Item of General Interest
July 25. I received notice today that an article I helped write is available for free download for the next fifty days. The corrected free link for the article is "An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits." The article discusses the possibility that oil prices may not rise endlessly, and evaluates three future price scenarios. Under the "low" scenario (prices remain under $50 per barrel), oil production in China has already peaked.
Tag Archives: M. King Hubbert
For a long time, a common assumption has been that the world will eventually “run out” of oil and other non-renewable resources. Instead, we seem to be running into surpluses and low prices. What is going on that was missed … Continue reading
Quiz: What will cause world oil supply to fall? Too little oil in the ground Oil prices are too low for oil producers Oil prices are too high for oil consumers leading to recession, debt defaults, and ultimately a cut … Continue reading
We seem to hear two versions of the story of limited oil supply: 1. The economists’ view, saying that the issue is a simple problem of supply and demand. Substitution, higher prices, demand destruction, greater efficiency, and increased production of … Continue reading
(Note: This is a post I wrote which is published in today’s ASPO-USA newsletter.) Recently when I was reading some of the papers M. King Hubbert wrote, one thing struck me was the context in which he made his forecast … Continue reading
I wrote a post last week called Steep oil decline or slow oil decline? Since writing it, I had some additional thoughts on the subject, on reasons to expect a steep decline rather than a slow decline. Furthermore, my article What’s behind … Continue reading