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Recent Posts
- Models Hide the Shortcomings of Wind and Solar
- The bumpy road ahead for the world economy
- The Fed Cannot Fix Today’s Energy Inflation Problem
- When the Economy Gets Squeezed by Too Little Energy
- Ramping up wind turbines, solar panels and electric vehicles can’t solve our energy problem
- 2023: Expect a financial crash followed by major energy-related changes
- The economy is moving from a tailwind pushing it along to a headwind holding it back
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: GDP growth
Charts showing the long-term GDP-energy tie (Part 2 – A New Theory of Energy and the Economy)
In Part 1 of this series, I talked about why cheap fuels act to create economic growth. In this post, we will look at some supporting data showing how this connection works. The data is over a very long time … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Chinese economy, economic growth, GDP growth, oil prices, population growth
380 Comments
Oil Limits Reduce GDP Growth; Unwinding QE a Problem
We know the world economic pattern we have been used to in years past–world population grows, resource usage grows (including energy resources), and debt increases. The economy grows fast enough that paying an interest rate a little higher than the … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged GDP growth, oil consumption, oil prices, quantitative easing, recession
267 Comments
Our Investment Sinkhole Problem
We are used to expecting that more investment will yield more output, but in the real world, things don’t always work out that way. In Figure 1, we see that for several groupings, the increase (or decrease) in oil consumption … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged debt defaults, GDP growth, investment, investments, limits to growth, oil price, recession, Saudi Arabia
67 Comments
Humans Seem to Need External Energy
Strange as it may seem, humans seem to have evolved in a way that we have a need for external energy, such as energy from burning wood or fossil fuels. While the evidence is not 100% certain, it appears that … Continue reading
Posted in Book draft, Financial Implications, Introductory Post
Tagged anthropology, energy, energy demand, GDP, GDP growth, instinct, survival of the fittest
138 Comments
Evidence that Oil Limits are Leading to Declining Economic Growth
The usual assumption that economists, financial planners, and actuaries make is that future real GDP growth can be expected to be fairly similar to the average past growth rate for some historical time period. This assumption can take a number … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged employment, GDP, GDP growth, oil consumption, oil supply, peak oil, real GDP
56 Comments