Tag Archives: GDP growth

Oil Limits Reduce GDP Growth; Unwinding QE a Problem

We know the world economic pattern we have been used to in years past–world population grows, resource usage grows (including energy resources), and debt increases. The economy grows fast enough that paying an interest rate a little higher than the … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , | 267 Comments

Our Investment Sinkhole Problem

We are used to expecting that more investment will yield more output, but in the real world, things don’t always work out that way. In Figure 1, we see that for several groupings, the increase (or decrease) in oil consumption … Continue reading

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Humans Seem to Need External Energy

Strange as it may seem, humans seem to have evolved in a way that we have a need for external energy, such as energy from burning wood or fossil fuels. While the evidence is not 100% certain, it appears that … Continue reading

Posted in Book draft, Financial Implications, Introductory Post | Tagged , , , , , , | 138 Comments

Evidence that Oil Limits are Leading to Declining Economic Growth

The usual assumption that economists, financial planners, and actuaries make is that future real GDP growth can be expected to be fairly similar to the average past growth rate for some historical time period. This assumption can take a number … Continue reading

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The Growing Part of the World in Charts

Some parts of the world pretty much sailed through the 2008-2009 recession, while other parts of the world had huge problems. The part that sailed through the recession is what I call the “Growing Part of the World.” I thought … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications, Oil and Its Future | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 71 Comments