamento-video/
Very nice the point that at the Italian restaurant in Davos there is no trace of vegetarians 😀 among the WEF guests…
Not to mention any request of flour with insects…
LOL!
Campbell has a long interview here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vM6TSWzw66U
It is balanced, for most here more affirmative than informative. Campbell seems to suggest given current evidence he might pass on the first three jabs he had, he only has had had three per himself.
Dennis L.
Sorry John but you are already Rubiconed… the Rat Juice has set up shop in your DNA…. you are f789ed.
Hey — how about John having a big fat vax injury — keep in mind he did influence a lot of MORE-ONS to shoot the Rat Juice (cuz he is an Influencer right?)…
What a perfect ending … to John… could be a Holleewood movie
He has reported elevated bp, not sure if systolic or diastolic; he never used meds previously.
But, yes, I think he was sincerely wrong, but wrong all the same.
I note somewhere here my not taking the vax is probably more due to a religious belief in letting the body fight its own fights.
If I drop a chocolate kiss, unwrapped on the floor, three second rule, blow it off and chomp. Probably means I could not run a chicken farm.
I do disagree with your animus to some humans,
Dennis L.
I eat food dropped on the floor, too – quite perilous in this house! You have to eat some before you die…..
Someone talked about the Last of Us series.
If you have followed the story to the end, it ends with a violent return to the Status Quo, the Restoration.
The series will probably end like the game, since the person (Niel Druckman) who was influential for the not-too-well-received story of LoU 2 is the creator of the series
I had commented about it before a few years ago
https://www.reddit.com/r/JordanPeterson/comments/hbzluy/last_of_us_2_maintaining_civilization_is_cruel/
The Restoration of Civilization is a very cruel, thankless task whose originators often live the rest of their lives imprisoned in their own castle,afraid to go out since no one really likes them.
The Restoration of Civilization is a very cruel, thankless task whose originators often live the rest of their lives imprisoned in their own castle,afraid to go out since no one really likes them
Do you know anyone like that Kulm?
Quite common in Asian history. After causing mayhem, the chief strategist usually retires to a monastery or some isolated fortress, where he never gets out.
Nguyen Trai, who helped to set up the Le dynasty in Vietnam in early 15th century, was one of them, although later in his life he was foolish to invite the King to his house, which led to the extermination of his clan. Some shaved their heads and became monks and lived ascetically.
I deleted the download after watching the first few minutes
Care to share why?
I prefer the real thing.
Plus I could see where it was going … it was already trying to tell me what to think
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In the department meeting this morning, there were a couple of reports from key-customers. They seem to see a gradual flattening of the whole supply chain problems, a certain calming down on the price markets (e.g. for steel products etc.). And they will probably take a closer look at their suppliers again this year to see where there may have been exaggerated “windfall profits” in all the chaos of the last 2-3 years.
One large agricultural machinery manufacturer already has full order books for 2023.
Farmers seem to want (and be able!?) to spend money on new and more efficient machinery – more efficient use of fertilizer, less fuel consumption, etc.
That’s what I was talking about the other day.
Despite all the logic offered pointing to another turbulent year, the mood seems to be brightening somewhat.
Interesting…
Although I can tell you that now prices of final products (I deal with) are literally on another (higher) platform in respect to the beginning of 2021 (therefore before Ukraine war).
But the key issue is that the market (not food, I deal with) is very slow at the moment.
There is half of the volume in comparison to the beginning of 2021.
sorry please substitute 2021 with 2022.
It is the usual mistake at the beginning of the year for me
When there aren’t enough resources to go around, discretionary items tend to get squeezed out. I would guess that that is why you are seeing such a big reduction in volume.
Harry,
In farming land prices seem out of line, too high for cash flow.
Spoke with JD dealer yesterday, my salesman thinking about moving into precision planting sales. He also mentioned JD has some completely autonomous tractors in the field, tillage at this point, bugs being worked out on selected farms, basically a beta test.
My concern as a salesman would be a decline in units sold, autonomous equipment can run 24/7, less equipment needed.
JD now has sprayers which can spot a weed, zap same and not spray surrounding area.
I can get a piece of equipment in March/April if ordered now.
Dennis L
One concern is “How long will you be able to get replacement parts?” on any of this equipment?
I would bet that this new equipment uses a lot of high tech semiconductor chips. If exports from Taiwan get cut off due to conflict with China, it could mark the end of the manufacture of these high-tech devices.
Correct, and saw one video the manufacturers lock in the buyer in repairs and maintenance….no more inexpensive DIY type of equipment like the old days.
The Mister Douglas (Eddie Albert) of Green Acres TV show fame is long gone. Now software and hight tech rule the fields of gold!
The large landowners can name their price according to what they see fit, supply and demand be damned. Since the supply is limited, the demand can be manipulated and the landowners can just choose to not sell to a lower price
kul,,
One either needs automation or people. I don’t think you have run a group, I have. One is hostage to one’s capital and need people to run it. It works, but people are people.
Dennis L.
Why would you waste money on something like this? There won’t be any fuel for it in the near future.
I’d go for lap dances instead
Thanks for sharing your insights.
I was asking Dad about low tech solutions. He says there is a rope, pulley and grapple fork in my Uncle’s barn hanging up in the rafters. My Uncle told him that before WW2 he had to attend to business in town and sent my Aunt and my Grandfather to collect loose hay in what is now our 5 acre field. My Uncle used to break horses for local farmers at the time.. he told my Dad that neither one of them could work a team of horses to save their butts.
At some point my Uncle tore down the horse barn and built a tractor barn for his fleet of Farmalls with the salvaged materials.. the last transition. There is an “ancient” maple syrup evaporator enclosure built of mountain stone up behind our cabin.. probably held an old barrel by the looks of it. I found a copper kettle.
My favorite hunting spot is at the corner of 3 properties.. 150 year old stone wall marks the boundary.. favorite home for weasels and a heavily traveled whitetail path where I saw my first buck. Both tree stands are fixed to 2 different Ash trees which are half dead from Emerald Ash Borer. All these things will pass away but I am enjoying the memories and stories.
Good luck all with the next transition.
One of our customers is the company “Claas”.
New sales for this year currently look very good, the agricultural sector is probably investing properly.
So the mood is quite optimistic.
It is not yet possible to estimate how well the spare parts business will go.
A private colleague recently told me that a tractor that was about 7 years old cost €160,000 at the time and a new tractor today costs €260,000.
Crazy!
I just want to say that the real mood in the economy seems to be better than we thought until recently.
Of course, a problem in Taiwan would immediately lead to massive problems…but that is not yet the case.
So once again, the system seems to be a bit more robust than we OFW friends sometimes believe.
Let’s see how long.
We always have to look for the bright side. Things can’t continue this badly. We believe that technology will reduce resource use, and that that will save us. At most, the handful of owners of the technology will benefit, at least for a while. Then comes the problem with irreplaceable broken parts.
This is why there are always cycles, and cycles within cycles, even on the way down.
Ah optimism, I am getting someplace on this site.
Down with doom!
Laughing quietly.
Dennis L.
It was the year of our lord 2023.. and things were looking up .. people were travelling … farmers were investing in new efficient machinery…. the mob was certain that the worst of Covid was behind them….
Then The Bossche Mutation struck… and all hell broke loose…
Perhaps, but don’t count on it.
Peru update
https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/more-deaths-reported-in-latest-peru-protests/ar-AA16vo3U
https://youtu.be/rKrGlZjTm18
Peru had extremely high covid rates, back in 2020.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-projected-baseline?country=USA~PER
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-average-baseline-by-age?country=PER~BRA
I expect that poor people, particularly, were not in good health, before Covid came along. They were very vulnerable to any new illness coming around.
Higher prices for food recently would seem to make the situation worse.
(Eventi Avversi News)
Japan has started to refund relatives of people deceased for Covid experimental mRNA therapy.
https://www.eventiavversinews.it/il-ministero-della-salute-ha-approvato-il-pagamento-alle-famiglie-di-cinque-persone-decedute-in-seguito-al-v/
(sources inside the article)
1973 and 2008, the first ecological crises of “limits to growth”?
BY MATTHIEU AUZANNEAU
https://www.lemonde.fr/blog/petrole/2023/01/18/1973-et-2008-premieres-crises-ecologiques-des-limites-a-la-croissance/
This is a fairly long article, with lots of charts. I notice the article cites my work, among its list of citations.
A translation of the beginning of the article is this:
He later explains why the bubble burst, and cites an Oil Drum article of mine. I discuss the same issue in my Energy article, “Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis,” although probably not in the depth of the Oil Drum article. The citation is [2].
So, the point of the rate increase was to get oil and other energy prices down.
The article has a number of interesting charts, some of which are in English. One chart I found interesting was this one, showing the US goods exports as a % of GDP peaked long ago.
https://asset.lemde.fr/prd-blogs/2023/01/2-history-trade-balance-to-GDP-US-1970-2008.jpg
Why bother with the pesky task of sitting at a gas pump for 5 whole minutes and filling up your car with gas when you can “save the world” by driving an electric vehicle, only to find out it takes up to five days to fully charge?
That was the question one electric Hummer owner was asking himself this week, when he discovered his brand new vehicle would take five whole days to charge using a basic, at-home, charging setup.
In a video posted to Post Millennial, the owner proudly states; “This is a brand new hummer and it’s got the largest battery you can buy. 250-kilowatt hours of battery in this truck.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/man-discovers-brand-new-ev-hummer-will-take-five-days-fully-charge
How to spot a MOREON? Just find someone driving an EV
Imagine they put in “limits” to how much gas you can purchase or meat you can consume. Mastercard & Visa already control nearly all transactions.
Then things like Electric cars or fake meat will become huge. Because you basically will be able to drive or eat as much as you want.
There are smart meters now so they can turn off your ability to charge your car whenever they want.
It is such a relief to know that if I obey the rules I can eat as much fake meat as I want.
I assume it’ll be cap and trade system.
For example, a woman like Gail. Will likely have too many carbon credits and can trade them to others who want to use more carbon. Like a family of 4 who want to eat meat regularly and go on vacation in the summer.
So basically, this will incentivize people from having large families if they want to consume red meat and drive FF cars. Imagine a married couple age 30 with 1 child. Who come close to using up their monthly carbon allowance. If they have another child, they’ll likely go over so they will have to cut out FF car for electric or going on vacation, etc.
So basically, the higher standard of living the smaller the family. This will bring population numbers down and stabilize energy prices and secure resources. Without forcing people against their will.
At least this is the way I see it. I am purely speculating how BAU lite will operate.
No need for carbon allowances. The economy will tell people they can’t afford another child or a new car.
I am afraid you are right. If both parents have to work full time, and daycare costs a fortune, couples will not have a second child.
It sounds wonderful
The only problem .. is that it’s impossible. It’s like trying to make 7-4 = 12
1. It seems like it is self selecting for ending one’s personal gene pool.
2. Directly know of local grade school teacher, with nine children. They are very nice people and look quite healthy.
If a woman gets to the end of here life and gets a gold watch, for what? I am very grateful for my career, but to make it work was incredibly hard work and outside my family, I don’t think I changed the universe. Genes can go on forever.
Dennis L.
This has been ongoing since before the biden election https://www.zerohedge.com/political/hunter-biden-lived-classified-doc-house-while-raking-millions-through-chinese
Yet nothing happens…
This is not by chance… the psychologists have likely worked out that makes the mob feel powerless — if the FBI won’t touch this then what is the recourse?
They are like beaten dogs
Somehow, this doesn’t get investigated.
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada, January Update: Prices Plunged, Housing Bust Gets Real https://wolfstreet.com/2023/01/17/the-most-splendid-housing-bubbles-in-canada-january-update-prices-plunged-housing-bust-gets-real/
San Francisco Bay Area House Prices Plunge 30% from Crazy Peak: Housing Bust 2
https://wolfstreet.com/2023/01/19/san-francisco-bay-area-house-prices-plunge-30-from-crazy-peak-housing-bust-2/
Regarding Canada:
Regarding San Francisco:
Even after the plunge, the price still looks very high to me in San Francisco.
Deflation. Assets go up like a rocket, down like a bomb; not original by me.
I really don’t know. Put a post somewhere about SS and effect of debt limit, my guess was it could cause deflation.
Dennis L.
My past thinking has been sort of like yours. If it is necessary to cut Social Security payments, the buying power of Seniors would be less, and this would be deflationary. The same thing would happen if private pensions started defaulting, or if bank account balances somehow became unavailable.
The catch is that any reasonable government, if it is still in operation, will somehow figure out how to use fiat currency to continue to pay people and to try to prop up banks. There is a question regarding whether these payments will be accepted internationally. So the real result may be hyperinflation instead of deflation.
Hang on …. didn’t the Fizzer lady say it was never tested for prevention of transmission and that it does not stop transmission?
Wow – the MORE-ONS must be totally bewildered…
https://twitter.com/Andreas_Wailzer/status/1615637783275622401
Except, the vaccine keeps covid going around. It degrades the immune system of those taking the vaccine, making them more vulnerable to other diseases as well as covid. The overall death rate stays high.
Try explaining that to norm….
If Huff doesn’t publish it then it’s not true….
Thanks for letting us know you read Huff norm … that opens up an entire new line of mockery
F789 ya! https://www.huffpost.com/entry/jennifer-garner-workout-video-instagram_n_63c94936e4b0c8e3fc754a35
JJ HAWK
The inability to be wrong, is rooted in deep poor self-esteem. Mentally healthy people have NO problem admitting they were wrong. Mentally healthy people have no problem righting a wrong they’ve committed or had anything to do with. Mentally healthy people say I’m sorry easily.
Good comments here https://twitter.com/healthbyjames/status/1615148219922583554
“AND I WOULD DO IT ALL AGAIN”….
Bells Palsy is a known and acknowledged serious adverse event following mrna vaccines
Hearing that this poor lady would “do it all again” is stunning.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1615148219922583554
Cuz she saves money on Botox!!!!
Study links videogames, cardiac arrest in some children | CTV News
https://bc.ctvnews.ca/videogames-can-potentially-trigger-cardiac-arrest-in-susceptible-children-study-finds-1.6110462
The thing is…
The MOREONS will fall for this …. thus they deserve the Rat Juice
FE,
Kids are getting pretty heavy, unusual but not inconsistent.
Dennis L.
Dennis … that comment hints at mental illness. You need to gather yourself and rethink this
It was a guess, really don’t have a clue.
Dennis L.
I agree that heavy children would be likely to have more health problems. But the “died suddenly” people don’t seem to be particularly heavy.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-01-19/nt-sun-cable-voluntary-administration-explained/101860866 Uhmm. Ambitions, ambitions, ambitions….
Delusional greenie BS.
Cannon-Brookes is a Greta wannabe. ‘Effin moron is trying to shut down Australia’s remaining coal fired power stations because of the “climate emergency”.
This is an interesting article called Sun Cable’s solar project is in voluntary administration. Why has it happened, and what does it mean?
The plan seems to have been to generate solar electricity in Northern Australia, supported by a huge amount of battery storage, and ship that electricity to Singapore via a cable.
After working on the project for a while, it became clear that “milestones were not being reached.” It would cost a whole lot more than expected. It could never be economically viable. So the company is voluntarily quitting, early on.
Who knows, something crazy could still upend energy systems. Like beaming lightning bolts to earth with lasers:
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/game-changer-high-powered-laser-steers-lightning-bolts-first-time
Its always the storage which is the problem. Every single time.
epsilon0 still small (9X10^{-11}).
Ivan,
As you know, my guess is do the heavy stuff in space, plenty of energy, all that laser light seems like a good way to cook the earth.
Starship will be a milestone, does it go up or boom?
Dennis L.
Space manufacturing might make sense some day, but not on any time frame that we should be planning for now. Our own era has sufficiently major predicaments to fully occupy us.
>> Starship will be a milestone
What does it enable that actually matters for any of us in the next 20 years?
Milestones for what? How many people remembered the moon landing on 1979? I don’t think too many
Without a lasting presence in the space, which looks unlikely given the way things are going and your God Elon spending more time on doing bullshit on Twitter, it is not a milestone, just a piss in the wind.
People are beginning to standup to these Big Pharma criminals and they are starting to ask the hard questions! It’s a start and thanks to Musk, this can now be allowed on Twitter.
https://twitter.com/RebelNews_USA/status/1615770518581288960?s=20&t=b6j906rVINHMrvFZJDBTzA
Mamma mia! what courage, what dignity! In their honor, the true song of covid rebels
People as hard questions of Pfizer CEO. He doesn’t answer.
Then people start complimenting each other for being so courageous and forward thinking. CEO slips unnoticed out side exit, continues to sell vaccines. whol incident is soon forgotten.
I am wondering how Avi and his boss… were able to follow around the CEO of a very substantial company … that is engaged in what many people classify as mass murder … and who might want to do him harm.
They had access to him … and were able to hurl a slew of questions/accusations at him … for an extended period of time.
Do you think it would be possible to ambush Bezos… Soros… Dimon… or any other high profile business honcho like this? I guarantee you not.
Smells off to me….
https://youtu.be/UDr0KT17qvI
Is this what happened to norm?
He is heading to NZ on a black ops to hunt down FE.
He should be identifiable by his T-Shirt; Keep Calm and Carrion Boosting.
I thought I saw some old coot in diapers hanging around the front gate this morning…. I fired off a few rounds from the high powered rifle and he disappeared.
He plans to turn you into a human pup and walk you on a leash in public. Hoolio is conspiring to help him.
The long term ramifications of failing to establish alpha dominance in the allotted period of time. I’d rather get covid than such a traitor in the house.
Seeing FE letting Hoolio on the sofa, I knew what it would lead to..
The SSer anti-vaxxers are turning on themselves… e.g. https://doyourownresearch.substack.com/p/ive-been-suspended-from-twitter-for
The thing is … some of them are definitely false actors… this is how the PR Team plays the games…
As are many of those commenting on the articles…
But nobody knows who’s who at the zoo…
It becomes totally confusing … to both the authors and the readers…
Then you have a guy like FE all over their shit firing truth bombs… that blows their minds cuz they cannot handle truths — they just wanna talk about Great Resets and $$$$…. energy is off limits… extermination does not … resonate…
They are all going slowly insane…
It sure is fun to watch the PR Team in action!
she took her page down haha… i wonder why https://www.facebook.com/jacindaardern/
Frm Telegram
A friend of Cam’s was having lunch at Aucklands Viaduct area when the news broke. Apparently the entire Viaduct exploded with cheers, and all the restaurants and bars sold out of champagne