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Recent Posts
- Losing the Iran War May Be the Best Outcome for the World
- A New Explanation for Tariffs and Bombings
- Understanding Deglobalization: The Role of Diesel and Jet Fuel
- 2026: Expect a very uneven world economic downturn
- Too many promises; too few future physical goods
- A lack of very cheap oil is leading to debt problems
- What has gone wrong with the economy? Can it be fixed?
- Sierra Club talk that may be of interest
- Why oil prices don’t rise to consistently high levels
- Worrying indications in recently updated world energy data
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Tag Archives: recession
BP Data Suggests We Are Reaching Peak Energy Demand
Some people talk about peak energy (or oil) supply. They expect high prices and more demand than supply. Other people talk about energy demand hitting a peak many years from now, perhaps when most of us have electric cars. Neither of … Continue reading
Why EIA, IEA, and BP Oil Forecasts are Too High
When forecasting how much oil will be available in future years, a standard approach seems to be the following: Figure out how much GDP growth the researcher hopes to have in the future. “Work backward” to see how much oil … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications, Oil and Its Future
Tagged debt defaults, low oil prices, low wages, oil forecasts, oil price, recession
904 Comments
Why We Have an Oversupply of Almost Everything (Oil, labor, capital, etc.)
The Wall Street Journal recently ran an article called, Glut of Capital and Labor Challenge Policy Makers: Global oversupply extends beyond commodities, elevating deflation risk. To me, this is a very serious issue, quite likely signaling that we are reaching … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged energy consumption, GDP growth, limits to growth, peak oil, recession, wage growth
1,002 Comments
The Problem of Debt as We Reach Oil Limits
(This is Part 3 of my series – A New Theory of Energy and the Economy. These are links to Part 1 and Part 2.) Many readers have asked me to explain debt. They also wonder, “Why can’t we just … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Debt, debt bubble, debt defaults, economic contraction, low oil prices, recession
506 Comments
Eight Pieces of Our Oil Price Predicament
A person might think that oil prices would be fairly stable. Prices would set themselves at a level that would be high enough for the majority of producers, so that in total producers would provide enough–but not too much–oil for … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Libya, low oil price, OPEC, recession, Saudi Arabia
791 Comments
