Tag Archives: oil supply

An Economic Theory of Limited Oil Supply

We seem to hear two versions of the story of limited oil supply: 1. The economists’ view, saying that the issue is a simple problem of supply and demand. Substitution, higher prices, demand destruction, greater efficiency, and increased production of … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications, Oil and Its Future | Tagged , , , , | 156 Comments

How much oil growth do we need to support world GDP growth?

A few days ago, I showed the close relationship between growth in world oil consumption and growth in world GDP. In this post, I will extend that analysis by building a model that shows how much of an increase in … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , | 67 Comments

Evidence that Oil Limits are Leading to Declining Economic Growth

The usual assumption that economists, financial planners, and actuaries make is that future real GDP growth can be expected to be fairly similar to the average past growth rate for some historical time period. This assumption can take a number … Continue reading

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What the new 2011 EIA oil supply data shows

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) recently released full-year 2011 world oil production data. In this post, I would like show some graphs of recent data, and provide some views as to where this leads with respect to future production. … Continue reading

Posted in Oil and Its Future | Tagged , , , , , , , | 78 Comments

Why oil prices are so high: Production shortfall, Iran concerns, and low interest rates

Rising oil and gasoline prices are of concern to many people today. I see three basic issues involved: “Stalled out” growth in world oil supply Concerns about Iran Artificially low interest rates Stalled Out Oil Supply Leads to Five Million … Continue reading

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