|
Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...
|
The problem is hitting limits in the extraction of fossil fuels
We know that historically, many economies around the world have collapsed. We also know that there is a physics reason why this happens. Growing economies require a growing supply of energy to keep up with a growing population. At some point, the energy supply and other resource needs cannot grow rapidly enough to keep up with population growth. When this happens, economies tend to collapse.
In their book Secular Cycles, researchers Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov found that economies tend go through four distinct phases in each cycle, with each stage lasting for quite a few years:
- Growth
- Stagflation
- Crisis
- Inter-cycle
Based on my own analysis, the world economy was in the Growth Stage for much of the time between the Industrial Revolution and 1973. In late 1973, oil prices spiked, and the world was put on notice that the energy supply could not continue rising as rapidly as in the past. Between 1973 and 2018, the world economy was in the Stagflation Stage. Based on current data, the world economy seems to have entered the Crisis Stage about 2018. This is the reason for saying that headwinds are beginning to hold the economy back in the title of this article .
When the Crisis Stage occurs, there are fewer goods and services per capita to go around, so some participants in the world economy must come out behind. Conflict of all kinds becomes more likely. Political leaders, if they happen to discover the predicament the world economy is in, have little interest in making the predicament known to voters, since doing so would likely lead them to lose the next election.
Instead, the way the physics-based self-organizing economic system works is that alternative narratives that frame the situation in a less frightening way gain popularity. Political leaders may not even be aware of how dependent today’s economy is on fossil fuels. Researchers may not be aware that their “scientific” models are misleading because they look at too small a portion of the overall system and make unwarranted assumptions.
In this post, I show evidence that the economy is reaching energy limits. In the last section, I explain how my view differs from the standard narrative, which says that there is almost an unlimited amount of fossil fuels available to burn, if we choose to utilize these fossil fuels. According to this view, humans can prevent climate change by voluntarily moving away from fossil fuels.
The standard narrative proposes a reasonable plan for citizens of parts of the world without adequate fossil fuels (cut back on buying fossil fuels), but without telling citizens what the real problem is. The standard narrative also gives the impression that there is a near-term clean energy alternative. In my opinion, this is wishful thinking for the reasons I describe in Sections [6] and [7]. Section [2] also sheds light on the reasonableness of moving to renewable energy.
[1] The world has been warned, at least twice, that collapse might occur about now.
Back in the 1950s, several physicists, including M. King Hubbert, became interested in the limits that the world was up against. The military became interested in the problem, as well. In 1957, Admiral Hyman Rickover of the US Navy gave a very insightful speech. One thing Admiral Rickover said was, “With high energy consumption goes a high standard of living.” Another thing he said was, “A reduction of per capita energy consumption has always in the past led to a decline in civilization and a reversion to a more primitive way of life.”
Regarding the future, he said,
For it is an unpleasant fact that according to our best estimates, total fossil fuel reserves recoverable at not over twice today’s unit cost are likely to run out at some time between the years 2000 and 2050, if present standards of living and population growth rates are taken into account.
The issue Admiral Rickover is pointing out is that as extraction costs rise, fossil fuels become increasingly unaffordable. If citizens cannot afford food, housing, and other basic goods made with high-cost fossil fuels, those fossil fuels will be left in the ground. If politicians try to pass the high cost of extraction on to consumers, it will cause inflation. Citizens will become unhappy with politicians and will vote them out of office. This is basically our problem today.
A second analysis that pointed to the current time frame for the world hitting fossil fuel limits is given in the 1972 book, The Limits To Growth by Donella Meadows and others. This analysis used computer modeling to look at several alternative future scenarios, considering resources available and population trends. The base scenario showed resource limits in general hitting sometime around 2020. The economy would collapse over a period of years after resource limits were hit.
[2] The Industrial Revolution in England is an example of how an economy changes for the better when fossil fuel energy is added.
Figure 1 shows a chart E. A. Wrigley shows in his book, Energy and the English Industrial Revolution:
Wrigley observes that when coal was added to the economy, it was possible to make far more metal tools than had been made in the past. With the use of metal tools instead of wood tools, farmers could be three times as productive. Thus, there didn’t need to be as many farmers, freeing some farmers for other occupations. Also, roads to coal mines were paved, in an era when few roads were paved. These paved roads were beneficial to other businesses and to the economy as a whole.
Another reason for coal to be of interest was because of increased deforestation near cities, as the population grew. This deforestation led to a need to transport firewood over long distances. Coal was more compact, and so easier to transport. Furthermore, the use of coal prevented having to cut down as many trees, helping the environment.
Figure 1 shows that energy from wind and water were only a tiny part of the economy, both before and after coal was added. They did not directly provide heat energy, which was a significant share of what the economy needed at that time.
[3] The period between the end of World War II and 1973 was another period when energy consumption per capita was rising rapidly. We might say the economy then had an “energy tailwind.”
Figure 2 shows that US energy consumption per capita was rising rapidly in the 1949 to 1973 period. Growing oil, coal and natural gas consumption all contributed to the overall rise in fossil fuel use.
In fact, BP data (only available from 1965 onward) shows energy consumption per capita rising for most parts of the world between 1965 and 1973. During this period, oil, coal and natural gas consumption per capita were all rising.
A major thing that pushed oil consumption along was its low price (Figure 4). According to BP data, the inflation-adjusted price was only $11.99 per barrel in 1970. In 1971, it averaged $14.30 per barrel. The comparable price today is about $79 per barrel.
The average price for 1973 rose to the equivalent of $19.73 per barrel, which is still incredibly low relative to today’s prices. It is an annual average price, reflecting a low price at the beginning of the year and a much higher price toward the end of the year.
There were multiple issues behind the rise in oil prices, starting at the end of 1973. Part of the problem was the fact that US oil production began to fall in 1971, necessitating the use of more imported oil, year after year. Another issue was that world oil production could not keep up with the high demand, given the low price that oil was selling for. The Office of the Historian of the US writes the following:
By 1973, OPEC had demanded that foreign oil corporations increase prices and cede greater shares of revenue to their local subsidiaries. In April, the Nixon administration announced a new energy strategy to boost domestic production to reduce U.S. vulnerability to oil imports and ease the strain of nationwide fuel shortages. That vulnerability would become overtly clear in the fall of that year.
Without higher oil prices, it would be hard for local producers to make the investments needed to ramp up production. Also, taxes for governments in the areas where the oil was produced were falling too low, given the low prices that oil was selling for on the international market. Indirectly because of these problems, but supposedly also because of support for Israel by certain countries in the 1973 Arab-Israeli war, the Arab members of OPEC initiated an oil embargo. This embargo cut off exports to the US, Netherlands, Portugal, and South Africa from November 1973 until March 1974. It was at that time that world oil prices rose to a much higher level, and oil consumption per capita began to fall.
One thing that is striking about the period between World War II and 1973 is the huge advances in wages made by both the bottom 90% and the top 10% (Figure 5).
Between 1948 and 1968, inflation-adjusted income of both the bottom 90% and the top 10% increased by roughly 80%. This meant that many people in the bottom 90% could afford to buy cars and their own homes for the first time. Even in the period between 1968 and 1982, inflation-adjusted incomes kept up with inflation, something that low-income earners today have difficulty with. It was not until after about 1982 that wage disparity started to increase.
Most people remember the 1950s and 1960s as a favorable period for ordinary workers. Because of the higher wages of ordinary citizens and growing US manufacturing capabilities, the number of cars registered in the US rose from 25.8 million in 1945 to 75.3 million in 1965. The US initiated the 41,000 mile Interstate Highway System in 1956, so that auto owners would have multilane, limited access roads to travel on.
Electricity was sold in a conservative way, called the Utility Pricing System, which would hopefully assure that the whole system would be properly maintained. Utilities were typically owners of electricity generation units, plus all other local infrastructure, including transmission lines. Each utility would compute a total required rate for all its needs, including enough funds to install new generating capacity, provide fuel, and install and maintain transmission lines. A government regulator would approve the rates, but there was no real competition.
[4] In the period between 1973 and 2018, many changes were to increase energy efficiency and to lower the perceived cost to users. Unfortunately, some of these changes, when taken to the extremes they were taken to later in the period, tended to make the economy brittle and thus more subject to collapse.
Up until 1973, oil was being put to uses for which substitution could easily be made. One of these was electricity generation; another was home heating. An easy change in electricity generation was to build new generating facilities using an alternate fuel (coal, natural gas, or nuclear). Home heating could often be changed to natural gas or electricity.
Also, Japan already had automobiles that were smaller and more fuel efficient than American automobiles. These could be substituted for some of the large cars produced in the US.
Especially with the Reagan and Thatcher administrations starting shortly after 1980, there was more interest in cutting costs in electricity generation. “Competitive rating” instead of utility rating became popular in places where electricity prices were high. Utilities were broken up, and the various parts were encouraged to compete.
Of course, competitive rating, when taken to its extreme, can lead to the neglect of infrastructure. It was recently reported that California’s utility company, Pacific Gas and Electric, now finds that it must raise $50 billion for wildfire prevention, after years of neglecting maintenance on the long distance transmission lines used for hydroelectric generation and other long distance transmission. Now it needs to raise money to bury many of these lines underground.
It has long been known that added complexity can be helpful in working around problems of inadequate energy supply. Complexity involves many things including using more advanced technology and international trade. It involves bigger organizations to take advantage of economies of scale. It tends to require higher education for at least some of its workers.
One major disadvantage of growing complexity is the increasing wage disparity it tends to produce. Wages for less educated workers often fall quite low. Work in whole industries may disappear overseas, leaving workers to start over, in new lines of work, at lower pay scales.
Unfortunately, having many workers at low wages tends to push an economy toward collapse. The big issue is that these workers cannot afford goods like cars and new homes. Their lack of purchasing power tends to hold down commodity prices, such as the price of fossil fuels. Prices don’t rise high enough to justify new investment to raise production, so production slows down and eventually stops.
Another approach that gained popularity starting about 1981 was the increased use of debt and more exotic financial approaches. Interest rates were very high in 1981. Central banks could make monthly payments for goods such as homes and cars more affordable by lowering interest rates. This approach works for a while, but it reaches limits when interest rates fall too low relative to inflation rates. Furthermore, if an economy slows down, a major increase in debt defaults becomes likely, as became clear in 2008. With the high level of debt in the world economy today, the default problem could become even worse in 2023 or 2024 than it was in 2008, if the economy slows again.
[5] Since 2015, oil and natural gas investments have remained at low levels because oil prices have not been high enough to justify drilling in the remaining places.
In my opinion, oil companies really need quite high oil prices, probably $120 per barrel or higher, on a consistent basis, to justify drilling in sufficient new locations to ramp up oil production. Since 2014, prices have generally remained far below that level. There was a major drop in oil prices in 2014 and 2015. In response to the lower oil prices, oil and gas companies cut back on investment in “Exploration and Production” (E&P). (Figure 7)
After a drop in E&P investments, oil production does not drop immediately. Instead, 2018 was the single highest year of oil production. Production looks likely to drop further because of the continued lack of investment (Figure 8).
[6] If we look across the major types of energy supply, we discover that “Wind and Solar” is the only category rising significantly faster than world population. Others tend to be flat or falling, on a per capita basis.
In Figure 9, the star performer is the category “Wind + Solar.” The main attraction of wind and solar today is the subsidies they get, and the mandates that require utilities to move away from fossil fuels. Unfortunately, wind and solar really aren’t terribly helpful as far as I can see, except from the point of view of the benefit of the subsidies they provide.
One of the problems with intermittent wind and solar is that they tend to drive nuclear electricity providers out of business because of the favorable rates they receive when wind and solar are allowed to go first, in competitive rating schemes. With this arrangement, the wholesale rates that nuclear providers receive often fall to negative amounts. Nuclear providers cannot close down for short periods with negative rates, so they tend to need subsidies to remain open. Figure 9 shows that the supply of nuclear electricity has been dropping since at least 2001. In fact, of all the energy types shown on Figure 9, nuclear’s production (relative to population) is dropping fastest.
In my opinion, our primary energy concern should be food production and transport. Diesel, made from oil, is the major fuel for agriculture. It will be decades before farming machinery and transport of food can be changed over to electricity, assuming this can be done at all. Until this happens, electricity’s role in getting food to the shelves of grocery stores will be limited.
Solar energy comes primarily in the summer but, unfortunately, in many places, the big need for heat energy is in the winter. People in Europe, with their many wind turbines and solar panels, are worried about possibly freezing in the dark this winter if natural gas supplies prove inadequate. We don’t have batteries for storing solar or wind energy for months on end, so they cannot be counted on for winter heat.
When homeowners put solar panels on their roofs, the electricity they sell to the utility is often “net metered” (credited with the full retail value of electricity that this home would pay). This is a huge subsidy to the owners of the solar panels because the value of the intermittent electricity to the utility is far less than this, probably closer to the cost of the natural gas or other fuel saved.
To make up for the loss of revenue caused by the overly generous compensation to solar panel owners, the utility is forced to raise rates for those without solar panels. Studies show that homeowners with solar panels tend to be wealthier than the renters and others who do not have the opportunity to add these subsidized solar panels. Thus, this is an example of a benefit for rich homeowners being paid for by less wealthy buyers of electricity.
I would also argue that the BP data I used to produce Figure 9 tends to give an overly optimistic view of the value of wind and solar. The approach used indirectly assumes that they fully replace the entire system of dispatchable electricity used today, rather than providing only intermittent electricity. The less generous approach (giving a little less than half as much credit) is used by the International Energy Association and by many researchers.
Furthermore, solar panels tend to pollute ground water when they are disposed of, so they are not very clean. Wind turbines are noisy, take up farmland, and kill bats and birds, so they have serious drawbacks as well.
Wind and solar are made and transported using fossil fuels. They cannot last any longer than today’s fossil fuel industry. In fact, roads and transmission lines require fossil fuels to continue. The whole system is likely to go down at approximately the same time.
It seems to me that the main reason why we hear so much about intermittent wind and solar is because there needs to be a hopeful narrative for politicians to provide to voters, and for educators to provide to students. Otherwise, the situation shown on Figure 9 looks grim. The fact that fossil fuel prices have been spiking in 2022 and regulators are trying to get these prices back down again is testimony to the fact that we are running short of cheap-to-produce fossil fuel energy.
[7] The incorrect narrative provided by mainstream media (MSM) is that climate change is our worst problem. To lessen this problem, citizens need to move quickly away from fossil fuels and transition to renewables. The real narrative is that we are running short of fossil fuels that can be profitably extracted, and renewables are not adequate substitutes. However, this narrative is too worrisome for most people to handle.
I expect most readers will say, your view can’t be right. We don’t read this story in the news. All we hear about is climate change and the need to reduce fossil fuel usage to prevent climate change.
In many ways, the narrative presented by MSM is less frightening to the public than a narrative in which fuels are already being stretched too thin. The MSM narrative sounds like a situation that we can perhaps live with and work around. It sounds like careers that people study for today will be useful in the future. It also sounds like homes, cars and factories built today will be useful in the future.
One major difference in the MSM view, relative to my view, is with respect to the amounts of fossil fuels that can be extracted. The standard narrative says we will extract all the fossil fuels that we have the technology to extract unless we make a concerted effort not to extract these fuels. For this to happen, demand (a favorite word of economists) must keep rising to keep prices high enough for businesses to want to continue extraction from fields plagued by depletion.
History shows that when an economy approaches limits, what tends to happen is that demand tends to fall too low. This happens because the physics of the way the economy works: Wage and wealth disparities tend to spike as energy resources are increasingly stretched thin. In fact, the great wealth of the top 1%, relative to that of the remaining 99%, is a major problem in the world today. When increasing wage and wealth disparity occurs, a growing number of poor workers find themselves with inadequate wages to buy food, homes, cars and other goods made with commodities, including oil.
There are so many of these poor workers that their lack of demand tends to bring down commodity prices without government intervention. If these low wages are not sufficient to hold down commodity prices, politicians will raise interest rates to try to get commodity prices down, so they can be re-elected. It is low fossil fuel prices that will drive fossil fuel providers out of business.
Of course, another part of the MSM narrative is the view that renewables can save the system. I explained in Section [6] why this cannot be the case for wind and solar. I didn’t say much about hydroelectricity, but it is already built out in most of the developed world. Electricity from hydroelectric plants tends to be intermittent, with the greatest supply coming in the spring, when snow melts. Like wind and solar, hydroelectric generation plants are built and repaired using fossil fuels. These facilities, and their transmission lines, will last only until parts break that cannot be repaired.
ooooh lala
Mortality in Japan 2010 to 2022 – the result of mass compliance
Logical analysis and Occam’s razor indicates that the mRNA experiment is associated with significant loss of life.
https://metatron.substack.com/p/mortality-in-japan-2010-to-2022-the
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04e60ab6-704c-498e-8de1-a932cea61de8_2601x1952.png
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdce326ad-0409-41e4-a9bb-268f4197cb9a_2602x1951.png
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c8088dc-971c-47d1-83a3-ac77c6bef5af_2602x1952.png
One of the problems of Japan is that people are very obedient.
Which, in normal condition, it is a positive point to make a Society works well.
Therefore I think that expecially in Japan, where in recent years governments have been fair with the population, people were not ready to be fooled.
In my view, societies with great cohesion like Japan should open a fair analysis on this terrible mRNA mass experiment in order to recover their cohesion.
Russia housing hundreds of new conscripts busy using their cellphones next to an ammunition or oil depot, and on enemy ground that’s within range of himars is not a genuine war scenario IMO.
Inappropriately located ammunition ‘dumps’ next to strategic inventory is a classic conceit of false flags. (I’m not saying this is a Russian false flag I’m saying it’s a joint false flag of the Degrowth Agenda in service the HTOE, the resource allocation restructuring.) Beirut and Cyprus come to mind first.
Another feathering mechanism. And a BIG one. Must be getting close now…
I think it more likely that many people in the chain of command were being idiots. They shouldn’t have been in a big group and if there were air defense systems that covered that area perhaps the people manning them were celebrating rather than doing their job. The missiles hit at 12:01 on New Year’s day.
Well it’ll be interesting to see what fallout there is from it but at this point I have an awfully hard time believing your scenario. If it’s true that the explosions were amplified by stored ordnance then that would obviously break the cardinal rule of explosives safety. Surely cardinal rules are only broken by top brass. And the sitting ducks, they were all noobs; greenhorns; quintessential cannon fodder. I cannot see any possibility of on-duty air defence personnel getting caught up in new year’s eve fun. But it was also a major failure of intelligence. Stinks to high heaven imo. Like the shelling episodes at the nuclear power plant.
80% of the populace use whatsapp. just saying.
It doesn’t matter what application is being used; geolocation works fine even if the data being transmitted is encrypted.
GVB: “To fully escape selective immune pressure exerted by vaccinal antibodies, Covid-19, a highly mutable virus, only needs to add another few mutations in its receptor-binding domain”. EN: “The antibody titers induced by the vaccines are MUCH higher than those seen with infection, and we see hallmarks of memory responses induced by these vaccines from even a single dose, meaning that even though there is a drop in neutralization, it may not mean a loss in protection.”
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/actually-how-wrong-was-geert-vanden
GVB: “It’s not exactly rocket science, it’s a basic principle taught in a student’s first vaccinology class: One shouldn’t use a prophylactic vaccine in populations exposed to high infectious pressure (which is now certainly the case as multiple highly infectious variants are currently circulating in many parts of the world).” EN: “There is no such principle. It in fact directly goes against current policies for responding to outbreaks of e.g. measles, mumps, meningococcal disease, etc. and more generally is directly at odds with the incredibly effective ring vaccination strategy. “
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/actually-how-wrong-was-geert-vanden
And people think this is not a sinister plan to exterminate humans.
Cuz they don’t want the truth – can’t handle it.
Wrong https://off-guardian.org/2023/01/02/covid-19-a-global-financial-operation/
They’d never connect this to the depletion of cheap energy. Never.
This author, Michael Bryant, seems to have story pretty much correct. The plan was one that had been laid out well in advance. Even the Simpsons seemed to have been in on it back in 2010.
According to the article:
Later, he says:
Oh yes he has much of it correct but his conclusions are wrong
Fast Eddy has it correct https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=220
please notice the comments at the end of the thread:
https://viroliegy.com/2022/06/08/breaking-down-viroliegy-with-billy-watson/
Yes FE, but as from some very interesting excerpts given by Gail, the author has given very good considerations which represent, in my view, a very big portion of the story.
Fun.
See what happens when you demonstrate to someone that we are running out of cheap energy…. they don’t like it…
https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/discussion-with-sam-dube-and-lara/comment/11559729
Avalanche
8 hr ago
No Chris, I’m not rude. I’m exasperated with the childishness of Little Eddy. Go look back through the various comments he has posted, and you’ll probably understand why I’m fed up.
He’s like that TRULY annoying 5-yr-old in a class who keeps chanting “I know you are but what am I?” over and over and over — JUST to annoy. He is NOT actually asking for info, not willing to learn or do the work necessary to learn. His “suggested direction of research” was: you write a thesis / synopsis of what I am disagreeing with and then MAYBE I’ll actually do a bit of my own research. What OTHER line of “research” is he suggesting, and which ‘direction’ will that take you in?
I’m not playing with a petty 5-yr-old any longer. But I DO commend Thomas Gold’s book to you, if you truly have any interest in the subject. If it IS “all new” to you — then why do you think the little boy asking someone else to do his homework for him is ANYone to support and try to act like?
Reply
Collapse
Fast Eddy
14 min ago
I do want to learn … how does one learn? By asking questions …
1. Why are we drilling miles beneath the ocean if there is so much easy oil left?
2. Why are steaming oil out of sand — if there is so much easy oil left?
3. Why are drilling thousands of holes in the ground – dropping in bombs to blow up the rock then sucking out the dregs – if there is so much oil left?
Let’s add a 4th….
4. Why do oil majors never mention that their oil plays are refilling with abiotic oil so as to drive their share prices and valuations higher?
I want to learn … please help me…
Are these not good questions? If not why not?
Reply
Delete
Collapse
Wow Eddy, how do you make money off of this? Because you sure put in a lot of effort … or developed a ChatGPT analogue years before Stability AI did.
FE needs to build the brand for After the Cull… HE will have a late night talk show that will run for 30 yrs of BAU Lite…
It would be helpful if OFWers would help pump up FE == drop a few comments like – Fast Eddy you are a god.. Fast Eddy I have a very hot 19 yr old daughter and I’d like to breed her with you … and so on
Fast Eddie keep up the good work after all we do need some comedy relief from from the current Madnessgoing onat the current moment.Fast Eddie if you wish to see the latest movie on Netflix put out by I believe the Elder’s watch the movie it is called white noise.
The madness is intensifying in the past 20 hours .. another friend with cancer — an NFL warrior falls dead on the pitch…
It’s time like this that one can be overwhelmed with the horror of that is playing out … to combat that…. remember – we did this (so we could have pleasant shampoo for the skin or whatever)
https://i0.wp.com/metro.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/PRI_89857719.jpg
https://www.peta.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Silver-Spring-monkey_2-692×1024.jpg
F789 all Humans. All of them.
https://dta0yqvfnusiq.cloudfront.net/thecu69087889/2015/06/TheCultofGenius_logo8-1140×157.png
https://www.yahoo.com/sports/martina-navratilova-diagnosed-throat-breast-160829897.html
world traveler Martina is surely fully boosted.
throat and breast cancer together.
nothing unusual, it happens all the time.
Seems like a lot of famous people are getting sick and dying…
norm – can you ever recall something like this? You’ve been around nearly 100 years — was it like this during WW2?
Dropping like flies these vaxxed
Throat cancer? Cunnilingus. Michael Douglas warned us, remember?
She had cancer in 2010. This is possibly recurrence.
You guys are too hasty with the vax attribution, as if cancer wasn’t a leading cause of death until 2021.
yes, it appears that the jabs damage immune systems and unleash “recurrence”.
I think that’s called Science.
The rat juice causes cancer to return
This is your idea of what Kunstler’s 2023 articles might be. It is not at all close to what his recent articles have been.
Does he really think we can revert to ‘a world made by hand’ — or is he just putting that out there to tap into the hopium doomie market and sell books to make $$$ which he spends at his small town VIP room?
asking for FE
AI, Poker, Diplomacy:
This is from Lex Fridman podcast, some of his guests are very interesting, Lex PhD, Comp Sci, MIT.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2oHH4aClJQs
Starting at 1:12:42 on the Diplomacy Game, sort of like Risk, ordered Diplomacy.
A guess:
AI is going to replace mathematicians in ways we cannot see, physicists, lawyers(tax comes to mind), accountants, internists, and most management.
Looking at diplomacy, this impacts politics.
Naom Brown is at Meta,
https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~noamb/
At 1:23 he mentions the natural language challenge, he is not alone here. FB does natural language as does Twitter. Table stakes in this game are in the billions.
This area is going very fast, FB is down, time to buy?
These “guys” are damn smart, they are going very fast, very frustrating to even try and understand.
Interesting looking at future, the jobs which remain will be low tech as the human being may be very difficult to replace at an economic level – we are actually quite effective economically. Hire someone to reliably remove snow, not cheap.
Dennis L.
Unfortunately, we need a whole lot more than poker game playing.
I see a big problem going forward as intermittent electricity. Another big problem will be making computers, with less international trade. These limits mean that AI seems unlikely to go very far beyond where it is today.
+++
When the solar flare smash’s through earths vanishing geomagnetic field ( as it will soon) there will be zero electricity planet wide.
So, there is that,….
You are right. Losing all electricity because of something that is in some ways analogous to the Carrington Event of 1859 would be a big problem. A recent article says:
https://www.livescience.com/carrington-event
What if the Carrington Event, the largest solar storm ever recorded, happened today?
By Charles Q. Choi last updated September 07, 2022
“If a solar storm as big as the Carrington Event struck today, it could lead to years long power outages.”
We know that the poles are shifting. This seems to be a slow process. The questions would seem to be, “Over what time period is the polar shift happening?” and “How would this event change the Earth’s probability of being subject to a Carrington Event?”
He runs informercial for a living. With a fancy degree, he attracts fancy people who want to sell their ware to intellectual would-be snobs like you.
The decrease in human brain size seems to have been quite recent, ~3000 years ago, and may be due to higher social complexity and increased group-level cognition – in which case we are more intelligent now as a group.
It could be a case of adaptive brain size variation rather than a simple shrinking. Humans are now ultrasocial. Hunter-gatherers with more complex societies show the same trend to smaller brains. Smaller brains also have lower energetic (calory) cost.
“But we also find that human brain size reduction was surprisingly recent, occurring in the last 3,000 years. Our dating does not support hypotheses concerning brain size reduction as a by-product of body size reduction, a result of a shift to an agricultural diet, or a consequence of self-domestication. We suggest our analysis supports the hypothesis that the recent decrease in brain size may instead result from the externalization of knowledge and advantages of group-level decision-making due in part to the advent of social systems of distributed cognition and the storage and sharing of information…. Computational models (e.g., Feinerman and Traniello, 2016; Reséndiz-Benhumea et al., 2021) and patterns in some ant clades (Muscedere and Traniello, 2012; Riveros et al., 2012; Muratore et al., 2021) suggest that group-level cognition may select for reduced brain size and/or adaptive brain size variation. Moreover, complex systems theory predicts that greater social complexity derives from individual simplicity (Delgado and Solé, 1997), although the neurobiological and behavioral meaning of “simplicity” is unclear.”
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2021.742639/full
When and Why Did Human Brains Decrease in Size? A New Change-Point Analysis and Insights From Brain Evolution in Ants
> Human brain size nearly quadrupled in the six million years since Homo last shared a common ancestor with chimpanzees, but human brains are thought to have decreased in volume since the end of the last Ice Age. The timing and reason for this decrease is enigmatic. Here we use change-point analysis to estimate the timing of changes in the rate of hominin brain evolution. We find that hominin brains experienced positive rate changes at 2.1 and 1.5 million years ago, coincident with the early evolution of Homo and technological innovations evident in the archeological record. But we also find that human brain size reduction was surprisingly recent, occurring in the last 3,000 years. Our dating does not support hypotheses concerning brain size reduction as a by-product of body size reduction, a result of a shift to an agricultural diet, or a consequence of self-domestication. We suggest our analysis supports the hypothesis that the recent decrease in brain size may instead result from the externalization of knowledge and advantages of group-level decision-making due in part to the advent of social systems of distributed cognition and the storage and sharing of information. Humans live in social groups in which multiple brains contribute to the emergence of collective intelligence. Although difficult to study in the deep history of Homo, the impacts of group size, social organization, collective intelligence and other potential selective forces on brain evolution can be elucidated using ants as models. The remarkable ecological diversity of ants and their species richness encompasses forms convergent in aspects of human sociality, including large group size, agrarian life histories, division of labor, and collective cognition. Ants provide a wide range of social systems to generate and test hypotheses concerning brain size enlargement or reduction and aid in interpreting patterns of brain evolution identified in humans. Although humans and ants represent very different routes in social and cognitive evolution, the insights ants offer can broadly inform us of the selective forces that influence brain size.
…. Gowdy and Krall (2013) draw parallels between the ultrasocial human superorganism, complete with division of labor and “economic organization around surplus” that arose in the Holocene and the sociobiology of agricultural eusocial insects, including some ants and termites. Brain size reduction occurred in traditional hunter-gatherer human populations (Wiercinski, 1979) that never adopted sedentary agricultural practices, but have complex social networks (Apicella et al., 2012).
…. Conclusion
We suggest that patterns of human brain evolution were influenced by collective intelligence, a convergent characteristic of diverse group-living animals (Surowiecki, 2004; Sumpter, 2006; Woolley et al., 2010; Morand-Ferron and Quinn, 2011; Reid et al., 2015; Biro et al., 2016; Bates and Gupta, 2017; Sasaki and Biro, 2017). The precise role of societal information flow, distribution, and transfer as emergent group properties that may affect brain evolution and neural functioning is not well understood (e.g., Weaverdyck and Parkinson, 2018). Large brains may not be required to generate complex behavior, and brain mosaicism and circuitry—rather than overall size—may be important (Healy and Rowe, 2007, 2013; Chittka and Niven, 2009; Avarguès-Weber et al., 2018; Logan et al., 2018; Godfrey and Gronenberg, 2019). Computational models (e.g., Feinerman and Traniello, 2016; Reséndiz-Benhumea et al., 2021) and patterns in some ant clades (Muscedere and Traniello, 2012; Riveros et al., 2012; Muratore et al., 2021) suggest that group-level cognition may select for reduced brain size and/or adaptive brain size variation. Moreover, complex systems theory predicts that greater social complexity derives from individual simplicity (Delgado and Solé, 1997), although the neurobiological and behavioral meaning of “simplicity” is unclear. Complexity in eusocial insect colony organization may involve selection for either smaller, neurally differentiated worker brains (Lihoreau et al., 2012; Riveros et al., 2012; O’Donnell et al., 2015; Feinerman and Traniello, 2016) or larger brains (Wehner et al., 2007) able to metabolically offset increased production and operation costs (Kamhi et al., 2016).
Our bodies today are quite possibly not adapted to going back to becoming hunter gatherers. We needed a bigger brain size for the individual knowledge we needed at that time. It makes it virtually impossible for humans, in general, to go back to a sustainable period.
Plato sort of got the bit about the externalisation of cognition reducing the capacity for personal cognition.
Nietzsche has a lot to say about this sort of thing, and I will have more time later to look some up.
(Perhaps the present ethnic mixing in Europe will shake up brain genes and provide a wider and more fluid basis for future selection for fresh material and social arrangements.)
“If men learn this, it will implant forgetfulness in their souls; they will cease to exercise memory because they rely on that which is written, calling things to remembrance no longer from within themselves, but by means of external marks. What you have discovered is a recipe not for memory, but for reminder. And it is no true wisdom that you offer your disciples, but only its semblance, for by telling them of many things without teaching them you will make them seem to know much, while for the most part they know nothing, and as men filled, not with wisdom, but with the conceit of wisdom, they will be a burden to their fellows.”
― Plato, Phaedrus
This quote is a keeper. Thanks.
Add in the ubiquitous smart phone and this scenario is on steroids.
People are ‘all hat and no cattle’ may be a modern simplification of this.
Schools don’t teach kids the multiplication tables … cuz they have calculators instead
+++
But given radically different social systems I wonder if the brain size could have time to grow some before industrial civ is entirely gone?
Maybe in the long gap between this civilization and the next one. That could be thousand of years.
Takes time for the humans to realize that the oil reservoirs have “magically refilled” and that the black goo is good for other than bug repellent and canoe caulking.
Magnetic reversals cause petroleum formation from methanogic mineral formations.
Similacrum gotta similacrate……
The world is not what ya’ll think it is.
Sim·u·la·crum
/ˌsimyəˈlākrəm/
noun
1.
an image or representation of someone or something.
your spelling is not what ya’ll think it is. 😉
there is an attached audio file that pronounces it as simyouLAYkrum.
who knew?
2023 still learning new stuff.
woo woo.
I am afraid such changes would take eons.
I follow the “Texas” spelling rationale
Hunter gatherers could not drive cars… nor could they manufacture cars… because they were not encumbered by what we refer to as ‘intelligence’
They had more intellectual affinity with a wild animal than a modern human. i.e. they had true intelligence…
Modern humans are focused on making TeeVee shows that normalize tranny freaks … and trying to build more powerful vacuum cleaners…. we think ancient man was a joke. In fact we generally try to kill any humans that behave that way.
BTW – if you offer a dog a warm fire he’ll take it — but he’ll never try to harness fire.
Fortunately he’s not got that type of ‘intelligence’
“In general”
I am 260 lbs at 6 ft even and have a very big head. My sons are charted in at full maturity to be 6’5” and 6’8”……
They will be hunting beasts in the post cataclysmic world
I’m 6ft 175lbs. Broad shoulders with a pinhead. My head weighs 7.5lbs lying on my back with my head resting on scales. It was as light as any girl’s at the party back in my 20s when we weighed heads. Lol.
6ft 200lb free safety who is swifter than the wind … vs a 300lb 6-5 lineman… who is 40% slower than the free safety
Train them both for a year in swordcraft — who wins?
Or give the 5ft Vietnamese guy a bow and arrow and bring them into the fight…
Who wins?
It’s all moot – all 3 die from starvation/disease/spent fuel pond cancer.
You are in a dream world
260lbs at 6ft – diabetes? heart disease?
35 years of powerlifting……I was 275 at heaviest
I can cut and get as low as 220 with 7% body fat.
If I was not built like this I would have been killed in the environments I have inhabited.
So there is that…..
5ft Vietnamese guys sent loads of people like you home in body bags…
No doubt about Vietnam cong. Weaponry is a huge deal in human conflict. I have seen several people stabbed out unfortunately. Guy got shot in back of head within 10 feet of me one time.
I was dealing mainly with the mentally unstable hardcore criminal element and very large angry mammals. Body size and power intimidates many humans and simply cushions internal organs and helps hold the teeth off from big mammals. Human strength means nothing generally to big predators and is farcical to mega herbivores. Hunting neanderthals must have been a sight to behold.
I have been thrown entirely over the head of an enraged bull and trampled underneath them many times. In my younger guiding days I managed to keep a younger black bear from tearing my face off by jamming my elbow into his mouth and having bear dogs bite the crap out of his backside so he broke off mauling me.
I have been lucky with just broken ribs, orbital bones and lots of lacerations. The Neanderthal Gods have been kind.
Ok what about this …
We put you in a cage with a full grown 220lb male cougar…. no weapons …
Who comes out alive?
220 lbs is pushing it in the cougar department. We have cats that big around here but they are unusual.
I begin to think that you imagine harm upon me Edward. One should never engage in blood sports without proper compensation.
Can one of my highland bulls be my second?
I only wish the vaxxed MOREONS who mock the unvaxxed harm… it’s all about the Shad
I was just wondering if you could take on a cougar
I would lay strong odds on the cat if it faced me. The cat would be impaled and turned to bloody Goo if it was forced to face any of those bulls.
What about a full grown lion or a medium sized grizzly bear?
Bear would have no chance at all. Adult lion would if he muzzle clamped the bull. The Panthera genus has specialized in killing big bovids for millions of years.
Ironically enough the grizzly would utterly destroy the lion in combat.
Grizzlies are built to take ungodly punishment but they are open to goring injury. The lion simply could not incapacitate the grizzly unless very lucky ( Siberian tiger and small brown bear). The bear would hold lion down, close eyes to avoid clawing and start to eat lion.
35 years ago in my African days I used the same argument with a professional hunting guide in Botswana. He could not fathom any predator taking on an adult male lion.
In prehistoric North America grizzly did it all the time……
Why do you think they are so damn obnoxious!
I meant you vs the lion/grizzly
Yep.
Instead of looking/listening/smelling for “camouflaged” food in the foliage, people started to look comparatively at each other instead. It is as good of a competence proxy (in selection), however with lesser compute requirements.
I think the difference is mainly due to a shrinkage in the “sensor suite” and processing. It is useless with subtle and performant sensory decoding in an agrarian setting.
Therefore the current era “theatrics”, which is just over the top with projections. I doubt contemporary people would notice the subtleties of a hunter gatherer or pastoralist.
I think people from the past were less like animated caricatures projecting the mental state, and could likely instead spot and smell bovine manure from miles away.
Yep, they were probably ruthlessly effective as a small “Wolfpack” when foraging, keeping an eye/ear/nose on the surroundings and at each other from a distance.
Mother Earth is such a harsh mistress that being quick witted and ‘sensored up’ must have been quite an advantage.
Higher spiders are said to have as many digital connections in their brain as humans. Inutits – hunter gatherers – have a higher brain volume than caucasians.
I am not not sure that these thesises are correct.
I guess being hunter-gatherer are not the only way of a stustainable living. If we look to Asia or into the Amazonas basin or to the Maghreb we see other models.
Just another self-serving junk hypothesis of a corrupted field of anthropology.
There’s zero basis in reason for them to say that the timing doesn’t support brain shrinking from diet/domestication. Sumeria didn’t start until, what, 7000 years ago?
They base their timing of brain shrinkage on the fossil record of cranial volumes, which is a fairly direct source of evidence for brain volume through time.
https://www.frontiersin.org/files/Articles/742639/fevo-09-742639-HTML/image_m/fevo-09-742639-g001.jpg
Thanks Mirror.
I don’t have a problem with the data WRT timing, I have a problem with their ivory tower internal logic. They just cite a bunch of different anthropological theories and pick a couple that suits their hypothesis. That what young academics raised on, and promoted on, multiple choice testing do. It’s no different then peer reviewed junk science in the medical field.
They have a totally insane definition of domestication. They call self-domestication the methodical elimination of aggressive humans (presumably by their own family members) that began since the dawn of modern humans and which ended somewhere between 80,000 and hundreds of thousands of years ago. Lol. Which means that none of the hunter gatherers in the subsequent millennia were wild humans. WTF are they talking about?
The brain is a quantity, the intelligence is a quality. Only in the reductionist, dick-measuring minds of scientists can the two things seem commensurable. It’s very likely that the size of a brain (in proportion to body mass of course) influences the ability to memorize. But memory has little to do with intelligence either.
Having a brain that only weighed 1,017 grams did not prevent the writer Anatole France from dying old, rich and nobelized, entitled to state funeral andshit. Conversely the heavy brains of the Neanderthals did not prevent them from being outnumbered by the comparatively low-brow sapiens.
Crows have a teespoon full of brain and use logic, recognize faces and geography.
Their big brained ancestors, the dinosaurs, have died out. They could not think of a meteorite coming…
A very interesting paper. I remember a study entitled “The evolutionary advantages of being stupid.” This involves smaller brain size in seals giving them the advantage of deeper and prolong dives to escape predation, as smaller brains required less oxygen= longer submersion. Also, more successful food sourcing had become one dimensional. Chasing fish.
In the natural world, some animals have acquired through evolution some enormously encumbering appendages and designs whose only benefit appears in attracting female mates. But at some point even those will pose a survival disadvantage. I wonder if the emergence of sudden human intelligence was carried forth through inertia to a similar over build in a temporary niche but now this level of complexity has become unnecessary and even counterproductive. Useless/needless complexity. Nature will forgive over builds for a time but gradually comes back to reclaim more stable And efficient designs especially with the view of energy procurement and expenditure and thus reproductive success.
That’s Fast Eddy’s PHD thesis… ‘intelligence’ is actually stooopidity… and it will result in our extinction…
Every innovation … all progress… is just another step towards our extinction.
This runs contrary to everything we have ever been taught… we celebrate engineering feats… I imagine the fools who worked out how to make fire had a big celebration … and there there’s the moment we synthesized nitrogen and dumped pellets onto the soil … hurrah!! hurrah!!! We’ve ended starvation!!!
What a f789ing joke we are … ringing a bell on wall street as we congratulate ourselves on the latest pillage operation hahaha
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brandonkochkodin/2022/12/21/taxpayers-36-billion-pension-fund-bailout-comes-with-one-thin-string-attached/
Taxpayers’ $36 Billion Pension-Fund Bailout Comes With One Thin …
“The $36 billion special financial assistance to Central States will burn about 40% of the money Congress set aside.”
So one bailout which is a drop in the bucket drains 40% of all th emoney set aside for bailouts.
A sign of things to come?
Pension plans, including government sponsored pension plans, cannot possibly provide the benefits planned. The major thing is that the total amount of goods and services produced (including food and oil for vehicles) is going down. There will be less available. Something has to “give.” Pensioners need to die earlier. Or receive quite a lot less.
The $36 billion is for one multi-employer pension fund. The problem is huge compared to this.
This story is bigger than it appears! If they are already doing this then what happens when deep recession sets in?? I think that there will be problems exponentially
Somehow, pensioners need to get a reduced share of what is available. Actuaries have been some of the worst ones for expecting that the world will always continue as in the past in their long-term models. This is one of the reasons I was concerned about the issue.
Actuaries have assumed that even if experience turned out to need greater funding than planned, the system could simply reduce benefits and perhaps increase the funding percentage. Of course, pensioners vote, so this doesn’t happen. “Funding” of government pensions, to the extent it exists, is with government debt. Future funding depends on model assumptions regarding population growth, income growth, and the like.
“There will be less available. Something has to “give.” Pensioners need to die earlier. Or receive quite a lot less.”
This is what causes governments to get overthrown or collapse. When seniors are told they are getting less while inflation is thru the roof, that’s when people get angry. They get angry because they paid into a Ponzi Scheme. So if the government decides they must do with less while pensioners are seeing Joe Bidet sending tens of billions to Ukraine, they tend to view that as confiscation of their wages.
If and when that does take place, you will probably States separating from the Union because there really is NO value and reason in a State being part of the Union. I know back in the 80’s there was talk about Key West wanting to leave the Union.
Texas in the past has called to leave the Union, so has California.
I sometimes wonder if the government of the United States will gradually grow weaker. It will decide that it cannot really fund Social Security, Medicare, and its share of Medicaid, so it will send those programs back to the states. If the US$ is also losing its role in the world economic order, all of these effects may lead to the United States effectively disbanding into a group of individual states. Or groups of states may band together to issue their own local currencies.
That’s a great way of putting it. Didn’t Rome end up this way?
Or will it grow stronger as other countries grow weaker?!? We just don’t know..
The states do not have the money and/or physical goods (food, medicine, cloths, housing, heating) to cover social security, medicare, medicaid, military pension, federal employees pensions, state employees pensions. Not enough to go around.
Neither does the Federal Government, or anyone else. That is precisely the problem.
“This is why governments are overthrown or collapse” …. Incorrect! Old people can and will do nothing… they will be increasingly marginalized… it will be a slow melt down. Old people are easily manipulated!! We will blame Bidet or whoever the new whipping boy is! It’s just like oil prices are higher it must be because we are not drilling enough! Or the liberals argument oil companies are making too much money!
I wonder if the Elders wonder about past mistakes that have morphed into TBTF situations that waste what’s left of the cheap energy… if not for those mistakes we could have held off on Covid for another decade or two?
For example:
Prison. Once someone ends up in prison they are pretty much f789ed for life. Most of them end up back in prison + those that don’t can’t find jobs… instead of prisons the Elders should have considered the death penalty for anyone committing a serious crime.
Pensions. Instead of paying people to lie around and wait to die.. as with race horses if you can’t run you go to the glue factory. It might seem harsh but if you normalize it like we do trannies flashing their dongles to 7 yr olds while parents dance and clap along (If you are happy and you know it flash your balls!)…
within a generation nobody even notices… grandma and grandpa just picked up by the black van… and you never see them again… or maybe we create a tradition .. a going away party kinda thing.. a wake?
Remember back in the day the tribes send old useless eaters packing
Ski Lifts. I wonder how many months or years we’d have been able to extend BAU if these useless contraptions were banned.
FE just asked me if this might all be Moot due to Jevon’s Paradox… HE has the 1500HP and he already knows but HE does not like to belittle my ideas
I suppose the Elders don’t just incinerate everyone over 65 to reduce the burn cuz that would leave the health care system gasping for air… and that is a key pillar of the economy … topple it and BAU goes down
If they did that then they would be responsible for klimate change
(Jerusalem Post)
In the meantime Israel strikes Syria (a since a long ago), And it is all right for all.
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-726413
My point is just remember that some bombings are for the good and some other bombings are bad.
But maybe it is because something needs to be written correctly on the bomb…
The Israel, Syria, Iran situation gets complicated. With not enough to go around, worldwide, every “side” gets squeezed. I can’t imagine the situation in Palestine gets better, for example. The whole Middle East situation seems likely to go downhill in coming years.
Ukraine is their next stop. That is why 13 out of 14 ministers and the president in Ukraine are Jews. They are throughly depopulating it first.
I’m very sorry to see this, because I’m in love with the history of all that area (and also some other places around there) which represent the cradle of the first important steps of Human civilization, which developed there over the first key millennia of our history.
But the current Countries there, cannot find a way to stay in peace.
It maybe represents the parable of human beings who are not able to coexist without conflict.
All that area should be a place to visit, study and admire with its incredible history over the millennia.
Just to make an example, besides the famous and incredible area of the famous rivers Tigris and Euphrates, I discovered recently that there is also another interesting area of ancient civilization, which is Hadramawt.
An area located where is now Yemen, where, coincidentally, we have currently another war…
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/229559650_Early_settlement_in_Hadramawt_Preliminary_report_on_prehistoric_occupation_at_Shi'b_Munayder
Why do people reject the idea of peak energy and what can we do to improve communication?
These days the not undisputable author Gerhard Wisnewski published a new book (links see bottom), in which he also goes into the role of the British Tavistock Institute that grew out of the War Propaganda Bureau. They search after the role of traumatisation and shocking narratives as a way to direct, lead and manipulate people.
A ‘strategy of terror’ could break people’s morals. Contradictory news could lead to inner conflicts and cognitive dissonance which results in paralysis, especially combined with sharp disciplinary measures and the promise of good treatment. The usually balanced inner self crashes and the result is a primitive personality, like an animal; the controlled environment takes over personality.
To achieve a world government it would be necessary to delete from the heads of people: individualism, family tradition, patriotism, religious dogma, and also experience and wisdom of the elderly. The Institute that also runs a psychoatric clinic is financed amoung others by the military, Rockefeller and Macys. Travistock-psychiatrist Chrisholm was first director of the WHO.
The institute is said to be involved in propaganda for WK2 and in using the following shock narratives: Cold War, murder of Kennedy and King, My Lai, 911, MH17, German Wings 9525, Malaysian 370, Tschernobyl, Fukushima. German magazine ‘Der Spiegel’ is considered to be under influence, especially stories about: dying of the woods, deadly meat, ozone hole, Aids, Sars and clmt cng. Der Spiegel also receives funding of Melinda and Bill Gates.
Until here the summary of Wisnewski’s text.
The idea of mass manipulation by creating fear is older, from my knowledge, I would like to mention Jean Delumeau: Angst im Abendland, rowohlt, 1989 and Georges Minois: Die Geschichte der Prophezeiungen, Patmos, 2002 – both french university professors, all titles should be available in French and English.
I would like to add that there seemed to be sufficient fear propaganda during the Osman run against Vienna 1529 and 1683, with similar results. We might also add inquisition and witch hunting.
Now to the point: the peakoil topic is a narrative that bears the same shock and fear mechanisms as above. During the last 10 or 15 years I had respective discussions with friends that I tried to discuss the peak energy topic with. As you can see I am a longtime follower of Gail.
Now Gail, Ugo or Campell have a clearly different structure of personality and thus credibility than Fauci or Drosten, don’t get me wrong! Charles Hall, Turchin or Jared Diamond prove great scientific work. But it is an aspect we have to deal with. We have often discussed here in the forum, that people are not open to peakoil topics and that might be a contributing reason.
We should keep in mind that the Club of Rome is connected to the same financiers as the Tavistock Institute, okay they finance a lot, but it might give a false light. What is more, for our estimations we are forced to rely on public data, that is not very reliable, as it equates crude and what we should call gas, exaggerates reserves and is provided by monopolists in their field. Of course to us it seems as if numbers were manipulated to look bigger than they are and all corresponds neatly with economical data. But it generates a credability gap we cannot ignore.
People might see the peakoil discussion as another shock narrative, thus ignore it, come to false conclusions and make erroreous decisions.
For the discussion that means we have to argue very precisely our data basis and we need convincing answers – or we will not come through. It is a communication problem.
Thanks to Gail we are able to argue geological and economical coherences very consisely – a huge step as a lot of people still believe higher production costs would function inflationary or high prices would help developing a substitute.
I have always tried to argue, that missing future options, a positive utopia, stop people from noticing the issue. Now I see there is an wider context.
This context might be the reason, why also a lot of stakeholders do not take the issue earnest. That might have a fatal impact on future generations. As much as I respect and understand doomerism, there is an obligation we cannot reject.
‐———
Gerhard Wisnewski: verheimlicht – vertuscht – vergessen 2023: Was 2022 nicht in der Zeitung stand, Kopp, 2022
https://www.amazon.de/verheimlicht-vertuscht-vergessen-nicht-Zeitung/dp/3864459001
Thanks, unfortunately my high school German will not hack it – and time, 1964 grad.
I did a brief survey of Tavistock, interesting group started after WWII.
https://www.tavinstitute.org/who-we-are/
Not everything these group do is “evil”; much can be useful as in helping soldiers adjust to post service time as well as work done with civilians during and after WWII.
Sometimes if something is disagreed with by certain groups it automatically becomes a conspiracy. Religion could fit that label, but a well based sense of belonging and set of agreed upon rules brings much comfort to life. WWII was hard, bullets are hard; sometimes it doesn’t hurt to talk things over.
Dennis L.
I would have thought that the word conspiracy had a pretty simple definition….two or more people coming together to plan an illegal act. There, simple.
I can think of a thousand examples right off the top of my head.
And BTW. I lucked upon an interesting disciple of JMG(the archdruid) and think he deserves more attention by OFW’s. He is Chad A. Haag.
I can write about the issue of resource limits, and others can do a similar thing.
The problem is that we don’t have any “happily ever after” ending to supply.
Politicians will always spin a story that seems acceptable to consumers. Now the powers that be seem to be able to pay organizations to publish their preferred wrong story. Or scare people into using fewer resources. We live in a very strange world, now, I am afraid.
I think that you have provided a very convincing model of the ‘economy and energy’. I have not found anything as conclusive. Thanks for that!
The consequences of that model, though, depends on extractable resources. I am not yet convinced that they are over. I see consequences for Europe and the US, but what about Latinamerica (Venezuela), Russia and rhe middle east? Could the BRICSS repeat industrialisation? Talking about humanity is something else than talking about the future of NY or Hamburg.
I am a bit interested in the historyof metallury. It is a complex chemical and economical process. Ancient metals reveal the knowledge and work of our ancestors. There are ores that can easily be found, collecting some stones and melt them in simple furnaces. Modern analysis can distinguish these items from others, made with more complex methods.
Findings close to Salzburg prove that they has a professional metal industry 6.000 years ago. They had professional miners, that needed to be fed, and processed relevant amounts of ore. They protected their workers against dangerous substances, eg by building furnaces with a higher chimney, so lead would be let to higher parts into the atmosphere.
The knowledge of metal processing is said to be 100.000 years old. That means there must have been relevant intelligence. Metal processing is nothing anyone here, and I consider this a forum with a high level of very intelligent and learned members, would develop between breakfast and noon. It is unthinkable without a way of transmission to the next generation. Ores must be freed from sulfur and lead and treated differently, according to their chemical ingredients. Ores must be crashed and the furnaces need fuel. In case of mining, one needs to estimate where the seamor bed will go. It is necessary to deal with air and intruding water. There may be dangerous gases.
All this is proof that there was higher intelligence without fossile fuels. People may have died with 40 years, idk. But that is another topic.
Of course we have a relevant amount of items to be found today only later in Bronzeage and Ironage. Iron rusts away. It does not mean they could build railways or oil production facilities. For that a greater scale is needed.
Was remarking to M Fast the other day that we have not heard from a couple of our old friends for quite some time …. they are usually in touch with M Fast on social media frequently…
Knowing they are huge Pro Vaxxers like norm and will be on the 5th rat juice injection I said to M Fast — I wonder if they’ve had something go wrong….
Earlier this evening M Fast gets pinged … looks up and says ‘you were right’ … the husband – a very fit — surfer – eats healthy… barely drinks – no history in the family — cancer. Chemo then surgery then chemo …
Speaking to them and they – and their doctors — are at a loss as to the cause — I said nothing.
That’s two cancers now + all the friends with heart damage + all the gym instructors with various injuries… oh and the one with ALS…
What could it be?
And this is just the beginning….
Martin Armstrong has said in his interviews many times that everyone he knows has been vaxxed and boosted has either died or been seriously injured. He said a young couple in his neighborhood who took the jab resulted in the young wife dying and her young husband winding up in hospital with a heart attack.
There are two ladies where he gets his haircut, and they told him that they both lost a son after they each took the vaccine.
I reckon as 2023 moves along … nearly every day will bring news of another person I know being wrecked or dying… of course it won’t ever be attributed to the vax …
The vax does not cause cancer .. or heart attacks .. or strokes… its safe.
That said — the folks I spoke to last night have no idea what our vax status is — so they may have felt it inappropriate to suggest the vax might have caused the cancer — they did make mention of the doctors being very surprised by this given family history and lifestyle… and they did wonder out loud what could have caused it…
M Fast nudged me twice as she sensed my Inner Tourette wanting out… maybe they know? The Elephant in the Room remained unspoken
Thanks for sharing, Eddy, personal experiences have a lot more credibility than ‘alternative media’. Good reaction! As it seems our friends have been tricked by a psy operation, based on psychological law.
I tried to convinve without success two of my best friends. One got an unspecific cardial arrhytmia, emergency case, a few months after the second shot, but the cardologist did not find anything. No special stress moment, but smoker, heavy worker, no sports, the age where men usualy get heart attacks. I suspect an inflammation (as Arne Burkhard puts it: infiltration of lymphocites) beyond the detectable level. Micro scarrings. Of course no analysis of d-dimer levels, despite my suggestion. Another friend felt seriously ill after the second shot, said his whole body feels like being inflammated.
I don’t know why some people are resistant to fear mongering and others are resistant to logical argumentations. I have argued from the beginning, that the concept is prone to autoimmune reactions.
It is not a thing related to social class. Here the unvacced scene has a clear right tendency. I have been all my life on the left side of the social democrates, with sympathies for the ecologic movements. I am open to all people, tough. It took months after the old widely respected protagonists of the Greens (in their 80s!) started to oppose their party’s course in the current coalition. The social democrats and conservatives have not yet done that, except some rare exceptions.
If psy operations are based on law like physics, and if
the social environment does not count, why then some people fall for propaganda and some seem to be immune?
I read the speculation that this resistance could be a genetical thread selected during ice age. (Univ. prof.) Georg Lind said, that 25% have a different concept of morals. He is a student of Lawrence Kohlberg, that has some significance in the US. At school I was shy but a known fighter against injustice, despite all costs. My dad is right the same. My siblings are not.
The whole thing is still unclear to me.
https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georg_Lind_(Psychologe)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lawrence_Kohlberg
Scenes from the imminent future
The Devil’s Greatest Trick…
https://twitter.com/lauren3vememes/status/1597592332328906753
https://rumble.com/v1xuyl0-the-devils-greatest-trick.html
https://truthsocial.com/users/Lauren3ve/statuses/109427479984925203
Within temptation is truth, eh?
🤭👍
PP: Finally, in your reports you said, perhaps particularly the booster shots, are damaging people’s immune systems, opening them up to all kinds of problems?
MF: Yes, this has been known from the early days of the vaccine, that it may trigger ADE which is when the antibody accelerates cellular infections. And if you are repeatedly dosed this can lead to original antigen sin. The first-generation vaccine was designed to attack the first variant and second Delta. This was already clearly demonstrated by Catherine Reynolds’ report. So, vaccinated people do not produce appropriate anti-bodies for Omicron. The vaccines can shut down the innate immune system due to the first design of the vaccine.
PP: People are finding that old conditions are coming back because the immune system has been damaged by the vaccine?
MF: Yes, yes.
The immune system amazingly distinguishes between eigenprotein and foreign protein. This process is still widely unknow. To promote a mass injection that makes the body produce foreign protein would require to know the process very well. One would expect, that research about this process and the ingredients of the shots are unmistakenly led open. Nothing of this was done.
Recently active vaccine induced spike proteins can be found eight months after the shots during autopsies. We don’t know how long the mRNA evolves activity. I am converned that antigenic sin, IgG4, cancer, clots and myocarditis or encephalitis are only the tip of the iceberg. Apparently a lot of the shots were destroyed by insufficient transport conditions or false injection methods, like too small needles. I set my hopes on that!
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/01/01/unprecedented-vaccine-disaster-an-interview-with-professor-masanori-fukushima/
PP: So, they previously disclosed and then stopped disclosing, presumably because it is embarrassing. So, it is impossible to find the information that we need to find out if the vaccines are working or not? At one point in the video you said “it looks like you are hiding data”.
FM: Yes, and I think they were upset. There are so many deaths. It is an unprecedented vaccine disaster. I can’t imagine how many people have really died. 2,000 is the minimum, the tip of the iceberg.
PP: And it is all ages, isn’t it? One of your reports had a 28 year-old man who died after the second vaccine with no health problems?
MF: That’s right, no health problems. Five days after the second vaccine. It’s very tragic.
PP: Do you think the scale of this is so enormous and the scandal is so big that the government simply cannot accept it? They would prefer to go on and pretend the vaccines work than admit the scale of the disaster? Is that their position?
MF: So… it’s not an appropriate analogy but you say if you kill one person, [it] is legally murder, but kill so many people and it’s like war and you don’t go to jail.
PP: Someone once said that the bigger the lie the easier it is to get away with. Why are the Japanese still getting vaccinated?
MF: But I think the rate is going down. Many people are stopping. And apparently mass media do not encourage vaccination as much as previously.
What a last name, Fukushima
I think Fukushima means “lucky village” (Tim can correct me if I’m wrong), which is particularly ironic.
Thank you for this update FE
Been away for 5 days, met some complete strangers while on holiday.
We genuinely try to minimize contact with unknowns, but in each case they were searching for contact and/or answers.
3 widows told their stories; husbands range in age from 50 to late 60’s.
All died within last 3 months without prior tendencies.
The cull is getting legs now, but I imagine it will be on roller skates come winter.
Wow! Fantastic news… I bet you felt a jolt of endorphins when they told you their husbands had died rather young.
And I bet none of them connect these deaths to the rat juice. So they all keep on Rat Juicing.
So I guess they were all living it up on life insurance settlements! I have a friend who keeps joking that he’s looking for a rich old bag to ‘service’ and tap into the gold mine… his wife is ok with that as long as the biddy is over 70 (she’s early 40’s herself).
Added bonus if she’s multi-rat-juiced .. and willing to leave him a nice packet.
Did you get their contact info?
PP: And you have written in your reports [published in a Japanese journal] that there have been 2,000 deaths reported to the Government [MHLW] as very likely to have been the result of the vaccine. But in one of your reports, you described it as “the tip of the iceberg”. How much bigger could it be?
FM: One estimation is five-fold. The reports are mainly from doctors who cared for the patients, but most vaccination is not done in clinics but in vaccination centres run by the prefectures with the injection done by the nurse [so in most cases doctors are not directly involved in the chain of event and unlikely to report vaccine problems].
The cases are accumulating but the Government has denied causality even for the autopsied cases, in which the pathologist has pointed out the causality. There is clear evidence of a significant increase in heart problems and vascular problems such as strokes and pneumonia-like symptoms and others.
PP: But the argument that people who believe in these vaccines always put forward is that despite a few problems the vaccines are saving far more people than they are damaging. What is your response to that?
FM: I asked the government to disclose the COVID-19 mortality in vaccinated and non-vaccinated people. This statistic is critical. If there is no difference, then the vaccine induced deaths do not justify the use of the vaccines. I officially requested this information with my attorney on August 1st. And the first answer was “wait two months”. And then the final answer was “no, we do not disclose”. So, the next step is to sue the Government.
PP: You are planning to sue the Government?
FM: Yes, based on the Information Disclosure Act.
PP: So, they are refusing to disclose vital information which the public need to know and which could save lives?
FM: Yes, that’s right. It’s like a joke. Because the Government disclosed such information last year. And there is evidence that for under 65 year-olds the mortality rate for unvaccinated people is lower than the vaccinated people. It is funny – no, not funny because there are many deaths, so we don’t laugh; but the behaviour of the ministry is very stupid.
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/01/01/unprecedented-vaccine-disaster-an-interview-with-professor-masanori-fukushima/
Of course, if young people in poor health were the ones who chose to be vaccinated, we would expect them to have higher death rates. Death rates in young people are normally very low.
I think the problem is that vaccine did not stop the epidemic. Instead, it seems to be instrumental in keeping it around. Death rates rose in 2021 over 2020. This is evidence that the vaccine is not working.
The Pfizer representative admitted to EU parliament that the vaccine was never meant to stop any pandemic, stop infections or stop getting ill. As antibodies are the last in a long line of immunologic defense there is no theoretical way how these injections could do otherwise. Everybody with a tiny touch of knowledge about the immune system should have known that. The institutions and states lied heavily. They said that self-protection helped to contain illness and therefore infection. That is not possible with these substances.
If there is any benefit of the shots it is protection from severe cause. This is the outcome of the original Pfizer study, that was forged, and the protection levels show are tiny. This was clear from the beginning.
It is unbelievable that health professionals should not have recognized that.
There might has been reason to risk possible side effects for people that are thought to be vulnerable for severe cause. Side effects might have been underestimated or thought to occur after the respective individual life expectations. To claim any epidemiologic effect and to restrict human rights has never been justified by any study and is not even theoretically thinkable. It is like throwing salt over the shoulder. There is no possibility that this could even work. It was and is a crime without any medical justification.
Those who point to statistics should be reminded, that even the injection of placebo increases a positive health effect by 30%. Any medicament must have higher success rates.
Masanori Fukushima: I majored [in] biochemistry at Kyoto University post graduate school and actually I am the eldest medical oncologist in our country. I opened in the academic sector the first out-patient clinic for cancer patients in 2003 when I was Professor at Kyoto University. I [became involved in] pharmaco-epidemiology in 2000. This is the study of stop[ping] drug disaster[s]. That’s the mission, the raison d’etre. That’s why I’m involved with the COVID-19 vaccine problem. Because no scientists and only a few physicians have spoken out about the problem of vaccines.
So, when I heard that Government and EU and USA started the messenger RNA program my first impression was this is so stupid. Because messenger RNA is evolutionary, and the cell system is degraded always in a very short time. Messenger RNA is fragile and should be degraded promptly in the body. But this vaccine is modified and manipulated to be stable and to be incorporated in nanoparticles. Nanoparticles are the second problem as it is always incorporating in any type of cells, particularly stem cells. Stem cells are very important for repairing any types of cells. And the third problem is that there is no specificity of delivery. It (messenger RNA) is injected into the body and goes all around the body expressing spike proteins. This is a major problem. The spike protein is very dangerous.
So, when I first heard that the Government was using this vaccine and the PMDA [the Japanese regulatory agency, equivalent to the FDA] had approved it I was very, very concerned, But it has became a kind of religion. Still, they believe in the effectiveness of the vaccine – it’s like a Messiah.
PP: Why is the spike protein dangerous?
MF: The spike protein binds to receptor proteins which [are] expressed [in] most cells. So it [the spike protein] attacks all types of cells particularly endothelial cells in the vascular system, which can lead to coagulation. If the endothelial cells bind to the spike protein coagulation is triggered.
PP: So, we’re talking about heart attacks?
MF: Yes, if the major artery is affected it can lead to major impacts, such as heart attacks or strokes. And the FDA has detected the signal of the frequency of pulmonary thrombosis.
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/01/01/unprecedented-vaccine-disaster-an-interview-with-professor-masanori-fukushima/
The views the Department of Defense and Fauci were presented as a new religion. Their views had nothing at all to do with science.
Yes, yes!
“Unprecedented Vaccine Disaster”: An Interview with Professor Masanori Fukushima
https://dailysceptic.org/2023/01/01/unprecedented-vaccine-disaster-an-interview-with-professor-masanori-fukushima/
GW sure is proving useful! https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61644
crytpo mining baby!
Blood Clotting Concerns Take a New Level Among the Vaxed for an Already-Thrombogenic Disease
Dr. McCullough (http://t.me/c19expertchannel) has witnessed blood clotting even in the unvaxed—after multiple C19 infections.
Add in higher doses of spike from the C19 shot, and the risk profile gets even scarier.
“We know in a paper, for instance, by Fertig & colleagues (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35884842/), that the messenger RNA is measurable in the bloodstream for two weeks after vaccination—and the curves were not going down.”
Dr. Peter A. McCullough (http://t.me/c19expertchannel) is a world-renowned MD — fighting against censorship and reprisal. He has teamed up with The Wellness Company (http://t.me/thewellnesscompany), where he serves as Chief Scientific Officer.
https://twc.health/
Keep in mind — Covid was made in a lab and released… it wasn’t done for the good of your health….
There has also been a massive spike in autism that directly coincides with the increasing administration of vaccinations (but is curiously absent in unvaccinated populations). https://amidwesterndoctor.substack.com/p/why-does-peter-hotez-think-we-are
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76e7132c-388b-4c9b-80f9-367e57317d8a_1644x858.png
“The next few decades will be the end of the kind of civilization we’re used to.”
Humanity is consuming 175 percent of what the earth can regenerate. Biologist Paul Erlich says that our current way of life is unsustainable. -60 Mins CBS
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/earth-mass-extinction-60-minutes-2023-01-01/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7d&linkId=195665077
WOW. 60 mins doesn’t usually go anywhere near finite world topics.
Near the start, it said there was a possible solution but I didn’t hear it on any of the three clips. Is there more? (I know that there is no solution but was interested to see what marvel was proposed)
Wishing a Happy New Year to everyone!
(If it’s not out of keeping with our doom-laden situation.)
Here’s some good news for a lot of people who rolled up your arms.
Or why Norman is still with us.
And this explanation makes good sense too. Here’s 2 minutes of Ryan Cole.
https://rumble.com/v20qaea-if-you-got-the-covid-shot-and-arent-injured-this-may-be-why.html
Watch https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1607501304548524033/pu/vid/480×270/SLb5zM6QI6SRO2iK.mp4?tag=12
https://amidwesterndoctor.substack.com/p/why-does-peter-hotez-think-we-are
One of the neglected tragedies in medicine is what happens to the children of physicians. These parents on account of their zeal for being anointed authorities of allopathic medicine often default to solving the problems their child encounters by prescribing pharmaceuticals. When the inevitable injuries occur, it is extraordinarily challenging for them to acknowledge that their faith injured their child, and instead these parents default to gaslighting their children, and using more medical treatments to treat these injuries.
This has happened to a few close friends (whose parents can never acknowledge what actually happened), and I frequently observe physician colleagues lament the poor health of their children. Sadder still, I’ve observed colleagues lament that their child’s pediatrician says that they are not yet old enough for a flu shot and I have quite literally listened to groups collectively voice their outrage that the COVID vaccine was not yet emergency-approved for them to give their children.
These are … the best vax injuries… the ones that impact the kids of the pushers
F789… all vaccines
i wholeheartedly agree with your conclusion (our world in data has datasets for vaccination status by country, death rate by disease and access to clean water; if you actually look at the data for your self, you find no correlation between these 1st two data sets, and strong correlation between the last two), with the sole exception of the rabies vaccine. that vaccine will almost certainly save your life, but it’s used after infection…so hardly a vaccine in the traditional sense.
actually looking at the data seems to be something almost no-one does. i like your term, eddy, more-ons. “i have enough” seems to be a decidedly unpopular thought, yet many people live more comfortable lives than royalty of past ages.
so yes, a resounding no thanks to forced medicines, thank you, and i’ll have that rabies shot if any mad dog ever bites me.
I, and colleagues with far more experience in this area, have observed that infants who are vaccine-injured will often develop a cry identical to the one Peter describes immediately following vaccination (Andrew Moulden also emphasized this point). The quality and feel of this cry along with its persistence (and its periodic transformation into a more severe vaccine injury) have led my colleagues to suspect it is a symptom of brain inflammation.
Furthermore, one of my colleagues performed fundoscopic examinations of dozens of infants in this state who were brought to the ER and consistently observed signs inside their eyes that a degree of brain swelling (which is painful) was occurring. It should also be noted that DTP, the vaccine most frequently associated with brain inflammation is given at 2 months of age.
This cry is quite disturbing, and observing it before I entered medicine (I am sensitive to things like this) was one of the things that clued me into there being something very wrong with the entire vaccination paradigm. Infants can only communicate by crying, and mothers frequently recognize that cry is the infant trying to tell them something is very wrong. Unfortunately, the “experts” the mothers then consult tend to label the cry as “colic” since pediatricians are never trained in any other way to interpret it (this process also explains why doctors lack the ability to recognize many other critical diagnoses).
To share one of many examples, on a pediatric rotation, I saw a little girl recoil in terror when the nurse walked in with a vaccine, screaming “Mommy you promised not to do this to me.” The nurse assured the mother her child was just psyching herself out about the needle and that the pain would be over by the time she noticed the needle had gone in and it was already out. The nurse took the child to another room away from the mother while another nurse forcefully restrained her, and I saw the pain and then shrieking start a few seconds after the vaccination was completed. It persisted for the rest of the visit and by the time the girl left, she was demonstrating subtle signs of neurologic injury that were not recognized by any of the staff.
Peter, who like many in the medical field, lacks critical observational skills, instead dismisses this diagnostic sign by arguing:
https://amidwesterndoctor.substack.com/p/why-does-peter-hotez-think-we-are
Now we all know Mike Adams. Hes a bit excitable. I just thought I would post this as it seems Mike has become a OFWer. “2023 the age of contraction”. Despite really enjoying Mikes podcasts (im not a regular) I take his predictions with a grain of salt. Nevertheless I afraid I would agree with the lions share for it seems that Mike has acknowledged that our world is finite and probably always has.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/7uVEsT6N1rt4/
https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/comparing-boombust-cycle-deregulated-power-oil-gas-services-recent-events-bitcoin-mining
If GW is such a threat … as in end of the world threat… why do they allow these clowns to burn up coal — to ‘mine’ Bitcoin? Surely they’d ban that?
And why do they allow private jets? You’d think they’d want to reduce the burn.
Elon and Al and Leo would be able to get where they are going first class commercial.
Asking for a few people.
bummer.
main page scmp.com
China can expect repeat Covid infections with new strains on the way: experts
Subvariants BQ.1.1 and XBB have been circulating abroad and could trigger a new round of mass cases in China, biochemist says
Virologist says the best strategy is to get boosted, maintain social distance, seek medical help as needed – but don’t panic
Alibaba, Tencent lay-offs burst property bubbles in Hangzhou, Shenzhen
A wave of job cuts has sent the home market reeling in neighbourhoods where waves of tech professionals – flush with high salaries and housing perks – drove prices upwards in recent years.
Don’t panic – Keep Calm – Get another Booster
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/01/53/c7/0153c72561065640a0c170b98586bea5.png
Ivermectin lowers sperm counts.
Hell yes!
Two birds one stone.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/0au3Vr1FsXrJ/
That’s because it’s a broad spectrum antibiotic marketed as an antihelminthic. It’s mechanism of action is to liquefy lipid membranes. So at prescribed doses it kills microbe-sized stuff like microbes and ‘parasites’ and sperm but only stresses out cells, maybe kills some.
Ivermectin is used to treat tropical diseases since 20 years ago, it is very strange that now it is presented as a problem for infertility while the Covid vaccines seem to be the real reason for this recent infertility problem.
I’m not saying that is not true, I’m just saying that timing of this is all very strange.
https://www.rainews.it/tgr/fvg/video/2020/12/fvg-ivermectina-terapia-anticovid-sperimentazione-400-volontari-ospedale-cattinara-case-riposo-ospiti-e-operatori-d36bfd18-1215-4191-b0cd-36a22a83a1ab.html
Ivermectin is used in Africa to suppress river blindness which is a socioeconomic disease of malnourishment caused by superimperialism. Being a broad spectrum antibiotic it just creates more systemic health problems. It’s like making antibiotics one of the ingredients in pig rations; the normalization of extreme dysfunction.
Tattoos…
Unsure about 911 even though https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61570
Federal law enforcement has been non existant for marijuana for some time.
As the states legalize it they create law around its production but allocate NONE of the tax proceeds to enforcment of the laws.
That leaves all law enforcment at the county level. 4 deputy cop shops.
Cartels have moved in operating MASSIVE illegal grows taking control of rural areas.
The legal growers are being put out of business as they have to pay taxes on the product and comply with states requirments.
Since individuals are allowed to grow there is no “tax stamp” on pot and it would only be a state stamp anyway. This means distribution and the sale of the “bootleg” pot can occur pretty much openly in the legal states because there is no way to determine the pots status. Law enforcment regards possesion pretty much as a non crime and the district attornys the same because their is no way to prove the pot is bootleg. Of course much of it leaves the state to illegal states where more limited supply creates higher prices.
I completely support the legalization of Cannabis. It is a addictive substance but harms society little IMO. This is CRAZY. What the hell? Billions of dollars for Ukraine but open air fent markets and heavily armed cartels taking control of rural areas???? You say it cant be that crazy. You are wrong. It is that crazy. The State governments put on the blinders because they like the HUGE tax income and dont want to give any of it to enforcement. They live in the cities they probably think its funny that a bunch of rural trump voters are cartel occupied. Probably all Q followers.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/jpAQpfxbsHzr/
Interesting points about how the bootleg marijuana can push out the legal marijuana, and the legal marijuana can move to states where it is illegal, where the price is more. Strange world! Unintended outcomes!
Did I mention that my brother told me that there are more weed shops (selling gummy bears and weed laced power drinks) in his neighbourhood than 711s… he counted 6.
This is all part of the plan anesthetize the MORE-ONS prior to feeding them into the meat grinder… zombies who are hooked on weed won’t cause problems… they become Super Zombies… all they care about is more weed and MORE boosters…
and pizza.
Are we at the beginning of the end?
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Can-Global-Oil-Production-Climb-If-The-US-Shale-Boom-Is-Over.html
Among other things, this article points to a November 22, 2022 article called The US Shale Boom Is Officially Over. Its main points were
–The days of the U.S. shale boom may be over, with production rising at a much slower rate than it did before the 2020 crash and showing no signs of ramping up.
–A combination of supply chain constraints, inflation, and the new shareholder-focused strategy of shale companies have transformed how the industry operates.
–With shale production facing headwinds, OPEC has regained its position as the world’s swing producer.
Kurt Cobb’s article (linked above) also points out other forecasts of limited US oil supply growth.
Many thanks Sam and Gail.
I think that if one didn’t read Gail’s articles and this blog, anyway through that Cobb’s article and links could at least receive some clues into how ‘fighting climate change and co2’ is actually the fetish we have being educated to follow lately, when the real problem is, actually, the present and future scarcity of easy to extract fossil fuels.
And this does not mean that climate change is not there, but it does mean that the élite has chosen to educate us that the problem is not the scarcity of easy to extract fossil fuels.
Why? Because if this would be explained to the world, everyone would move towards localism of institutions and interests and would move also towards multipolarity of powers.
People would no longer accept the control of few institutions over all (WHO, IMF, WORLD BANK and so on).
In practice, everyone would feel free to abandon the way modern society is organized now, going towards finding a way to organize better themselves for the future problems.
The èlite would lose the grab on us and that it is the greatest nightmare of all for them.
Therefore, better to make sure that things are explained by Greta to the populace.
The ‘wonderful’ ten years of shale oil, have been perfectly exploited by the élite to organize our current present.
If one doesn’t understand this, in my view, one lives in ignorance (in the real sense of ignoring something important).
You make very good points! Thanks!
As much as we love the truth and open societies, the elites are hiding peak oil for a good reason. Chaotic collapse would ensue and all the spent fuel pools would lose electrical power.
2023 will be like Avatar the way of water – all hype, no meat and a bridge to the next episode.
Nothing interesting, compared to 2022, will occur. The world needs some breathing time to assess the situation and plan for the future.
Growth is over and the age of feudal landowners has returned with a vengeance. Technofeudalism won’t be pretty.
Those who already are retired or have some sustenance will be relatively fine and will have very little to worry about.
“Nothing interesting, compared to 2022, will occur.”
surely you are in a small minority of opinion.
cracks in IC are growing, the Great Russian Reset continues to unfold, the woketard USSA is even more like a dangerrous trapped animal, the depopulation plan appears to be kicking into high gear…
you may need 365 days to assess things, but TPTB will not be stopping or even delaying their plans.
pedal to the metal 2023.
It’s ok if BAU continues… so long as we continue to get regular occurrences of celebrities doctors athletes politicians dropping with vax injuries…
My prediction for 2023? There will be far more of these that in 2022.
A slow burn Apocalypse is actually more fun than a one off explosion.
BAU tonight and tomorrow night but with a side of death and destruction.
I’ve discovered the perfect home entertainment for you, Kulm: on YT you will find a series entitled ‘O Chateaux’. Owners of grand French castles, some of the 15th generation, show you over.
One even had a grim- looking deep dungeon: alas, there were no peasants in occupation being nibbled by rats, grilled, stabbed or having their limbs broken, but it has potential I’m sure you’ll admit!
Wow – and BAU is still happening in Sweden — just wait!
https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61593
Curbing Overpopulation: Bill Gates, George Soros, other Billionaires Convened to Make Plans in 2009
Is the current depopulation an accident?
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/curbing-overpopulation-bill-gates
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa177c84-5526-465d-913b-b8d6adf92de6_1136x951.jpeg
I don’t doubt that something like this happened; I do doubt that there is a paper trial and if there is…. people who are spreading it would soon disappear …..or die…
Who wants a dollop of Schad?
I do I do!
Wait for it…
Ok… now
Family Doctor Who Faced Backlash for Vaccinating Children and Causing Adverse Reactions Dies Suddenly
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/12/family-doctor-faced-backlash-vaccinating-children-causing-severe-adverse-reactions-dies-suddenly/
Watch the mentally ill demon child https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61580
Real? https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61584 If not real then great idea – these should be pasted everywhere just for run
magnificent https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61576
He threatened to kick me off his forum because I kept referring to Hillary Clinton as Hitlery, as if she deserves any respect. He’s a two faced jackass who voted for the people he’s now complaining about.
He probably thought you were doing the Fuhrer an injustice there.
She is a murderess … Seth Rich anyone?
If I had my way she’d be Out Back the Dumpster waiting for norm to toss some spare changer her way… she is a filthy vile b itch
And what about that dotter? That’s the product of the deal HRC did with the Devil… he 4nicated her and knocked her up … in exchange he gave her Bill
Don’t forget Mark Middleton (Bill Clinton’s “special advisor”) got Jeffrey Epstein into the White House at least 17 times.
He was found 30 miles from his home hanging from a tree…. With a shotgun blast to his chest.
Cause of death….SUICIDE!!!! ?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10882101/Family-late-Clinton-advisor-Mark-Middleton-block-release-files-relating-suicide.html
still carrying your personal failings, fakings and fixations in 2023 i see eddy
such a charming creative way with the English language.
no wonder they look forward to your rantcalls down the med centre
How about that biden family — all American! Hunter = boy next door!
there must be a connection there eddy
but my level of intellect does not allow me to make it.
please dazzle us with your legendary iq
and explain
https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2021/04/04/16/41327742-0-image-a-20_1617549638956.jpg
Hunter Biden video sees him smoking ‘crack’ in shower during sex spree with prostitutes who call him ‘future baby daddy’
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/19123031/hunter-biden-drugs-crack-sex-prostitutes/
eddy
given sufficient interest, a speech balloon and photoshop
i could produce a video of you talking sense,
unfortunately i lack all three.
rodster
you repeat anybodys comment-line if you think it will get you noticed.
originality isn’t your strong point.
not surprised Kuntsler threatened to kick you off
Kuntsler
lol
ive always wanted to meet someone who never made a typo
still laughter is always good
“Then he attributes Gail’s comment to that Russian clown”
I believe it was attributed to Ugo Bardi, don’t think he is Russian, not a very Russian name, although he seems to be fluent in the language. Which was really really odd. Few people promote renewables as our potential saviour more than Ugo, but the quote from Gail was about how useless renewables are.
Ugo Bardi, James Howard Kunstler, and I all know each other from meetings and speaking engagements. We all have each others’ email addresses. JHK has interviewed me a couple of times. Ugo Bardi is a retired professor who lives in Italy. Ugo and I have shared many lunches together over the years. He writes for the Club of Rome, so he tends to have one foot in the “renewables will save us” belief system. He wouldn’t say what I said.
Ya but you’re the one who got it right and they didn’t so there is much envy on display now.
James is being very petty.
tut tut James don’t be like that… put the comment back on the article with the right author
I don’t know what James has against tattoos – all the VIP room girls have at least one…
Who’s he?
WOW – CHECK THIS OUT – it’s Zapruder-like film you likely have never seen
https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61570
Mainstream asks are vaccines fueling new variants ?
The answer is yes.
https://hiddencomplexity.substack.com/p/mainstream-asks-are-vaccines-fueling
WSJ https://archive.ph/7L6tx
It is amazing that the WSJ is running an opinion article titled, Are Vaccines Fueling New Covid Variants?
The article links to several academic articles, and even uses the term disinformation.
In order to fully understand COVID and Long COVID, I believe we need to rethink what the Spike Protein does to the Endothelium. I believe it “BURNS” the Endothelium. And severely, too. Let us begin by reviewing the pathophysiology of burns:
The pathophysiology of the burn wound is characterized by an inflammatory reaction leading to rapid oedema formation, due to increased microvascular permeability, vasodilation and increased extravascular osmotic activity. These reactions are due to the direct heat effect on the microvasculature and to chemical mediators of inflammation.
https://wmcresearch.substack.com/p/internal-third-degree-burns-the-spike/
Anything about getting off of his lawn?
Outstanding https://unbekoming.substack.com/p/immune-imprinting
Key quotes from CHD discussion Nov. 3, 2022
Immune imprinting
Malone at 58:00 responded to questions about the newly-introduced “bivalent” injections.
He described “immune imprinting,” also known as “original antigenic sin,” as the “third rail” problem: a topic forbidden to be discussed in drug development circles. He said that his own occasional discussion of immune imprinting has led to his loss of some contracts.
He talked about immune imprinting in the context of flu vaccines, which were, he said, about 60-70% effective when governmental public health campaigns promoting annual shots began, but are now only 20-30% effective.
Vaccines, he said, become “less and less effective over time…that is precisely what is happening with these multiple [Covid-19] jabs.”
Malone at 59:50:
As I said at the outset, I couldn’t design a better product to elicit these adverse events and outcomes associated with immune imprinting if I had sat down at a computer for six years. It is the ideal product for driving immune imprinting, which has been a chronic problem with influenza vaccines. And the government doesn’t care. They just do the ‘I can’t hear you. I can’t see you. I can’t say it.’
[He mimed a monkey covering his ears, eyes and mouth.]
Other negatives of immune imprinting:
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/happy-new-year-make-your-prediction/
Fast Eddy
24 hr ago
Liked by Igor Chudov
Bossche Mutation arrives.
Hospital parking lots filled with dying people
Sirens wailing EEE AWWW EEEE AWWW round the clock
CNNBBC volume turned up and clips of the devastation at the hospitals
Martial Law declared globally – total lockdowns — shoot to kill orders
CNNBBC running terrifying clips of the bombarded hospitals interspersed with calming message ‘This is an international emergency – please remain in your homes – the food trucks will come’ -then a clip of an antivaxxer being shot dead as he breaks curfew to try and find food – clips of empty super markets …
People begin to starve to death – but too frightened of the Bossche Mutation and soldiers with shoot to kill orders (who are also frightened so will shoot)… the trucks never come… those that the Bossche Mutation doesn’t kill – die of starvation.
Anyone surviving (e.g. military – remote doomsday preppers) are killed as the spent fuel ponds go unmanaged the water boils off and they begin spewing their toxic cancer causing payloads into the air and water.
Extinction.
Robert Auld
Writes AuldWorks
21 hr ago
How did this d#$% optimist get in here? 🙂
Nico
6 hr ago
I bet you prepped with massive amounts of popcorn?
Unfortunately this is a viable scenario, but will not be coming in 2023.
Victoria
7 hr ago
Can’t say I agree with the “extinction” but otherwise a great doomsday delivery.
https://c.tenor.com/6vvL7C_nd74AAAAC/tenor.gif
I think part of the technological stagnation is that humans are quickly getting dumber (the last ~3000 years).
https://www.frontiersin.org/files/Articles/742639/fevo-09-742639-HTML/image_m/fevo-09-742639-g001.jpg
Another factor is the total removal of the gold standard in 1971, which decoupled innovation and wealth accumulation.
Brains of hunter gatherers were bigger than today’s brains. Perhaps they needed to keep track of more things than we do today–what foods were good where, at what times of year; how to get around without maps.
I am not sure that brain size actually follows intelligence, as we think of it today. There are different aspects of intelligence.
No physical brain size does not equate to intelligence.
It’s certainly not the only factor, but there is correlation.
That is consistent with modern ideas of theG factor.
Dennis L.
According to the Allen Institute for biomedicine, brain size explains between 9 and 16 percent of the variability in intelligence.
So while brain size does not equate to intelligence, they are correlated.
R factors vary with how and what is being measured:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0160289608001141
“Phenotypic correlations between the brain volumes and intelligence traits ranged between .20 and .33”
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0191886999002585
“Corrections for restriction of range and attenuation in both this and past studies suggest that the population value of the brain volume-IQ correlation is closer to 0.50”
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10519-009-9328-2
“PIQ [performance IQ / visuospatial IQ] shared significant common genetic variance with all four measures of brain volume (r g = .58–.82). In contrast, VIQ [verbal IQ] shared significant genetic influence with neocortex volume only (r g = .58). Processing speed was significant with total brain volume (r g = .79), neocortex (r g = .64), and white matter (r g = .89), but not prefrontal cortex.”
very nice thanks
Hooray, the mutation ‘Rapacious Primate’ is headed back up into the tree plumes.
Just flick the wheel of folly a few times more.
Shall we have a look (worst case) at what happens to Tryhards and MOARons with unlimited resources at their disposal:
https://youtu.be/NgGLFozNM2o
Let’s investigate the (best case) future realities of Rapacious Primates:
https://youtu.be/meiU6TxysCg
I think maybe this is related that their senses (smell, hearing etc) were much more developed and these data needed to be analyzed differently than what we do today.
Like many animals process those data today day with their big brains.
Anthropologist Richards Wrangham has proposed self domestication as the cause of smaller brain size. All animals undergoing domestication have gotten smaller brains during the domestication process. Mostly caused by the decreased need of the brain for handling aggression.
Of course the welfare state is likely much less selective for intelligence than tougher earlier times. The Flynn effect is caused by material standards improving. This could have hidden genetic deterioration in intelligence.
In fact, it only has to do with decreased meat consumption. Lots of poor quality scientists in academia.
That’s only one side of the equation. What did they replace the meat and animal fats (dynamic accumulators) with? A suite of weedy estrogenics. And they also killed off everybody willing to fight to the death, leaving only the recessive wild-type genes in the genepool.
Self-domestication. And like Christopher implies, people now have a fearful relationship with anger. Anger, when harnessed, is both extremely powerful AND clarifying. It’s the source of all ethics. It’s expansive. It’s love burning hot.
“Mostly caused by the decreased need of the brain for handling aggression.”
That’s a major new (to me) insight. Thanks Christopher!
Harnessing fire allowed us to take our brains to the next level because fire enabled next-level nutrition. Next-level nutrition allowed us to channel our anger through our love, and the result was animism.