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Recent Posts
- Can the diesel and jet fuel shortage be solved?
- Affordability, Not Scarcity, Is the Real Energy Crisis
- Why Oil Shortages May Bring Lower Prices–and Recession
- China and US Trade Talks: A Solution for Oil Shortages?
- Losing the Iran War May Be the Best Outcome for the World
- A New Explanation for Tariffs and Bombings
- Understanding Deglobalization: The Role of Diesel and Jet Fuel
- 2026: Expect a very uneven world economic downturn
- Too many promises; too few future physical goods
- A lack of very cheap oil is leading to debt problems
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Category Archives: Financial Implications
Humans Seem to Need External Energy
Strange as it may seem, humans seem to have evolved in a way that we have a need for external energy, such as energy from burning wood or fossil fuels. While the evidence is not 100% certain, it appears that … Continue reading
Posted in Book draft, Financial Implications, Introductory Post
Tagged anthropology, energy, energy demand, GDP, GDP growth, instinct, survival of the fittest
138 Comments
Reaching financial limits–What kinds of solutions are available?
We live in a finite world. At this point, we seem to be reaching limits in several different areas: Cheap oil. Our economy runs on cheap oil, but there is a limit to the amount of cheap oil that can … Continue reading
An Energy/GDP Forecast to 2050
We talk about the possibility of reducing fossil fuel use by 80% by 2050 and ramping up renewables at the same time, to help prevent climate change. If we did this, what would such a change mean for GDP, based … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged climate change, forecast, fossil fuels, GDP, population
111 Comments
How much oil growth do we need to support world GDP growth?
A few days ago, I showed the close relationship between growth in world oil consumption and growth in world GDP. In this post, I will extend that analysis by building a model that shows how much of an increase in … Continue reading
Evidence that Oil Limits are Leading to Declining Economic Growth
The usual assumption that economists, financial planners, and actuaries make is that future real GDP growth can be expected to be fairly similar to the average past growth rate for some historical time period. This assumption can take a number … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged employment, GDP, GDP growth, oil consumption, oil supply, peak oil, real GDP
56 Comments
