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Recent Posts
- Fossil Fuel Imports Are Already Constrained
- Our Oil Predicament Explained: Heavy Oil and the Diesel Fuel it Provides Are Key
- The World Economy Is Becoming Unglued; Models Miss Real-World Behavior
- Models Hide the Shortcomings of Wind and Solar
- The bumpy road ahead for the world economy
- The Fed Cannot Fix Today’s Energy Inflation Problem
- When the Economy Gets Squeezed by Too Little Energy
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: GDP
What Would it Take to Get to a Steady State Economy?
Humans live in equilibrium with other species in a finite world. In such a world, there is never really a Steady State. Instead, there is a constant ebb and flow. For a while, one species may be dominant in an … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged collapse, GDP, population, steady state, steady state economy
441 Comments
The Long-Term Tie Between Energy Supply, Population, and the Economy
The tie between energy supply, population, and the economy goes back to the hunter-gatherer period. Hunter-gatherers managed to multiply their population at least 4-fold, and perhaps by as much as 25-fold, by using energy techniques which allowed them to expand … Continue reading
Posted in Alternatives to Oil, Book draft, Food issues, Introductory Post
Tagged coal, deforestation, economy, electricity, energy supply, erosion, GDP, hunter-gatherer, Hydroelectric, oil, peat, petroleum, population, soil fertility, top soil
158 Comments
Humans Seem to Need External Energy
Strange as it may seem, humans seem to have evolved in a way that we have a need for external energy, such as energy from burning wood or fossil fuels. While the evidence is not 100% certain, it appears that … Continue reading
Posted in Book draft, Financial Implications, Introductory Post
Tagged anthropology, energy, energy demand, GDP, GDP growth, instinct, survival of the fittest
138 Comments
An Energy/GDP Forecast to 2050
We talk about the possibility of reducing fossil fuel use by 80% by 2050 and ramping up renewables at the same time, to help prevent climate change. If we did this, what would such a change mean for GDP, based … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged climate change, forecast, fossil fuels, GDP, population
111 Comments
How much oil growth do we need to support world GDP growth?
A few days ago, I showed the close relationship between growth in world oil consumption and growth in world GDP. In this post, I will extend that analysis by building a model that shows how much of an increase in … Continue reading