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- Losing the Iran War May Be the Best Outcome for the World
- A New Explanation for Tariffs and Bombings
- Understanding Deglobalization: The Role of Diesel and Jet Fuel
- 2026: Expect a very uneven world economic downturn
- Too many promises; too few future physical goods
- A lack of very cheap oil is leading to debt problems
- What has gone wrong with the economy? Can it be fixed?
- Sierra Club talk that may be of interest
- Why oil prices don’t rise to consistently high levels
- Worrying indications in recently updated world energy data
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Category Archives: Financial Implications
Why EIA, IEA, and Randers’ 2052 Energy Forecasts are Wrong
What is the correct way to model the future course of energy and the economy? There are clearly huge amounts of oil, coal, and natural gas in the ground. With different approaches, researchers can obtain vastly different indications. I will … Continue reading
Why a Finite World is a Problem
Why is a finite world a problem? I can think of many answers: 1. A finite world is a problem because we and all of the other creatures living in this world share the same piece of “real estate.” If humans … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged climate models, debt limits, economic growth, economic models, finite world
437 Comments
The Real Oil Extraction Limit, and How It Affects the Downslope
There is a lot of confusion about which limit we are reaching with respect to oil supply. There seems to be a huge amount of “reserves,” and oil production seems to be increasing right now, so people can’t imagine that … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged collapse, economic models, Former Soviet Union, North Korea, oil investment, oil prices, Ukraine
347 Comments
Diminishing Returns, Energy Return on Energy Invested, and Collapse
What do diminishing returns, energy return on energy invested (EROI or EROEI), and collapse have to do with each other? Let me start by explaining the connection between Diminishing Returns and Collapse. Diminishing Returns and Collapse We know that historically, … Continue reading
What’s Ahead? Lower Oil Prices, Despite Higher Extraction Costs
Nearly everyone believes that oil prices will trend higher and higher, allowing increasing amounts of oil to be extracted. This belief is based on the observation that the cost of extraction is trending higher and higher. If we are to … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged deflation, diminishing returns, inflation, oil company profit, oil price
429 Comments
